The business secretary has suggested the government could put up national insurance for employers in the budget without breaking its election pledges.
Jonathan Reynolds told Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips that Labour’s promise not to increase national insurance “was specifically in the manifesto, a reference to employees”.
National insurance is paid by both employees and employers and it has been unclear whether Labour’s vow not to increase the tax included both levies.
The business secretary’s comments are the clearest indication yet that such a rise is being considered.
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17:21
We have ‘incredible’ investments
But coming on the eve of a major investment summit, the suggestion risks a row with companies – who would be hit by such a tax rise – and may prompt questions over the government’s commitment to economic growth.
It also comes on the heels of an argument with the firm DP World over comments made by the transport secretary that caused the company to review a £1bn London port investment.
“You know that pledge was taxes on working people… there’s a lot already in the manifesto, but you have to wait for the detail of a budget… this will be a budget for growth,” said Mr Reynolds.
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Shadow work and pensions secretary Mel Stride said increasing employer national insurance would amount to a “tax on jobs” and “what they should be about is growth and increasing productivity”.
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7:52
Labour ‘talked the economy down’
With the budget just over a fortnight away, the chancellor has also strongly hinted that she is planning to tweak the rules that dictate how much the government is allowed to borrow for spending on infrastructure investment.
Writing in The Sunday Times, Rachel Reeves said it was “time that the Treasury moved on from just counting the costs of investments, to recognising the benefits too”.
It has been reported that the Treasury is considering changing how it calculates debt by stripping out the value of assets it holds, such as transport or building infrastructure or the student loan book.
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2:43
Is a budget tax bombshell on the way?
This would bring down the headline government debt figure and allow the chancellor to borrow more money within her fiscal rule to have debt falling within a five-year forecast.
Crucially, such a move would not affect day-to-day spending so tax rises will likely still be needed to plug the hole in ongoing commitments.
But it would free up space for the Treasury take on more debt to spend on one-off projects – such as green technology, schools or hospitals – which ministers argue are essential to bring about economic growth.
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Supporters of such a change argue that the current approach fails to adequately capture the potential long-term economic benefits of borrowing to invest because of the five-year horizon within which debt must start falling.
Detractors say changing the fiscal rules in this way would amount to fiddling the figures to load the country up with liabilities.
New laws to reduce the use of short prison sentences and toughen up community punishments are expected to be introduced within weeks.
Ministers are expected to introduce the new legislation to the Commons after the summer recess.
The changes will abolish most short-term prison sentences and introduce an earned release scheme, based on a model used in Texas, where prisoners who demonstrate good behaviour can be freed earlier – while those who disobey prison rules are detained for longer.
This will include some prisoners jailed for violent offences, although those convicted of the most dangerous crimes and for terrorism will be excluded.
Image: Shabana Mahmood (left) was said to be impressed by the system in place in Texan prisons. Pic: PA
The new bill will introduce many of the changes recommended by the independent sentencing review, carried out by former Conservative justice minister David Gauke earlier this year. It represents one of the largest overhauls of sentencing in a generation and marks a cornerstone of the government’s effort to reduce the size of the prison population in England and Wales.
As well as reducing the use of short custodial sentences, the changes will also toughen up community sentences, introducing a wider range of punishments for those serving time outside of prison. This could include bans on going to stadiums to watch sports or music events, as well as restrictions on visiting pubs, and the wider use of drug testing.
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3:10
Becky Johnson speaks with Daniel, a former convict, who was released early after prisons reached capacity.
Other punishments could include driving and travel bans, as well as restriction zones – confining them to certain areas. Some of these can already be imposed for certain crimes, but the new laws will mean that these could be handed down by a judge for any offence.
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Under the legislation, which it is understood will be introduced in September, prison sentences of 12 months or less will be scrapped, except for in exceptional circumstances such as domestic abuse cases. Meanwhile, the length of suspended sentences – where an offender is not sent to prison immediately unless they commit a further crime – will be extended from two years to three.
The justice secretary is believed to have been inspired by the earned release scheme during a visit to the States, where she learned about the model being used in Texas to cut crime and bring their prison population under control.
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2:41
England is on course to run out of prison places for adult men by November, the Justice Secretary has warned.
Shabana Mahmood said that criminals who break the rules “must be punished” and that those serving their sentences in the community “must have their freedom restricted there, too”.
She added: “Rightly, the public expect the government to do everything in its power to keep Britain safe, and that’s what we’re doing.”
A spokesperson for the Ministry of Justice added: “This government inherited a prison system days away from collapse.
“That is why we are building 14,000 more prison places, with 2,500 already delivered, but we know we can’t build our way out of this crisis.
“Without further action, we will run out of prison places in months, courts would halt trials and the police [would] cancel arrests. That is why we are overhauling sentencing to make sure we always have the prison places needed to keep the country safe.”