It was billed as a “big moment” for the Starmer administration and, arriving at Labour’s International Investment Summit, it was clear how seriously the government was taking it
The venue was the spectacular 15th century Guildhall in the heart of the City of London, where 200 leading executives gathered with the UK’s prime minister, cabinet, first ministers and mayors to talk about investment in the UK.
Adjoa Andoh, who plays Lady Danbury in Netflix’s wildly successful Bridgerton,was the day’s host, with the one-day summit to be capped off by a glittering reception in St Paul’s Cathedral hosted by King Charles, a three Michelin star meal and a performance by Sir Elton John.
Sir Keir Starmer depicted this summit as a key moment in reviving Britain’s global standing in the world as he promised investors he would “do everything in power to galvanise growth”.
He promised investors an end to “the culture of chop and change” with “mission-led mindset that thinks in years”, a new industrial strategy, and pledged to “rip up the bureaucracy that blocks investment” to make sure Britain’s regulators are geared for growth.
“We will make sure that every regulator in this country… takes growth as seriously as this room does,” he said.
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After a difficult first 100 days beset by infighting in the prime minister’s Downing Street and rows over freebies, the Starmer team wanted to make day 101 of this Labour government a moment to reset and get back to the business of the the PM’s first mission – economic growth.
And while Sir Keir didn’t make any specific reference to his first 100 days in his speech to investors, there was a nod to the frustration I’m told he had been feeling in recent weeks, as he sought to inject some momentum into his new government.
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Eric Schmidt speaks with Sir Keir Starmer at summit in Central London
He said: “We know – just as every leader knows, that those early weeks and months are precious,
“And no matter how many people advise you to ignore it, you must run towards the fire to put it out, not let it spread further. So we will fix our public services. We will stabilise our economy and we will do it quickly.”
Ripping up bureaucracy to create “shock and awe” investment.
It is not necessarily what you’d expect to hear from a government. Eric Schmidt, the former chief executive of Google, who joined Keir Starmer in conversation after the PM’s speech, told the audience of business executives he was “shocked when I heard Labour was in favour of growth,” before going on to say there was “plenty of money that’s going to come into the country” if the government could tackle regulation.
But he also warned the prime minister he would not be able to achieve his goal of clean energy in 2030 without dealing with regulation.
No 10 insiders tell me that the task in the coming months is to “rewire” each regulator – digital, water, energy, competition – for the next decade, with one figure telling me “cutting red tape is about making sure the UK regime doesn’t look too severe, especially relative to our size and influence on global markets”.
One Whitehall official offers up an example of the Competition and Markets Authority which investigated a tie-up between Amazon and an AI company, Anthropic, despite the latter having no business in the UK, which only served to make the UK look anti-tech (the investigation has since been dropped).
For Treasury insiders, the £60bn of investment into new shovel-ready projects announced alongside the investment summit is a significant boon after a difficult few weeks.
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“We’ve beaten expectations,” says one government figure, pointedly remarking that the Conservative government’s investment summit last year raised £28bn.
“Politics is like a see-saw. When you’re down, you can’t do anything right, but when you’re up, you can’t do anything wrong. This was also the conception. To have a summit in the first 100 days of the government where we were banging the drum beat for Britain.”
There will be questions over how Labour can square off the growth plan with Sir Keir’s raft of new workers’ rights – something that the PM tackled head-on in this speech when he told the audience that “workers with more security in work, higher wages, is a better growth model for this country”.
There are also questions about whether the big growth sale made to 200 chief executives, representing an astonishing £40trn of assets, will jar when the budget comes around on 30 October.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has insisted it will be a growth budget, but there are growing expectations Labour will raise billions of pounds in business taxes by including employer pension contributions in the national insurance system.
The chancellor could raise £18bn a year by the end of 2030 if she levies a flat 13.8% rate on pension contributions, according to research by the Resolution Foundation thinktank.
Image: Chancellor Rachel Reeves. Pic: PA
One Treasury figure said it wasn’t true that investors were “trapped in a cycle of only caring about a budget. They want a government with a sense of stability and purpose. That’s about tax and spend, but it’s also: regulations and barriers matter, planning reform matters, stable government and a big majority, which is what Labour has, matters.”
This Investment summit, long in the making, has taken on new significance for a Starmer government in search of a fresh start after a difficult first 100 days.
Ministers will arrive at St Paul’s this evening feeling that they, at last, have something to celebrate.
The next big test will be the budget later this month, but the much bigger task is to turn the promises made on the stage into a framework that unlocks billions more than the down-payment from business promised today.
The return on Donald Trump to the G7 was always going to be unpredictable. That it is happening against the backdrop of an escalating conflict in the Middle East makes it even more so.
Expectations had already been low, with the Canadian hosts cautioning against the normal joint communique at the end of the summit, mindful that this group of leaders would struggle to find consensus.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney carefully laid down an agenda that was uncontroversial in a bid to avoid any blow-ups between President Trump and allies, who of late have been divided like never before – be it over tariffs and trade, Russia and Ukraine, or, more recently Israel’s conduct in Gaza.
But discussions around critical minerals and global supply chains will undoubtedly drop down the agenda as leaders convene at a precarious moment. Keir Starmer, on his way over to Canada for a bi-lateral meeting in Ottawa with PM Carney before travelling onto the G7 summit in Kananaskis, underscored the gravity of the situation as he again spoke of de-escalation, while also confirmed that the UK was deploying more British fighter jets to the region amid threats from Tehran that it will attack UK bases if London helps defend Israel against airstrikes.
Image: Canadian PM Mark Carney is greeted by President Donald Trump at the White House in May. Pic: AP
Really this is a G7 agenda scrambled as world leaders scramble to de-escalate the worst fighting between Tel Aviv and Tehran in decades. President Trump has for months been urging Israel not to strike Iran as he worked towards a diplomatic deal to halt uranium enrichment. Further talks had been due on Sunday – but are now not expected to go ahead.
All eyes will be on Trump in the coming days, to see if the US – Israel’s closest ally – will call on Israel to rein in its assault. The US has so far not participated in any joint attacks with Tel Aviv, but is moving warships and other military assets to the Middle East.
Sir Keir, who has managed to strike the first trade deal with Trump, will want to leverage his “good relationship” with the US leader at the G7 to press for de-escalation in the Middle East, while he also hopes to use the summit to further discuss the further the interests of Ukraine with Trump and raise again the prospects of Russian sanctions.
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“We’ve got President Zelenskyy coming so that provides a good opportunity for us to discuss again as a group,” the PM told me on the flight over to Canada. “My long-standing view is, we need to get Russia to the table for an unconditional ceasefire. That’s not been really straightforward. But we do need to be clear about what we need to get to the table and that if that doesn’t happen, sanctions will undoubtedly be part of the discussion at the G7.”
Image: Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer (R) is greeted by Mark Carney as he arrives in Ottawa ahead of the G7
But that the leaders are not planning for a joint communique – a document outlining what the leaders have agreed – tells you a lot. When they last gathered with Trump in Canada for the G7 back in 2018, the US president rather spectacularly fell out with Justin Trudeau when the former Canadian president threatened to retaliate against US tariffs and refused to sign the G7 agreement.
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Since then, Trump has spoken of his desire to turn Canada into the 51st state of the US, a suggestion that helped catapult the Liberal Party beyond their Conservative rivals and back into power in the recent Canadian elections, as Mark Carney stood on a ticket of confronting Trump’s aggression.
With so much disagreement between the US and allies, it is hard to see where progress might be made over the next couple of days. But what these leaders will agree on is the need to take down the temperature in the Middle East and for all the unpredictability around these relationships, what is certain is a sense of urgency around Iran and Israel that could find these increasingly disparate allies on common ground.
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