Nearly three-quarters of American voters say US democracy is under threat, according to exit polls.
The views, compiled by Edison Research, reflect a deep anxiety as the country waits to see who its new leader will be, following a contentious campaign.
Democracy and the economy were ranked as the most important issues, with 35% citing democracy and 31% saying the economy, followed by abortion and immigration at 14% and 11% respectively.
The poll also found 73% believe democracy is in jeopardy, compared to just 25% who said it is secure. The 2020 election was followed by insurrection at the US Capitol and there has been unease about whether voters will peacefully accept whoever is chosen this year.
The exit polls also underscore the polarisation in the US, with divisions only growing starker as the campaign has worn on. Donald Trump has used increasingly dark and apocalyptic rhetoric, while Kamala Harris has warned a second Trump administration would threaten the very foundations of American democracy.
Ms Harris leads among women, while Mr Trump is more popular among male voters, the exit polls suggest. Research also shows women make up 53% of the electorate – largely unchanged from 52% in 2020.
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Trump projected to win Florida
The share of voters without a college degree – who prefer Mr Trump – is down slightly, at 57%, compared to 59% four years ago.
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Voters also said they trust Ms Harris more on issues of abortion (51% to 44%) but Mr Trump is more trusted to handle immigration (52% to 46%).
Women were more than twice as likely to name abortion as a key issue compared to men (19% of women named it as a priority, compared to 8% of men).
There were less than two percentage points between the candidates on issues of crime and who would be better at handling a crisis.
White men were more likely to favour Mr Trump (59%). But exit polls found the gap for white women was closer, with 51% supporting the Republican candidate and 47% supporting Ms Harris.
Black men and women overwhelmingly supported the Democrat nominee, at 79% and 92% respectively.
And despite comments about Puerto Rico at a Trump rally, 54% of Latino men still seem to support him, according to the polls. Almost two-thirds (62%) of Latino women supported Ms Harris.
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Trump supporters vote wearing garbage bags
The battleground states
While 52 states are theoretically up for grabs, just seven key states could decide the future of the United States.
The exit polls show Ms Harris is viewed more favourably than her Republican opponent in Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Georgia – though her ratings remain lower than Biden’s in the 2020 exit polls.
Mr Trump is viewed as more favourable than his opponent in Nevada and Pennsylvania, while the candidates are tied in Arizona.
The preliminary exit poll results are also subject to change as more people are surveyed.
No matter who wins, history will be made. Ms Harris, 60, would become the first woman, black woman and South Asian American to win the presidency.
Mr Trump, 78, would become the oldest person to be inaugurated, the only president to be impeached twice and the first former president to be criminally convicted. He would also become the first president to win non-consecutive terms in more than a century.
Donald Trump has admitted his tariffs on major trading partners will cause “a little disturbance” – as China said it was “ready” for “any type of war” with the US.
The US president made his comments in an address to Congress, hours after the levies on imports came into effect.
Producers in Mexico and Canada have been hit with a 25% tax on items they export to the US, while a 20% tariff has been applied to Chinese imports.
Image: Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. The US president has admitted his tariffs will cause ‘a little disturbance’ – as China responds. Pic: Reuters/AP
Stock markets, which Mr Trump is said to pay close attention to, slid on the tariffs news.
Exporters in the affected countries as well as businesses in the US and economists have raised concerns about the potential price-raising impact of the tariffs.
Making imports more expensive will likely make goods more expensive and could push prices up across the board.
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Trump’s Congress speech unwrapped
Concern over threat to interest rates
A cycle of high inflation could lead to interest rates being higher for longer in the US, the world’s largest economy, which could dampen economic activity.
A slowed US economy would have global consequences but even without a hit to the States, there are fears of a global trade war – in which countries add their own trade barriers in the form of tariffs.
The Chinese embassy in the US posted on X: “If war is what the US wants, be it a tariff war, a trade war or any other type of war, we’re ready to fight till the end.”
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Canada’s prime minister Justin Trudeau said his country was launching its own WTO challenge and described the US tariffs as a “dumb thing to do”.
He also warned the move by the Trump administration would impact American workplaces and add to inflation in the US.
Addressing the American public, he said: “We don’t want this… but your government has chosen to do this to you.”
Canada has announced the imposition of 25% tariffs on US imports worth C$30bn (£16.3bn).
But US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick struck a different note on tariffs and on Monday said the president will “probably” announce a compromise with Canada and Mexico as early as Wednesday.
Donald Trump has said he “appreciates” President Zelenskyy’s renewed pledge to work with him on a peace deal – and that Russia has sent “strong signals” it’s also ready for a truce.
The US president made the comments during a marathon address to Congress in which he talked up his actions so far and set out priorities for the future.
“We have accomplished more in 43 days than most administrations accomplished in 4 years, 8 years – and we are just getting started,” the president said.
But it in a highly divided Congress, Democrats registered their dissent with stone faces, placards calling out “lies” and one member’s ejection.
Mr Trump said he’d received an “important letter” from the Ukrainian leader saying he would work under his leadership to reach a peace deal.
“The letter reads Ukraine is ready to come to the negotiating table as soon as possible to bring lasting peace closer,” Mr Trump said.
“I appreciate that he sent this letter. Just got it a little while ago,” he added.
The president told a packed House chamber that Moscow had also indicated that they were ready for peace.
He said: “Simultaneously, we’ve had serious discussions with Russiaand have received strong signals that they are ready for peace. Wouldn’t that be beautiful?”
Longest speech
However, the majority of Mr Trump’s speech in the Capitol in Washington DC focussed on domestic issues.
Image: Democrats held protest signs during the speech. Pic: Reuters
At one hour and 39 minute, it was the longest annual address a president has delivered to Congress, breaking Bill Clinton’s record of one hour and 28 minutes.
Mr Trump lauded his nascent second stint in the White House and said he’d taken “unrelenting action” that had already achieved more than some administrations manage in years.
The president began his speech by proclaiming “America is back!” – prompting enthusiastic chants of “USA”.
Mr Trump said “the American Dream is surging – bigger and better than ever before”.
However, his remarks were met with jeers from Democrats and the House speaker called on the serjeant-at-arms to eject representative Al Green for refusing to stay quiet. Mr Green had stood up and shouted at Mr Trump, gesturing toward the president with his cane.
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Congressman ejected during Trump speech
Other Democrats waved paddles with statements including “false” and “Musk steals”. Some wore blue and yellow in solidarity with Ukraine.
With vice president JD Vance sat behind him, Mr Trump reeled off a list of his actions since he started his second term in January.
Among others, he mentioned rolling back the Paris climate accords, removing the “tyranny” of diversity policies, leaving the World Health Organization and the naming of the ‘Gulf of America’.
“Our country will be woke no longer,” he declared.
There was also a special mention for Elon Musk’s government efficiency department, DOGE, which has controversially cut thousands of jobs already.
President Trump claimed the billionaire’s efforts were saving the country billions by cutting waste and fraud.
Image: Elon Musk stood to receive applause for his work with DOGE. Pic: Reuters
Mr Musk was there in person, unusually in a suit, and stood to acknowledge the applause from the mass of Republicans in the chamber.
“Thank you very much, we appreciate it,” Mr Trump told him.
He said the US had been “ripped off for decades by every country on earth” and that tariffs were also about “protecting the soul of our country”.
The president has claimed previously they are in response to the three countries not doing enough to halt the flow of powerful drugs such as fentanyl.
In response, China’s US embassy tweeted ominously: “If war is what the US wants, be it a tariff war, a trade war or any other type of war, we’re ready to fight till the end.”
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‘Whatever they tariff us, we will tariff them’
The president also said he would “make America affordable again” and that President Biden hadn’t done enough to control inflation.
“Joe Biden especially let the price of eggs get out of control – and we are working hard to get it back down. A major focus of our fight to defeat inflation is rapidly reducing the cost of energy,” he added.
Illegal immigration also took up a chunk of his record-breaking speech.
The president repeated his well-worn pledge to clamp down on people entering through the southern border and reverse what he called “insane open-border policies”.
To another burst of applause, he said he had designated some South America gangs as “terrorist” organisations.
Greenland and the Panama Canal also got a mention.
The president said America intended to reclaim the famous shipping passage – which it relinquished control over in 1999 – and repeated his ambition to own the vast Danish territory.
Image: First lady Melania Trump also got a warm welcome. Pic: Reuters
Image: Pic: Reuters
Addressing Greenlanders, he said: “We strongly support your right to determine your own future, and if you choose, we welcome you into the United States of America.”
“We need Greenland for national security and even international security,” he said. “And we’re working with everybody involved to try and get it… and I think we’re going to get it, one way or the other.”
Image: DJ Daniel was made a ‘Secret Service agent’. Pic: AP
First lady Melania Trump watched the speech from on high in the gallery, with guests also including the family of the firefighter killed during the assassination attempt last summer, and a man recently freed from a Russian jail.
There was also a heart-warming moment where a child recovering from brain cancer was summoned to stand up.
Wearing a police uniform, 13-year-old DJ Daniel was lifted into the air in disbelief by his dad as President Trump told him: “I am asking our new Secret Service director, Sean Curran, to officially make you an agent of the United States Secret Service. Thank you, DJ.”
For an address that was trailed as “fireworks” by Team Trump, finding a fresh news line was more hard work than firework. From Donald Trump, we’d heard it before.
Until, that is, he got to Ukraine, Zelenskyy, the mineral deal and the “peace” beyond.
He said the Ukrainian president had been in touch saying he was ready to sign an agreement on minerals with the US “at any time that is convenient for you”.
It’s what he wanted to hear and his reaction sounded like a breakthrough, following the breakdown at the Oval Office between the pair.
Trump said: “I appreciate that he sent this letter. Just got it a little while ago. Simultaneously, we’ve had serious discussions with Russia and have received strong signals that they are ready for peace. Wouldn’t that be beautiful.”
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Trump tells Congress ‘Ukraine is ready for peace’
It was the big headline from a nearly two-hour speech that was disrupted and defined by Democratic protest. It’s what America’s political division looks like – like it’s never looked before.
Donald Trump arrived for his big night a president unprecedented, divisive, and box-office. So was this.
In a Capitol chamber thick with acrimony, he was led in down an aisle where they cheered him on one side and on the other they remained silent, sullen and seated. One Democrat held a sign that read: “This is not normal.” It was grabbed by a Representative across the aisle and thrown into the air.
This annual address to Congress is, typically, an occasion when a sitting president sits his people down, tells them where they are and where they’re going. This was an opportunity to draw breath and reflect after 43 days of a presidency in perpetual motion.
Image: Many Democrats wore pink to signify their anger at Trump policies they claim adversely affect women Pic: AP
In the event, the sales pitch quickly descended into a sporting event. Democrats held signs that read “Musk Steals” and “That’s a lie”. Female representatives dressed in pink to protest at Trump policies they said were negatively impacting women and families, and other Democrats took off jackets to reveal shirts with the slogans “Resist” and “No more kings”.
Then there was the ejection of Representative Al Green. He heckled Trump and later said that hearing the president talking about his mandate “triggered something” in him.
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Congressman ejected during Trump speech
It all reflected where the Democrats are 43 days into this presidency – furious, yet fragmented. Earlier in the day, party members had been urged by their House leader Hakeem Jeffries to show opposition as a check and balance against the “excesses of the administration”.
The party hasn’t come to a unified view on how to play this president – they share the personal animosity, if not the political instinct.
On the podium, Donald Trump had a more comfortable night than his last joint address in 2020.
Then, he had Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi rip up a copy of his speech. Last night, he was flanked by Vice-President JD Vance and Republican Speaker Mike Johnson bearing expressions of true love.
Image: Trump was flanked by cheerleaders Vance and Johnson Pic: Reuters
They laughed in all the right places to a speech that will have felt familiar. “America is back,” proclaimed Trump in kicking off an extended recap, a brag and not a humble one, of a presidency he said was “just getting started”.
A big story in the build-up had been tariffs, stock markets tumbling and worries that smouldering trade wars could destabilise the US economy.
The concerns are shared by economists and Republican lawmakers and Trump’s commerce Secretary had suggested he might be preparing to announce a compromise.