
Are the Winnipeg Jets really this good? Inside their hot start — and whether it’s sustainable
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Published
7 months agoon
By
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Kristen Shilton
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Greg Wyshynski
Nov 20, 2024, 07:00 AM ET
One of the most impressive things about the Winnipeg Jets this season is how unimpressed they are with their record-breaking start.
“You can’t get caught up in what you’ve just done. You’ve got to worry about your next opponent,” said Scott Arniel, in his first season as the team’s head coach. “This group has been awesome with just ‘reset, go to the next game.'”
Start the season with eight wins — and reset. Become the first NHL team to win 15 of its first 16 games — and reset. Dominate the first month and a half of the season both offensively and defensively while posting a points percentage that would be a new NHL regular-season record if they’re able to sustain it — and reset.
In a season of surprises, none have been more shocking than the sudden ascent of the Jets. They were a 110-point team last season that was eliminated in the opening round, saw talented players defect as free agents and made its most significant change behind the bench, as Arniel stepped in for a retiring Rick Bowness.
Just 19 games into the 2024-25 season, the Jets are a juggernaut.
How did Winnipeg become so dominant? What’s changed from last season? Is it possible this is sustainable and the Jets should be a Stanley Cup favorite?
Here’s a deep dive into all things Winnipeg Jets, and whether this sensation will last.
What has changed from last season?
The Jets were already considered a strong defensive team. Most of that credit went to goalie Connor Hellebuyck, who captured his second Vezina Trophy last season while helping the Jets to a share of the NHL lead in goals against average (2.41 per game). But the team in front of him was tied for 10th overall in expected goals against per 60 minutes last season.
It’s their offense that’s the biggest change season-over-season. Through 18 games, the Jets were averaging 4.11 goals per game, after averaging 3.16 in 2023-24. That’s after a Florida swing that saw them muster just one tally against the Tampa Bay Lightning and nothing against the Florida Panthers. They earned a little revenge on Tuesday, besting the Panthers 6-3.
The Jets became the fourth team since 1967-68 to lead the NHL in goals for and against per game through their first 15 games. Their 73 goals in 16 games was the third most by a team in its first 16 games over the last 30 seasons.
Winnipeg has 11 players with 10 or more points this season. While offensive stars like Mark Scheifele (24 points in 19 games) and Kyle Connor (12 goals) have done their part, the Jets are also getting huge contributions from players like Gabriel Vilardi (seven goals) and Nino Niederreiter (seven goals).
“Everybody’s involved in it and that’s what makes it so dangerous, so lethal. It’s not just a one-trick pony,” Connor said. “If one line has an off night, we usually have two or three going that can pick it up. So I think that’s what makes us so dynamic.”
Connor said that the team’s offense comes from that aforementioned defensive prowess.
“It starts in our own zone,” he said. “When we defend well, the team’s going to give us all the chances that we need and I think that’s where we’re focused on coming into every single game.”
The team’s 5-on-5 scoring numbers aren’t all that different from last season, as the Jets had the same goals-per-60 minutes average (2.67) through 18 games as they had all of last season. Their expected goals have ticked up from 2.43 in 2023-24 to 2.61 per 60 minutes this season.
What’s helped fuel the Jets’ offense is a power play that led the league at a 36.5% conversion rate, producing a league-high 19 goals in 18 games. Winnipeg had a power-play success rate of 18.8% last season.
The biggest change here is assistant coach Davis Payne, hired in the offseason to run their power play. He got the Jets to incorporate more movement in their man advantage, and installed Nikolaj Ehlers in the “pop” position in the slot. Ehlers didn’t have a power-play goal in 82 games last season. He has three power-play goals in 18 games this campaign.
Of course, Payne isn’t the biggest change to the coaching staff from last season. Scott Arniel was elevated from associate coach to head coach after the retirement of Rick Bowness, and that’s been as much a factor in their success as anything.
How Scott Arniel lifted up the Jets
Scott Arniel had plenty to discuss about his own team when the Jets rolled into New York to face the Rangers earlier this month.
But he couldn’t help reminiscing too, about his time spent with the Blueshirts from 2013-18 as an assistant coach under then-bench boss Alain Vigneault. It was Arniel’s first big league opportunity following his inaugural NHL coaching job with the Columbus Blue Jackets from 2010-12.
Arniel called the Rangers gig “a real reset” after the firing in Columbus, helping New York to a Stanley Cup Final in 2014 and three more postseason appearances from there. The experience left an indelible mark.
“We had a chance to go to the Stanley Cup,” Arniel said. “We didn’t win it [against the Los Angeles Kings], but the opportunity to be in the Eastern Conference and see the rivalries that are out here, it was a great learning curve for me. I got to work under some good people that springboarded me forward to where I am today.”
There were more stops along the way before Arniel secured his second head gig. He was let go — along with Vigneault and most of his staff — in 2018 and moved onto an assistant spot with Washington. In 2022, Jets’ coach Rick Bowness brought Arniel to Winnipeg. When Bowness had to step aside for medical reasons during his tenure, it was Arniel who took the reins. So when Bowness retired last summer, Winnipeg GM Kevin Cheveldayoff didn’t have to look far for his replacement.
“He’s got intimate knowledge of a lot of different things,” Cheveldayoff said of tapping Arniel. “I was around when he made a couple of phone calls to some of the captains and [Connor Hellebuyck], and then talking to them [after], they were already talking about the season, they were already talking about next season; there wasn’t that kind of get to know you conversation. It was, ‘damn right, let’s get going.’ That passion definitely came through.”
Cheveldayoff also noted positive player feedback on the structure put in place with Arniel on the coaching staff. There was a desire from the team to maintain consistent messaging, something Arniel has delivered. The Jets are flexible under his eye, as capable of winning a tight-checking 1-0 affair as they are a 6-5 shootout. Arniel preaches discipline from the defensive side on out, and it’s served Winnipeg in becoming the multi-faceted powerhouse they’ve so often been throughout this season.
It goes back to a trust in those relationships between players and coach, a product of Arniel’s time learning from Bowness.
“It’s coaches pushing players,” Arniel said of his philosophy. “It’s players pushing players. It’s just kind of that mindset.”
The players said having Arniel step in when Bowness was away during the last two seasons helped the transition.
“We had a preview of him as a head coach,” defenseman Josh Morrissey said. “We saw how he ran the bench in games and stuff like that. He’s an intense guy, but he’s calm back there and I think our team feeds off that and kind of plays with that identity.”
Success can allow for that kind of serenity, but the Jets coaches want to make sure it doesn’t lead to complacency. They’ve been pleased to find that the players have an appetite for scrutiny despite stacking wins.
“Us coaches, we’re never happy. It doesn’t matter what the record is,” Arniel said. “We’re always finding things that maybe you want to work on, but that’s where this group has been good: We know what our structure is and if we continue to lead with that first, that usually helps us have success.”
Arniel said his phone has been blowing up with messages from NHL peers commenting on his team’s historic start.
“There’s been some funny ones, some real good ones,” he said. “There’s so many good coaches in this league. They’re gunning for us, so you’ve got to be ready because these guys are always at their best.”
The Connor Hellebuyck effect
Connor Hellebuyck is delivering one heck of an encore.
The league’s reigning Vezina Trophy winner is better now than he was last season. Hellebuyck made it look easy as he cruised to a league-leading 12-1-0 mark with a .924 save percentage and 1.92 goals-against average to open this campaign. And despite a hiccup against Florida — where Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 31 shots in a 5-0 Jets loss — he has rarely been short of spectacular manning the Jets’ crease.
Hellebuyck has three shutouts already, including in back-to-back outings against Colorado (1-0) and Utah (3-0). Surprisingly, it marked the first pair of consecutive shutouts in Hellebuyck’s career, and gave the netminder 40 total.
Winnipeg leans on its goaltender to be a difference-maker, and the 31-year old embraces that pressure by demanding a heavy workload. He’s started more games (484) than any NHL goaltender since 2016-17 and is tied for the fourth-best save percentage (.917%) in that stretch among goalies with at least 50 starts.
“I like to play a lot,” Hellebuyck earlier this month. “Once you get your rhythm, you can just kind of maintain it … [things] just kind of click and you see the game, and you kind of get ahead of the game. The more and more shots you get, the better you get ahead of that game.”
0:29
Connor Hellebuyck robs Panthers with save
Connor Hellebuyck robs Panthers with save
Putting too much weight on his own shoulders has derailed Hellebuyck in the past, though. He followed up that Vezina-worthy regular season with a shockingly poor first-round playoff effort against the Colorado Avalanche; Hellebuyck was 1-4, with an .870 SV% and 5.23 GAA.
What Hellebuyck said post-series was even more jaw-dropping, all things considered: “You’re probably not going to believe when I say I was playing the best hockey of my career.”
That’s Hellebuyck, though; never short on confidence. He mused that instead of trying to win games on his own he had to be part of the full team’s undertaking.
“There’s two ways to go about it,” Hellebuyck said before the season started. “Try and do it yourself, or try and rely on a team. The way I’ve gotten to where I am today is really digging into myself and doing everything I can, which really helps the team in the long run. [But] don’t deviate from what I’ve given myself [either].”
Hellebuyck has clearly struck the right balance this season. He’s recorded at least a .900 SV% in 10 of his 14 appearances, and allowed two or fewer goals against in seven outings. That’s been a complement to what the Jets are achieving as a whole, with consistent scoring, vastly improved special teams and impressive buy-in defensively.
“Everybody knows if you don’t have goaltending, it makes for a long year. So Helly gives us that foundation,” Arniel said. “But the biggest thing too is that we’re not just sitting and waiting on him to make 50 saves for us. We know there’s going to be breakdowns, where he’s going to have to stand up and make the save for us. But at the end of the day, our play in front of him has probably helped us not spend so much time on our end of the rink.”
Hellebuyck hasn’t single-handedly fueled Winnipeg’s historic start, but his impact is undeniably significant. After all, they didn’t coin the man “Vezina-Buyck” in Winnipeg for nothing.
And speaking of the Vezina, the league hasn’t had a goalie win in consecutive seasons since Martin Brodeur did it in 2007 and 2008. Will Hellebuyck be next?
The psychological impact of playoff disappointment
Last season, the Jets were tied with the Panthers for the fourth highest points percentage in the NHL (.671). They had identical 52-24-6 records, but that’s where the similarities ended: The Panthers went on to win the Stanley Cup for the first time, while the Jets were eliminated in the first round by the Avalanche.
It was the second straight season Winnipeg was unceremoniously dumped in five games by an opening-round opponent. In 2022-23, it was the Vegas Golden Knights steamrolling a 95-point Jets team en route to the Stanley Cup. But last postseason’s dismissal left the team more frustrated, after amassing 110 points in the regular season — six of them against the Avalanche, against whom the Jets were 3-0-0 with a plus-7 goal differential.
“We were on an eight-game winning streak. We played Colorado so well in the regular season and it just didn’t go our way in the playoffs,” winger Kyle Connor said. “This group’s been together for quite a long time now and the overall message was that we’ve got to get better as a group. Every single person in here has to take another level.”
Teams respond to playoff disasters in different ways. The series loss to Colorado — a 7-6 Game 1 win, followed by four straight defeats — didn’t lead to a panicky overhaul of the roster or a crisis of faith for the franchise. It did lead the Jets to look inward as to why their regular-season success hadn’t led to postseason glory, both for the players and the coaches.
“I think it’s two years in a row that you lose at five. Two great regular seasons in back-to-back years and then early first-round exits is not what we’re looking for,” said forward Cole Perfetti. “We know we have the group that can go a long way. We’ve proven to have a lot of regular-season success now. We’re just trying to build day after day to find that next level, next gear and hopefully propel us deep into the playoffs.”
When Arniel was elevated to head coach, one of his offseason objectives was to look under the Jets’ hood analytically to better understand how Colorado flipped the script on them. It was clear the Avalanche had changed tactics offensively in the series, using a dump-and-chase attack that impacted Winnipeg’s defense and hindered its offense, and the Jets hadn’t reacted quick enough to that.
Rather than building up a reserve of rage and discontent, Winnipeg channeled that frustration into a teachable moment for the group.
“It was a big thing that we talked about the start of the year and then we put behind us,” Arniel said. “There’s a process that we got to build. We’re trying to build that resiliency now that makes us good then, because it wasn’t good last year.”
He said the Colorado loss has also helped the team manage its emotions during this historic start.
“It’s why we’re not over the top, living the high life right now, because we know what happened last year,” the coach said. “We had a fantastic season, so we’re not going crazy here in November. I don’t think the Stanley Cup’s ever been handed out in November.”
The consistency of roster
There are some prominent names from last season’s playoff roster that are no longer in the Peg. Trade deadline additions like Sean Monahan and Tyler Toffoli left through free agency, to Columbus and San Jose respectively. Veteran defenseman Brenden Dillon signed with New Jersey.
Connor said that part of being a Winnipeg Jet is knowing that reinforcements might not arrive from elsewhere.
“You don’t typically get those big free agents. We have to improve in this room and I think everybody took that to heart,” he said. “You can kind of see the fruitions of that today.”
For the most part, this roster has been together for two seasons. You have to go back to the end of the 2022-23 season to find the last time this roster was really shaken up: That’s when former captain Blake Wheeler had the last year of his contract bought out and controversial center Pierre-Luc Dubois was traded to Los Angeles for Alex Iafallo, Rasmus Kupari and Gabriel Vilardi — all of whom are contributors on this current Jets team.
Arniel said that having consistency with the roster helps “when you have to go through big changes” as a team.
“There’s a growing period, and I think that we’ve kind of been through that already as a group over the last couple of years,” he said. “Whether that’s players playing amongst each other, whether it’s defensive partners, whether it’s line combinations, they’ve had the ability to do it for the last few years.”
Another thing happened in 2023: Both Scheifele and Hellebuyck committed to remain with the organization long-term. They both signed seven-year, $59.5 million contracts to end any speculation about becoming the next prominent names putting Winnipeg in the rear-view mirror.
“We’re all just jelling really well together,” Perfetti said. “And I think guys get along really well off the ice. So I think that adds to a lot of the team’s success. We found a good groove and we’re just sticking to it right now.”
What the analytics tell us
Some of the Jets’ analytics at 5-on-5 aren’t exactly harbingers of dominance. Natural Stat Trick has their expected goals percentage at 48.2%, which is 22nd in the league. It ticks up a bit when adjusted for score: 49.1% when the game is within one goal. The same goes for their percentage of shot attempts.
But while the Jets’ 5-on-5 numbers are a bit average, the NHL data analysts we surveyed marveled at the Jets’ power play this season.
“They are scoring at an incredible rate on the power play, shooting 14.1% vs 10.4% last season,” said Meghan Chayka of Stathletes. “They are doing this while averaging a similar shot quality: 15.6 scoring chances per game to 15.4 in 2023-2024.”
Chayka notes that through Nov. 15, Winnipeg was scoring a goal every 4:09 of power-play time, when the NHL average is 8:03.
1:58
Jets beat Rangers to make NHL History
The Winnipeg Jets become the first team in NHL history to win 15 of its first 16 games.
ESPN’s Rachel Doerrie said the biggest difference for the Jets year over year is special teams, with the power play clicking around double the rate that it did last season.
“Their power-play shooting percentage is sky-high,” she said.
But Doerrie expects their numbers on the man advantage will come back to earth at some point. “I’d expect their power-play percentage to level off around 25% — still top 10 in the NHL, but not historical,” she said.
At 5-on-5, the Jets appear to be creating more off the rush and causing chaos in front of the opposing goal.
“They seem to be generating more scoring opportunities with traffic, which have a higher likelihood of conversion,” Doerrie said. “They are also the type of goals that get scored in the playoffs — a very translatable style of offensive play.”
Doerrie was not only impressed with how often the Jets score this season but when they score. Winnipeg was 25th in the NHL last season in first-period goals. This season, they’re averaging more than a goal per game in the first period.
“Giving Hellebuyck a lead and allowing the bottom-six guys to go to work plays right into their hands,” she said. “If you’re scoring in the first and you aren’t giving up that lead, that’s a good sign.”
But for all of their offensive fireworks, the Jets remain most consistently impressive on defense.
“The Jets are the top team in the NHL in expected save percentage. They are structured defensively and that isn’t a surprise, as they have been top seven the last two seasons as well,” Chayka said. “Only 21.6% of shot attempts against are scoring chances, which is the third lowest in the NHL.
“Connor Hellebuyck is performing at an exceptional level again this season, so it’s not a surprise with him being top three in goals saved above expected the last two full seasons. They are a structured defensive team with a strong goalie.”
Is this sustainable?
Perfetti admitted that the Jets’ scorching start has probably made him more superstitious than usual.
“Just because we got such a good thing going. Everyone’s playing so well, our team’s finding so much success,” he said. “You don’t want to change too much up. You just want to ride the high and keep going with it.”
Through 18 games, the Jets have an .833 points percentage. Maintaining that pace would obliterate the best 82-game regular-season ever, set by the Boston Bruins (.823) in 2022-23.
Is that possible? Is this sustainable?
“Honestly, we know what we’re doing, but we don’t take too much stock in it. It’s move on to the next one. It’s ‘how can we improve, how can we be better?'” Connor said. “I think that’s what made us successful to this point. Nobody’s satisfied.”
So many things have gone right for the Jets thus far. They’ve used just 20 skaters this season, the second fewest in the NHL, according to Chayka. While other teams have juggled their lineups due to early-season injuries, the Jets fly on.
“Even if the Jets continue to avoid the injuries, there are questions about how sustainable this run is,” she said.
Chayka points to the Winnipeg offense as a point of concern. Through Nov. 15, they led the NHL in goals scored above expected, at plus-19.9 in all situations. Chayka believes that if they regressed to the NHL average, the Jets “would be near where their goals per game was last season.”
That offense has allowed them to win even when they’ve dug themselves a hole. Chayka notes that the Jets have won seven of 10 games when giving up the first goal to an opponent — a .700 winning percentage.
“Winnipeg has allowed the first goal in 10 of 17 games, including being down at least 2-0 five times. But it is 7-3-0 in those games,” she said. “There have only been four teams with a winning percentage above .600 when trailing first in games over the last five seasons.”
1:50
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets: Game Highlights
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets: Game Highlights
Doerrie is also skeptical about the Jets avoiding the injury bug and remaining as good on the power play as they’ve been. She has faith in Hellebuyck, but notes that he’s in the top six for high-danger saves per 60 minutes. “His high-danger save percentage is stable, but you don’t want your goalie facing the same number of high danger chances as Anaheim, Chicago and Nashville if you’re a contender,” she said.
In general, Doerrie believes Winnipeg is punching above its weight.
“Winnipeg’s record is better than they are, but they are a solid team. They are middle-of-the-pack in predictive stats like expected goals and percentage of shot attempts, and that is more indicative of their true talent. They are actually performing marginally worse in those categories than they were last season, a sign of that regression is likely on the horizon,” she said.
“They are likely to outperform those stats compared to other teams because of Hellebuyck, but not to the extent that has occurred this season. They’ve given themselves a cushion, but the statistical profile has some red flags that should give people pause before declaring them as a true Cup threat.”
But for the Jets, the cushion is the key. If there is regression, if these recent duds in Florida become more frequent, if Winnipeg’s early-season dominance wanes, they feel they’ve captured significant points in the first two months of the season to weather that.
“Whether you win in October or even March or April, the points are worth the same. So it’s nice to have been able to bank so many early on,” captain Adam Lowry said. “It’s been fun. Winning is a lot more fun than losing. But we’re going to have to hope to continue it.”
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Sports
‘Awesome feeling’: Briscoe notches third Cup win
Published
1 hour agoon
June 23, 2025By
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Associated Press
Jun 22, 2025, 08:19 PM ET
LONG POND, Pa. — Chase Briscoe got the cold facts when the third-generation driver’s career took an unexpected turn, leaving his lame-duck NASCAR team for the sport’s most coveted available seat with powerhouse Joe Gibbs Racing.
The message was clear at JGR — home of five Cup driver titles and a perennial contender to win another one.
“You don’t make the playoffs,” Briscoe said, “you don’t race in this car anymore.”
The Toyotas were better at JGR, sure. So were the championship standards set by Joe Gibbs and the rest of the organization.
“It’s been a lot of work,” Briscoe’s crew chief James Small said. “From where he came from, there wasn’t much accountability. Nobody was holding his feet to the fire. That’s probably been a big wake-up call for him.”
Briscoe’s eyes are wide open now, a first-time winner for JGR and, yes, he is indeed playoff bound.
Briscoe returned to victory lane Sunday at Pocono Raceway, stretching the final drops of fuel down the stretch to hold off Denny Hamlin for his third career Cup victory and first with his new race team.
“I’ve only won three races in the Cup Series, right? But this is by far the least enjoyable just because it’s expected now,” Briscoe said. “You have to go win. Where at SHR, you really felt like you surprised the world if you won.”
Briscoe raced his way into an automatic spot in NASCAR’s playoffs with the win and gave the No. 19 Toyota its first victory since 2023 when Martin Truex Jr. had the ride. Briscoe lost his job at the end of last season at Stewart-Haas Racing when the team folded and he was tabbed to replace Truex — almost a year to the day for his win at Pocono — in the four-car JGR field.
Hamlin, who holds the track record with seven wins, appeared on the brink of reeling in Briscoe over the final, thrilling laps only to have not enough in the No. 11 Toyota to snag that eighth Pocono win.
“It was just so hard to have a guy chasing you, especially the guy that’s the greatest of all time here,” Briscoe said.
Briscoe made his final pit stop on lap 119 of the 160-lap race, while Hamlin — who returned after missing last week’s race following the birth of his son — made his final stop on 120. Hamlin’s team radioed to him that they believed Briscoe would fall about a half-lap short on fuel — only for the first-year JGR driver to win by 0.682 seconds.
“The most nervous I get is when two of our cars are up front,” Gibbs said.
Gibbs now has Hamlin, Bell and Briscoe in the playoff field.
“It’s definitely more work but it’s because they’re at such a high level,” Briscoe said. “Even racing with teammates that are winning has been a big adjustment for me.”
Briscoe, who won an Xfinity Series race at Pocono in 2020, raced to his third career Cup victory and first since Darlington in 2024.
Briscoe has been on bit of a hot streak, and had his fourth top-10 finish over the last six races, including a seventh-place finish in last week’s ballyhooed race in Mexico City.
He became the 11th driver to earn a spot in the 16-driver field with nine races left until the field is set and made a winner again of crew chief James Small. Small stayed on the team through Truex’s final winless season and Briscoe’s winless start to this season.
“It’s been a tough couple of years,” Small said. “We’ve never lost belief, any of us.”
Hamlin finished second. Ryan Blaney, Chris Buescher and Chase Elliott completed the top five.
Briscoe, raised a dirt racer in Indiana, gave JGR its 18th Cup victory at Pocono.
“I literally grew up racing my sprint car video game in a Joe Gibbs Racing Home Depot uniform,” Briscoe said. “To get Coach in victory lane after them taking a chance on me, it’s so rewarding truthfully. Just a big weight off my shoulders. I’ve been telling my wife the last two weeks, I have to win. To finally come here and do it, it has been a great day.”
The race was delayed 2 hours, 10 minutes by rain and the conditions were muggy by the time the green flag dropped. Briscoe led 72 laps and won the second stage.
Briscoe wrote before the race on social media, “Anybody going from Pocono to Oklahoma City after the race Sunday?” The Pacers fan — he bet on the team to win the NBA title — wasn’t going to make it to Game 7 of the NBA Finals.
He’ll certainly settle for a ride to victory lane.
CLEAN RACE
Carson Hocevar made a clean pass of Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and two feuding drivers battled without incident on restarts as they appeared to race in peace after a pair of recent wrecks on the track threatened to spill into Pocono.
Stenhouse’s threat to beat up his racing rival l after last weekend’s race in Mexico City but cooler heads prevailed back in the United States. Hocevar finished 18th and Stenhouse 30th.
OUCH
There was a minor scare on pit road when AJ Allmendinger struck a tire in the carrier’s hand with his right front side and sent it flying into the ribs of another team’s crew member in the pit ahead of him. JonPatrik Kealey, the rear tire changer on Shane van Gisbergen‘s race team, was knocked on all fours but finished work on van Gisbergen’s pit stop.
BRAKE TIME
Bubba Wallace, Michael McDowell and Riley Herbst all had their races spoiled by brake issues.
“It was a scary feeling for sure,” Herbst said. “I was just starting to get tight, just a bad adjustment on my part. Getting into [turn] one, the brakes just went to the floor. A brake rotor exploded, and I was along for the ride.”
UP NEXT
NASCAR heads to Atlanta. Christopher Bell won the first race at the track this season in March.
Sports
Ohtani strikes out 2 but sticks to 1-inning plan
Published
3 hours agoon
June 23, 2025By
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Alden GonzalezJun 22, 2025, 08:31 PM ET
Close- ESPN baseball reporter. Covered the L.A. Rams for ESPN from 2016 to 2018 and the L.A. Angels for MLB.com from 2012 to 2016.
LOS ANGELES — Shohei Ohtani‘s second start saw him record his first two strikeouts, but he did not advance beyond the first inning despite throwing only 18 pitches — a sign of how careful the Los Angeles Dodgers are being with his pitching progression.
“That was the original plan,” Ohtani, speaking through an interpreter, said after the Dodgers’ 13-7 win over the Washington Nationals on Sunday. “I look forward to adding more and more pitches.”
Ohtani worked around a wild pitch and a dropped popup from outfielder-turned-shortstop Mookie Betts to throw a scoreless top of the first inning, while making his second start in seven days. He struck out the game’s third batter, Luis Garcia Jr., on a sweeper that dropped toward his shoe-tops, then executed a tight, arm-side slider to strike out Nathaniel Lowe and end the inning. Ohtani’s fastball topped out at 98.8 mph after reaching triple digits in his pitching debut Monday.
Ohtani, who called his own pitches through a PitchCom device, said he was “able to relax much better” in his second outing. The biggest improvement, Ohtani added, was “the way my body moves when I pitch.”
“It’s something that I worked on with the pitching coaches, and I felt a lot better this time.”
Offensively, Ohtani went 2-for-19 with nine strikeouts in the five days between his starts. Ohtani has remained at the leadoff spot on his start days, which has meant rushing to put on his helmet, elbow pad and batting gloves in the middle of the first inning, then walking toward the batter’s box without hardly being able to take any practice swings.
In his pitching debut Monday, that was followed by a strikeout. The same occurred Sunday. But his bat came alive later in the game, after the Dodgers had finally broken through against Nationals starter Michael Soroka. With the bases loaded, no outs and his team leading by a run in the seventh, Ohtani laced a 101.3 mph bases-clearing triple to break open the game. An inning later, he added a two-run homer — his National League-leading 26th — on a ball that just barely made it over the fence in left-center.
“He’s a unicorn,” Dodgers rookie catcher Dalton Rushing said. “He does it all.”
The Dodgers have considered moving Ohtani out of the leadoff spot on his start days, particularly at home, to avoid the shorter preparation time before his first plate appearance. But they are adamant about continuing to be methodical with his pitching progression. He’ll make his third start at some point in the next six to eight days and could extend into the second inning then, but it’ll be a while until he is built up like a traditional starting pitcher again.
“It’s going to be a gradual process,” Ohtani said. “I want to see improvements with the quality of the pitches that I’m throwing and then also increasing the amount of pitches.”
Sports
Who has the best lineup in MLB? We ranked all 30 teams
Published
4 hours agoon
June 23, 2025By
admin
Every week, we gather a panel of our MLB experts to rank every team based on a combination of what we’ve seen so far and what we knew going into the season. Those power rankings look at teams as a whole — both at the plate and in the field.
But, how different would those rankings be if we were to look only at major league offenses?
We’ve seen a number of offensive explosions so far in the 2025 season — from torpedo bats taking the league by storm on opening weekend thanks to the Yankees’ barrage of home runs to Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani each putting together yet another all-time campaign at the plate.
The latest offensive shake-up came in the form of a blockbuster trade, with the Red Sox sending All-Star slugger Rafael Devers to the Giants in a deal that reverberated around the league. How did it impact the two teams’ offensive outlooks?
Our MLB power rankers came together to sort baseball’s lineups based on what they’ve seen so far and where teams currently stand. We also asked ESPN MLB experts Jeff Passan, David Schoenfield and Bradford Doolittle to break down the top 10 offenses in baseball, from each team’s catalyst to the lineup’s biggest weakness.
Top 10 lineups
Why it’s so fearsome: You start with the second-best hitter in the world in Shohei Ohtani, add in the National League’s leading hitter for average in Freddie Freeman and the NL’s OBP leader in Will Smith, mix in Mookie Betts, and finish with power up and down the lineup — and you might have the best lineup in Dodgers history. Indeed, their current wRC+ of 124 would be the highest in franchise history. There is just no room for opposing pitchers to breathe, and the Dodgers have a nice balance of left- and right-handed hitters who make it difficult for opposing managers to optimize their bullpen matchups.
One weakness: Michael Conforto has been a big disappointment as a free agent, hitting .170 with only four home runs while playing nearly every game so far. The bench was weak to start the season, but the Dodgers jettisoned longtime veterans Chris Taylor and Austin Barnes and called up Hyeseong Kim and top prospect Dalton Rushing. Kim has been outstanding, hitting .382 in his first 30 games, while Rushing has played sparingly as the backup catcher.
Player who makes it all click: As the leadoff hitter, Ohtani’s presence sets the tone from the first pitch of the game — and he already has hit seven first-inning home runs in 2025. With 73 runs in the Dodgers’ first 72 games (he sat out two of them), Ohtani is on pace for a remarkable 164 runs scored, which has been topped only twice since 1900 — once each by Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig. (They also each have the only other seasons with at least 160 runs scored.) With Ohtani making his 2025 pitching debut Monday, we’ll see if that affects his offense, but it didn’t during his final season with the Angels in 2023 when he posted a 1.066 OPS while pitching. — Schoenfield
Why it’s so fearsome: The Yankees homer more than any team in the American League. They walk more than any team in all of MLB. They don’t strike out excessively. They punish fastballs. Judge, the best hitter in baseball, anchors their lineup. Seven other regulars are slugging at least .428 in an environment where the leaguewide slug is under .400. There are 100 more reasons the Yankees’ lineup induces such anxiety in opposing pitchers, but it can be encapsulated this way: It’s a lineup without a real weak link, filled with professional hitters who take quality at-bats, at a time when so few make that a priority.
One weakness: Calling this a weakness is a stretch, because the most important point about the Yankees’ lineup is that it doesn’t have a weakness, but they have been worse with runners in scoring position than in situations without runners on second or third. The Marlins have more home runs with players in scoring position than the Yankees. New York’s slugging percentage in such situations dips from .451 to .407 — good for 13th in MLB. It’s also 140 points below the Dodgers’ mark. But fear not: Slugger Giancarlo Stanton, who epitomized clutch for the Yankees last postseason, is back after sitting out the season’s first 2½ months. As if the rich need to get any richer.
Player who makes it all click: What, were you expecting J.C. Escarra? The answer, of course, is Judge, the two-time AL MVP whose combination of power and plate discipline is gifting the Yankees another potential all-time season. It’s not simply the .378 batting average — which is 56 points higher than his career best — or the resplendent home runs he hits, to left and center and right, making the whole field his playground. Even after a miserable series against the Red Sox over the weekend, there is an expectation that Judge will rebound because he hits the ball so hard and so consistently makes contact. The Yankees without Judge are good; the Yankees with him are undeniable. — Passan
Why it’s so fearsome: The lineup depth has been ridiculous, and that trait has been even more stark since Matt Shaw returned from an early-season demotion and began contributing. The Cubs’ collective OPS from spots seven through nine in the batting order is more than 50 points better than the second-best team. Some of that stems from Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting seventh early on, but Chicago has maintained its top-to-bottom consistency all season. This keeps the plate full for run-producers Crow-Armstrong, Kyle Tucker and Seiya Suzuki.
One weakness: The Cubs have been good at just about everything that goes with producing runs. They rank in the top 10 in all three slash categories, are fifth in homers and second in steals. You really have to squint to find a weakness. You can point to a big disparity in road production (.808 OPS) compared to what the Cubs have done at Wrigley Field (.702 OPS). But that too might even out as the weather factors in Chicago work more consistently in favor of hitters.
Player who makes it all click: Crow-Armstrong might be the Cubs’ best MVP candidate, but Tucker is the best hitter and the best exemplar of Chicago’s good-at-everything attack. Tucker leads the team in runs created and OPS+, and though he’s not Crow-Armstrong on the bases, he has swiped 18 of 19 bags. None of this is out of scale with Tucker’s track record. This is who he is — except maybe a little better, as he has walked more than he has struck out. If Tucker’s power bat heats up with the summer weather, look out. — Doolittle
Why it’s so fearsome: The Diamondbacks do a little bit of everything. They already have two 20-homer hitters in Corbin Carroll and Eugenio Suarez, plus Ketel Marte, who sat out a month because of injury but could still reach 30 home runs. They are fourth in the majors in walks and fifth in on-base percentage, so they get on base. Geraldo Perdomo has been a solid contributor the past two seasons but has added some power. He has more walks than strikeouts and has already established a career high in RBIs, adding depth. Josh Naylor is hitting around .300 while replacing Christian Walker’s production at first base.
One weakness: Center fielder Alek Thomas is the only regular with a below-average OPS+, and even then, he’s not awful. The bench is a little thin beyond Tim Tawa and Randal Grichuk, as backup catcher Jose Herrera has provided little offense. The Diamondbacks’ biggest potential weakness is their struggle against left-handed pitchers. (They have an OPS more than 100 points lower than against right-handers.) Carroll, Naylor and the switch-hitting Marte have each been significantly better against righties.
Player who makes it all click: As explosive as Carroll has been at the top of the order, Marte is the team’s best all-around hitter. Like Perdomo, he has more walks than strikeouts, making him a tough out with his ability to put the ball in play and also take free passes. He has the power (36 home runs in 2024) to clear the bases, but he also excels as a baserunner and can have Naylor and Suarez drive him in. When the Diamondbacks reached the World Series in 2023, Marte was the offensive leader, hitting .329/.380/.534 that postseason. — Schoenfield
Why it’s so fearsome: The Mets’ lineup runs sneaky deep, boasts a combination of average and power, and has the fourth-lowest strikeout rate in the major leagues. Low strikeouts often equate to decent batting averages, but the Venn diagram with contact orientation and power is sparsely populated. Beyond the overall numbers, the Mets’ lineup is packed with stars: Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor and the team’s best hitter this season, Pete Alonso. A resurgent Jeff McNeil deepens a group that hasn’t received quite the expected output from Soto. He’s starting to find his rhythm, though, and once that happens, the Mets are bound to be even better.
One weakness: Considering the Mets have multiple options at third base, the quest for an internal solution isn’t banking on the fortunes of a single player. It could be Mark Vientos, the postseason star last year who’s set to begin a rehab assignment next week after a disappointing start to the season. It could be Brett Baty, who has shown plenty of power but still sports a .267 on-base percentage. It could be Ronny Mauricio, the rookie whose pop — and allergy to getting on base — is similar to Baty’s. Regardless of who it is, manager Carlos Mendoza has time to figure out how to maneuver his lineup so that other offensive holes at catcher and center field (when Jeff McNeil isn’t playing there) aren’t nearly as glaring.
Player who makes it all click: The Mets have been clicking without the best version of Soto, so it’s no surprise that in the past 16 games — in which Soto has hit .333/.507/.685 with five home runs — they have scored at least four runs 15 times. As good as New York is without Soto performing, he is their double-click — the catalyzer who brings about action. Even at his lowest points this season, he was managing to get on base, and that’s what makes Soto such a transformative player: His floor is extremely high. When he’s feeling his swing and unleashing shots to all fields, he’s capable of reaching a ceiling higher than all but a handful of hitters in the game. — Passan
Why it’s so fearsome: The Phillies have veterans with big names who have all been productive hitters at various points in their careers — although not necessarily in 2025. Kyle Schwarber has been the lynchpin so far, moved out of the leadoff spot and leading the team in home runs, runs scored and RBIs. Trea Turner is having his best season since joining the Phillies in 2023, with a .364 OBP that would be his highest since 2021. Alec Bohm has been on his usual roller coaster — homerless in April but hitting .331 with seven home runs since the beginning of May.
One weakness: Catcher J.T. Realmuto has carried a huge workload through the years but is now 34 years old and showing some signs of age with career lows in batting average, slugging and OPS. Bryson Stott was an above-average hitter in 2023 before dipping last season, and he has been even worse in 2025 with an OPS+ of just 75. Part-time center fielder Johan Rojas provides speed and defense, but not much offense, and as usual, the bench is pretty weak. Yes, that’s more than one weakness.
Player who makes it all click: As important as it is to have Turner getting on base, this lineup will always revolve around Bryce Harper and his ability to go on hot stretches. He hasn’t had one yet this season and is currently on the injured list because of a right wrist injury. His .446 slugging percentage and .814 OPS are his lowest since 2016. Harper has always been an outlier of sorts — he ranks in the second percentile in swing-and-miss rate in 2025 but in the 67th percentile in strikeout rate — so these aren’t necessarily signs of a decline. Philly just needs him to get hot once he returns. — Schoenfield
Why it’s so fearsome: It’s not. That’s the thing about the Tigers. One gander at their lineup cards — manager AJ Hinch has used 60 different variations over 71 games — and it doesn’t exactly strike fear. And yet that’s the beauty of the 2025 Tigers: They’re managing to score oodles of runs without a single hitter sporting a slugging percentage higher than .500. It’s not like the Tigers are particularly good at avoiding the strikeout (24th in MLB) or taking walks (18th). They don’t hit home runs in bunches (10th) or steal bases at all (30th). They’re simply solid, almost from top to bottom, replete with enough hitters who are league average or better to cobble together runs.
One weakness: The strikeouts are problematic — and a third of Detroit’s regulars struggle to counterbalance them with walks. Kerry Carpenter (52 strikeouts, seven walks), super-utility man Javier Baez (48 strikeouts, eight walks) and catcher Dillon Dingler (56 strikeouts, five walks) constitute one-third of players in all of MLB with at least 48 punchouts and fewer than 10 walks. Riley Greene’s 93 strikeouts lead MLB. And in the postseason, where the pitching gets better and every out is valuable, giving away at-bats by swinging and missing too much is a distinct no-no. Even with the strikeouts, the Tigers won’t be an easy out in October. But among the teams with legitimate playoff aspirations, only Boston punches out more, and it’s the sort of thing that could haunt Detroit.
Player who makes it all click: There isn’t one player, per se. One night it might be outfielder Greene, and another one first baseman Spencer Torkelson, and sometimes outfielder Carpenter, and maybe even infielder Zach McKinstry or outfielder Wenceel Perez. But if there’s one player whose skills differ from his teammates’ and set the table, it’s second baseman Gleyber Torres. Operating on a one-year deal, Torres has been the Tigers’ most consistent hitter this season, getting on base at a .377 clip and walking more than he strikes out. He exemplifies Detroit’s lineup — its team, really — in that nothing he does is particularly sexy but it’s unquestionably effective. — Passan
Why it’s so fearsome: “Fearsome” might be a stretch, but after a horrible April (.656 OPS), the Blue Jays did follow up with a strong May (.785 OPS). June has so far split the difference (.709 OPS), so maybe that’s the true level here, which makes this more of a league-average offense — and, indeed, that’s where the Jays currently stand in runs per game. But there is potential for more here, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Anthony Santander, Bo Bichette and Andres Gimenez all capable of more offense than they’ve offered so far.
One weakness: Power. George Springer leads the team with 10 home runs, and the Jays have been outhomered by their opponents 99-70. Left field has been a problem all season, as seven different players have started there, combining to hit .223 with only four home runs. Gimenez was acquired for his defense at second base, but he has been a flop at the plate, hitting .212/.291/.327 with four home runs (and that’s after homering three times in the first five games). Lately, he has even been benched against left-handers.
Player who makes it all click: The $500 million man is hitting more like a $50 million man right now (.275/.375/.414, eight home runs) — but when he’s hot, the offense runs through him. Guerrero had a monster season in 2021 — but that was the year the Jays played more than half of their games in minor league parks because of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions. Guerrero had a 1.418 OPS in their spring training park and a 1.180 OPS in Buffalo (and a .935 at Rogers Centre). He was great again last season — thanks to a .342 BABIP. This season, it’s back down to .299, right around his career mark, but even that doesn’t explain the decline in power. The Jays need Guerrero to start mashing. — Schoenfield
9. Athletics
Why it’s so fearsome: They hit home runs and they hit for average, ranking in the top 10 in the majors in both categories. Jacob Wilson has been the breakout star with a .362 average in his rookie season, Brent Rooker is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season, Lawrence Butler is heating up and looking like the hitter he was in the second half of 2024, and rookie first baseman Nick Kurtz has also added another power bat to the lineup (after a slow start, he has hit .286 with six home runs in his past 11 games). What we don’t fully know yet, based on a small sample size, is how Sutter Health Park is helping. The A’s have hit for a higher average at home (.268 to .240) but have hit more home runs on the road (53 in 38 games compared to 39 in 36 games at home).
One weakness: JJ Bleday had a solid 2024 season, with 20 home runs and a 120 OPS+ in 159 games, but struggled out of the gate in 2025, earning a short demotion to Triple-A. Rookie Denzel Clarke replaced him, and though he has been a defensive wunderkind, he has been overmatched at the plate, hitting .209 with 34 strikeouts and one walk. Overall, the A’s rank 29th in the majors in OPS from their center fielders, ahead of only the Guardians.
Player who makes it all click: Wilson has been amazing, showcasing rare bat-to-ball skills with only 18 strikeouts in 289 plate appearances. The big surprise has been the 23 extra-base hits, including eight home runs, after going homerless in 92 at-bats during last season’s call-up. He has also been drawing a few more walks after beginning the season without one in his first 22 games, so his OBP is over .400. Now that he appears entrenched in the No. 2 spot, he’s going to give the middle of the order a lot of RBI opportunities. — Schoenfield
Why it’s so fearsome: In the Cardinals’ case, the fear factor is probably pointed in the wrong direction — as in their own fear of regression. I suspect their ranking is more a product of what they’ve done than what they are likely to do going forward. Ultimately, a team like the Braves, or even the reshuffled Giants or Red Sox, might be better placed here — but you never know. It’s a lineup with batting average and baserunning as the standout traits. The average part of it can be a house of cards — no pun intended — but the underlying expected stats backstop St. Louis’ offense so far.
One weakness: Only six clubs have a lower secondary average than the Cardinals — mostly a who’s who of the worst offenses in the majors. Secondary traits tend to be more stable than BABIP-related indicators, so St. Louis will need to continue to churn out its admirable strikeout and line-drive rates — a good formula for an average-based offense. But if the average falls, the Cardinals don’t draw enough walks or mash enough homers to make up the difference.
Player who makes it all click: Brendan Donovan‘s career year serves as an avatar for what the St. Louis offense is all about. He leads the Redbirds in runs created, and because he’s doing that while mostly playing in the middle of the infield (which boosts positional value), he’s far and away the team leader in offensive bWAR. The question is will it last? On one hand, even though Donovan has a career BABIP of .319, his 2025-to-date figure of .355 is going to be tough to maintain. On the other hand, Donovan’s 31% line drive rate is tied for second in the NL with teammate Willson Contreras. — Doolittle
Teams 11-30
11. Boston Red Sox
12. Seattle Mariners
13. San Francisco Giants
14. Atlanta Braves
15. Tampa Bay Rays
16. San Diego Padres
17. Cincinnati Reds
18. Minnesota Twins
19. Houston Astros
20. Baltimore Orioles
21. Milwaukee Brewers
22. Los Angeles Angels
23. Washington Nationals
24. Cleveland Guardians
25. Texas Rangers
26. Kansas City Royals
27. Miami Marlins
28. Chicago White Sox
29. Pittsburgh Pirates
30. Colorado Rockies
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