We might start to get some great used electric car deals starting in 2026 as EV lease returns are expected to surge in a big way.
While the EV revolution has been going on for over a decade now, the used EV market is still quite immature because EVs have only been delivered in large volumes for the last few years.
2026. That is going to be the year of the used EV.
J.D. Power is out with a new report that states an expected 230% increase in electric vehicle lease return in 2026:
Lease volumes for new EVs surged 355% throughout 2023 and 88% through September 2024. Franchise-only (excluding Tesla) EV lease volumes were even higher, rising 438% throughout 2023 and 109% through September 2024. As a result, returning EV lease volumes are projected to dip slightly in 2025 before spiking 230% in 2026. This trend runs counter to what’s happening industry-wide where total lease volumes for gas-powered vehicles have been lower than pre-pandemic levels, creating a likely shortage in used-vehicle availability in 2025 and 2026.
After projections for a roughly flat year in 2025, the report expects a massive increase in 2026 based on current lease data:
The reason for the surge is quite simple. The highly reported “lease loophole” to get access to the tax credit has resulted in a surge of EV leases:
Due in large part to a provision in the federal Clean Vehicle Tax Credit, which allows auto dealers to pass along a $7,500 tax credit to all EV lessees, nearly half (46%) of all franchise EV sales and 21% of total EV sales (including Tesla) in 2023 were leases. That trend continued throughout the first nine months of 2024, with the lease share of total franchise and Tesla EV volume reaching 30%. Meanwhile, lease volumes for gas-powered vehicles have been lower than pre-pandemic levels. Industry-wide, just 2.4 million gas-powered vehicles were leased in 2023. While that represents a 17% increase from 2022, it is still considerably lower than the pre-pandemic average of more than three million leases annually, which will likely create a shortage in used-vehicle availability in 2025 and 2026.
While some of those leasers are going to keep their vehicles, many are going to give them back and upgrade, resulting in a surge of used EVs available for sale.
Used EV prices have already come down greatly, partly due to Tesla slashing prices in order for demand to keep up against its rapidly growing production capacity between 2020-2023.
Now, these fresh “new” used EVs to hit the market in 2026 are likely going to put a lot of pressure on used EV prices.
Electrek’s Take
I am excited for more mature used car markets even if it means that EV value will drop in 2026.
Most people buy used cars and so far, they have been quite limited in their EV options. It does sound like 2026 will be the year when the used EV market will expand into something more impactful, and lower-income people will be able to get off of gas.
It’s going to be a big step in the EV revolution.
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On today’s festive episode of Quick Charge, Tesla steps up for its owners by calling in mobile charging stations to cut down on wait time. Meanwhile Hyundai has some extra goodies for your stockings and Texas is cleaning up its act.
We’ve also got big savings for Toyota bZ4X and Subaru Solterra shoppers, as well as some good environmental news in the form of new solar and wind projects coming online at a record clip, and a dirty Texas mine that’s cleaning up its act.
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Dodge is rolling out a hefty discount on the 2025 Charger Daytona EV even though it hasn’t officially hit the market yet. According to a dealer bulletin, the 2025 Daytona EV qualifies for a juicy $3,000 discount, but you won’t see it advertised anywhere. Here’s how you could snag this deal and save big.
On December 13, Stellantis introduced the BEV Dealer Cash Coupon Program, an incentive program designed to sweeten the deal on electric Dodge models. Under this program, dealers get a $1,000 cash coupon for the Charger Daytona – and here’s the kicker – they can stack up to three of these coupons for a total of $3,000 in savings. Unlike traditional rebates that go directly to the buyer, dealers have the option to keep the incentive as extra profit.
The program covers both the 2024 and 2025 Dodge Charger Daytona EVs for purchases and leases. But there’s more: if you’re leasing, you can stack that $3,000 dealer cash with a $7,500 lease incentive tied to a commercial tax credit (unavailable when buying). Add it all up, and you could score a whopping $10,500 in savings. This deal is slated to end on April 30, 2025, so there’s time to plan your move.
For some context, the 2024 Dodge Charger EV starts at $61,590, including destination fees. With $10,500 in potential savings, that’s an impressive 17% discount off MSRP—and that’s before you factor in any additional dealer discounts. Interestingly, Dodge has a higher-than-usual difference between invoice and MSRP pricing on the Daytona, meaning there’s room for negotiation if you’re savvy.
Of course, there are a few things to watch out for. Dealer participation varies, so your results may depend on where you shop. Plus, Dodge hasn’t released pricing for the 2025 Charger Daytona yet, so there’s some guesswork involved. Still, if you’re hunting for a bargain, the 2024 Charger EV stands out as one of the best financing deals right now, offering 0% interest for up to 72 months.
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Toyota’s electric SUV may soon get a fresh start. After a rocky debut, the Toyota bZ4X is reportedly due for a rebrand, with a new name coming as soon as 2026.
Is Toyota giving the bZ4X a new name?
After launching the bZ4X in 2022, Toyota’s first electric SUV had a bumpy market debut. In June 2022, all bZ4X models were recalled over concerns that the wheels could fall off.
Since then, Toyota has struggled to gain traction. Through the first nine months of 2024, Toyota sold 13,577 bZ4X models in the US. Although that’s double the roughly 6,500 sold through Q3 2023, it’s still less than 1% of its over 1.7 total vehicles sold through September.
As Toyota looks to turn things around, the bZ4X is due for a complete rebrand. Speaking at a recent auto press event in Quebec, a regional director for Toyota Canada said the company is preparing to change the bZ4X name.
According to Motor Illustrated, Patrick Ryan, Toyota’s regional director for Quebec and Atlantic Canada, said the name change will occur over the next year.
Toyota just revealed the 2025 bZ4X last week, so it will likely be for the 2026 model year. Prices for the 2025 Toyota bZ4X start at $37,070 in the US, or $6,000 less than the outgoing model. The FWD model has an EPA-estimated range of up to 252 miles, while the AWD trim has a range of up to 222 miles.
Toyota promotes its bZ branding as “beyond Zero” in reference to EVs cutting emissions. Meanwhile, the “4” determines its format (think RAV4), and the X tells us it’s a crossover.
In the US, all Toyota vehicles are badged with an actual name other than the RAV4 and bZ4X. A new name may make sense since bZ4X is a bit of a tongue twister and had a less-than-favorable reception.
After unveiling its new Urban Cruiser electric SUV earlier this month, will Toyota follow a similar route with the bZ4X? Although its first three-row electric SUV is now delayed until 2026, we could see a completely different naming system rollout.
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