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The amount employers pay in national insurance is set to rise in next week’s budget to raise money for public services, Sky News understands.

Reports have suggested it could be increased by up to two percentage points and will – in part – be used to help fund the NHS.

A government source told Sky News: “There is a universal consensus that the NHS needs more money.

“That means asking businesses to help out.

“The choice is investment versus decline. She [Rachel Reeves] is choosing not to ask working people to pay the price for their [Conservatives’] failures.”

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According to The Times newspaper, Chancellor Rachel Reeves is also expected to make a ­significant cut to the earnings ­thresholds at which employers start making national insurance contributions.

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The combined measures are expected to raise about £20bn and will represent the ­biggest tax rise in the budget.

The burden will reportedly fall entirely on the private sector, with public sector ­employers such as government departments and the NHS being reimbursed by the Treasury to avoid cuts.

On Friday, much of the budget chat focused on Labour’s definition of a “working person”.

The party’s manifesto said it would not increase taxes on working people, including VAT, national insurance, and income tax.

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This has prompted repeated questions about who the government considers to fall under that umbrella and therefore would not impose tax rises on.

During a broadcast interview at a Commonwealth summit in Samoa, Sir Keir Starmer told Sky News he does not consider people who have an income from assets such as shares of property to be working people.

“They wouldn’t come within my definition,” he said.

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Reacting to questions from journalists, Ms Reeves said the prime minister is a “working person”.

Speaking to LBC, she said: “The prime minister gets his income from going out to work and working for our country.

“He’s a working person. He goes out to work.”

Treasury minister James Murray told Sky News that “a working person is someone who goes out to work and who gets their income from work”.

Pushed further on whether a working person could also get income from shares or property, Mr Murray added: “We’re talking about where people get their money from, and so working people get their money from going out to work.

“And it’s that money that we’re talking about in terms of those commitments we made around income tax, around national insurance.

“That’s what’s important to focus on, where people are getting their money from, getting their money from going out to work.”

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Monzo lines up bankers to spearhead blockbuster £6bn float

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Monzo lines up bankers to spearhead blockbuster £6bn float

Monzo, the digital bank which counts one in five British adults among its customers, is closing in on the appointment of investment bankers to spearhead a stock market listing valuing it at more than £6bn.

Sky News has learnt that Monzo is working with Morgan Stanley, the Wall Street giant, on a series of meetings with potential investors ahead of an initial public offering which could take place as early as the first half next year.

People close to the company said this weekend that bankers would be formally hired to work on the listing within months, with Morgan Stanley now expected to be handed a key role on the deal.

The timing, size and location of an IPO are still to be determined and will depend on market conditions in London and New York, both of which have been buffeted by Donald Trump’s introduction of swingeing trade tariffs.

However, London is currently seen as the most likely listing venue for Monzo by board members and investors, according to people close to the situation.

The company, which saw its valuation soar to £4.5bn last year after primary and secondary share sales, is considering a further sale of existing shares to allow early investors and employees to cash in, although a decision to proceed has not yet been taken.

Monzo has more than 11m UK retail customers, making it the seventh-largest British bank by customer numbers, and 600,000 business customers.

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Founded a decade ago, it has become one of Britain’s most successful, and valuable, fintech companies.

It employs close to 4,000 people.

Last year, it raised more than £500m by selling newly issued shares to a group of investors led by Capital G, a division of Alphabet-owned Google.

That primary share sale valued the business at £4.1bn.

An IPO, including any new capital raised, would be likely to value Monzo at more than £6bn, and potentially in the region of £7bn, according to banking sources.

Last year’s secondary share sale saw existing Monzo investors StepStone Group and GIC, the Singaporean sovereign wealth fund, buying stock from employees.

The company is now profitable and has diversified into investments and instant access savings accounts.

It has also launched pensions products and accounts aimed at under-16s.

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Monzo is among a new generation of banks which have emerged since the last financial crisis and begun to accumulate a significant share of the UK retail banking market.

Rivals include Starling Bank and Revolut, which was valued at $45bn in its last fundraising and was awarded a banking licence by British regulators last year after a protracted process.

Monzo has recovered spectacularly from a difficult period in 2020 when it emerged that the City watchdog was investigating it for potential breaches of anti-money laundering and financial crime rules.

It has revamped its corporate structure as it pursues an international expansion aimed at enticing new investors to its strategy for long-term growth.

The company has been exploring acquisition opportunities in the US and Europe, although a major deal is not thought to be imminent.

Monzo Bank Holding Group was established to avoid the company facing punitive capital treatment by British regulators as it launches in new overseas markets.

Other Monzo investors include the Chinese group Tencent, Passion Capital, Accel, General Catalyst and Hedosophia.

Monzo is run by TS Anil, its chief executive, and chaired by Gary Hoffman, the banker who salvaged Northern Rock after its nationalisation in 2008.

This weekend, a Monzo spokesperson declined to comment.

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Trade war: Trump floats China tariff cut to 80% ahead of talks

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Trade war: Trump floats China tariff cut to 80% ahead of talks

Donald Trump has floated the idea of cutting US trade tariffs against China to 80% – as key peace talks between the sides prepare to get under way.

The weekend meeting, involving top officials from both nations in Switzerland, is seen as an opportunity to ease the most damaging and punitive element of the trade war.

At stake for both sides is not only a deteriorating domestic outlook but a weakening global economy.

Writing on his Truth Social platform, hours after agreeing an interim deal with the UK, the president said: “80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B [Bessent].”

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It means the decision will lie with Scott Bessent – the US treasury secretary who will lead the US delegation at the talks in Geneva.

The outcome is eagerly awaited after several rounds of tariff hikes that currently total duties of 125% on US imports to China and 145% on Chinese goods arriving in America.

Both levels amount to an effective trade embargo, given the severity of the numbers. A 80% figure against China would remain hugely restrictive.

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But the announcement of talks in Switzerland this week has been welcomed broadly – across financial markets too, with the dollar and global stocks rising on Friday in hopeful anticipation of a cooling in the trade hostilities between the world’s two largest economies.

Investors are not only concerned by higher, if not extortionate, prices but also the impact on supply.

The effects are being felt in both economies already.

Fears of a trade war effectively meant that the US economy contracted during the first three months of the year, while the US central bank has held off on interest rate cuts on the grounds that tariffs applied to imports by the Trump administration globally will lift inflation markedly.

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Official data out of China is yet to show any obvious pain, but surveys suggest factory orders are tumbling.

The fact that China is suffering was borne out on Wednesday when the country’s central bank cut interest rates and reduced bank reserve requirements to help free up more funding for lending.

The authorities also agreed wider borrowing facilities to help manufacturers.

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It will be hoped that bolstering activity in the economy will help lift prices generally, as China continues to battle deflation.

Officially, China has signalled that it wants the US to make the first concession.

Its delegation in Geneva is led by vice premier He Lifeng – a figure within China who has gained an international reputation as an effective negotiator.

A commerce ministry spokesperson said of the prospects for a breakthrough when confirming the talks: “The Chinese side carefully evaluated the information from the US side and decided to agree to have contact with the US side after fully considering global expectations, Chinese interests and calls from US businesses and consumers.”

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told Sky’s US partner CNBC on Friday: “Everything that’s been going on with the meeting in Switzerland is very promising to us.

“We’re seeing extreme respect, treating both sides with respect. We’re seeing collegiality and also sketches of positive developments.”

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UK-US pact neither a free-trade agreement nor broad trade deal of Brexiteer dreams

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UK-US pact neither a free-trade agreement nor broad trade deal of Brexiteer dreams

Sir Keir Starmer was at home in Downing Street, watching Arsenal lose in the Champions League, when he got a call from Donald Trump that he thought presented the chance to snatch victory from the jaws of trading defeat.

The president’s call was a characteristic last-minute flex intended to squeeze a little more out of the prime minister.

It was enough to persuade Sir Keir and his business secretary Jonathan Reynolds, dining with industry bosses across London at Mansion House, that they had to seize the opportunity.

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The result, hurriedly announced via presidential conference call, is not the broad trade deal of Brexiteer dreams, and is certainly not a free-trade agreement.

It’s a narrow agreement that secures immediate relief for a handful of sectors most threatened by Mr Trump’s swingeing tariffs, with a promise of a broader renegotiation of “reciprocal” 10% tariffs to come.

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‘A fantastic, historic day’

Most pressing was the car industry, which Mr Reynolds said was facing imminent announcements of “very difficult news” at Britain’s biggest brands, including Jaguar Land Rover, which sounds like code for redundancies.

In place of the 25% tariffs imposed last month, a 10% tariff will apply to a quota of 100,000 vehicles a year, less than the 111,000 exported to the US in 2024, but close enough for a deal.

It still leaves the car sector far worse off than it was before “liberation day”, but, with one in four exports crossing the Atlantic, ministers reason it’s better than no deal, and crucially offers more favourable terms than any major US trading partner can claim.

For steel and aluminium zero tariffs were secured, along with what sounds like a commitment to work with the US to prevent Chinese dumping. That is a clear win and fundamental for the ailing industries in Britain, though modest in broad terms, with US exports worth only around £400m a year.

US and UK announced trade deal
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US and UK announced trade deal

In exchange, the UK has had to open up access to food and agricultural products, starting with beef and ethanol, used for fuel and food production.

In place of tariff quotas on beef that applied on either side (12% in the UK and 20% in America) 13,000 tonnes of beef can flow tariff-free in either direction, around 1.5% of the UK market.

The biggest wins

Crucially, sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) production standards that apply to food and animal products, and prevent the sale of hormone-treated meat, will remain. Mr Trump even suggested the US was moving towards “no chemical” European standards.

This may be among the biggest wins, as it leaves open the prospect of an easing of SPS checks on trade with the European Union, a valuable reduction in red tape that is the UK’s priority in reset negotiations with Brussels.

Farmers also believe the US offers an opportunity for their high-quality, grass-fed beef, though there is concern that the near-doubling of ethanol quotas is a threat to domestic production.

Technology deals to come?

There were broad commitments to do deals on technology, AI and an “economic security blanket”, and much hope rests on the US’s promise of “preferential terms” when it comes to pharmaceuticals and other sectors.

There was no mention of proposed film tariffs, still unclear even in the Oval Office.

Taken together, officials describe these moves as “banking sectoral wins” while they continue to try and negotiate down the remaining tariffs.

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The challenge from here is that Mr Trump’s “reciprocal” tariff is not reciprocal at all. As commerce secretary Howard Lutnick proudly pointed out in the Oval Office, tariffs on US trade have fallen to less than 2%, while the UK’s have risen to 10%.

As a consequence, UK exporters remain in a materially worse position than they were at the start of April, though better than it was before the president’s call, and for now, several British industries have secured concessions that no other country can claim.

From a protectionist, capricious president, this might well be the best deal on offer.

Quite what incentive Mr Trump will have to renegotiate the blanket tariff, and what the UK has left to give up by way of compromise, remains to be seen. Sir Keir will hope that, unlike the vanquished Arsenal, he can turn it round in the second leg.

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