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The pound has fallen sharply after the chancellor announced the biggest tax rises in a generation.

Over the last three days, sterling has dropped by 1.2% (in trade weighted terms) – the biggest fall in 18 months.

Between around 1.30pm and 5.30pm today, versus the dollar, it dropped from about 129.9c to the pound to about 128.6c. In the same period, against the euro, it went from 119.3c to the pound to about 118.4c.

In addition, yields for 10-year UK bonds – the cost or interest rate charged for long-term government borrowing – have gone past 4.5% for the first time in a year.

Ed Conway, Sky News’s economics and data editor, said those yields are “pretty much halfway towards the danger zone” – a zone identified by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).

However, he said other European bonds had risen, too. “But the UK does seem to be moving faster than most of the others,” he added.

While cautioning that the budget is still very new, Conway said the “upshot” is that Rachel Reeves’s “room for manoeuvre” is already diminishing “because of market moves”.

Markets are reacting in “quite a violent way”, Conway said.

“It’s really unusual to see this after a budget, and that will have a bearing on how much this government will be able to afford in the future,” he added.

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‘Raising taxes was not an easy decision’

A sudden rise in the yields of 10-year UK bonds followed Liz Truss’s disastrous “mini-budget” of September 2022, which led to a surge in the cost of borrowing for ordinary consumers, while the pound slumped to a 37-year low against the dollar.

It is “certainly not like that at the moment”, Conway said.

Nonetheless, market movements will be “enough to really concern people at the Treasury”, he added, “because it suggests that a lot of traders are looking at how much money this government is borrowing, and they’re saying: ‘Hang on, maybe we’re going to charge you more’.”

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The pound has weakened and gilt yields – the cost of borrowing by the UK government – has increased in response to the budget, which saw Rachel Reeves introduce the biggest tax hike in a generation.

While Conway said it does not feel like a “crisis point”, he said the “calculus for this government” may be changing.

Jack Meaning, UK chief economist at Barclays, said market reaction was “materially different” to what happened in 2022.

Bond yields since Ms Reeves’s budget are up by about 0.3%, while in 2022 the rise was about 1.5%, he said.

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Reeves acting like ‘compulsive liar’

The conversation Barclays is having with its customers is also different to that in 2022, Mr Meaning added.

At that time, people were wondering whether a “big crisis point” had been reached.

This time, he said the focus is on comments from the OBR about a potential rise in inflation, and the potential knock-on effect as the Bank of England makes decisions on interest rates in the next few months.

Read more:
Chancellor defends £40bn tax rises
Is the farmers’ inheritance tax the new pasty tax?

The prime minister’s official spokesperson refused to talk about bond prices.

“We don’t comment on market movements,” they said.

“The chancellor has been very clear that first and foremost, this budget has been about restoring fiscal stability, and she’s outlined two new robust fiscal rules, which put public finances on a sustainable path.”

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Rising crypto token value capture may fuel 2026 rebound: Bitwise CIO

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Rising crypto token value capture may fuel 2026 rebound: Bitwise CIO

Crypto tokens are becoming increasingly efficient at capturing value, thanks in part to new regulations and upgrades, which could send prices surging in 2026, according to Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan. 

Hougan said in an X post on Saturday that in the chaos of the current market pullback, big news is getting lost, such as the level of value capture in digital assets trending upward. 

“Most of today’s tokens were created in a regulatory era where value capture was risky; as a result, they defaulted to vague governance-style design choices,” he said. 

“Under the new regulatory climate, that’s being unwound. I think we’ll start to feel this effect in 2026.” 

Source: Matt Hougan

Uniswap rallied after investor-friendly proposal

Uniswap (UNI), the native token behind the crypto protocol of the same name, surged earlier this month after the Uniswap Foundation and Uniswap Labs introduced a proposal to make the token more attractive as an investment.

Among the ideas being floated were a protocol-level fee mechanism to burn the tokens and building a Protocol Fee Discount Auctions system to increase liquidity provider returns.

Hougan said this is one of the most obvious examples of a token trying to capture value, and predicts that if the proposal passes, it could send UNI into the top ten by market cap in the future. 

“The big knock on UNI has always been that it is a governance token. Uniswap is great, but activity on Uniswap didn’t benefit UNI tokenholders,” he said. 

“Except now, UNI is considering flipping the fee switch. If the vote goes through, ~16% of trading fees will be used to burn UNI. I suspect this will push UNI toward being a top 10 token by market cap over time.” 

Fusaka upgrade could see Ether lead rebound

Hougan also pointed to Ethereum’s Fusako upgrade as a catalyst that could “significantly increase token value capture.” 

Source: Matt Hougan

The Fusako upgrade mainnet launch is expected in December and will roll out upgrades to Ethereum’s execution layer and improvements to staking economics, among other upgrades. 

“I suspect the market will start to orient around the positive impacts of Fusaka soon, particularly if it’s delivered Dec. 3 as expected. It’s an under-appreciated catalyst and one reason ETH could lead the crypto rebound,” Hougan said. 

Related: Bitwise exec says a bet on Solana gives ‘two ways to win’

XRP staking rewards also a boon 

Hougan said Ripples XRP (XRP) token is also on the road to increasing its value capture with a possible staking addition.