Amazon will report results for the third quarter after the bell Thursday.
Here’s what analysts are expecting:
Earnings: $1.14 per share expected by LSEG
Revenue: $157.2 billion expected by LSEG
Amazon Web Services: $27.5 billion, according to StreetAccount
Advertising: $14.3 billion, according to StreetAccount
The company warned in its most recent earnings report that sales in the third quarter could take a hit due to the unusually busy news cycle. Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said in August that the company observed shoppers were distracted by a combination of world events, including the Paris Olympics and the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump at a Pennsylvania rally in July.
“Customers only have so much attention,” Olsavsky said at the time, and those factors made it “a tough quarter to forecast.”
Wall Street is projecting revenue growth of roughly 10% during the quarter, which would mark the fifth straight quarter of expansion in the low double digits and a slight deceleration from a year earlier, when sales increased 12.6%.
Earnings are growing much faster, due largely to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy’s widespread cost-cutting efforts. Beginning in 2022 and extending through 2024, Amazon initiated the largest layoffs in its history, cutting more than 27,000 jobs. Jassy has taken a harder line on the company’s unproven, costlier bets than his predecessor, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos.
The company has continued to restructure its teams this year, announcing last week that it would discontinue its Amazon Today rapid delivery service. A small number of employees were laid off as a result, CNBC reported.
Amazon is expected to report operating income of $14.7 billion during the quarter, up more than 31% from a year earlier, according to StreetAccount. The company in August guided for operating income between $11.5 billion and $15 billion.
Wall Street has applauded Jassy’s campaign to rein in expenses, with Amazon shares up about 23% year to date. The Nasdaq has gained roughly 30% over the same stretch.
“I think what’s changed over the last, call it year or two, is the relatively newer CEO has launched off on driving a real amount of operating income and profit margin on the retail business,” Brad Erickson, a senior analyst at RBC Capital Markets, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Wednesday. “And so that is what I think has brought on a whole new group of investors and is keeping a whole new group of investors in this name.”
Amazon and Apple, which also reports quarterly results Thursday, round out a busy week of tech earnings. Google parent Alphabet posted third-quarter earnings that topped expectations, helped by blowout results in its cloud unit. Microsoft and Meta released earnings reports Wednesday.
During the third quarter, Amazon held its annual Prime Day megasale in July. Amazon said it hauled in “record-breaking sales” from Prime Day, though it didn’t disclose specific figures. Online spending in the U.S. climbed 11% year over year to a record $14.2 billion during the promotion event, according to Adobe Analytics data. That was roughly in line with expectations of $14 billion in sales.
Analysts are eager for an update from Amazon executives on the company’s plans for its Project Kuiper satellite internet service. Amazon has said it expects to invest more than $10 billion to build a network of 3,236 satellites in low Earth orbit that will provide high-speed broadband internet services to people around the world who lack such access. Third-party analysts have estimated Amazon may need to shell out up to $20 billion to get the project off the ground, GeekWire reported, citing data from market research firm Quilty Space.
“While there are risks to timing/success of satellite launches and regulatory milestones, the downside is quantifiable, with mgmt guiding to $10B lifetime investment,” said Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein, pointing to the success of SpaceX’s Starlink as an indicator. The firm has an outperform rating on Amazon’s stock.
“We see a significant long-term revenue opportunity, with a target audience >1 billion people,” Helfstein added.
Amazon launched its first two prototype satellites into orbit last October atop a United Launch Alliance rocket. The company postponed its first full-scale Kuiper mission to early 2025 rather than the first half of the year as its rocket provider ULA prioritizes two U.S. Space Force missions.
Amazon will discuss the report on a conference call with analysts at 5 p.m. ET. The press hasn’t received an invitation to a media call typically held with Olsavsky after the company releases its earnings results.
Meta‘s Facebook’s influence remains strong globally, but younger users are logging in less. Only 32% of U.S. teens use Facebook today, down from 71% in 2014, according to a 2024 Pew Research study. However, Facebook’s resale platform Marketplace is one reason young people are on the platform.
“I only use Facebook for Marketplace,” said Mirka Arevalo, a student at Buffalo University. “I go in knowing what I want, not just casually browsing.”
Launched in 2016, Facebook Marketplace has grown into one of Meta’s biggest success stories. With 1.1 billion users across 70 countries, it competes with eBay and Craigslist, according to BusinessDasher.
“Marketplace is the flea market of the internet,” said Charles Lindsay, an associate professor of marketing at the University of Buffalo. “There’s a massive amount of consumer-to-consumer business.”
Unlike eBay or Etsy, Marketplace doesn’t charge listing fees, and local pickups help avoid shipping costs, according to Facebook’s Help Center.
“Sellers love that Marketplace has no fees,” said Jasmine Enberg, VP and Principal Analyst at eMarketer. “Introducing fees could push users elsewhere.”
Marketplace also taps into the booming resale market, projected to hit $350 billion by 2027, according to ThredUp.
“Younger buyers are drawn to affordability and sustainability,” said Yoo-Kyoung Seock, a professor at the College of Family and Consumer Sciences at the University of Georgia. “Marketplace offers both.”
A key advantage is trust; users’ Facebook profiles make transactions feel safer than on anonymous platforms like Craigslist, according to Seock.
In January 2025, eBay partnered with Facebook Marketplace, allowing select eBay listings to appear on Marketplace in the U.S., Germany, and France. Analysts project this will drive an additional $1.6 billion in sales for eBay by the end of 2025, according to Wells Fargo.
“This partnership boosts the number of buyers and sellers,” said Enberg. “It could also solve some of Marketplace’s trust issues.”
While Facebook doesn’t charge listing fees, it does take a 10% cut of sales made through its shipping service, according to Facebook’s Help Center.
Marketplace isn’t a major direct revenue source, but it keeps users engaged.
“It’s one of the least monetized parts of Facebook,” said Enberg. “But it brings in engagement, which advertisers value.”
“Marketplace helps Meta prove younger users still log in,” said Enberg. “Even if they’re buying and selling instead of scrolling.”
By keeping users engaged, Marketplace plays a key role in Facebook’s long-term strategy, ensuring the platform remains relevant in a changing digital landscape.
Digital physical therapy startup Hinge Health is gearing up to file for an initial public offering, potentially as soon as next week, CNBC has learned.
Hinge Health helps patients with musculoskeletal injuries ranging from minor sprains to chronic pain recover from the comfort of their own homes. Its IPO has been a highly-anticipated exit within the battered digital health sector, which has been reeling from the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic.
The IPO could happen as early as April, but timelines might still change due to uncertainty around tariffs, according to a person familiar with the matter. Hinge Health, which contracts with employers, generated $390 million in revenue in 2024, had $45 million in free cash flow and hit gross margins of about 78%, the person said.
The San Francisco startup has raised more than $1 billion from investors like Tiger Global and Coatue Management. Hinge Health had a $6.2 billion valuation as of October 2021. Physical therapy is estimated to be a roughly $70 billion market by the end of the decade.
A spokesperson for Hinge Health declined to comment.
Hinge Health CEO Daniel Perez and Executive Chairman Gabriel Mecklenburg co-founded the company in 2014 after they were frustrated by their own experiences with physical rehabilitation, according to the company’s website.
Members of Hinge Health can access virtual exercise therapy and an electrical nerve stimulation device called Enso that’s designed to serve as an alternative to pain medications like opiates. The company has been using generative artificial intelligence to scale its care team in recent years.
The company competes directly with other digital health startups like Sword Health, but Hinge Health is about four times larger than is closet competitor, the person said.
Investors will be watching closely to see whether Hinge Health’s IPO serves as a positive bellwether for the sector.
Bloomberg reported Hinge Health’s IPO plans earlier on Friday.
Elon Musk speaks during the first cabinet meeting hosted by U.S. President Donald Trump, at the White House in Washington, DC, U.S., February 26, 2025.
For seven straight weeks, since Elon Musk went to Washington, D.C. to join the Trump administration, shares in his automaker have declined, closing on Friday at $270.48. It’s the longest such losing streak for Tesla in its 15 years as a public company.
Tesla shares finished the week down more than 10% and at their lowest level since Nov. 5, Election Day, when they closed at $251.44. Since the stock peaked at almost $480 on Dec. 17, Tesla has lost well over $800 billion in market cap.
Several Wall Street firms this week, including Bank of America, Baird and Goldman Sachs, cut their price targets on Tesla.
In slashing their target from $490 to $380, analysts at Bank of America cited concerns about the company’s falling new vehicle sales and the lack of a recent update from Musk on a “low-cost model.”
Goldman Sachs, which cut its price target on the stock to $320 from $345, also pointed to falling electric vehicle sales for Tesla in the first two months of the year across several markets in Europe, China and parts of the U.S.
The Goldman analysts noted that Tesla faces, “a tough competitive environment for FSD” in China, where key competitors “do not generally require a separate software purchase for smart driving features.” FSD, or Full Self-Driving (Supervised), is Tesla’s partially automated driving system, which the company sells as a premium option in the U.S.
Baird added Tesla to its “bearish fresh picks” this week, with analysts at the firm writing, “production downtime” will complicate “the supply-side of the equation” for Tesla as the company shifts to manufacturing the new version of its Model Y SUV.
Elon Musk stands as he is recognized by U.S. President Donald Trump during Trump’s address to a joint session of Congress at the US Capitol in Washington, DC, on March 4, 2025.
Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images
But Wall Street isn’t just concerned about fundamental metrics like sales and production figures. Investors are also trying to assess how much Musk’s politics and work in the White House will pressure Tesla, and for how long.
“Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration adds uncertainty to the demand-side,” Baird analysts wrote.
Before taking on his role as advisor to President Donald Trump, and the leader of the so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), Musk was already heading up his many private ventures, including artificial intelligence startup xAI, social media company X and aerospace and defense contractor SpaceX.
Concerned bulls
Now Musk, the world’s wealthiest person, has become the public face of the Trump administration’s effort to dramatically reduce the federal government’s workforce, spending and capacity. Meanwhile, he continues to post incendiary political rhetoric on X, slamming judges whose decisions he doesn’t like, and promoting false Kremlin talking points about Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
Anti-Musk and anti-Tesla sentiment have been rising in the U.S. and Europe, with an outburst of protests and suspected criminal acts of arson and vandalism at Tesla facilities.
Even the most bullish analysts, and many fans, have had to acknowledge the impact of Musk’s politics on the desirability of Tesla and its products to a wide swath of customers and investors.
EV advocates at Cleantechnica, which has long promoted Tesla on its site, ran an ethics-focused column on Thursday asking if Tesla owners should sell their cars, and contemplating whether the Tesla board should fire Musk as CEO.
Musk and Tesla didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.
In a note out Friday, Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives wrote, “Tesla bulls find themselves with their back against the wall facing global negative sentiment around Musk/DOGE and the Trump Administration.” He called it a “gut check moment for the Tesla bulls (including ourselves).”
Wedbush said it’s using the selloff as an opportunity to add Tesla to its “Best Ideas” list, and set its 12-month price target at $550.
“The best thing that ever happened to Musk and Tesla was Trump in the White House as this will create a deregulatory environment with a federal autonomous roadmap central to the Tesla golden strategic vision,” the firm wrote.
The Tesla bulls see the potential for the company to soon launch affordable new model EVs, a robotaxi and driverless ridehail service, and to deliver humanoid robots capable of factory work in the not-too-distant future. Ives said he expects Musk will become more focused on Tesla and his other companies in the second half of 2025.
Analysts at TD Cowen are also optimistic. In a note on Thursday, they wrote, “Tesla now appears to be in the early innings of a major 2025-26 product cycle, one that we believe could re-invigorate volume growth and boost overall share price sentiment.”