Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Markets: Stocks are holding onto gains to start the week. The only sector stuck in the red was energy as oil sold off. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell more than 6% and had one of its worst days since 2022 after Israel did not target Iranian energy facilities in a strike over the weekend. The market may like lower oil prices, but it is still grappling with rising bond yields. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note is closing in on 4.3%. A reason why interest rates rose was the soft demand for $69 billion of 2-year notes and $70 billion of 5-year notes. Defensive woes: Meanwhile, defensive sectors like consumer staples and health care continue to struggle. Club holding Danaher is lower again — its sixth straight down day — after earnings last week. The quarter itself was better than expected , with a bioprocessing beat and the business on track for high-single-digit growth exiting the year. But investors turned on the stock after management was noncommittal about discussing 2025 figures and analysts lowered their estimates, causing the stock to suffer its worst weekly performance since 2020. This drop looks far too excessive since the bioprocessing recovery thesis did not change. AMD on deck: Several Wall Street research firms published their third-quarter expectations for Advanced Micro Devices ahead of its Tuesday evening report. Many expect the chipmaker to raise its 2024 AI chip sales outlook to more than $5 billion, up from its prior guidance of more than $4.5 billion. We would be surprised if CEO Lisa Su provided 2025 AI chip sales guidance. Raymond James also does not expect the company to talk 2025 numbers either, analysts said in a note Monday, but the current consensus is somewhere around $9 billion to $10 billion in AI chip sales. Outside of AI chips, we’ll be looking for color on personal computer trends and market-share gains in the non-AI chip server space, where AMD primarily competes with struggling Intel . AMD shares are up about 15% since the company reported second-quarter numbers , but they are still off about 15% from their July peak. CrowdStrike court fight : We think Delta Air Lines has a weak case in the lawsuit it filed Friday against Club name CrowdStrike because the cybersecurity provider’s CEO, George Kurtz, is working with every single customer to restore trust after the IT outage, and the company says Delta has been an outlier in this process. In fact, CrowdStrike claims that Delta refused assistance from both itself and Microsoft, according to a lawsuit filed Monday against the Atlanta-based airline. If the CrowdStrike-Delta spat causes a pullback in CrowdStrike share price, we would be buyers. We would have added to our position Friday and Monday if we were not restricted. Up next: Some of the notable companies reporting after the closing bell Monday include Ford Motor , chip software firm Cadence Design Systems , and North Face owner VF Corp . The reporting companies on our radar Tuesday morning include Club name Stanley Black & Decker , fintech players SoFi and PayPal , and McDonald’s . Pfizer , Royal Caribbean Cruises , glass maker Corning and electrical component maker Hubbell also report before the opening bell. For Stanley Black & Decker, its end market demand is subdued due to higher interest rates, but we expect to see more progress on the DeWalt owner’s cost structure and margin expansion program. These efficiency gains should strengthen earnings power once the next big home improvement cycle kicks in. For that, the housing industry is still waiting on lower mortgage rates. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
In the latest Senate version of the GOP’s budget and tax bill, better known as Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill, the 30% tax credit for home solar and batteries is going to be over 180 days from the time the President signs it.
Other tax credits for utility-scale solar and wind projects are going to be completely phased out by 2028.
As expected, the Republican Party has been trying to remove incentives for renewable energy to clean its grid and achieve much-needed productivity expansions.
The main effort is through the new budget and tax bill, known as Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’, which was passed by the House last month. However, the bill is expected to evolve as it progresses through the Senate.
Advertisement – scroll for more content
Under the version passed by Congress, the ITC (Section 25D), which offers a 30% tax credit for home solar and energy storage systems, was going to be completely phased out by the end of 2025.
The Senate has now released the latest draft of the bill, which includes more details about how it plans to eliminate renewable energy incentives.
According to the latest language, the home solar and battery incentive would end 180 days after it is enacted.
Here’s the latest language:
(a) IN GENERAL.—Section 25D is amended by striking subsection (h) and inserting the following new subsection:
‘‘(h) TERMINATION.—
‘(1) IN GENERAL.—The credit allowed under this section shall not apply with respect to any expenditures made after the date described in paragraph (2).
‘‘(2) APPLICABLE DATE.—The date described in this paragraph is the date which is 180 days after the date of enactment of this paragraph.’’.
It’s not exactly clear when Trump could sign the bill. It is still contested by some Republicans, who hold the majority in the Senate, but killing the
The rumor is that they are trying to get it on his desk by July 4, which would mean the end of the tax credit by December 31st and no real change compared to the House bill at this level unless there are further delays on passing the bill in the Senate, which is not out of question.
This is creating a new level of urgency for home solar and battery installations to get systems deployed and activated by the end of the year.
The only good news with the current Senate version of the bill compared to the House’s is for larger-scale utility solar and battery projects, which generally fall under Section 48E of the Code (ITC).
There’s now a planned phase out with 60% of the incentive in 2026 and 20% in 2027 rather than ending by 2025:
Solar and wind facilities would be eligible for the full ITC or PTC, as applicable, if construction begins in 2025.
If construction begins in 2026, such facilities would be eligible for 60 percent of the otherwise available ITC or PTC.
If construction begins in 2027, such facilities would be eligible for 20 percent of the otherwise available ITC or PTC.
Thereafter, such facilities would not be eligible for the ITC or PTC.
Those incentives are instead going to be directed toward hydropower, nuclear and geothermal energy through 2036.
Electrek’s Take
Some good, some bad here. Obviously, this is a win for big corporations and the fossil fuel industry more than anything.
They don’t want decentralized energy production and storage, which is what the tax credit for residential solar power and energy storage systems is intended to incentivize.
The good news is that if you are a homeowner and you still don’t have solar, there might be time to still lock in an installation by the end of the year – though it is starting to be limited due to high demand.
EnergySage can help you go solar in a few clicks without getting any sales calls until you are ready to move forward. It’s a free service that will enable you to get quotes and compare them without any hassle.They work with a great number of solar installers and help you get the best priceand best system for your home. Receive and compare solar quotes quickly on their website.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links.More.
Tesla is gearing up to start selling its upcoming Tesla Semi electric truck in Europe with a new hire to develop the market.
Tesla Semi is finally about to go into volume production in the US after being unveiled almost a decade ago.
The vehicle was unveiled in 2017 and was initially scheduled to enter production in 2019; however, the automaker delayed the program on several occasions.
Tesla unveiled a “production version” in 2022, but it was only produced in small batches. The Class 8 electric truck remains a rare sight in the US, with only a few dozen units in the hands of a handful of customers and a few more in Tesla’s internal fleet.
Advertisement – scroll for more content
Photo: PepsiCo
In January 2023, Tesla announced an expansion of Gigafactory Nevada to build the Tesla Semi in volume.
However, that plan was also changed and delayed. Tesla ultimately built a separate factory adjacent to Gigafactory Nevada, and production was delayed until 2025.
Now, we learn that Tesla is starting to build an organization to sell the Tesla Semi in Europe.
Electrek found that Tesla hired a new leader to head business development for Tesla Semi in Europe.
Usuf Schermo announced on his LinkedIn last week that he joined Tesla as “Head of Business Development EMEA for Tesla Semi.”
Schermo, who holds a master in economic engineering, energy and ressources management from TU Berlin, has some experience with commercial electric vehicles.
He was the head of sales in Germany for Volta Trucks from 2022 to 2024. The company made the Volta One, a 16-tonne electric truck aimed at city deliveries.
For the last year, Schermo has been leading sales for EVUM aCar, a German startup building a small commercial vehicle.
Now, he will develop the market for Tesla’s class 8 electric truck.
The European electric commercial truck market is much developed in the US with already some significant competition from Volvo with the Volvo FH Electric, Mercedes-Benz with the eActros 600, MAN with the eTGX, and several others.
The market is still young, but Volvo is already emerging as a leader with an estimated more than 3,000 electric trucks in operations in Europe.
With production only starting in the US toward the end of the year, Tesla is not likely to have an homologated version of the Tesla Semi in Europe until later in 2026.
Tesla has already announced plans to build the Tesla Semi in Europe at Gigafactory Berlin.
I keep saying to Tesla fans that hate me: I track both Tesla hires and departures. I try to report on both, but the former are much more scarce than the latter these days.
This is one of the few significant hires of the last years at Tesla and say “significant” because it shows Tesla is preparing to sell the Tesla Semi in Europe because this is clearly not an executive level role.
Over the last year and since the great purge of talent in April 2024, Tesla has almost been exclusive promoting from within at higher director and VP levels rather than hire from outside.
As for the Tesla Semi in Europe, it could work. Like I said, there’s already a lot of competition, but Tesla Semi is expected to have a longer range than everything else, which should attract buyers.
It could particularly useful for Gigafactory Berlin, which is at a real risk right now with Tesla’s sales crashing in Europe. Producing a new vehicle program there, and a commercial one that rely less on consumer perception, could help increase factory utilization.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links.More.
An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps speed boat sailing along the Persian Gulf during the IRGC marine parade to commemorate Persian Gulf National Day, near the Bushehr nuclear power plant in the seaport city of Bushehr, in the south of Iran, on April 29, 2024.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Some shipowners are opting to steer clear of the strategically important Strait of Hormuz, according to the world’s largest shipping association, reflecting a growing sense of industry unease as the Israel-Iran conflict rages on.
Israel’s surprise attack on Iran’s military and nuclear infrastructure on Friday has been followed by four days of escalating warfare between the regional foes.
That has prompted shipowners to exercise an extra degree of caution in both the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz, a critical gateway to the world’s oil industry — and a vital entry point for container ships calling at Dubai’s massive Jebel Ali Port.
Jakob Larsen, head of security at Bimco, which represents global shipowners, said the Israel-Iran conflict seems to be escalating, causing concerns in the shipowner community and prompting a “modest drop” in the number of ships sailing through the area.
Bimco, which typically doesn’t encourage vessels to stay away from certain areas, said the situation has introduced an element of uncertainty.
“Circumstances and risk tolerance vary widely across shipowners. It appears that most shipowners currently choose to proceed, while some seem to stay away,” Larsen told CNBC by email.
“During periods of heightened security threats, freight rates and crew wages often rise, creating an economic incentive for some to take the risk of passing through conflict zones. While these dynamics may seem rudimentary, they are the very mechanisms that have sustained global trade through conflicts and wars for centuries,” he added.
In 2023, oil flows through the waterway averaged 20.9 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, accounting for about 20% of global petroleum liquids consumption.
The inability of oil to traverse through the Strait of Hormuz, even temporarily, can ratchet up global energy prices, raise shipping costs and create significant supply delays.
Alongside oil, the Strait of Hormuz is also key for global container trade. That’s because ports in this region (Jebel Ali and Khor Fakkan) are transshipment hubs, which means they serve as intermediary points in global shipping networks.
The majority of cargo volumes from those ports are destined for Dubai, which has become a hub for the movement of freight with feeder services in the Persian Gulf, South Asia and East Africa.
Peter Tirschwell, vice president for maritime and trade at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said there have been indications that shipping groups are starting to “shy away” from navigating the Strait of Hormuz in recent days, without naming any specific firms.
“You could see the impact that the Houthi rebels had on shipping through the Red Sea. Even though there [are] very few recent attacks on shipping in that region, nevertheless the threat has sent the vast majority of container trade moving around the south of Africa. That has been happening for the past year,” Tirschwell told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Monday.
“The ocean carriers have no plans to go back in mass into the Red Sea and so, the very threat of military activity around a narrow important routing like the Strait of Hormuz is going to be enough to significantly disrupt shipping,” he added.
Israel-Iran conflict lifts freight rates
Freight rates jumped after the Israeli attacks on Iran last week. Indeed, data published Monday from analytics firm Kpler showed Mideast Gulf tanker freight rates to China surged 24% on Friday to $1.67 per barrel.
The upswing in VLCC (very large crude carrier) freight rates reflected the largest daily move year-to-date, albeit from a relative lull in June, and reaffirmed the level of perceived risk in the area.
Analysts at Kpler said more increases in freight rates are likely as the situation remains highly unstable, although maritime war risk premium remains unchanged for now.
Missiles launched from Iran are intercepted as seen from Tel Aviv, Israel, June 16, 2025.
Ronen Zvulun | Reuters
David Smith, head of hull and marine liabilities at insurance broker McGill and Partners, said shipping insurance rates, at least for the time being, “remain stable with no noticeable increases since the latest hostilities between Israel and Iran.”
But that “could change dramatically,” depending on whether there is escalation in the area, he added.
“With War quotes only valid for 48 hours prior to entry into the excluded ‘Breach’ area, Underwriters do have the ability to rapidly increase premiums in line with the perceived risk,” Smith told CNBC by email.
The Hapag-Lloyd AG Leverkusen Express sails out of the Yangshan Deepwater Port, operated by Shanghai International Port Group, on Aug. 7, 2019.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
A spokesperson for German-based container shipping liner Hapag-Lloyd said the threat level for the Strait of Hormuz remains “significant,” albeit without an immediate risk to the maritime sector.
Hapag-Lloyd said it does not foresee any bigger issues in crossing the waterway for the moment, while acknowledging that the situation could change in a “very short” period of time.
The company added that it has no immediate plans to traverse the Red Sea, however, noting it hasn’t done so since the end of December 2023.
— CNBC’s Lori Ann LaRocco contributed to this report.