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The sprawling state of Arizona was once reliably Republican but in 2020 that changed.

Joe Biden became only the second Democrat to win here since 1948, winning by less than 11,000 votes, and polling suggests Arizona could once again be won and lost by the narrowest of margins.

Above Phoenix, Dobbins Lookout provides a panoramic view of the rugged Grand Canyon State.

Many of the people there to watch the Friday night sunset were contemplating a consequential decision.

Those include Jennifer Montero and her fiance Richie Garcia, who say their vote on Tuesday is based on their economic circumstances.

“Prices have gone up like crazy,” said Ms Montero, “and then, especially now that I’m wanting to get married and have kids, I definitely want to be able to go to McDonald’s and afford a spicy for a dollar like they used to be.”

Until 2020, Arizona was reliably Republican
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Until 2020, Arizona was reliably Republican

The couple are of Mexican descent, in a state where one in four voters are Latin American and the debate about immigration is complicated.

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For Mr Garcia, being born in America means the border is less of a concern.

“Times are changing. I think a lot of the Hispanic community was very inclined to vote Democrat due to immigration status, but my parents are citizens. I believe that immigration status doesn’t really matter to me much anymore,” he said.

Less than 30 minutes away in downtown Phoenix, people were already beginning to vote at a drive-through polling centre.

Rene Rojas, a life-long Republican who voted Democrat for the first time
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Renee Rojas, a lifelong Republican who is voting Democrat for the first time

One of them was Renee Rojas, a lifelong Republican voting Democrat for the first time.

Ms Rojas, who is of Native American and Latino descent, says that decision is down to Donald Trump.

“Recent rhetoric and the changes of the Republican Party just made me realise that things are not going the way they should be,” she said, before adding, “My mom, my grandmother is a Republican. She’s Navajo. You know, my other family members and friends, they’re all Republicans, but half of them are voting Democrat this year.”

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Ms Rojas’s thoughts on the prospect of trouble after the result are a reminder of the strong Conservative values of the state she lives in.

“I’m an Arizonan. I have a gun myself, I have several different kinds of firearms, heavy machine guns and handguns. So I am a proud gun holder and people will demonstrate the way they want to as long as they’re not hurting anybody.”

A drive-through polling centre in downtown Phoenix
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A drive-through polling centre in downtown Phoenix

For other drive-through voters like Peter Orozco, the choice was a simple one, about stability.

He feels the current administration will maintain the foreign policy status quo.

“We can’t politically make any big changes, especially on an international scale, you know, because if we get somebody else president other than what the existing presidency is, it could be World War Three,” he said.

26-year-old mortgage broker Dane Jenson (right) made a joke "Swifties for Trump" sign in Arizona
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Mortgage broker Dane Jensen (R)

In Arizona, there are other voters who feel the state is worse off since the Democrats came to power.

They include Dane Jensen, a 26-year-old mortgage broker.

For the last few days, Mr Jensen has been standing outside another polling station in Scottsdale with a “Swifties for Trump” banner.

He made the banner as a joke to try to ruffle the feathers of people voting for the Democratic party, which the singer has endorsed.

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About Swift, he said: “That’s like someone like that who has a private jet and is flying around the country who is, in my opinion, creating more fossil fuels and bad energy for the environment than any one person.

“And for you to sit there on your high horse and billions of dollars, and tell people what you think should happen when you’re already set for life, I don’t really agree with that.”

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Beyond celebrity endorsements is an economic and social reality in Arizona, which Mr Jensen and all the voters in the state will recognise.

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“I’m born and raised here. So I know that area as well as anyone. But, you know, crime, the border economy, those are really important issues, they’re everyday issues,” he said.

It’s those everyday issues in a handful of vital places like Arizona that will decide an election hinging on the tightest of margins.

On the night, Sky News will have access to the most comprehensive exit poll and vote-counting results from every state, county and demographic across America through its US-partner network NBC.

You can find out more about Sky News’ coverage here.

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Why has Trump just called his own supporters ‘stupid’?

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Why has Trump just called his own supporters 'stupid'?

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Trump scrambles to try and fire the chair of America’s central bank – despite being constitutionally barred from sacking him without just cause.

All of this feels like distraction and obfuscation from the Epstein files debacle – a political crisis that is eating MAGA alive.

Plus: tensions are flaring in the Middle East once again. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is urging de-escalation between Israel and Syria.

If you’ve got a question you’d like the Trump100 team to answer, you can email it to trump100@sky.uk.

You can also watch all episodes on our YouTube channel.

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California: 21 children taken into custody – amid claims couple misled surrogate mothers across the US

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California: 21 children taken into custody - amid claims couple misled surrogate mothers across the US

Police have taken 21 children into custody, amid allegations that a couple in Los Angeles may have misled surrogate mothers across the US.

Silvia Zhang, 38, and Guojun Xuan, 65, are believed to be the legal parents of the children, who are aged between two months and 13 years old.

“We believe one or two were born biologically to the mother,” Lieutenant Kollin Cieadlo said. “There are some surrogates who have come forward and said they were surrogates for the children.”

“The couple told police that they wanted a large family,” he added.

home of Silva Zhang and Guojun Xuan in Arcadia, LA
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The home of Silva Zhang and Guojun Xuan, northeast of downtown Los Angeles

Fifteen children were removed from the couple’s home in Arcadia, about 13 miles northeast of downtown Los Angeles, after an abuse allegation was made. Another six living in the care of family and friends were also located.

The couple were arrested in May after a hospital reported that their two-month-old infant had a traumatic head injury – with a nanny accused of violently shaking the baby.

The infant was not taken to hospital until two days later, after they began suffering seizures.

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CCTV footage recorded inside the home showed the children being emotionally and physically abused by at least six nannies.

The home of Silvia Zhang and Guojun Xuan in Arcadia, California. PA: AP
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The couple’s property had CCTV cameras, which police said recorded footage of abuse by nannies. Pic: AP

Lt Cieadlo said Zhang had produced what appeared to be legitimate birth certificates, including some from outside California, that list her as the mother of the children.

Business records show a company called Mark Surrogacy Investment LLC was previously registered at the couple’s address, although the most recent documents show the business licence ended in June.

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Police said they are investigating whether the children found at the home in the San Gabriel Valley were part of a surrogacy scam.

Lt Cieadlo also confirmed officers were working with the FBI as part of their investigation.

Kayla Elliott, one of the surrogate mothers who has come forward, told Sky’s US partner NBC News: “I was a bit hysterical. You just don’t expect that you’re going to go through a pregnancy and a delivery and then hand the baby over to their parents and then all of a sudden find out that there was abuse and neglect going on.”

Arrest warrants were issued for Zhang, Xuan and the 56-year-old nanny, who was not in custody on Wednesday. Zhang and Xuan were detained on suspicion of child endangerment/neglect.

The Los Angeles County Department of Children and Family Services, which removed the couple’s children, declined to comment on the case.

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Ghislaine Maxwell could use ‘government misconduct’ to challenge imprisonment

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Ghislaine Maxwell could use 'government misconduct' to challenge imprisonment

Disgraced British socialite Ghislaine Maxwell could use “government misconduct” to challenge her imprisonment, her family has claimed.

The 63-year-old, who was jailed in 2022 for luring young girls to massage rooms for Jeffrey Epstein to abuse, is currently serving a 20-year prison sentence.

Maxwell’s family have frequently claimed she “did not receive a fair trial”, but legal appeals against her sex trafficking convictions have been rejected by the courts.

The latest challenge from the Maxwell family comes as President Donald Trump faces questions over whether or not he will order the release of the so-called Epstein “client list”, following a backlash from Republican loyalists who have called for any list to be made public.

Ghislaine Maxwell. Pic: US Department of Justice
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Ghislaine Maxwell. Pic: US Department of Justice

Judges previously dismissed arguments from Maxwell’s lawyers that she “should never have been prosecuted” because of a “weird” agreement drafted more than 15 years ago.

The family argue that Maxwell should have been protected under an agreement Epstein had entered with the US Department of Justice in 2007, which agreed not to prosecute any of his co-conspirators.

During her trial in 2021, Maxwell was described as “dangerous” by prosecutors, who told jurors about how she would entice vulnerable girls to go to Epstein’s properties for him to sexually abuse.

In a statement, her family said: “Our sister Ghislaine did not receive a fair trial.

“Her legal team continues to fight her case in the courts and will file its reply in short order to the government’s opposition in the US Supreme Court.”

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UK ambassador ‘regrets’ association with Epstein

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Is Trump in a corner over Epstein?

David Oscar Markus, one of her lawyers, said in the statement released by her family: “I’d be surprised if President Trump knew his lawyers were asking the Supreme Court to let the government break a deal.

“He’s the ultimate dealmaker and I’m sure he’d agree that when the United States gives its word, it should keep it.

“With all the talk about who’s being prosecuted and who isn’t, it’s especially unfair that Ghislaine Maxwell remains in prison based on a promise the US government made and broke.’

“These are sentiments with which we profoundly concur.”

Epstein, 66, was found dead in his cell at a Manhattan federal jail in August 2019 as he awaited trial on sex trafficking charges. His death was ruled a suicide.

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