Tesla reiterates affordable models coming in 1H 2025, but with no new details
Tesla said today that it remains on track to produce and launch “more affordable models” in the first half of next year, but it shared no new details on when we might expect to hear more.
For several years now, Tesla has been teasing everyone with the promise of more affordable models.
While the Tesla Model 3 is pretty reasonably priced, many have been waiting for a promised $25,000 model, which many had taken to calling the “Model 2.”
Tesla was supposedly going to pursue a new revolutionary “unboxed” manufacturing method to get costs down for the future vehicle, to enable this lower price.
However, earlier this year Tesla CEO Elon Musk refocused the company’s efforts on its recently-announced and much–delayed Robotaxi product and cancelled plans for a $25,000 vehicle, as first reported by Reuters and denied by Musk. Reuters was later shown to be correct in its report.
But even after that, Tesla has continued to state that it is pursuing “more affordable models,” with little additional detail available.
In today’s earnings report, Tesla reiterated guidance stating that it still plans a more affordable model in the coming months, but that it won’t be nearly as revolutionary as originally planned.
Here’s the passage:
Plans for new vehicles, including more affordable models, remain on track for start of production in the first half of 2025. These vehicles will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.
This approach will result in achieving less cost reduction than previously expected but enables us to prudently grow our vehicle volumes in a more capex efficient manner during uncertain times. This should help us fully utilize our current expected maximum capacity of close to three million vehicles, enabling more than 50% growth over 2023 production before investing in new manufacturing lines.
Our purpose-built Robotaxi product will continue to pursue a revolutionary “unboxed” manufacturing strategy.
This passage is actually exactly the same as what appeared in Tesla’s Q2 earnings, just shifted forward in time three months.
Elsewhere in the report, Tesla states that its “Next Gen Platform” is still “In development,” for production in various regions around the world. Tesla currently operates vehicle manufacturing facilities in California, Texas, Shanghai and Berlin.
Electrek’s Take
If Tesla’s timeline is to be believed, this new model is coming in less than 8 months. While it’s not impossible that a company can develop a model in secret and get it on the road within 8 months of the public learning about it, we have never seen a new Tesla model go from introduction to production anywhere near that quickly.
It’s much more common for Tesla to hold a big launch party and then release the vehicle to the public many years later (sometimes with big delivery delays for certain specs or certain buyers).
Even refreshes usually have news leaked months in advance. We’ve seen a refreshed Model Y driving around with what looks like a more Model 3 highland-like front end, and recently heard rumors that the Model Y refresh is going into trial production in Shanghai this week.
That refresh likely wouldn’t make it into the market until early next year, especially in North America, if production is starting in Shanghai first.
It’s almost enough to make us wonder – is this the “more affordable” model that Tesla has been talking about all this time? Just a refreshed Model Y, perhaps with process improvements that will enable Tesla to push the price down some?
If so, that would be quite disappointing. A refresh isn’t really a new model, and it’s unlikely to break any new ground in terms of becoming the lowest-priced Tesla ever (since we can’t imagine they’d price the Model Y lower than the Model 3).
And if they’re not talking about the refresh, and indeed are talking about an actual new model – that just adds another product to Tesla’s mind-numbingly-crowded “next year,” where Musk has stated that the company will change the world in 6 – count ’em, six – ways.
We certainly hope a new cheaper model is coming, especially as Tesla’s offerings (minus the polarizing Cybertruck) have become a little bit stale. It could help drive more EV adoption by reaching a new lower price point, could change perceptions of Tesla as a luxury-only vehicle brand, and could even bring in new customers for Model 3/Y who had previously been turned off by that perception of Teslas as being “too expensive” (despite, e.g., quite attractive lease deals).
And in particular, it remains disappointing that Musk has chosen to focus on a pie-in-the-sky Robotaxi (which will not be available “next year,” for the tenth-or-so year he’s said it will be), and various AI-buzzword nonsense, than what consumers keep asking for – a cheaper EV model. Reiteration that Tesla is working on one is good, but we’ll remain unconvinced until Tesla shares more details.
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Wind energy powered 20% of all electricity consumed in Europe (19% in the EU) in 2024, and the EU has set a goal to grow this share to 34% by 2030 and more than 50% by 2050.
To stay on track, the EU needs to install 30 GW of new wind farms annually, but it only managed 13 GW in 2024 – 11.4 GW onshore and 1.4 GW offshore. This is what’s holding the EU back from achieving its wind growth goals.
Three big problems holding Europe’s wind power back
Europe’s wind power growth is stalling for three key reasons:
Permitting delays. Many governments haven’t implemented the EU’s new permitting rules, making it harder for projects to move forward.
Grid connection bottlenecks. Over 500 GW(!) of potential wind capacity is stuck in grid connection queues.
Slow electrification. Europe’s economy isn’t electrifying fast enough to drive demand for more renewable energy.
Brussels-based trade association WindEurope CEO Giles Dickson summed it up: “The EU must urgently tackle all three problems. More wind means cheaper power, which means increased competitiveness.”
Permitting: Germany sets the standard
Permitting remains a massive roadblock, despite new EU rules aimed at streamlining the process. In fact, the situation worsened in 2024 in many countries. The bright spot? Germany. By embracing the EU’s permitting rules — with measures like binding deadlines and treating wind energy as a public interest priority — Germany approved a record 15 GW of new onshore wind in 2024. That’s seven times more than five years ago.
If other governments follow Germany’s lead, Europe could unlock the full potential of wind energy and bolster energy security.
Grid connections: a growing crisis
Access to the electricity grid is now the biggest obstacle to deploying wind energy. And it’s not just about long queues — Europe’s grid infrastructure isn’t expanding fast enough to keep up with demand. A glaring example is Germany’s 900-megawatt (MW) Borkum Riffgrund 3 offshore wind farm. The turbines are ready to go, but the grid connection won’t be in place until 2026.
This issue isn’t isolated. Governments need to accelerate grid expansion if they’re serious about meeting renewable energy targets.
Electrification: falling behind
Wind energy’s growth is also tied to how quickly Europe electrifies its economy. Right now, electricity accounts for just 23% of the EU’s total energy consumption. That needs to jump to 61% by 2050 to align with climate goals. However, electrification efforts in key sectors like transportation, heating, and industry are moving too slowly.
European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen has tasked Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen with crafting an Electrification Action Plan. That can’t come soon enough.
More wind farms awarded, but challenges persist
On a positive note, governments across Europe awarded a record 37 GW of new wind capacity (29 GW in the EU) in 2024. But without faster permitting, better grid connections, and increased electrification, these awards won’t translate into the clean energy-producing wind farms Europe desperately needs.
Investments and corporate interest
Investments in wind energy totaled €31 billion in 2024, financing 19 GW of new capacity. While onshore wind investments remained strong at €24 billion, offshore wind funding saw a dip. Final investment decisions for offshore projects remain challenging due to slow permitting and grid delays.
Corporate consumers continue to show strong interest in wind energy. Half of all electricity contracted under Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) in 2024 was wind. Dedicated wind PPAs were 4 GW out of a total of 12 GW of renewable PPAs.
Read more: Renewables could meet almost half of global electricity demand by 2030 – IEA
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In the Electrek Podcast, we discuss the most popular news in the world of sustainable transport and energy. In this week’s episode, we discuss the official unveiling of the new Tesla Model Y, Mazda 6e, Aptera solar car production-intent, and more.
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The Chinese EV leader is launching a new flagship electric sedan. BYD’s new Han L EV leaked in China on Friday, revealing a potential Tesla Model S Plaid challenger.
What we know about the BYD Han L EV so far
We knew it was coming soon after BYD teased the Han L on social media a few days ago. Now, we are learning more about what to expect.
BYD’s new electric sedan appeared in China’s latest Ministry of Industry and Information Tech (MIIT) filing, a catalog of new vehicles that will soon be sold.
The filing revealed four versions, including two EV and two PHEV models. The Han L EV will be available in single- and dual-motor configurations. With a peak power of 580 kW (777 hp), the single-motor model packs more power than expected.
BYD’s dual-motor Han L gains an additional 230 kW (308 hp) front-mounted motor. As CnEVPost pointed out, the vehicle’s back has a “2.7S” badge, which suggests a 0 to 100 km/h (0 to 62 mph) sprint time of just 2.7 seconds.
To put that into perspective, the Tesla Model S Plaid can accelerate from 0 to 100 km in 2.1 seconds. In China, the Model S Plaid starts at RBM 814,900, or over $110,000. Speaking of Tesla, the EV leader just unveiled its highly anticipated Model Y “Juniper” refresh in China on Thursday. It starts at RMB 263,500 ($36,000).
BYD already sells the Han EV in China, starting at around RMB 200,000. However, the single front motor, with a peak power of 180 kW, is much less potent than the “L” model. The Han EV can accelerate from 0 to 100 km/h in 7.9 seconds.
At 5,050 mm long, 1,960 mm wide, and 1,505 mm tall with a wheelbase of 2,970 mm, BYD’s new Han L is roughly the size of the Model Y (4,970 mm long, 1,964 mm wide, 1,445 mm tall, wheelbase of 2,960 mm).
Other than that it will use a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) pack from BYD’s FinDreams unit, no other battery specs were revealed. Check back soon for the full rundown.
Source: CnEVPost, China MIIT
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