
Are the Winnipeg Jets really this good? Inside their hot start — and whether it’s sustainable
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Published
5 months agoon
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Kristen Shilton
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Greg Wyshynski
Nov 20, 2024, 07:00 AM ET
One of the most impressive things about the Winnipeg Jets this season is how unimpressed they are with their record-breaking start.
“You can’t get caught up in what you’ve just done. You’ve got to worry about your next opponent,” said Scott Arniel, in his first season as the team’s head coach. “This group has been awesome with just ‘reset, go to the next game.'”
Start the season with eight wins — and reset. Become the first NHL team to win 15 of its first 16 games — and reset. Dominate the first month and a half of the season both offensively and defensively while posting a points percentage that would be a new NHL regular-season record if they’re able to sustain it — and reset.
In a season of surprises, none have been more shocking than the sudden ascent of the Jets. They were a 110-point team last season that was eliminated in the opening round, saw talented players defect as free agents and made its most significant change behind the bench, as Arniel stepped in for a retiring Rick Bowness.
Just 19 games into the 2024-25 season, the Jets are a juggernaut.
How did Winnipeg become so dominant? What’s changed from last season? Is it possible this is sustainable and the Jets should be a Stanley Cup favorite?
Here’s a deep dive into all things Winnipeg Jets, and whether this sensation will last.
What has changed from last season?
The Jets were already considered a strong defensive team. Most of that credit went to goalie Connor Hellebuyck, who captured his second Vezina Trophy last season while helping the Jets to a share of the NHL lead in goals against average (2.41 per game). But the team in front of him was tied for 10th overall in expected goals against per 60 minutes last season.
It’s their offense that’s the biggest change season-over-season. Through 18 games, the Jets were averaging 4.11 goals per game, after averaging 3.16 in 2023-24. That’s after a Florida swing that saw them muster just one tally against the Tampa Bay Lightning and nothing against the Florida Panthers. They earned a little revenge on Tuesday, besting the Panthers 6-3.
The Jets became the fourth team since 1967-68 to lead the NHL in goals for and against per game through their first 15 games. Their 73 goals in 16 games was the third most by a team in its first 16 games over the last 30 seasons.
Winnipeg has 11 players with 10 or more points this season. While offensive stars like Mark Scheifele (24 points in 19 games) and Kyle Connor (12 goals) have done their part, the Jets are also getting huge contributions from players like Gabriel Vilardi (seven goals) and Nino Niederreiter (seven goals).
“Everybody’s involved in it and that’s what makes it so dangerous, so lethal. It’s not just a one-trick pony,” Connor said. “If one line has an off night, we usually have two or three going that can pick it up. So I think that’s what makes us so dynamic.”
Connor said that the team’s offense comes from that aforementioned defensive prowess.
“It starts in our own zone,” he said. “When we defend well, the team’s going to give us all the chances that we need and I think that’s where we’re focused on coming into every single game.”
The team’s 5-on-5 scoring numbers aren’t all that different from last season, as the Jets had the same goals-per-60 minutes average (2.67) through 18 games as they had all of last season. Their expected goals have ticked up from 2.43 in 2023-24 to 2.61 per 60 minutes this season.
What’s helped fuel the Jets’ offense is a power play that led the league at a 36.5% conversion rate, producing a league-high 19 goals in 18 games. Winnipeg had a power-play success rate of 18.8% last season.
The biggest change here is assistant coach Davis Payne, hired in the offseason to run their power play. He got the Jets to incorporate more movement in their man advantage, and installed Nikolaj Ehlers in the “pop” position in the slot. Ehlers didn’t have a power-play goal in 82 games last season. He has three power-play goals in 18 games this campaign.
Of course, Payne isn’t the biggest change to the coaching staff from last season. Scott Arniel was elevated from associate coach to head coach after the retirement of Rick Bowness, and that’s been as much a factor in their success as anything.
How Scott Arniel lifted up the Jets
Scott Arniel had plenty to discuss about his own team when the Jets rolled into New York to face the Rangers earlier this month.
But he couldn’t help reminiscing too, about his time spent with the Blueshirts from 2013-18 as an assistant coach under then-bench boss Alain Vigneault. It was Arniel’s first big league opportunity following his inaugural NHL coaching job with the Columbus Blue Jackets from 2010-12.
Arniel called the Rangers gig “a real reset” after the firing in Columbus, helping New York to a Stanley Cup Final in 2014 and three more postseason appearances from there. The experience left an indelible mark.
“We had a chance to go to the Stanley Cup,” Arniel said. “We didn’t win it [against the Los Angeles Kings], but the opportunity to be in the Eastern Conference and see the rivalries that are out here, it was a great learning curve for me. I got to work under some good people that springboarded me forward to where I am today.”
There were more stops along the way before Arniel secured his second head gig. He was let go — along with Vigneault and most of his staff — in 2018 and moved onto an assistant spot with Washington. In 2022, Jets’ coach Rick Bowness brought Arniel to Winnipeg. When Bowness had to step aside for medical reasons during his tenure, it was Arniel who took the reins. So when Bowness retired last summer, Winnipeg GM Kevin Cheveldayoff didn’t have to look far for his replacement.
“He’s got intimate knowledge of a lot of different things,” Cheveldayoff said of tapping Arniel. “I was around when he made a couple of phone calls to some of the captains and [Connor Hellebuyck], and then talking to them [after], they were already talking about the season, they were already talking about next season; there wasn’t that kind of get to know you conversation. It was, ‘damn right, let’s get going.’ That passion definitely came through.”
Cheveldayoff also noted positive player feedback on the structure put in place with Arniel on the coaching staff. There was a desire from the team to maintain consistent messaging, something Arniel has delivered. The Jets are flexible under his eye, as capable of winning a tight-checking 1-0 affair as they are a 6-5 shootout. Arniel preaches discipline from the defensive side on out, and it’s served Winnipeg in becoming the multi-faceted powerhouse they’ve so often been throughout this season.
It goes back to a trust in those relationships between players and coach, a product of Arniel’s time learning from Bowness.
“It’s coaches pushing players,” Arniel said of his philosophy. “It’s players pushing players. It’s just kind of that mindset.”
The players said having Arniel step in when Bowness was away during the last two seasons helped the transition.
“We had a preview of him as a head coach,” defenseman Josh Morrissey said. “We saw how he ran the bench in games and stuff like that. He’s an intense guy, but he’s calm back there and I think our team feeds off that and kind of plays with that identity.”
Success can allow for that kind of serenity, but the Jets coaches want to make sure it doesn’t lead to complacency. They’ve been pleased to find that the players have an appetite for scrutiny despite stacking wins.
“Us coaches, we’re never happy. It doesn’t matter what the record is,” Arniel said. “We’re always finding things that maybe you want to work on, but that’s where this group has been good: We know what our structure is and if we continue to lead with that first, that usually helps us have success.”
Arniel said his phone has been blowing up with messages from NHL peers commenting on his team’s historic start.
“There’s been some funny ones, some real good ones,” he said. “There’s so many good coaches in this league. They’re gunning for us, so you’ve got to be ready because these guys are always at their best.”
The Connor Hellebuyck effect
Connor Hellebuyck is delivering one heck of an encore.
The league’s reigning Vezina Trophy winner is better now than he was last season. Hellebuyck made it look easy as he cruised to a league-leading 12-1-0 mark with a .924 save percentage and 1.92 goals-against average to open this campaign. And despite a hiccup against Florida — where Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 31 shots in a 5-0 Jets loss — he has rarely been short of spectacular manning the Jets’ crease.
Hellebuyck has three shutouts already, including in back-to-back outings against Colorado (1-0) and Utah (3-0). Surprisingly, it marked the first pair of consecutive shutouts in Hellebuyck’s career, and gave the netminder 40 total.
Winnipeg leans on its goaltender to be a difference-maker, and the 31-year old embraces that pressure by demanding a heavy workload. He’s started more games (484) than any NHL goaltender since 2016-17 and is tied for the fourth-best save percentage (.917%) in that stretch among goalies with at least 50 starts.
“I like to play a lot,” Hellebuyck earlier this month. “Once you get your rhythm, you can just kind of maintain it … [things] just kind of click and you see the game, and you kind of get ahead of the game. The more and more shots you get, the better you get ahead of that game.”
0:29
Connor Hellebuyck robs Panthers with save
Connor Hellebuyck robs Panthers with save
Putting too much weight on his own shoulders has derailed Hellebuyck in the past, though. He followed up that Vezina-worthy regular season with a shockingly poor first-round playoff effort against the Colorado Avalanche; Hellebuyck was 1-4, with an .870 SV% and 5.23 GAA.
What Hellebuyck said post-series was even more jaw-dropping, all things considered: “You’re probably not going to believe when I say I was playing the best hockey of my career.”
That’s Hellebuyck, though; never short on confidence. He mused that instead of trying to win games on his own he had to be part of the full team’s undertaking.
“There’s two ways to go about it,” Hellebuyck said before the season started. “Try and do it yourself, or try and rely on a team. The way I’ve gotten to where I am today is really digging into myself and doing everything I can, which really helps the team in the long run. [But] don’t deviate from what I’ve given myself [either].”
Hellebuyck has clearly struck the right balance this season. He’s recorded at least a .900 SV% in 10 of his 14 appearances, and allowed two or fewer goals against in seven outings. That’s been a complement to what the Jets are achieving as a whole, with consistent scoring, vastly improved special teams and impressive buy-in defensively.
“Everybody knows if you don’t have goaltending, it makes for a long year. So Helly gives us that foundation,” Arniel said. “But the biggest thing too is that we’re not just sitting and waiting on him to make 50 saves for us. We know there’s going to be breakdowns, where he’s going to have to stand up and make the save for us. But at the end of the day, our play in front of him has probably helped us not spend so much time on our end of the rink.”
Hellebuyck hasn’t single-handedly fueled Winnipeg’s historic start, but his impact is undeniably significant. After all, they didn’t coin the man “Vezina-Buyck” in Winnipeg for nothing.
And speaking of the Vezina, the league hasn’t had a goalie win in consecutive seasons since Martin Brodeur did it in 2007 and 2008. Will Hellebuyck be next?
The psychological impact of playoff disappointment
Last season, the Jets were tied with the Panthers for the fourth highest points percentage in the NHL (.671). They had identical 52-24-6 records, but that’s where the similarities ended: The Panthers went on to win the Stanley Cup for the first time, while the Jets were eliminated in the first round by the Avalanche.
It was the second straight season Winnipeg was unceremoniously dumped in five games by an opening-round opponent. In 2022-23, it was the Vegas Golden Knights steamrolling a 95-point Jets team en route to the Stanley Cup. But last postseason’s dismissal left the team more frustrated, after amassing 110 points in the regular season — six of them against the Avalanche, against whom the Jets were 3-0-0 with a plus-7 goal differential.
“We were on an eight-game winning streak. We played Colorado so well in the regular season and it just didn’t go our way in the playoffs,” winger Kyle Connor said. “This group’s been together for quite a long time now and the overall message was that we’ve got to get better as a group. Every single person in here has to take another level.”
Teams respond to playoff disasters in different ways. The series loss to Colorado — a 7-6 Game 1 win, followed by four straight defeats — didn’t lead to a panicky overhaul of the roster or a crisis of faith for the franchise. It did lead the Jets to look inward as to why their regular-season success hadn’t led to postseason glory, both for the players and the coaches.
“I think it’s two years in a row that you lose at five. Two great regular seasons in back-to-back years and then early first-round exits is not what we’re looking for,” said forward Cole Perfetti. “We know we have the group that can go a long way. We’ve proven to have a lot of regular-season success now. We’re just trying to build day after day to find that next level, next gear and hopefully propel us deep into the playoffs.”
When Arniel was elevated to head coach, one of his offseason objectives was to look under the Jets’ hood analytically to better understand how Colorado flipped the script on them. It was clear the Avalanche had changed tactics offensively in the series, using a dump-and-chase attack that impacted Winnipeg’s defense and hindered its offense, and the Jets hadn’t reacted quick enough to that.
Rather than building up a reserve of rage and discontent, Winnipeg channeled that frustration into a teachable moment for the group.
“It was a big thing that we talked about the start of the year and then we put behind us,” Arniel said. “There’s a process that we got to build. We’re trying to build that resiliency now that makes us good then, because it wasn’t good last year.”
He said the Colorado loss has also helped the team manage its emotions during this historic start.
“It’s why we’re not over the top, living the high life right now, because we know what happened last year,” the coach said. “We had a fantastic season, so we’re not going crazy here in November. I don’t think the Stanley Cup’s ever been handed out in November.”
The consistency of roster
There are some prominent names from last season’s playoff roster that are no longer in the Peg. Trade deadline additions like Sean Monahan and Tyler Toffoli left through free agency, to Columbus and San Jose respectively. Veteran defenseman Brenden Dillon signed with New Jersey.
Connor said that part of being a Winnipeg Jet is knowing that reinforcements might not arrive from elsewhere.
“You don’t typically get those big free agents. We have to improve in this room and I think everybody took that to heart,” he said. “You can kind of see the fruitions of that today.”
For the most part, this roster has been together for two seasons. You have to go back to the end of the 2022-23 season to find the last time this roster was really shaken up: That’s when former captain Blake Wheeler had the last year of his contract bought out and controversial center Pierre-Luc Dubois was traded to Los Angeles for Alex Iafallo, Rasmus Kupari and Gabriel Vilardi — all of whom are contributors on this current Jets team.
Arniel said that having consistency with the roster helps “when you have to go through big changes” as a team.
“There’s a growing period, and I think that we’ve kind of been through that already as a group over the last couple of years,” he said. “Whether that’s players playing amongst each other, whether it’s defensive partners, whether it’s line combinations, they’ve had the ability to do it for the last few years.”
Another thing happened in 2023: Both Scheifele and Hellebuyck committed to remain with the organization long-term. They both signed seven-year, $59.5 million contracts to end any speculation about becoming the next prominent names putting Winnipeg in the rear-view mirror.
“We’re all just jelling really well together,” Perfetti said. “And I think guys get along really well off the ice. So I think that adds to a lot of the team’s success. We found a good groove and we’re just sticking to it right now.”
What the analytics tell us
Some of the Jets’ analytics at 5-on-5 aren’t exactly harbingers of dominance. Natural Stat Trick has their expected goals percentage at 48.2%, which is 22nd in the league. It ticks up a bit when adjusted for score: 49.1% when the game is within one goal. The same goes for their percentage of shot attempts.
But while the Jets’ 5-on-5 numbers are a bit average, the NHL data analysts we surveyed marveled at the Jets’ power play this season.
“They are scoring at an incredible rate on the power play, shooting 14.1% vs 10.4% last season,” said Meghan Chayka of Stathletes. “They are doing this while averaging a similar shot quality: 15.6 scoring chances per game to 15.4 in 2023-2024.”
Chayka notes that through Nov. 15, Winnipeg was scoring a goal every 4:09 of power-play time, when the NHL average is 8:03.
1:58
Jets beat Rangers to make NHL History
The Winnipeg Jets become the first team in NHL history to win 15 of its first 16 games.
ESPN’s Rachel Doerrie said the biggest difference for the Jets year over year is special teams, with the power play clicking around double the rate that it did last season.
“Their power-play shooting percentage is sky-high,” she said.
But Doerrie expects their numbers on the man advantage will come back to earth at some point. “I’d expect their power-play percentage to level off around 25% — still top 10 in the NHL, but not historical,” she said.
At 5-on-5, the Jets appear to be creating more off the rush and causing chaos in front of the opposing goal.
“They seem to be generating more scoring opportunities with traffic, which have a higher likelihood of conversion,” Doerrie said. “They are also the type of goals that get scored in the playoffs — a very translatable style of offensive play.”
Doerrie was not only impressed with how often the Jets score this season but when they score. Winnipeg was 25th in the NHL last season in first-period goals. This season, they’re averaging more than a goal per game in the first period.
“Giving Hellebuyck a lead and allowing the bottom-six guys to go to work plays right into their hands,” she said. “If you’re scoring in the first and you aren’t giving up that lead, that’s a good sign.”
But for all of their offensive fireworks, the Jets remain most consistently impressive on defense.
“The Jets are the top team in the NHL in expected save percentage. They are structured defensively and that isn’t a surprise, as they have been top seven the last two seasons as well,” Chayka said. “Only 21.6% of shot attempts against are scoring chances, which is the third lowest in the NHL.
“Connor Hellebuyck is performing at an exceptional level again this season, so it’s not a surprise with him being top three in goals saved above expected the last two full seasons. They are a structured defensive team with a strong goalie.”
Is this sustainable?
Perfetti admitted that the Jets’ scorching start has probably made him more superstitious than usual.
“Just because we got such a good thing going. Everyone’s playing so well, our team’s finding so much success,” he said. “You don’t want to change too much up. You just want to ride the high and keep going with it.”
Through 18 games, the Jets have an .833 points percentage. Maintaining that pace would obliterate the best 82-game regular-season ever, set by the Boston Bruins (.823) in 2022-23.
Is that possible? Is this sustainable?
“Honestly, we know what we’re doing, but we don’t take too much stock in it. It’s move on to the next one. It’s ‘how can we improve, how can we be better?'” Connor said. “I think that’s what made us successful to this point. Nobody’s satisfied.”
So many things have gone right for the Jets thus far. They’ve used just 20 skaters this season, the second fewest in the NHL, according to Chayka. While other teams have juggled their lineups due to early-season injuries, the Jets fly on.
“Even if the Jets continue to avoid the injuries, there are questions about how sustainable this run is,” she said.
Chayka points to the Winnipeg offense as a point of concern. Through Nov. 15, they led the NHL in goals scored above expected, at plus-19.9 in all situations. Chayka believes that if they regressed to the NHL average, the Jets “would be near where their goals per game was last season.”
That offense has allowed them to win even when they’ve dug themselves a hole. Chayka notes that the Jets have won seven of 10 games when giving up the first goal to an opponent — a .700 winning percentage.
“Winnipeg has allowed the first goal in 10 of 17 games, including being down at least 2-0 five times. But it is 7-3-0 in those games,” she said. “There have only been four teams with a winning percentage above .600 when trailing first in games over the last five seasons.”
1:50
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets: Game Highlights
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets: Game Highlights
Doerrie is also skeptical about the Jets avoiding the injury bug and remaining as good on the power play as they’ve been. She has faith in Hellebuyck, but notes that he’s in the top six for high-danger saves per 60 minutes. “His high-danger save percentage is stable, but you don’t want your goalie facing the same number of high danger chances as Anaheim, Chicago and Nashville if you’re a contender,” she said.
In general, Doerrie believes Winnipeg is punching above its weight.
“Winnipeg’s record is better than they are, but they are a solid team. They are middle-of-the-pack in predictive stats like expected goals and percentage of shot attempts, and that is more indicative of their true talent. They are actually performing marginally worse in those categories than they were last season, a sign of that regression is likely on the horizon,” she said.
“They are likely to outperform those stats compared to other teams because of Hellebuyck, but not to the extent that has occurred this season. They’ve given themselves a cushion, but the statistical profile has some red flags that should give people pause before declaring them as a true Cup threat.”
But for the Jets, the cushion is the key. If there is regression, if these recent duds in Florida become more frequent, if Winnipeg’s early-season dominance wanes, they feel they’ve captured significant points in the first two months of the season to weather that.
“Whether you win in October or even March or April, the points are worth the same. So it’s nice to have been able to bank so many early on,” captain Adam Lowry said. “It’s been fun. Winning is a lot more fun than losing. But we’re going to have to hope to continue it.”
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Slow start? Not this year! Francisco Lindor has Mets rolling
Published
1 hour agoon
April 25, 2025By
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Jorge CastilloApr 25, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- ESPN baseball reporter. Covered the Washington Wizards from 2014 to 2016 and the Washington Nationals from 2016 to 2018 for The Washington Post before covering the Los Angeles Dodgers and MLB for the Los Angeles Times from 2018 to 2024.
NEW YORK — After Francisco Lindor began the season 0-for-11 and his slow starts of the past continued to haunt him, the Mets shortstop was asked what he needed to do to avoid another one.
“That’s a fantastic question,” Lindor said. “I’m sure everyone’s asking that and I’m sure everyone’s trying to figure it out, and I’m right there with everyone. I don’t know.”
Lindor soon got his answer — from Jeremy Barnes, one of the Mets’ two hitting coaches. The gist: Don’t chase hits, Barnes told him. Don’t chase anything. Stick to the plan and execute it. You’re one of the best in the world. Don’t make it more than it is. Trust the work and trust yourself.
“And he’s been awesome,” Barnes said. “He’s been awesome since then.”
Since that forgettable three-game series in Houston, then missing the Mets’ fourth game of the season for the birth of his third child, the Mets’ leadoff man is batting .349 with five home runs and a .972 OPS to help propel New York to the best record in the majors at 18-7. He has resembled the National League MVP runner-up from 2024 and is playing like one of the sport’s most dynamic stars — much earlier on the calendar than he usually does.
“The conversation helped me have a clearer mind on what I needed to do during the process,” Lindor said in Spanish. “Just try not to do much. Look for pitches I need to look for and pass the baton because we have a lot of batters who are horses and I don’t have to do much. It all comes in the preparation. I prepare, and once I get in the batter’s box, I’m not thinking. My athletic ability kicks in. That’s what happened.”
Even while his new superstar teammate, Juan Soto, has stumbled out of the gate, Lindor was otherworldly during the Mets’ recent 7-0 homestand at Citi Field, which ended with a walk-off win over the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday to clinch a three-game sweep of the division rivals. Lindor became the first player in the majors this season to reach base three times in four straight games.
He crushed a walk-off home run in last Friday’s win over the St. Louis Cardinals. He clubbed a leadoff home run Sunday and another Monday — plus a three-run shot in the seventh inning to give the Mets the insurance needed for a 5-4 win over Philadelphia.
He finished the seven-game winning streak 14-for-30 with four home runs, a 1.367 OPS and a splash of elite defense. In particular, Lindor is mashing fastballs this season. He’s batting .344 with four home runs, four doubles and a .607 slugging percentage against them — perhaps the result of hitting in front of Soto or just a small sample size from an elite, locked-in performer.
“He’s free in a way where it’s like, ‘You know what? I’m just going to be myself,'” Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said. “And that’s what he’s doing right now. And he’s getting results.”
Over his career, Lindor has made a habit of slow starts. In his first four seasons with the Mets, he batted a cumulative .218 over the first month of the season. Last year, he slashed .190/.265/.352 through May 18. He was booed at home. His wife, Katia, shared threatening messages from fans on social media. Owner Steve Cohen called for more positivity toward Lindor from the fan base. The Mets, in turn, began the season 22-33.
Good vibes were fundamental in the Mets’ subsequent turnaround, but good vibes require consistent winning. Lindor was foundational in that. It was Lindor who called the team meeting in late May that the Mets credited with putting them on track for a wildly captivating summer that ended in the fall just two wins shy of the World Series. And it was Lindor who became the best player in the National League not named Shohei Ohtani after his turbulent start, hitting .304 with a .928 OPS in 108 games after moving to the leadoff spot on May 18 — all while using a torpedo bat (sans the uproar).
It was also around that time that Lindor switched his walk-up song to the Temptations’ “My Girl,” a choice he dedicated to his wife and daughters. It has since become a Citi Field staple, with the crowd singing along to the tune before each of Lindor’s plate appearances — a stark difference from the reception he received a year ago.
“Last year we weren’t playing well,” Lindor said. “Now we have vibes. The music is louder. The chemistry from the guys is a lot better than what we had at the beginning of last year. The organization feels more stable. The culture is beautiful. It feels a lot better and that’s very important. It takes years of that growing.”
The Mets acquired Lindor before the 2021 season and immediately signed him to a 10-year, $341 million extension to serve as that culture setter and franchise cornerstone. He isn’t the only leader on a veteran roster with Soto, Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo, but he is the front man, whose voice resonates because of his consistent performance.
Lindor’s 8.8 fWAR over the past calendar year is the highest in the National League, trailing only Aaron Judge‘s and Bobby Witt Jr.’s across all of baseball. His hot start this season could finally produce his first All-Star nod as a Met.
“He can impact the game in so many different ways,” Mets designated hitter Jesse Winker said. “He looks amazing at the plate. It’s really fun to watch. And, yeah, man, it’s like, day in and day out, he does something special so it’s cool to see.”
Lindor was special on Wednesday afternoon. His smooth backhanded play in the hole for the third out of the first inning saved some of starting pitcher David Peterson‘s bullets. He walked in the third, singled in the fifth and singled again in the seventh.
At the end, after Starling Marte, a veteran struggling in his first experience in a part-time role, delivered the game-winning single in the 10th, Lindor was the first person to sprint out to give the day’s hero a hug. He was everywhere. He’s keeping it simple. He’s clear-minded. He’s trusting himself. And the Mets are winning because of it.
“I think you come into the season and you’re trying to get your feet wet and you’re thinking of all these things,” Barnes said. “As opposed to just like, no, it’s just execute the plan. Execute the plan in April. Execute the plan in May. Execute the plan in June. Just execute the plan. And he’s one of the best in the world at being able to go out and execute that plan.
“I know that sounds super simplistic, but for him I really think it’s that.”
Sports
Buchnevich’s hat trick steers Blues to Game 3 win
Published
7 hours agoon
April 25, 2025By
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Associated Press
Apr 25, 2025, 01:02 AM ET
ST. LOUIS — Pavel Buchnevich scored three goals for his first career playoff hat trick and added an assist as the St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-2 in Game 3 of their first-round series on Thursday night.
Cam Fowler had a goal and four assists, and Jordan Kyrou, Alexey Toropchenko and Colton Parayko also scored, and Robert Thomas had three assists to help the Blues cut the Jets’ series lead to 2-1. Jordan Binnington made 17 saves.
David Gustafsson and Neal Pionk scored for the Jets, who won the first two games in Winnipeg. Connor Hellebuyck gave up six goals on 25 shots before being pulled midway through the third period. Eric Comrie stopped two of the three shots he faced.
Game 4 is in St. Louis on Sunday, with Game 5 in Winnipeg on Wednesday.
Buchnevich, who had just one goal in 22 previous postseason games, gave the Blues an early lead with two goals in the game’s opening minutes. He got it going just 48 seconds in by kicking the puck off his stick and into the net, and then he tipped Thomas’ shot for a power-play goal at 3:11.
Fowler, who assisted on the first two goals, made it 3-0 with 4:09 left in the opening period.
Buchnevich and Fowler became the first Blues teammates with three points in a period of a playoff game since Al MacInnis and Chris Pronger in Game 3 of the 1998 West quarterfinals against the Kings.
Binnington robbed Cole Perfetti of a power-play goal midway through the second that would have gotten Winnipeg back in it. Perfetti and the Jets thought the puck crossed the goal line in Binnington’s glove, but after a lengthy league-initiated review, the save stood.
Buchnevich’s third goal, at 5:24 of the third period, came less than a minute after Gustafsson gave the Jets some momentum with his first of the playoffs.
Kyrou had a power-play goal at 7:56 and Toropchenko scored with 9:28 left to make it 6-1 and chase Hellebuyck.
Pionk had a power-play goal for the Jets 2 1/2 minutes later, but Parayko got the Blues’ third goal with the man-advantage with 3:43 remaining to close the scoring.
Sports
MLB Power Rankings: Who’s No. 1 one month into the season?
Published
7 hours agoon
April 25, 2025By
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We’re just about at the one-month mark of the 2025 MLB season — meaning, yes, it’s still too early to give much credence to the standings, but there are quite a few surprises nonetheless.
Just 2.5 games separate four teams — three of which have winning percentages above .600 — in the NL West, as the National League is shaping up to be packed with many powerful playoff-contending squads. And in the NL East, the current basement dweller, in a division that includes the Marlins and Nationals … is still the Braves?!
Meanwhile, in the American League, while the Yankees are playing as well as projected, a number of teams are hovering around .500, the Orioles are scuffling and the Twins have the second-worst record in the league.
What will the month of May bring for these clubs? Will they be able to carry — or change — their momentum?
Our expert panel has combined to rank every team based on a combination of what we’ve seen so far and what we already knew going into the 162-game marathon that is a full baseball season. We also asked ESPN MLB experts Jorge Castillo, Alden Gonzalez and Bradford Doolittle to weigh in with an observation for all 30 teams.
Record: 16-9
Previous ranking: 2
The Dodgers spent the offseason loading up their roster in hopes that they would become almost immune to the attrition that plagues teams throughout the season. Their pitching depth has been compromised nonetheless. Tony Gonsolin (back), Blake Snell (shoulder), Blake Treinen (forearm) and Michael Kopech (forearm) were added to the injured list before the end of the season’s first full month. And though none of their aforementioned injuries are considered serious — for now, at least — they offer yet another reminder of how delicate pitching depth can be. The Dodgers, meanwhile, have won in spite of that. Not at the rate many expected them to, perhaps, but enough to keep them among the sport’s elite. — Gonzalez
Record: 17-8
Previous ranking: 1
Any thought that the Padres’ deflating NL Division Series loss and the underwhelming offseason that followed it would weaken their resolve in 2025 has been grossly misplaced. They’ve stormed out of the gate with the second-best record in baseball, winning each of their first seven games and claiming five of their first six series. Nick Pivetta has been a revelation. Fernando Tatis Jr. is displaying a newfound patience that has made him look like the best player in the sport. The bullpen has been dominant. But what has stood out most is the energy of the Padres’ home environment and how their players continue to feed off it. They are 12-1 at Petco Park this season, a place that has seen their pitching staff post a 1.30 ERA. — Gonzalez
Record: 18-7
Previous ranking: 3
Don’t look now but the Mets are on fire — and the fans at Citi Field are getting very excited. The raucous atmosphere at the ballpark during the Mets’ extra-inning game against the Phillies on Wednesday came through even on the broadcast. That’s not surprising for a team that entered the season with high expectations and, so far, has more than met them. A starting rotation that seemed to lack star power when the season began has been one of the best units in the majors. The rotation’s average game score (56) ranks just behind MLB-leading Texas and its ERA (a sparkling 2.29) is easily the best in the majors. — Doolittle
Record: 15-10
Previous ranking: 7
If it wasn’t obvious last year, Aaron Judge is still proving he’s the best hitter on the planet — and it’s not particularly close. The two-time AL MVP has been Bondsian (should it just be Judgian at this point?) again to start the season. He leads the majors in batting average (.415), OBP (.513), slugging (.734) and OPS (1.247), and is tied for second in RBIs (26), to name a few categories.
Remember: Last season, he slashed .322/.458/.701 with 58 home runs — and won MVP — after a middling start through the beginning of May. In 150 games since May 3 last year, he’s batting .367 with 59 home runs, 152 RBIs and a 1.273 OPS. It has been an unreal stretch — going back, really, to his 62-homer season in 2022 — that we haven’t seen since Barry Bonds was splashing balls into McCovey Cove. — Castillo
Record: 16-9
Previous ranking: 4
When franchise icon Buster Posey assumed the role of president of baseball operations, he set out to build the Giants into a team that would win on the strength of pitching and defense. That, Posey said he believed, was key to thriving at a place like Oracle Park, which traditionally saps offense. But while that develops, the Giants have enjoyed a much-needed spark of offense from Jung Hoo Lee, who’s slashing .333/.388/.581 with 10 doubles. Lee’s rookie season of 2024 was plagued by a torn labrum. The Giants couldn’t truly catch a glimpse for how his elite bat-to-ball skills would translate within Oracle Park’s spacious outfield. They have now. — Gonzalez
Record: 14-10
Previous ranking: 8
When it comes to Arizona’s lineup, Corbin Carroll is the spark plug, Josh Naylor was brought in to provide punch in the middle of it and Geraldo Perdomo is one of its most crucial — yet unheralded — contributors. Their production was to be expected. But Pavin Smith‘s has been a welcomed sight. The 29-year-old left-handed hitter put together a really solid 60-game sample last season and has taken that to a new level in the first month, batting almost .400 while boasting the second-highest slugging percentage among those with at least 70 plate appearances. The D-backs never really replaced Joc Pederson‘s production at designated hitter with any outside acquisitions. Smith has shown they didn’t need to. — Gonzalez
Record: 16-10
Previous ranking: 6
On two occasions in five days, both teams scored at least 10 runs in a game at Wrigley Field. On Friday, the Cubs beat the D-backs 13-11 by scoring five runs in the seventh inning and six runs in the eighth. On Tuesday, they trailed the Dodgers by three runs heading into the bottom of the eighth and wound up beating them 11-10 in the 10th. It spoke to the early identity of this Cubs team. With Justin Steele out for the season and their bullpen a mess, the Cubs might have to slug their way to the top of the NL Central. And with the likes of Kyle Tucker, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Seiya Suzuki, Michael Busch and Carson Kelly off to strong starts, they just might. — Gonzalez
Record: 13-12
Previous ranking: 5
President of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski has been able to cobble together contention-worthy bullpens for the most part during his time with the Phillies, but his wizardry in that area has been tested early. The Phillies have gotten solid enough work from the trio of Jose Alvarado, Matt Strahm and Tanner Banks, but pretty much every other reliever has struggled. Of particular concern is veteran right-hander Jordan Romano, who inked a one-year, $8.5 million free agent deal with Philadelphia over the winter. Romano’s early-season ERA is an unsightly 13.50 and he has given up two or more runs in four of his 10 outings. — Doolittle
Record: 15-10
Previous ranking: 9
It took longer than projected, but right-hander Casey Mize and first baseman Spencer Torkelson are finally realizing their potential together as former No. 1 overall picks in consecutive years. The 28-year-old Mize, the top pick in 2017, has been the best starter in a rotation featuring Tarik Skubal with a 2.22 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in four starts despite just a 18.9% strikeout rate after posting a 4.49 ERA last season. Torkelson, meanwhile, is slashing .264/.373/.571 with seven home runs in 25 games. The 2018 No. 1 pick has already accumulated 1.1 fWAR (his career high is 1.5, which he set in 2023 when he slugged a career-high 31 homers). — Castillo
Record: 14-10
Previous ranking: 10
The Rangers’ solid early pitching has helped them establish an early lead in the AL West despite a negative run differential. They will be hard-pressed to remain on that perch if their aggressive offense doesn’t start producing when it’s not hitting home runs. Texas is in the bottom five of the majors in swinging at first pitches, walks and scoring runs, and only four teams have relied more on homers to score. The ambush approach has worked for their attack in the past, but so far this year, it has not. — Doolittle
Record: 14-12
Previous ranking: 9
The Rafael Devers predicament is no longer an issue. The third baseman-turned-DH reverted to his usual self since that historically dreadful start (0-for-19 with 15 strikeouts), batting .253 with 13 RBIs and seven doubles since April 2. And yet, strangely, the Red Sox have struggled to consistently produce high-scoring outputs. Boston has scored four or fewer runs in 13 of 21 games this month. It’s baffling for a lineup with that much firepower — especially considering four regulars have an OPS of at least .820. — Castillo
Record: 14-10
Previous ranking: 11
It’s shaping up to be another year of the so-called experts (Who, me?) overlooking the Guardians and another year of the Guardians stomping on low expectations. At least so far. They’re 14-10 despite a minus-five run differential and closer Emmanuel Clase‘s 7.84 ERA. Steven Kwan is batting .337. Kyle Manzardo has seven home runs. Jose Ramirez has an .824 OPS with five homers and four steals. Logan Allen has a 2.11 ERA through four starts. Clase’s struggles after a historically great season are alarming, but Hunter Gaddis (no runs over 9⅔ innings), Cade Smith (1.38 ERA), Jakob Junis (1.64 ERA), Joey Cantillo (1.35 ERA) and Tim Herrin (2.00 ERA) have sparkled out of the bullpen. The Guardians just keep humming along in a very winnable AL Central. — Castillo
Record: 13-12
Previous ranking: 19
Things looked quite bleak for the Brewers early. They lost their first four games, during which their staff gave up a combined 47 runs. It looked like the start of a long year in Milwaukee. Then the Brewers did what they’re best known for — win, regardless of who’s gone or who’s hurt. Since the first day of April, they have won 13 of 21 games to keep pace with the Cubs in the NL Central. During that stretch, their rotation has put together a 2.34 ERA, second only to the Mets for the major league lead — even though seven starting pitchers currently make up Milwaukee’s IL. — Gonzalez
Record: 13-11
Previous ranking: 21
The Astros appear to have a new ace in Hunter Brown, who has been one of baseball’s best pitchers during the opening month. Brown has strung together three straight scoreless outings, lowering his season ERA to 1.16. The early-season star of Brown’s arsenal has been a four-seamer that has picked up 1.3 mph in average velocity over last season, per Statcast. Opponents are 2-for-35 against Brown’s heater in 2025 and the assigned run value of the four-seamer (plus-7) puts it in a tie with the slider of Miami’s Max Meyer as the most valuable pitch in all of baseball so far. — Doolittle
Record: 10-14
Previous ranking: 18
The Braves have more or less bounced back from their winless season-opening trip, a skid that dropped them from ESPN’s preseason No. 2 team to the middle of the pack. Yet all is not well in Cobb County. Good news: Spencer Strider made a triumphant return to the majors last week. Bad news: He made a frustrating return to the IL not long after. Luckily, his hamstring strain was classified as Grade 1 and if all goes well, his IL stint won’t be a long one. Still, his one-start return is apropos for an elite team that has struggled to build momentum. — Doolittle
Record: 13-11
Previous ranking: 15
The disconnect between the home and road versions of Seattle’s offense is reaching absurd levels. At T-Mobile Park, the Mariners remain punchless, hitting .226 as a team while scoring at a rate (3.6 runs) better than only three other teams in their respective home venues. On the road, they are the punchers, hitting .267 with a top five road scoring average in baseball.
An avatar in that is third baseman Dylan Moore, fresh off winning AL Player of the Week honors, boosted by the fact that the M’s are on a road trip. For the season, Moore is hitting .200/.333/.350 in Seattle with one homer. On the road, he’s at .311/.340/.600 with four homers. Maybe the Mariners’ hitters could petition to play all their games on the road? — Doolittle
Record: 12-13
Previous ranking: 13
The Blue Jays have enjoyed a solid first month, which registers as a success after last year’s last-place debacle. But the first month of the season will be remembered for their decision to give Vladimir Guerrero Jr. a $500-million contract. Whether that investment pans out will make or break the franchise’s future. Stringing together a few solid months to remain within striking distance at the trade deadline would be a good start. — Castillo
Record: 12-13
Previous ranking: 17
The Reds’ offense has mostly underperformed — minus a 24-run onslaught against the Orioles on Easter Sunday — but their pitching has been mostly solid. And the most encouraging signs have come from their two young frontline starters, Hunter Greene and Nick Lodolo, who have clearly taken big steps forward. The two have combined for a 2.56 ERA through their first 10 starts. Greene, whose fastball is averaging 99 mph, has struck out 35 batters and issued only six walks in 30⅔ innings. Andrew Abbott, meanwhile, was activated off the IL around mid-April and has given up only two runs in 11 innings. — Gonzalez
Record: 10-14
Previous ranking: 12
For all the work done to make Steinbrenner Field feel like home, the fact is that the Rays are still without one. That was obvious over the weekend when the Yankees traveled to Tampa to take three of four games as the visiting team in their spring training ballpark. The Rays have played all but five games at their temporary residence, going 9-10 after having their schedule changed to frontload home games to avoid the summer heat and rain. They’ll need to be better than that to make noise in the AL East. — Castillo
Record: 9-14
Previous ranking: 20
The Orioles’ chief concern entering the season was their starting pitching, and it’s proved to be a very real problem — one without an obvious solution. They have the highest starters’ ERA in baseball by nearly a half-run. Charlie Morton, their $15 million free agent addition, has a league-worst 10.89 ERA in 20⅔ innings through five starts. Dean Kremer has a 6.84 ERA after yielding eight extra-base hits to the Nationals on Tuesday. Cade Povich has a 6.38 ERA. Zach Eflin, their Opening Day starter, was put on the IL because of a lat strain after three starts. Grayson Rodriguez and Albert Suarez began the season on the IL because of shoulder injuries and their returns aren’t imminent. This is a weakness that could bury Baltimore in the standings before long. — Castillo
Record: 10-14
Previous ranking: 16
Kansas City ranks last in baseball in runs scored per game, averaging fewer than three. Bobby Witt Jr. is raking again and Maikel Garcia has been a pleasant surprise, but other than that, it has been ugly. Vinnie Pasquantino has a .186/.260/.314 slash line. Salvador Perez also has struggled with a .185 batting average and .528 OPS. This has all amplified the fan base’s cries for the club to call up top prospect Jac Caglianone as soon as possible.
Caglianone was the team’s first-round pick at No. 6 last year. He possesses perhaps the best raw power across the minors, but the first baseman has played only 16 games above Double-A. As an elite two-way player in college, he could be capable of playing the outfield, but he has played only first base as a pro, so there isn’t an obvious positional fit. But his bat could force its way to Kansas City soon enough. — Castillo
Record: 10-15
Previous ranking: 23
The Cardinals turned some heads with a season-opening sweep of the Twins, but now they’re right about where we expected — five games below .500 in the wake of a brutal 1-6 trip and battling the typical inconsistency of a mediocre-to-bad team. Brendan Donovan has been red hot; the likes of Nolan Arenado, Lars Nootbaar and Victor Scott II have provided encouraging signs; and key members of their staff, most notably Sonny Gray and Steven Matz, have pitched well. But there has been at least as much bad to counteract the good.
Case in point: Miles Mikolas took the mound with a 7.64 ERA on Wednesday afternoon and proceeded to throw six scoreless innings against the Braves. The Cardinals lost anyway. They scored only once. — Gonzalez
Record: 11-12
Previous ranking: 22
After a hot — and surprising — start, the Angels have started to level off, dropping back to .500 with a run differential well below break even. The bullpen has been a problem area despite a near-perfect start to the season from veteran closer Kenley Jansen. One glimmer of hope from that group is 27-year-old right-hander Ryan Zeferjahn, who, despite logging only 6⅔ innings this season, ranks fourth on the Halos with 14 strikeouts. He’s whiffing batters at a rate of 18.9 per nine innings — or more than two per frame. He also has given up a couple of homers, but the raw talent certainly seems to be there for Zeferjahn to work a high-leverage role. — Doolittle
Record: 11-13
Previous ranking: 26
For all the early talk about Sutter Health Park being a new hitter’s paradise in MLB, the Athletics’ immediate problem is that their opponents have done a much better job of playing to its conditions. The A’s lost eight of their first 10 home games in Sacramento, and while the ugly home/road splits of the pitching staff might be expected, the much bigger surprise is that their hitters have also been better on the road. The difference has primarily been homers: 13 long balls in 11 games at home; 22 in 13 games on the road. — Doolittle
Record: 11-13
Previous ranking: 25
The Marlins have held their own in the win column over the first month, though they hold one of the NL’s worst run differentials. Still, as long as Miami is hovering around .500, it’s probably not fair to turn the focus to what so many see as the inevitability of a Sandy Alcantara trade. Nevertheless, whether you’re tracking Alcantara for trade value purposes or you’re holding out hope that the Marlins can be a surprise contender, the better he pitches, the better off you’ll be. Alas, Alcantara is not yet back to his pre-injury, Cy Young form. A quality start against Cincinnati on Wednesday lowered his ERA to 6.56 but his K/9 (6.56, matching the ERA) and BB/9 (4.63) are both well off his presurgery standard. — Doolittle
Record: 9-15
Previous ranking: 24
The Twins couldn’t overcome injuries in 2024, collapsing down the stretch to fall out of postseason contention, and it looks as if they won’t be able to overcome injuries in 2025 either. Royce Lewis, the talented but oft-injured infielder, sustained a hamstring injury during spring training and hasn’t played in a game yet. Right-hander Pablo Lopez, the club’s Opening Day starter, landed on the IL because of his own hamstring injury after three starts. An oblique strain has kept utilityman Willi Castro, an All-Star last season, off the field since April 16. The Twins, meanwhile, have sunk to fourth place in the competitive AL Central, ahead of only the White Sox. — Castillo
Record: 11-13
Previous ranking: 27
Is it too soon to be on record watch? Probably, but the Nationals have lots of reasons to be excited about MacKenzie Gore, who is on pace to make a run at 300 strikeouts this season. He already has produced a pair of 13-strikeout starts and was leading the NL in whiffs after his last start against Colorado. The Nationals’ single-season mark is 300 on the nose, established by Max Scherzer in 2018. The champ from the Expos portion of the franchise’s history is Pedro Martinez, who struck out 305 in 1997. It’s heady company for Gore, long touted as an elite prospect who is on the verge of establishing himself as an elite big league pitcher. — Doolittle
Record: 10-15
Previous ranking: 28
The Pirates’ first month has been marked by controversy. The opening homestand was tainted by the removal of Roberto Clemente signage in the right-field portion of PNC Park. Then there were the personalized fan bricks that were extracted from outside the ballpark without an initial explanation. Then came this past Saturday — a day when fans lined the Clemente Bridge to receive a Paul Skenes bobblehead, then crammed into the ballpark and filled the air with “sell the team” chants for Pirates’ frugal owner Bob Nutting. Skenes, who will start at Dodger Stadium on Friday, continues to look dominant, posting a 2.87 ERA through his first five starts. But everything around him continues to be a mess. — Gonzalez
Record: 5-19
Previous ranking: 29
The White Sox are losing far more than they’re winning. That’s expected and won’t alter their long-term plans. But Luis Robert Jr. not being good could have a significant impact. Ideally, the veteran center fielder would have dashed to a fast start and had contenders throwing trade offers with top-end prospects at the White Sox to sort through before the trade deadline. But Robert is slashing .145/.267/.250 with 27 strikeouts in 22 games. That won’t attract the kind of haul the White Sox seek as they continue their painfully thorough rebuild. — Castillo
Record: 4-18
Previous ranking: 30
It was a mere three weeks into the season when the Rockies determined that a drastic change was necessary. On the afternoon of April 17, they announced the firing of hitting coach Hensley Meulens and replaced him with longtime manager Clint Hurdle, who had taken on an advisory role with the organization. The Rockies were in the midst of a six-game losing streak then, during which they had accumulated only 12 runs — seven of which had come the night before. Things have not gotten much better since. Hurdle, of course, is no wizard. The Rockies hold the third-lowest OPS in the majors and its worst record, all while playing in the sport’s most difficult division. It will be another long season in Colorado. — Gonzalez
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