Way-too-early 2025 MLB Power Rankings: Who’s No. 1? How far down are the Mets?!
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David Schoenfield, ESPN Senior WriterOct 29, 2024, 07:38 PM ET
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Another MLB season is in the books, and what a ride it was.
The 2024 season had a little bit of everything, from incredible individual performances — Shohei Ohtani‘s historic 50/50 campaign, Aaron Judge‘s season for the ages and pitching Triple Crowns from Tarik Skubal and Chris Sale — to improbable playoff runs from the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers to a historic World Series clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees resulting in the Dodgers’ second title in five years.
Now that the Fall Classic is over, we’re flipping the page to our annual Way-Too-Early Power Rankings. We’re ranking the teams based on where they stand entering the offseason — one in which Juan Soto will be the most-sought-after free agent on the market (and undoubtedly improve the ranking of whichever team lands him). Let’s dive right in.
Final 2024 Power Rankings | Final 2024 regular-season grades
2024 record: 98-64
Final 2024 ranking: 2
Dave Roberts called this his most challenging season as manager, and while the Dodgers did lead the majors with 98 wins, they had to use 17 different starting pitchers to do it — and only two of them reached even 100 innings. Coming off their World Series championship, most key players will return: Teoscar Hernandez and Jack Flaherty are the two main free agents along with reliever Blake Treinen. But Ohtani will be pitching next year and some of the injured starters will return or hopefully pitch more innings. Sure, Mookie Betts, Max Muncy and Freddie Freeman are all in their 30s, and the Dodgers might need a shortstop depending on where Tommy Edman plays, but you know they’ll spend money, whether it’s re-signing Hernandez or maybe signing Willy Adames — or, who knows, even going after Soto.
2024 record: 95-67
Final 2024 ranking: 1
The top of the 2024 standings was more muddled than it has been in years — seven teams won between 91 and 98 games — so it’s no surprise that the top of these rankings is difficult to order. It seems like the Phillies, coming off 95 wins, have the highest floor, since they have almost everybody coming back (relievers Carlos Estevez and Jeff Hoffman are their only notable free agents). Their rotation depth helps, as does Bryce Harper still having the ability to hit like an MVP contender. The obvious concerns: Harper, Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos and J.T. Realmuto will all be 32 or older in 2025 and the bench remains a weak spot, despite president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski’s attempts to upgrade it last season.
2024 record: 93-69
Final 2024 ranking: 4
Can the Padres remain as cohesive for an entire season as they were in the second half of 2024, when they went 43-20 and looked like a World Series favorite entering October? They’ll be without Joe Musgrove, who blew out his elbow in his playoff start and will undergo Tommy John surgery, plus All-Star Jurickson Profar, catcher Kyle Higashioka and reliever Tanner Scott are free agents. Ha-Seong Kim will likely opt out of his $8 million mutual option, so they might need a shortstop (Xander Bogaerts filled in there, but he’s best suited for second base these days). There are holes to fill, but general manager A.J. Preller will be aggressive as always — and Jackson Merrill looks like the next big Padres star.
2024 record: 91-71
Final 2024 ranking: 9
It was an oddly flat ending to the season for the Orioles: 33-33 in the second half and then a sad loss to Kansas City in the wild-card series in which they scored one run in two games.
They have two major free agents to replace: Corbin Burnes (15-9, 2.92 ERA) and Anthony Santander (44 home runs, 102 RBIs, .814 OPS), plus Kyle Bradish will be out after Tommy John surgery. The O’s have the young bats to replace Santander — Heston Kjerstad, Coby Mayo, maybe Sam Basallo in the second half — plus Jackson Holliday and Colton Cowser should be better. And they have an MVP contender to build around in Gunnar Henderson. They’ll need to add a starter to go alongside Grayson Rodriguez and Zach Eflin, but Baltimore comfortably projects as a playoff team based on its offensive foundation.
2024 record: 92-69
Final 2024 ranking: 6
The 2025 Guardians are going to look similar to the team that reached the ALCS: bullpen, defense and Jose Ramirez. As always, they’re going to try to jam a 90-win team into a 70-win payroll. Re-signing Matthew Boyd would be a relatively cheap option for the rotation, but Josh Naylor might be trade bait entering his final season before free agency. The bullpen probably gives the Guardians an 80-win floor, although it will be difficult to repeat 2024’s regular-season performance. If top prospects Travis Bazzana and Chase DeLauter click, they could make an impact in the second half, and since Cleveland has the youngest group of position players in the majors, you can pencil in some general improvement across the board for the lineup.
2024 record: 89-73
Final 2024 ranking: 8
It was always going to be a herculean task to repeat the improbable 2023 run to the World Series, and though Arizona was a better team in 2024, it missed the playoffs by virtue of losing the tiebreaker to the Mets and Braves. It doesn’t get any more frustrating than that.
The Diamondbacks have a few key contract situations in limbo: club options on Eugenio Suarez ($15 million) and Merrill Kelly ($7 million) that they’ll pick up and a mutual option on Joc Pederson ($14 million) that is a tougher decision. Jordan Montgomery has a $22.5 million player option coming off a 6.23 ERA — it’s hard to see him turning that down. The always reliable Christian Walker is a free agent and he’ll be in demand (maybe Pavin Smith takes over at first). Assuming Montgomery returns, getting more from him and Eduardo Rodriguez (5.04 ERA in 10 starts) will be a key to returning to the postseason.
2024 record: 89-73
Final 2024 ranking: 11
The easy assumption is that the Braves will bounce back in 2025 — closer to their 104 wins of 2023 than the 89 of 2024. After all, they’ll have Ronald Acuña Jr. back, for starters. Except when he returned from knee surgery in 2022, it wasn’t until the next year that he was back at full strength (and he might sit out the first month of 2025 anyway). He also wasn’t anything special before his injury in 2024: .716 OPS in 49 games.
But the biggest issue here: Max Fried is a free agent and not guaranteed to return as the Braves failed to extend him despite attempts to do so. So is Charlie Morton, although he’s more likely to return. They also had offensive holes at shortstop and left field, and Sean Murphy hasn’t hit since the first half of 2023. Chris Sale‘s season-ending health issues are a red flag for 2025 — and he just pitched his most innings since 2017. Atlanta will get Spencer Strider back at some point and the offense should be better, but regression from the bullpen and Reynaldo Lopez (1.99 ERA) should also be expected.
2024 record: 83-79
Final 2024 ranking: 16
The Cubs had a second straight disappointing season, this time under new manager Craig Counsell. Unfortunately, it was sort of the same drill: They once again underperformed their Pythagorean record (by seven wins in 2023 and five wins in 2024). The biggest question heading into the offseason is whether Cody Bellinger will exercise his $27.5 million player option. Chicago won’t be heartbroken if he does decide to opt out. Porter Hodge looks like a late-game solution in the bullpen, and the Cubs have a deep farm system with young players such as infielder Matt Shaw and outfielder Kevin Alcantara ready to contribute to the 2025 team. What they really need is a big bat for the middle of the lineup. If Bellinger does opt out, that’s more cash to throw Soto’s way.
2024 record: 94-68
Final 2024 ranking: 3
This might be a generous ranking. Without Soto, the Yankees don’t look all that different from the 2023 Yankees, who won 82 games and missed the playoffs. Yes, they will be the favorites to re-sign him, but it’s no guarantee that owner Hal Steinbrenner will give Soto the $500 million it might take — not when Judge is under a $360 million contract. The rotation is the projected strength, although Gerrit Cole‘s elbow injury early in the 2024 season and decline in swing-and-miss stuff is a concern. There are holes at first base and second base (Gleyber Torres is also a free agent), and key relievers Clay Holmes and Tommy Kahnle are also free agents. The offseason rests on signing Soto — and if that doesn’t happen, it will be fascinating to see how the Yankees pivot.
2024 record: 81-81
Final 2024 ranking: 17
The Red Sox are sitting pretty, with an exciting young core led by Jarren Duran — who had a breakout season in 2024 and was fourth in the majors with 83 extra-base hits — and an impressive group of position player prospects all ready to hit the majors at some point in 2025 in Roman Anthony, Kristian Campbell, Marcelo Mayer and Kyle Teel, who were all in the top 55 of ESPN Kiley McDaniel’s midseason prospects update. Wilyer Abreu and defensive wizard Ceddanne Rafaela had promising rookie seasons, and hopefully the Red Sox will get a healthy season from Triston Casas. That leaves the pitching staff to upgrade and free agents to replace in Tyler O’Neill, Nick Pivetta, Chris Martin and Kenley Jansen. The question: Does owner John Henry have the desire to run a big payroll again after cutting back significantly the past few seasons?
2024 record: 88-73
Final 2024 ranking: 7
The trend can’t be ignored: The Astros have gone from 106 wins in 2022 to 90 in 2023 to 88 this season, although they did still win their seventh AL West title in eight seasons. Longtime stalwart Alex Bregman is a free agent, although the Astros are expected to make him a competitive offer. So is Justin Verlander — he had a 5.48 ERA — and trade acquisition Yusei Kikuchi, who went 5-1 with a 2.70 ERA with Houston. Kyle Tucker is in his final season of team control, raising the question of whether the Astros can afford both Bregman and Tucker and whether they would consider trading Tucker for some infusion of younger prospects.
The rotation is still in good shape with Framber Valdez, Hunter Brown, Ronel Blanco and Spencer Arrighetti, plus the expected midseason returns of Cristian Javier and Jose Urquidy from Tommy John surgery (Luis Garcia and Lance McCullers Jr. are bigger unknowns). They’ll need to add bullpen depth, though, and first base is a problem.
2024 record: 85-77
Final 2024 ranking: 15
The Mariners should have played better in 2024. Then again, they should have played better in 2023. They’re one of only seven franchises with a winning record each of the past four seasons — yet have only one playoff appearance to show for it. They’re eighth in wins since 2021 — and haven’t won a playoff game at home — and played .545 ball, mirroring the infamous 54% quote that president of baseball operations Jerry Dipoto apologized for last offseason.
Dipoto has indicated there are no plans to trade any of the young starters (Logan Gilbert, Bryce Miller, George Kirby, Bryan Woo), but that could leave Luis Castillo on the table. Owner John Stanton said payroll would increase but didn’t say by how much, and Dipoto indicated most of that would come from in-house increases (Gilbert enters his second year of arbitration, and Kirby and Cal Raleigh hit it for the first time). Can the Mariners find a way to win, say, 58% of their games?
2024 record: 93-69
Final 2024 ranking: 5
What a fun, exciting season for the Brewers, although it ended with a crushing loss to the Mets in the NLDS. Shortstop Willy Adames does head into free agency — coming off a 32-homer, 112-RBI season that will be difficult to replace (Joey Ortiz probably takes over at shortstop) — but the young foundation remains, with Jackson Chourio leading the way. Indeed, with the way Chourio hit in the second half — .310/.363/.544 — it’s not a stretch to envision him as an MVP candidate (non-Shohei Ohtani division) as soon as 2025. The other big questions: Will Christian Yelich be able to contribute after his back surgery and will starters Tobias Myers and Colin Rea be able to repeat their surprising performances?
2024 record: 86-76
Final 2024 ranking: 13
The Royals improved an incredible 30 wins, from 56 last season to 86 and a wild-card berth this year. Their plus-91 run differential suggests it wasn’t a fluke — that’s the same as the Padres and Astros. And no doubt, Bobby Witt Jr. and Cole Ragans are so good they give this team something close to a .500-ish floor. All the key players return with the possible exception of Michael Wacha, who has a $16 million player option. There’s even hope the bullpen could improve in 2025.
However, the concerns: The Royals received 151 starts from their top five starters, which will be difficult to repeat, and Seth Lugo and Wacha combined to go 29-17 with a 3.16 ERA and that doesn’t feel repeatable. Given the holes in the lineup and the old Bill James Plexiglass Principle — teams that improve significantly in one season tend to fall back in the next — it might be difficult to win 86 again.
2024 record: 82-80
Final 2024 ranking: 14
The Twins finally won a playoff game in 2023 (beating the Blue Jays in the wild-card series) and promptly announced they were cutting payroll for 2024. The fans responded as you might expect: Attendance has dipped below 2 million the past two seasons despite Minnesota having winning teams (it was over 3 million the first two years of Target Field and over 2 million most of past decade). Then came the best news Twins fans could hope for: The Pohlad family announced the team was up for sale. On the field, they’ll need better pitching as well as better health (we’ve heard this before) from Byron Buxton, Royce Lewis and Carlos Correa, who averaged 90 games this past season.
2024 record: 86-76
Final 2024 ranking: 12
It was a magical ride to end the season, as the Tigers finished with a 31-13 run that propelled them from also-rans to playoff team. It was all pitching as the staff posted a 2.72 ERA over those 44 games. It was ace Tarik Skubal, manager A.J. Hinch pulling the right strings at the right time and a bullpen that turned unhittable for eight weeks. It’s just unclear whether the pen can replicate that over a full season — and the offense still has holes, with only Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, Matt Vierling and Parker Meadows posting an OPS+ over 100 among those with 250 plate appearances. The good news is that everyone is back, Jackson Jobe should enter the rotation, and while the Tigers are stuck with Javier Baez‘s $25 million salary, there should be payroll flexibility for president of baseball operations Scott Harris to make a couple of significant additions.
2024 record: 78-84
Final 2024 ranking: 22
For now, the 2023 World Series championship sticks out as a fluke between two losing seasons. The offense collapsed in 2024, scoring 198 fewer runs than it did in 2023, with Adolis Garcia, Marcus Semien and Jonah Heim the primary culprits. It didn’t help that Josh Jung and Evan Carter combined for just 91 games (and didn’t do much when they did play). Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi (he’ll opt out of his player option), Max Scherzer and Andrew Heaney are all free agents; combined with the trade of Michael Lorenzen, that’s 87 starts to replace. Closer Kirby Yates, who had 33 saves and a 1.17 ERA, is also a free agent.
Maybe the Rangers will get Jacob deGrom for an entire season — and Kumar Rocker, Tyler Mahle and perhaps Jack Leiter could join the rotation. Plus, there is still youth on the offense in Wyatt Langford, Carter and Jung. It will be interesting to see how the Rangers act this offseason: Do they believe in the 2023 version of this team or will they look to make some changes?
2024 record: 89-73
Final 2024 ranking: 10
It was a wonderful run, from losing miserably in early June to two wins away from reaching the World Series. But no team has more work ahead in the offseason than the Mets as they have a long list of players heading into free agency: Pete Alonso, Sean Manaea (who will surely opt out of his player option), Jose Quintana, Luis Severino, J.D. Martinez, Jose Iglesias, Ryne Stanek, Jesse Winker, Adam Ottavino and Harrison Bader, among others. That’s 94 starts and 33 wins from Manaea, Quintana and Severino to replace, plus Alonso’s power in the middle of the order. Obviously, the Mets have the money to re-sign some of these players — Alonso and Manaea will be the top priorities — and will go after Soto, but for now they have holes to fill. They have nearly $180 million coming off the payroll and president of baseball operations David Stearns’ task will be to fill that in a smarter way. Obviously, they’ll rank higher once they make additions, but this is where they sit right now.
2024 record: 80-82
Final 2024 ranking: 20
The Rays missed the playoffs for the first time in six years and had their first losing record since also finishing 80-82 in 2017 — and they overachieved just to do that, getting outscored by 59 runs. Of course, the biggest question all offseason has nothing to do with on-field personnel. Where will they play? After Hurricane Milton tore through Florida and destroyed the roof at Tropicana Field, the Rays (and MLB) don’t yet have an answer. Meanwhile, as always, the Rays have a ton of moving parts, but they’ll need to upgrade an offense that finished next-to-last in the American League in runs scored. They’ll have to do that without Randy Arozarena and Isaac Paredes, traded away at the deadline, and we’ll see if they pick up Brandon Lowe‘s $10.5 million option (or trade him). Junior Caminero will be a key for the Rays, and they’ll need Yandy Diaz and Josh Lowe to find their 2023 level.
2024 record: 76-86
Final 2024 ranking: 24
Paul Skenes will enter 2025 as the likely Cy Young favorite in the National League following his absurdly good rookie season. Jared Jones also flashed top-of-the-rotation potential, especially in the first half. Top prospect Bubba Chandler could make a similar impact in the rotation for 2025 and Nick Yorke, acquired from the Red Sox, should help out somewhere, whether at second base or in a utility role. The late-season decision to move Oneil Cruz from shortstop to center field makes sense, although it solves one hole while opening another. The Pirates need to figure out what happened to Ke’Bryan Hayes at the plate (.573 OPS) and how to upgrade the bullpen after David Bednar‘s collapse. As always, tightfisted ownership will make it difficult for the Pirates to improve.
2024 record: 80-82
Final 2024 ranking: 19
With records of 81-81, 79-83 and 80-82 the past three seasons, the Giants have been stuck spinning their wheels, so they already made a big move: Farhan Zaidi is out and franchise icon Buster Posey is in as the new president of baseball operations. Posey was involved in the big Matt Chapman extension over the summer, but the Giants are still seeking that franchise, MVP-level type of player to build around. Maybe they make a run at Soto this year, but that seems like a longshot, plus they’ll have to replace Blake Snell (who will opt out of his $30 million player option). Adames makes a lot of sense to pursue to play shortstop, which would allow them to move Tyler Fitzgerald to a more appropriate position.
2024 record: 74-88
Final 2024 ranking: 23
There are two ways to view the Blue Jays:
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They just had a bad season in 2024, and since they basically have everyone back for 2025, there’s a good chance they rebound and find themselves back in the playoffs like in 2022 and 2023.
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They’re not very good and are going to be stuck with the same team in 2025.
All their core hitters except George Springer are younger than 30 years old, but the only ones with an OPS+ above league average were Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Spencer Horwitz. The bullpen was a mess (28th in the majors in win probability added) and it’s worrisome that Kevin Gausman and Jose Berrios saw big dips in their strikeout rates. This is the final season Guerrero and Bo Bichette are under team control, so Toronto will make a run for it — and will certainly be involved in the Soto competition. But it’s also true the Mark Shapiro/Ross Atkins regime hasn’t figured out how to get the Jays past the wild-card round.
2024 record: 77-85
Final 2024 ranking: 21
The Reds spent some money in free agency last season — which they rarely do — but they didn’t get any better. Nick Martinez was excellent in a swingman role — good enough that he’ll likely exercise his opt-out clause and re-enter free agency. Unfortunately, they will be stuck with Jeimer Candelario. While Elly De La Cruz improved in his sophomore season and should finish in the top 10 of the MVP voting, other young hitters failed to ignite: Spencer Steer drove in 92 runs but hit .225; Noelvi Marte had a .549 OPS; Will Benson didn’t hit after a strong 2023; and Christian Encarnacion-Strand was bad and then injured.
On the pitching side, Hunter Greene finally had his breakout season and could be a Cy Young contender while Rhett Lowder impressed in a late-season call-up. The Reds will need their hitters to improve and their pitchers to stay healthy — but they haven’t had both those things happen together in over a decade (their only playoff appearance since 2013 came in the expanded postseason of 2020).
2024 record: 83-79
Final 2024 ranking: 18
The Cardinals managed to finish 83-79 and they probably overachieved just to do that: They were outscored and finished 12th in the NL in runs and 10th in runs allowed. It was a flawed club. Paul Goldschmidt (now a free agent) and Nolan Arenado weren’t great and their top four starters were 34, 35, 36 and 37 years old (they will have Erick Fedde for all of 2025, although even he will be 32). Key young players like Nolan Gorman and Jordan Walker regressed in a big way. The Cardinals are self-admittedly in a transition period, with longtime top baseball executive John Mozeliak — in his final season before handing over the job to Chaim Bloom — saying the focus in 2025 will be on developing young players rather than competing for a title.
2024 record: 71-91
Final 2024 ranking: 26
The Nationals won 71 games, just as they did in 2023, but this team was more pointed to the future with the debuts of James Wood and Dylan Crews in the outfield plus starters Mitchell Parker and DJ Herz on the mound. The Nationals might view themselves as ready to make a playoff push and dip into free agency, but it’s unclear how close they are. Wood has power potential but not yet a swing geared for big home run numbers. Crews struggled in the majors (.218/.288/.353) and his minor league numbers aren’t overly impressive. They’ll also have to decide whether to keep CJ Abrams at shortstop (where he had the worst range in the majors via Statcast) or move him to third base.
2024 record: 69-93
Final 2024 ranking: 25
The unknown for the 2025 team that will simply be known as the A’s or Athletics as it plays in Sacramento while waiting for a ballpark to (maybe) be built in Las Vegas: Will playing in a Triple-A stadium, one it will share with the Giants’ Triple-A team, affect the on-field results? Maybe it’s a situation that will bring the A’s together, sort of a real-life version of “Major League.” Or maybe it leads to the A’s self-destructing back to 100 losses.
Aside from that, the A’s could be an interesting team. Brent Rooker had a 39-homer season with a .927 OPS (his 165 OPS+ was the best by an A’s hitter since Jason Giambi in 2001). You do wonder if the A’s will look to trade him in the offseason. Lawrence Butler raked in the second half (.898 OPS) after tweaking his mechanics. JJ Bleday had a breakout season, and Shea Langeliers hit 29 home runs. However, that group could regress, and the pitching and overall depth is thin.
2024 record: 62-100
Final 2024 ranking: 29
There is a path to improvement for Miami, starting with better health from its rotation. Most notably, Sandy Alcantara will be back after missing 2024 recovering from Tommy John surgery. Eury Perez, the standout rookie from 2023, also missed the season because of Tommy John surgery, while Jesus Luzardo and Braxton Garrett combined for just 19 starts. The Marlins need to hire a manager to replace Skip Schumaker, and the offense needs a lot of work just to get to mediocre. A couple of rookies could help there: Agustin Ramirez, acquired in the Jazz Chisholm Jr. trade, hit .267 with 25 home runs in the minors and could become the regular catcher; and Deyvison De Los Santos, acquired from Arizona for A.J. Puk, led all minor leaguers with 40 home runs, although he needs to improve his strikeout and walk rates.
2024 record: 63-99
Final 2024 ranking: 27
The Angels now have the longest playoff drought in the majors — they last made it in 2014 — and there isn’t much reason to believe in a turnaround for 2025, even if Mike Trout manages to stay healthy. At the least, Angels fans still have hope for Trout. Anthony Rendon? Not at this point. This was a team so lacking in talent it gave Brandon Drury 360 plate appearances despite his .469 OPS — and was batting him cleanup in September. Nonetheless, owner Arte Moreno said after the season the goal is to compete for the postseason in 2025, perhaps trying to copy a Royals-like blueprint to turn things around. I’m skeptical that the Angels can pull it off.
2024 record: 61-101
Final 2024 ranking: 28
Inertia: A tendency to do nothing or to remain unchanged. Welcome to the 2019-24 Rockies. For example: Bud Black returns for another season as manager, despite six straight losing seasons of not even finishing close to .500. And the past two seasons were even worse than the first four. Is it his fault? No. But would most organizations make a change? Of course. The Rockies rarely make trades or invest in free agents (and when they have, it was with bad deals to Kris Bryant and Ian Desmond). They continue to believe solely in their player development system, and there’s nothing wrong with that — except that they simply haven’t excelled at developing players.
2024 record: 41-121
Final 2024 ranking: 30
After setting the modern record with an embarrassing 121 losses — although, not the worst winning percentage of all time! — the White Sox will inevitably be improved … right? Not necessarily. GM Chris Getz has already stated, “We’re not going to be working heavy in free agency.” Then consider the fact that the 2024 team featured 32 starts from Garrett Crochet, who might be traded this offseason, and 21 from Erick Fedde, who was very good before he was traded in July. Avoiding 100 losses in 2025 would probably be a minor miracle.
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Sports
Ichiro wants to have drink with lone HOF holdout
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4 hours agoon
January 23, 2025By
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Associated Press
Jan 23, 2025, 05:51 PM ET
COOPERSTOWN, N.Y. — Ichiro Suzuki wants to raise a glass with the voter who chose not to check off his name on the Hall of Fame ballot.
“There’s one writer that I wasn’t able to get a vote from,” he said through an interpreter Thursday, two days after receiving 393 of 394 votes from the Baseball Writers’ Association of America. “I would like to invite him over to my house, and we’ll have a drink together, and we’ll have a good chat.”
Suzuki had been to the Hall seven times before attending a news conference Thursday with fellow electees CC Sabathia and Billy Wagner. The trio will be inducted July 27 along with Dave Parker and Dick Allen, voted in last month by the classic era committee.
Suzuki struggled to process being the first player from Japan elected to the Hall.
“Maybe five, 10 years from now I could look back and maybe we’ll be able to say this is what it meant,” he said.
BBWAA secretary-treasurer Jack O’Connell recalled Suzuki was at the Hall in 2001 when he called to inform the Seattle star he had been voted American League Rookie of the Year. Suzuki received 27 of 28 first-place votes, all but one from an Ohio writer who selected Sabathia.
“He stole my Rookie of the Year,” Sabathia said playfully.
Sabathia remembered a game at Safeco Field on July 30, 2005. He had worked with Cleveland pitching coach Carl Willis in a bullpen session on a pitch he could throw to retire Suzuki, which turned out to be a slider.
“I get two strikes on Ichi and he hits it off the window,” Sabathia said of the 428-foot drive off the second-deck restaurant in right field, at the time the longest home run of Suzuki’s big league career. “Come back around his next at-bat, throw it to him again, first pitch he hits it out again.”
Suzuki’s second home run broke a sixth-inning tie in the Mariners’ 3-2 win.
As the trio discussed their favorite memorabilia, Suzuki mentioned a mock-up Hall of Fame plaque the Hall had created — not a design for the real one — that included his dog, Ikkyu.
“Our dog and then Bob Feller’s cat are the only animals to have the Hall of Fame plaque. That is something that I cherish,” Suzuki said, referring to a mock-up with the pitcher’s cat, Felix.
Sabathia helped the New York Yankees win the World Series in 2009 after agreeing to a $161 million, seven-year contract as a free agent. Sabathia started his big league career in Cleveland, finished the 2008 season in Milwaukee and was apprehensive about signing with the Yankees before he was persuaded by general manager Brian Cashman.
“Going into the offseason, I just heard all of the stuff that was going on, the turmoil in the Yankees clubhouse,” Sabathia said. “Pretty quick, like two or three days into spring training, me and Andy [Pettitte] are running in the outfield, I get a chance to meet [Derek] Jeter, we’re hanging out, and the pitching staff, we’re going to dinners, we’re going to basketball games together. So it didn’t take long at all before I felt like this was the right decision.”
Sabathia was on 342 ballots and Wagner on 325 (82.5%), which was 29 votes more than the 296 needed for the required 75%. While Suzuki and Sabathia were elected in their first ballot appearance, Wagner was voted in on his 10th and final try with the writers.
Even two days after learning of his election, Wagner had tears streaming down his cheeks when he thought back to the call. His face turned red.
“It’s humbling,” he said, his voice quavering before he paused. “I don’t know if it’s deserving, but to sit out 10 years and have your career scrutinized and stuff, it’s tough.”
Wagner, who is 5-foot-10, became the first left-hander elected to the Hall who was primarily a reliever. He thought of the words of 5-foot-11 right-hander Pedro Martínez, voted to Cooperstown in 2015.
“I hope kids around see that there is a chance that you can get here and it is possible, that size and where you’re from doesn’t matter,” Wagner said. “I think Pedro said it first, but if I can get here, anyone can get here.”
Sports
Braves sign outfielder Profar to 3-year, $42M deal
Published
4 hours agoon
January 23, 2025By
adminOutfielder Jurickson Profar and the Atlanta Braves agreed on a three-year, $42 million contract Thursday, uniting the veteran coming off a career year with a team that has struggled in recent years to find a suitable left fielder.
Profar, 31, was a revelation for the San Diego Padres last year, hitting .280/.380/.459 with a career-high 24 home runs and 85 RBIs. Once the top prospect in all of baseball, Profar made his first All-Star team and won a Silver Slugger — all on a one-year, $1 million deal.
He cashed in with the Braves, who outbid a number of teams interested in Profar’s on-base skills as well as his energy that invigorated Padres supporters and infuriated rival fan bases.
Profar will join center fielder Michael Harris II and right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr., the former National League MVP coming off a torn left ACL just three years after tearing the ligament in his right knee. Without Acuña for most of last season, the Braves’ offense suffered a deep regression from 2023, when they set a single-season team record with a .501 slugging percentage.
The switch-hitting Profar can slot almost anywhere in the lineup, though he figures to begin the season toward the top as Acuña continues to rehab his knee. Beyond Harris and Acuña, Atlanta’s lineup includes All-Star third baseman Austin Riley, second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Matt Olson. Profar will receive $12 million this year and $15 million in 2026 and 2027.
Atlanta is typically one of the most aggressive teams in baseball, striking early in free agency and with trades. After trading slugger Jorge Soler in late October, the Braves dabbled in minor league deals and watched as starter Max Fried went to the New York Yankees, starter Charlie Morton went to the Baltimore Orioles and reliever A.J. Minter went to the New York Mets.
Profar is Atlanta’s first real addition this winter after sneaking into the postseason at 89-73 and promptly getting swept by San Diego. He has spent all 11 years of his major league career in the West divisions, debuting at 19 with the Texas Rangers. Profar never fulfilled his potential there and went to Oakland in 2019 before settling with the Padres, where he became a full-time outfielder. Over 1,119 games in his career, Profar has hit .245/.331/.395 with 111 home runs and 444 RBIs in 4,291 plate appearances.
Sports
Are the Dodgers ruining baseball? Inside the Roki Sasaki signing — and a spending spree that has rocked MLB
Published
4 hours agoon
January 23, 2025By
adminSIX YEARS AGO, when the world knew next to nothing of a gangly 17-year-old pitcher in Japan, a Los Angeles Dodgers evaluator sat in the stands at his high school games with a video camera to capture the splendor. Roki Sasaki’s fastball regularly reached 100 mph, his right arm a whirling force of nature. The Dodgers were smitten. Sasaki could eventually be the best pitcher in the world, team officials told one another. And when the time came for his inevitable move to Major League Baseball, they wanted to ensure he felt as strongly about them as they did him.
In the time since, the Dodgers have conquered baseball in nearly every fashion imaginable. Armed with immense wealth from their owners and buoyed by the largest local television contract in the game, the Dodgers have spared no expense in trying to win. Their major league payroll consistently ranks at the top of the game, yes, but other line items are best-in-class, too, from their technology infrastructure to their coaching staff’s compensation to the quality of the food they serve their minor league players.
When this winter arrived and Sasaki, now 23, declared his intentions to come to MLB, the Dodgers didn’t need a sales pitch because the allure for players is obvious: If you covet winning, come join a burgeoning dynasty. Since being sold to the Guggenheim Baseball Management group in 2012 following the disastrous ownership of Frank McCourt that led the team to file for bankruptcy, the Dodgers have remade themselves into conquerors: of the National League West (11 titles in 12 years), their October demons (two World Series championships in five years), and the Japanese baseball market (the signings of Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto for more than $1 billion guaranteed).
Every front office pined for the latest Japanese ace this offseason. Eight teams were granted an audience with Sasaki. Three became finalists. The Dodgers were one. The San Diego Padres, Los Angeles’ chief rival in the NL West and another team whose early scouting of Sasaki won favor, were the second. The third came down to the Toronto Blue Jays, Texas Rangers, Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees — four other teams whose years of work in Japan and history with Japanese players spoke to an understanding of Sasaki and his desires. The rapport built with Toronto’s international scouting apparatus won the Blue Jays the third finalist slot.
Toronto impressed Sasaki with its answer to a burning question: Why had his sizzling fastball lost velocity in 2024? The explanation from Frank Herrmann, a Blue Jays baseball operations staffer who had pitched in the big leagues and was Sasaki’s teammate with the Chiba Lotte Marines, and Sam Greene, the Blue Jays’ assistant pitching coach, blended a discussion of data, mechanics and feel that boosted their pursuit. Sasaki spent multiple days in Toronto, and as he departed, the Blue Jays were confident that whatever advantages the Dodgers might have, they were surmountable.
The visit to San Diego left the Padres similarly assured. Star third baseman Manny Machado held a gathering at his house, where a Japanese chef cooked familiar cuisine. Jackson Merrill, the Padres’ 21-year-old center fielder expected to blossom into a superstar in coming seasons, attended, as did Ethan Salas, the 18-year-old catcher seen as a linchpin in future seasons. And San Diego had an ace in the hole: Yu Darvish, the progenitor of modern Japanese pitching, whom Sasaki regards as a mentor with peerless knowledge.
The successful meetings put that much more pressure on the Dodgers, who hosted Sasaki Jan. 14 at minority owner Peter Guber’s Bel Air home and summoned an array of players, all locked up to long-term deals: superstars Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, catcher Will Smith, and super-utility man Tommy Edman. Ohtani, knowing Sasaki loves dogs, brought his Dutch kooikerhondje, Decoy, to the presentation.
With the international signing period opening Jan. 15 and the window for Sasaki to sign closing Jan. 23, the decision zone arrived and forced action. All three teams lined up trades to acquire more international bonus money to help their pursuit. San Diego was eliminated first. Toronto, attempting to demonstrate its willingness to go above and beyond for Sasaki, struck a deal with Cleveland to take on $11.75 million remaining on center fielder Myles Straw‘s contract along with an additional $2 million in international money even before Sasaki had made his decision.
Soon thereafter, he did — and it wasn’t the Blue Jays. What so many in baseball saw as a fait accompli — to the point MLB did a preemptive investigation into whether Sasaki had any sort of prearranged deal (and determined he didn’t) — played out. While some teams in meetings asked if Sasaki wanted to be Kevin Durant or Michael Jordan — to join a superteam or help build one — the allure of the Dodgers was impossible to ignore. All of their games are broadcast on national TV in Japan. The stores at Nippon Professional Baseball stadiums that include racks of Dodgers gear will now feature jerseys with his name on them. The Dodgers’ plan when they signed Ohtani — “One of our goals is for baseball fans in Japan to convert to Dodger Blue,” president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said — had borne fruit.
In executing that vision, the team has set off alarms inside the sport. The Dodgers’ signing of Sasaki for $6.5 million — a sum artificially deflated by MLB’s rules on international amateurs that offers Los Angeles hundreds of millions of dollars in surplus value — left front offices and fans alike gobsmacked. Watching the Dodgers pick off free agent after free agent with heavily deferred deals has built a wave of frustration. Seeing them land one of the most valuable contracts in the game — the sort typically reserved for the worst teams via the draft — reinforced something that has become increasingly clear.
The Dodgers are no longer just a team chasing championships. They are a stress test for the game itself.
THE ANGER — from disillusioned fans, from dispirited front offices, from owners made to look as if they don’t care — is very real. And it’s growing to the point that people at the highest levels of Major League Baseball acknowledge it concerns them. Most worrisome is the rhetoric that fans are done with the game. That what L.A. is doing is unfair. That the financial imbalance ruins the sport.
A villain around which people can rally is tolerable; an unbeatable monolith is not. An exemplar for how teams can operate is instructive; an extinguishing of hope is not. With every transaction pushing the Dodgers further from the former and more toward the latter, MLB faces growing cynicism that has reignited calls for a salary cap — and made collective bargaining discussions set to start a year from now, before the current basic agreement expires following the 2026 season, that much more fraught with peril.
Over the past 13 months, the Dodgers have morphed from a large-market, big-money jewel franchise that spent exceptional sums of money and didn’t have much to show for it into a referendum on the state of MLB in 2025. Because baseball is the last of the major North American professional sports leagues without a salary cap or floor, the difference between the Dodgers — who carry a payroll in the $375 million range — and the next-highest team, the Philadelphia Phillies, is nearly $70 million. That’s to say nothing of the gap between the Dodgers and the 30th-ranked Miami Marlins: around $300 million. The $120 million or so the Dodgers are in line to pay in luxury tax penalties on top of their payroll is more than the projected Opening Day payroll of 10 teams.
In the past 411 days, the Dodgers have:
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Signed Ohtani to a 10-year, $700 million contract, with $680 million deferred
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Traded for right-hander Tyler Glasnow and signed him to a five-year, $136.5 million contract extension
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Signed right-hander Yamamoto to a 12-year, $325 million contract
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Signed Smith to a 10-year, $140 million contract extension, with $50 million deferred
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Signed two-time Cy Young winner Blake Snell to a five-year, $182 million contract, with $66 million deferred
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Signed Edman, acquired at the 2024 trade deadline, to a five-year, $74 million contract extension, with $25 million deferred
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Signed outfielder Michael Conforto to a one-year, $17 million contract
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Signed reliever Blake Treinen to a two-year, $22 million contract
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Signed outfielder Teoscar Hernández to a pair of deals totaling $89.5 million over four years, with $32 million deferred
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Signed Korean infielder Hyeseong Kim to a three-year, $12.5 million contract
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Signed Sasaki
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Signed closer Tanner Scott to a four-year, $72 million contract, with $21 million deferred
In total, they have guaranteed $1.778 billion — nearly half of it ($874 million) deferred. For a team that already had Betts and Freeman under contract — a team that over its six previous full seasons won at least 100 games five times — to turn over more than half its roster and add nearly a dozen impact players registered as baseball gluttony.
A day after Sasaki’s signing, Chicago Cubs owner Tom Ricketts told 670 AM in Chicago that “it’s really hard to compete” with the Dodgers. Ricketts bought the Cubs for $845 million in 2009. They are worth around $5 billion now, according to a person who values professional sports franchises. The Cubs, according to Forbes, have the third-highest revenue in MLB, behind the Yankees and Dodgers. They are the epitome of a big-market, high-earning franchise. Ricketts said the Cubs attempt to break even every year. Forbes estimates they have earned more than $585 million before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization over the past decade in addition to the more than $4 billion appreciation of the team.
At the time, the Cubs were attempting to sign Scott, among the most coveted relievers this winter. The next day, with a final offer of four years and $66 million — $6 million shy of where the Dodgers landed — they lost. The $18 million-a-year salary Scott received fell in line with those of other elite closers.
This is not a chicken-and-egg situation. Teams like the Cubs and Boston Red Sox — should-be powerhouses — earn reputations quickly among players by not spending. When franchises show they care about winning, players take note. The flocking of talented players to the Dodgers is not a function of a willingness to overpay. The vast majority of the long-term deals handed out by the Dodgers are market price or club-friendly. Betts’, Freeman’s, Smith’s. Ohtani’s deal — with $68 million of his annual $70 million salary deferred for a decade — was proposed by him to the Dodgers as well as to the other teams that pursued him: Toronto, San Francisco and the Los Angeles Angels.
While the Dodgers are among the rare teams that can carry three $300 million-plus deals (and four other nine-figure pacts on top of that) without bleeding money, they also thrive in the middle market. They took advantage of Ricketts’ unwillingness to push — he has limited the Cubs’ budget this winter, even after trading for Kyle Tucker — and won the bidding for Scott. Any team could have pursued Hernández, whose deal this winter was at market value. Every team passed on signing Snell to a long-term deal in the 2023-24 offseason. Edman was widely available at the trade deadline.
Every MLB club, even those with the lowest revenues, can compete for that sort of talent. So many operate with unbending devotion to their computer models, though, that the simple act of spending has become an even greater advantage for the Dodgers. With a history of teams on limited budgets annually performing among the best in the game, those franchises could fare even better stretching themselves financially and investing in winning, at the very least proportionally to those who devote a higher percentage of revenue to payroll. The Dodgers’ willingness to spend in grand sums and success with it should motivate other teams to keep up, not preclude them from doing so.
THREE DECADES AFTER the longest work stoppage in MLB history, the inequity baked into the game’s financial system remains. MLB’s pursuit of a salary cap in 1994 led to the cancellation of the World Series that year. The rekindling of a cap conversation has already begun — particularly by owners peeved by the Dodgers’ spending and the sheer size of Juan Soto‘s 15-year, $765 million, no-deferred-money deal with the New York Mets. Proposing a cap in next year’s CBA negotiations would be tantamount to a declaration of war by MLB — and already those owners are prepared for commissioner Rob Manfred to lock the players out Dec. 1, 2026.
It’s clear, by now, that the punitive elements the most recent collective bargaining agreement put in place — the luxury tax, the qualifying offer system, draft-pick punishment — are anti-spending measures that just don’t apply to some. The Mets have spent exceptional amounts of money and been OK. The Dodgers clearly see money as a competitive advantage they’re willing to flaunt. There is room to incentivize other teams to spend without having to institute a cap and a floor.
For now, though, this is the game. These are the rules. Players overwhelmingly supported the collective bargaining agreement that governs baseball. Owners voted unanimously in favor of it.
The Dodgers are the symptom, not the cause.
Players will point out that a cap is not a panacea. Without one, baseball has found parity on par with or better than capped leagues. In the past quarter-century, the team with the largest payroll in baseball has won the World Series just four times. Over the past 15 years, it’s just twice. No team has captured back-to-back championships since the Yankees won three straight 1998-2000. MLB’s postseason this year featured teams from Kansas City, Milwaukee, Detroit, Cleveland, Baltimore and San Diego. Perhaps most important: The randomness of baseball’s postseason typically serves as an equalizer, keeping even the most talented teams from their most dynastic aspirations.
As the Dodgers exceed the base luxury tax threshold of $241 million by more than 50%, it’s worth remembering that baseball has seen financial disparity like this before. There’s little solace to take in that this year, though, because the team the Dodgers have put together is genuinely great, extraordinarily deep, and prepared to weather injury, ineffectiveness and the other vagaries that would torpedo opponents’ seasons.
For all of the Dodgers’ advantages, it’s worth acknowledging the most overblown element of their approach. The deep misunderstanding of deferred money has painted it as a tool to avoid paying salaries for long periods of time and lessen a team’s luxury tax payroll. Neither of these is true.
Within two years of agreeing to a contract with deferred money, teams must place cash to cover future payments in an account and show statements annually to the league, according to the collective bargaining agreement. Deferrals are regarded by MLB the same way any business in any industry would: accounting for the time value of money. A dollar tomorrow is not worth as much as a dollar today. And a dollar 10 years down the road is worth much less than it is today. While Ohtani’s contract will ultimately pay him $70 million a year, its present-day worth is closer to the $46 million he counts against the luxury tax. This is not a loophole. It’s math. So is the fact that what they pay under luxury tax accounting — which uses the average annual value of a contract — exceeds the cash they’ll spend on payroll this year. The reality: They’re paying more in luxury tax this year.
An actual loophole does exist in the California tax system, incentivizing players who don’t live in the state to defer money and secure large signing bonuses, both of which allow them to skirt state taxes. This is nothing new for professional athletes across sports. Teams in Texas and Florida have been using a lack of state taxes to their advantage for decades. It’s not a particularly significant advantage — except for Ohtani, who California lawmakers said could avoid around $90 million in state taxes as they pursue legislation to fix the law.
What’s undeniable — and undeniably frustrating to fans and owners alike — is that despite the inflated dollar figure, Ohtani’s contract is the team-friendliest free agent deal in baseball history. Between his production and the revenue he helps the Dodgers generate, he is worth well over $100 million annually, not $46 million. And once the Dodgers were able to secure his services for the next decade, the franchise could still turn around and spend more than a billion dollars however it saw fit, perfectly content to pay the luxury tax.
Under McCourt’s ownership, the Dodgers were directionless underachievers. They became a fury-inducing juggernaut when they sought to maximize themselves, and that is the ultimate endgame of the stress test: Have they mastered this system to the point that it must be overhauled?
As the 2025 season unfolds and attempts to answer that question, they will wear the boos and the chirping and all of the nastiness in opposing ballparks. But this is not their fight. It is the commissioner’s and the owners’ and the union’s. Those stakeholders need to find an answer that isn’t just kicking the can down the road for five years but actually, actively changing baseball’s economic structure so players continue to make what they’re worth and fans see a tolerably fair system.
The greatest drug of sports fandom is belief, and right now, belief in baseball is waning. October has always been the great equalizer, a time when hot teams regularly beat more talented teams. If that happens to the Dodgers in 2025, the schadenfreude will be strong enough to part the Red Sea. Should the Dodgers become repeat champions, though, the chorus will grow louder and the distrust deeper. The stress test has arrived, and for all of the game’s resiliency, baseball’s future depends on its ability to navigate a situation of its own making.
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