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It is “for the public to judge” whether Labour’s first 100 days of government has gone well, Downing Street said amid Sir Keir Starmer’s sinking poll ratings.

The prime minister’s official spokesperson declined to say if his first three months in office have been a success, ahead of the milestone being hit tomorrow.

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PM’s approval rating drops

Governments traditionally seek to set a positive, dynamic tone in their first 100 days, targeting quick, visible actions that can establish a narrative about what they are doing and where they are going.

But Sir Keir has struggled to do this amid a row over donations and freebies and backlash within his own ranks about policies like the cut to the winter fuel payment, which have damaged his approval ratings.

Asked about whether the first 100 days could be viewed as a success, a Number 10 spokeswoman said: “That is for the public to judge. The government is focused on delivery and the action that it takes.”

A drinks reception to celebrate the milestone was also ruled out.

Multiple polls suggest Labour’s popularity with the public has plunged since its general election landslide in July.

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‘What will you do in your first 100 days?’

A survey published today by YouGov found 59% of people disapproved of its record so far, while just 18% approved.

Two policies in particular drew anger – scrapping the universal winter fuel allowance and releasing prisoners early to ease overcrowding.

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Ministers blamed the measures on their inheritance from the Tories, including a £22bn “blackhole” in the public finances and a prison system on the brink of collapse.

The YouGov poll showed there was majority support for other policies, such as making a pay deal with junior doctors, lifting the ban on onshore wind farms, keeping the two-child benefit cap and suspending some arms sales to Israel.

But overall, four in ten said the country is in a worse state since the election, and nearly half of those who voted Labour said they had positive expectations but feel let down so far.

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Sue Gray is having a ‘short break’

In a double whammy of bad polling, research by Ipsos found over half (52%) of Britons are unfavourable towards Sir Keir – the highest level since he became Labour leader.

Labour are also leading the Conservatives by just one point, down 11% from the summer, according to a survey by More In Common published earlier this week.

The prime minister’s spokeswoman cited reform of workplace rights and “action to deliver growth” when asked to list some of the new government’s achievements.

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Speaking later to reporters, Sir Keir pointed to the first meeting of the Council of Nations and Regions, featuring devolved leaders from across the UK, as well as promises of up to £24bn investment in green projects.

He refused to be drawn on a separate paused £1bn investment into a port in London following comments made by ministers about P&O Ferries, saying a summit on Monday, when the funding was due to be announced, will still attract global financiers which will be “very good for the country”.

Sir Keir also dodged a question on the whereabouts of Sue Gray, who was not at the meeting of devolved leaders today despite being appointed as an envoy to the “nations and regions” following her resignation as his chief of staff.

The government will look to the budget on 30 October as an opportunity to set a more positive narrative about its direction, amid speculation Capital Gains Tax could be increased to fund crumbling public services.

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‘Big test’ for PM as ex-Labour MP Mike Amesbury steps down to trigger by-election

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'Big test' for PM as ex-Labour MP Mike Amesbury steps down to trigger by-election

Mike Amesbury has officially stepped down as an MP after he was convicted of punching a man in the street.

Amesbury, who was suspended from the Labour Party, was jailed on 24 February.

Politics latest: Welfare reforms ‘imminent’

He was sentenced to 10 weeks behind bars after he pleaded guilty to the assault by beating of 45-year-old Paul Fellows in Frodsham, Cheshire, in the early hours of 26 October.

Following an appeal, his sentence was suspended for two years – so he does not have to serve it in prison.

He announced his resignation as MP for Runcorn and Helsby in a social media post on Monday, describing the assault as a “deeply regrettable incident” for which he had “rightly been punished”.

“I am sincerely sorry to Paul Fellows, my family, colleagues and constituents,” he added.

A by-election will now be triggered in Runcorn and Helsby, where constituents will vote to elect a new MP.

Former Runcorn and Helsby MP Mike Amesbury (centre) leaving Chester Crown Court after he had his 10-week prison sentence for assault suspended for two years following an appeal. Picture date: Thursday February 27, 2025.
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Mike Amesbury leaving Chester Crown Court in February. Pic: PA

By-election a ‘big test’ for PM

It will be the first by-election since Sir Keir Starmer became prime minister, in what Sky News’ political correspondent Liz Bates said would be a “big test” in a seat where Reform UK came second last year.

“Losing it would be an unmitigated disaster given the 14,000 majority achieved last time round,” said Bates.

Amesbury came first in Runcorn and Helsby with 22,358 votes at the 2024 general election – equating to 52.9% of the electorate.

Reform UK came in second with 7,662 votes (18.1%) and the Tories in third with 6,756 votes (16%).

Reform has yet to announce a candidate, but Karen Shore, the deputy leader of Cheshire West and Chester Council, will run for Labour.

The Conservatives have opted for Sean Houlston, a membership services manager for the National Federation of Builders.

Read more:
How is a by-election triggered?
Why Labour MPs are deeply uncomfortable

Sir Keir Starmer speaking to the media follow his 'coalition of the willing' virtual meeting. Pic: PA
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Sir Keir Starmer’s government has been polling very badly indeed. Pic: PA

When will the by-election be?

Under parliamentary procedure, an MP cannot simply resign but must be disqualified from holding their seat.

To do this, they must apply for a role in the paid office of the Crown, meaning they automatically lose their seat because working for the Crown is not seen as impartial.

Titles include the crown steward and bailiff of the Chiltern Hundreds and the Crown Steward and Bailiff of the Manor of Northstead.

Rachel Reeves has now appointed Amesbury to be steward and bailiff of the Three Hundreds of Chiltern, meaning the parliamentary seat is officially vacant.

Once he does, the chief whip will put forward a motion to Lindsay Hoyle, the Commons speaker, to officially begin the process of disqualifying the MP – known as “moving the writ”.

The Speaker then puts the motion to MPs for a vote. If they agree, the writ passes through the Commons and ends up with the returning officer in the local constituency who oversees the by-election.

The writ is typically issued within three months of the MP resigning from their seat and in doing so, the date of the by-election is fixed.

It could potentially coincide with the local elections in May.

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Welfare system will be here ‘for years to come’ amid backlash over impending cuts

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Welfare system will be here 'for years to come' amid backlash over impending cuts

The welfare state will be there for those who need it “now and for years to come”, the work and pensions secretary has said – as the government faces pressure from its own MPs over benefit changes.

Liz Kendall acknowledged there has been “lots of speculation” about the government’s plans to reform welfare, which are due to be announced on Tuesday following a delay because of concerns from Labour backbenchers.

Politics latest: Welfare reforms ‘imminent’

Speaking in the House of Commons, Ms Kendall said she wanted to assure the public the announcements will “ensure there is trust and fairness in the social security system” – and that it will remain in place for those who need it.

Earlier on Monday, Sky News revealed the government has chosen not to freeze the personal independence payment (PIP) next year following pressure from Labour MPs over the past week.

Ministers had wanted to stop PIP (a payment of up to £9,000 a year for people with long-term physical and mental health conditions, and disabilities) rising with inflation as part of a drive to cut the welfare budget.

The proposal had been set to save about £5bn, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves searches for savings.

She has lost £9.9bn of fiscal headroom (the amount she could increase spending or cut taxes without breaking her fiscal rules) since the October budget due to a poor economy and geopolitical events.

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Which benefits could be cut?

Why Labour MPs are so uncomfortable

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Will there be a backlash over benefits?

What’s the government’s case?

The government is expected to make qualifying for PIP more difficult when Ms Kendall reveals her plans on Tuesday.

Sky News’ deputy political editor Sam Coates, on the Politics At Sam And Anne’s podcast, said the Treasury is also expected to abolish the Work Capability Assessment, which determines whether someone is fit or not to work and to then receive disability payments.

The government has described the system as “dysfunctional”, as those “not fit for work” do not receive employment support or further engagement after the assessment, which could lock them out of future work altogether.

Sir Keir Starmer has made cutting the welfare budget a key project, as spending on sickness benefits soared to £65bn last year – a 25% increase since the year before the pandemic – and is expected to rise to £100bn before the next general election in 2029.

The number of people in England and Wales claiming either sickness or disability benefit has gone from 2.8 million to about four million since 2019.

Ms Kendall also revealed in the Commons the number of young people not working because of mental health conditions has risen by more than 25% in the last year, with the number considered “economically inactive” now reaching 270,000.

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‘1,000 people every day signing on to PIP benefits’

Unhappy Labour MPs

Ms Kendall had been expected to announce welfare cut plans last week.

But due to the scale of the backlash, the government took the unusual step of asking all 404 Labour MPs to attend “welfare roundtables” in Downing Street last week.

Sky News’ political correspondent Amanda Akass said Ms Kendall’s Commons appearance offered no real answers to the “serious concerns” raised by MPs, though social security minister Stephen Timms insisted they would “welcome” many of the changes when they are announced.

Treasury minister Emma Reynolds earlier played down the level of discontent over plans to freeze PIP, telling Sky News the roundtables were nothing more than “everyday business”.

She pointed out Labour created the welfare state in 1945, but said it needs to be “more sustainable”.

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‘Significant’ number of countries to provide troops to Ukraine peacekeeping force

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'Significant' number of countries to provide troops to Ukraine peacekeeping force

A “significant number” of countries will provide troops to a Ukraine peacekeeping force, Sir Keir Starmer’s spokesman said.

On Saturday, leaders from 26 Western countries – plus two EU leaders and NATO’s secretary general – gathered for a virtual call of the “coalition of the willing”, hosted by Sir Keir after Volodymyr Zelenskyy accepted a 30-day interim ceasefire agreement.

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The prime minister said military chiefs would meet this Thursday to discuss the next “operational phase” in protecting Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force – if a deal can be agreed with Russia.

Speaking on Monday, Sir Keir’s spokesman said they now expect “more than 30” countries to be involved in the coalition – but did not reveal which other countries had joined since Saturday.

He added: “The contribution capabilities will vary, but this will be a significant force, with a significant number of countries providing troops and a larger group contributing in other ways.”

The spokesman did not say which countries agreed to be part of a peacekeeping force, which Sir Keir and French leader Emmanuel Macron have confirmed the UK and France will be part of.

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What could a peacekeeping force actually do?

Could troops end up fighting?

Russia has repeatedly said it would not accept soldiers from NATO countries being stationed in Ukraine.

Asked if British troops fired on by Russia in Ukraine would be allowed to fire back, the spokesman said: “It’s worth remembering that Russia didn’t ask Ukraine when it deployed troops.

“We’ve got operational planning meetings that they are going through.”

The spokesman also said he did not know if the US – notably absent from the coalition – will be joining the military chiefs’ meeting on Thursday, but said the UK is having “regular discussions with our American counterparts”.

Both the UK and France are pushing for the US to provide security guarantees to prevent Russia from reneging on any peace deal with Ukraine.

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Who’s in the coalition of the willing?

Follow live updates from the Ukraine war

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Which nations will join peacekeeping efforts?

Trump and Putin to hold talks

Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin said he supports the truce brokered by the US in Saudi Arabia, but “lots of questions” remain over the proposals.

Donald Trump said on Sunday night he will speak to Mr Putin on Tuesday about ending the war and negotiators have already discussed “dividing up certain assets”, including land and power plants.

He said a “lot of work” had been done over the weekend on a peace deal.

The leaders involved in Saturday’s call were from: Australia, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, Ukraine, and the UK.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and EU Council President Antonio Costa also joined.

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