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Lenders holding £12bn of Thames Water’s debt have held face-to-face talks with Ofwat this week to pitch a rescue deal that they believe would avert the nationalisation of Britain’s biggest water utility.

Sky News has learnt that a creditor group advised by Jefferies, the investment bank, met officials from the industry regulator on Tuesday to present the outline principles of a business plan that could buy the company vital breathing space.

City sources said that the group now accounted for over £12bn of Thames Water‘s borrowings – roughly two-thirds of its total debts – and comprised 100 separate lenders.

The syndicate is racing to find a solution that would allow a restructuring that would incorporate a massive debt-for-equity swap and see fresh equity injected into the crisis-hit utility, which serves about 15 million customers in London and the South East.

A deal needs to be agreed by the middle of November because Ofwat is due to sign off its final regulatory determination for the company’s business plan at a board meeting in the second half of the month.

Creditors argue that Ofwat needs to demonstrate flexibility in its consideration of Thames Water’s business plan in order to make the company investible.

Further details of the creditor group’s proposals were unclear on Wednesday, although flexibility in relation to customer bill increases will inevitably be a component.

Thames Water is also facing a litany of regulatory fines over its poor customer service performance and dire record on sewage and water leaks.

Plans for an emergency liquidity facility of more than £1bn are also being drawn up, although they are yet to be finalised.

That finalising would buy Thames Water several months more to finalise a rescue plan.

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Bankers at Rothschild have been trying to drum up investment in new Thames Water stock in recent months, but with little success amid a lack of visibility about the company’s survival prospects.

Sky News reported last month that Carlyle, the American investment giant, has become the latest global fund to weigh an investment in Thames Water.

Thames Water’s woes deepened recently when its credit rating was downgraded further into junk territory by two leading rating agencies.

Its future remains so shrouded in uncertainty because the industry watchdog, Ofwat, has rejected the company’s initial spending plans for the next five-year regulatory period.

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From September: Thames Water boss can ‘save’ company

Ofwat is expected to sign off on the appointment of an independent monitor within days to scrutinise the company’s progress against its turnaround plan.

If new investment into Thames Water is not forthcoming before it runs out of cash, the government will have little choice but to sanction the temporary nationalisation of the company.

This would be done through a Special Administration Regime (SAR), a procedure tested only once before when Bulb Energy collapsed in 2021.

As part of its contingency planning for implementing a far-reaching restructuring, Thames Water has booked court dates in November to progress a rescue deal.

Shareholders have long since written off their investment in the company and will not play a role in any rescue deal.

These include a number of sovereign wealth funds and pension funds which plan to attend next week’s International Investment Summit in London.

A spokesperson for the creditor group declined to comment, while Ofwat has been contacted for comment.

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High street giants plot new warning to Treasury over retail jobs

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High street giants plot new warning to Treasury over retail jobs

Retail giants including Asda, Marks & Spencer, Primark and Tesco will mount a new year campaign to warn Rachel Reeves that plans to hike business rates on larger shops will put jobs and stores under threat.

Sky News has learnt that some of Britain’s biggest chains – which also include J Sainsbury, Morrisons and Kingfisher-owned B&Q – have agreed to revive a group called the Retail Jobs Alliance (RJA).

Sources said the RJA, which was established to push for reform of Britain’s archaic business rates regime, is expected to engage with the Treasury in the coming weeks to say that a wave of tax rises and regulatory changes will threaten investment by major retailers in economically deprived areas of the country.

They intend to produce analysis showing many of the stores with so-called rateable values above a new £500,000 threshold are located in areas which rely on retailers for employment opportunities.

The revamped coalition is expected to be launched in January and is likely to include other high street names, according to insiders.

It is said to be coordinating its plans with the British Retail Consortium (BRC), the industry’s leading trade body.

In total, the RJA’s members employ more than a million people across Britain and account for a significant proportion of the stores with rateable values in excess of the proposed threshold.

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One source close to the group’s plans said it intended to highlight that the higher business rates multiplier contradicted Labour’s manifesto pledge to “[level] the playing field between high street and online retailers”.

The latest intervention by retail bosses will come after weeks of vocal complaints about the impact of Ms Reeves’s maiden budget on the sector.

Last month, a letter signed by dozens of industry chiefs including from Boots and Next said the budget would pile £7bn of extra costs on to them.

These included a £2.3bn hit from changes to employers’ national insurance, £2.73bn from an increase in the national living wage and a £2bn packaging levy bill.

Retailers have since queued up to warn that consumers will face rising prices when the tax changes come into force in April.

Stuart Machin, the M&S chief executive, and Andrew Higginson, the JD Sports Fashion and BRC chair, have been among those publicly critical of the new measures.

Tesco alone faces having to pay £1bn in extra employer national insurance contributions during this parliament.

This week, ShoeZone, a footwear chain, said it would close 20 shops as a result of poor trading and the increased costs announced in the budget.

The hospitality industry has also highlighted the possibility of price hikes and job losses after the chancellor delivered her statement on 30 October.

In response to the growing business backlash, Ms Reeves told the CBI’s annual conference last month that she was “not coming back with more borrowing or more taxes”.

The RJA was initially put together in 2022 by WPI Strategy, a London-based public affairs firm.

None of the members of the RJA contacted by Sky News this weekend would comment.

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Surprisingly low retail sales in key Christmas shopping month – ONS

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Surprisingly low retail sales in key Christmas shopping month - ONS

The UK’s retail sales recovery was smaller than expected in the key Christmas shopping month of November, official figures show.

Retail sales rose just 0.2% last month despite discounting events in the run-up to Black Friday. It followed a 0.7% fall seen in October, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Sales growth of 0.5% had been forecast by economists.

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Behind the fall was a steep drop in clothing sales, which fell 2.6% to the lowest level since the COVID lockdown month of January 2022.

Sales have still not recovered to levels before the pandemic. Compared with February 2020, volumes are down 1.6%.

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It was economic rather than weather factors behind this as retailers told the ONS they faced tough trading conditions.

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Christmas more expensive this year?

For the first time in three months, however, there was a boost in food store sales, and supermarkets in particular. It was also a good month for household goods retailers, most notably furniture shops, the ONS said.

Clothes became more expensive in November, data from earlier this week demonstrated, and it was these price rises that contributed to overall inflation rising again – topping 2.6%.

Retail sales figures are of significance as the data measures household consumption, the largest expenditure across the UK economy.

The data can also help track how consumers feel about their finances and the economy more broadly.

Industry body the British Retail Consortium (BRC) said higher energy bills and low consumer sentiment impacted spending.

The BRC’s director of insight Kris Hamer said it was a “shaky” start to the festive season.

Shoppers were holding off on purchases until full Black Friday offers kicked in, he added.

The period in question covers discounting coming up to Black Friday but not the actual Friday itself as the ONS examined the four weeks from 27 October to 23 November.

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Car production falls in UK for ninth month in a row, SMMT data shows – after worst November for industry since 1980

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Car production falls in UK for ninth month in a row, SMMT data shows - after worst November for industry since 1980

UK car manufacturing fell again in November, the ninth month of decline in a row, according to industry data.

A total of 64,216 cars were produced in UK factories last month, 27,711 fewer than in November last year – a 30% drop, according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

The figures also mean it was the worst November for UK car production since 1980, when 62,728 vehicles were produced.

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It comes after the government launched a review into its electric car mandate – a system of financial penalties levied against car makers if zero-emission vehicles make up less than 22% of all sales to encourage electric vehicle (EV) production.

The mandate will rise to 80% of all sales by 2030 and 100% by 2035.

But car manufacturers have long expressed unhappiness with the target, saying the consumer demand is not there and EVs are costlier to produce.

Separate figures from the SMMT suggested a £5.8bn hit to the sector from the EV mandate.

Despite the criticism, EV sales goals were surpassed last month. One in every four new cars sold was an electric vehicle.

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Is Europe’s car industry in crisis?

The impact of this reduced production could be visible in the last month from the announcement of 800 job cuts from Ford UK and Vauxhall‘s Luton plant closure.

The problems are not specific to the UK as European makers also face weaker EV demand than anticipated and competition from Chinese imports.

High borrowing costs and comparatively more expensive raw materials have worsened the problem.

Bosch – the world’s biggest car parts supplier – also reported the loss of 5,500 jobs last month, predominantly in Germany.

In October Volkswagen revealed plans to shut at least three factories in Germany and lay off tens of thousands of staff.

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