After a quarter where Nvidia’s sales nearly doubled, investors and analysts are wondering how long the chipmaker can keep this kind of growth going now that it has a $140 billion annual revenue run rate.
Those hopes fall on Blackwell, which is Nvidia’s name for a family of server products based around its next-generation AI chip.
CEO Jensen Huang and CFO Colette Kress gave investors several new data points on how Blackwell’s launch is shaping up on a call with analysts on Wednesday. The duo emphasized that the rollout is on track, and they signaled that Blackwell sales over the next few quarters will be limited by how many chips and systems Nvidia can make, not how much it can sell.
“Blackwell production is in full steam,” Huang said. “We will deliver this quarter more Blackwells than we had previously estimated.”
The company’s positive comments on Blackwell are one reason why the stock is only down 1%, despite the company missing elevated expectations from bullish investors who anticipated Nvidia would significantly exceed its own forecasts.
Huang and Kress’s comments also addressed fears about shipment delays that were spurred by reports that said Nvidia was making ongoing engineering changes to its systems to address problems.
Some of Nvidia’s most important end-customers have already received some Blackwell chips, the company confirmed on Wednesday. Microsoft, Oracle and OpenAI have posted pictures of Blackwell-based server racks on their social media accounts, and on Wednesday, the company said 13,000 Blackwell chips have already been shipped to customers.
“There’s still a lot of a lot of engineering that happens at this point,” Huang said. “But as you see from all of the systems that are being stood up, Blackwell is in great shape.”
Those sample chips aren’t the bulk of the shipments that the company is expecting to make. They’re early versions intended to allow customers to start testing and get their systems and software ready for the volume shipments, which will start in Nvidia’s current quarter.
“We will we’ll ship more Blackwells next quarter than this [quarter], and we’ll ship more Blackwells the quarter after that than than our first quarter,” Huang said.
In July, Nvidia said it expected “several billion dollars” of Blackwell revenue in its current quarter, and on Wednesday, the company said it expects the amount of Blackwell sales for this quarter to be higher than its original forecast. Huang also said that Microsoft will soon start to preview its Blackwell-based systems to cloud customers.
A limiting factor to producing more Blackwell systems is the amount of components that Nvidia’s suppliers can provide, Huang said. Additionally, it takes time to ramp up the velocity of a manufacturing process that has gone from zero shipments to billions of dollars of shipments in a few months.
“It is the case that demand exceeds our supply, and that’s expected as we’re in the beginnings of this generative AI revolution,” Huang said.
“Almost every company in the world seems to be involved in our supply chain,” Huang said.
Nvidia said that Blackwell’s gross margins will be lower in the coming months than the 73.5% it reported in the third quarter, but the company said that margin will increase as the product matures. Huang pointed out that Blackwell comes as just the chip itself or in configurations that include an entire rack and other components.
Nvidia’s overall message on Wednesday was that its new Blackwell chip is in short supply because companies like OpenAI need the fastest GPUs available as quickly as possible to develop next-generation AI models. As Blackwell rolls out, Nvidia’s current AI chips, which it calls Hopper, will be relegated to serving AI models, not creating new ones. Nvidia said that Blackwell sales will eventually exceed those of Hopper.
“You see now that at the tail end of the last generation of foundation models, we’re at at about 100,000 Hoppers,” Huang said. “The next generation starts at 100,000 Blackwells.”
Apple CEO Tim Cook delivers remarks at the start of the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) on June 10, 2024 in Cupertino, California. Apple will announce plans to incorporate artificial intelligence (AI) into Apple software and hardware. (
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
Apple has temporarily disabled Apple Intelligence summaries for news apps for users of its beta software in a sign of the challenges the company is dealing with in its AI technology.
The decision to pause AI summaries comes weeks after the BBC highlighted that Apple’s AI system had twisted its news notifications to display inaccurate facts. The pause only affects people using Apple’s beta software, not those using the company’s main operating systems.
News and entertainment apps, such as The New York Times, began showing a short message inside the iPhone settings app on Thursday noting that AI-powered summaries were “temporarily unavailable.”
The pause on one of Apple Intelligence’s core features highlights the challenge Apple faces in the roll out of its artificial intelligence technology, which has been scrutinized by many users on social media.
“With the latest beta software releases of iOS 18.3, iPadOS 18.3, and macOS Sequoia 15.3, Notification summaries for the News & Entertainment category will be temporarily unavailable,” an Apple representative told CNBC in a statement.
The spokesperson noted that Apple is working on improvements to the software that are coming in a future software update. The company did not say when it will roll out its iOS 18.3 software to users of the main version of the iPhone operating system, but it could take weeks, based on Apple’s previous software release patterns.
The decision to temporarily pause the AI summaries comes on the same day that Apple saw its stock close down 4%, marking its worst day of trading since Aug. 5. A reason for the drop was due to notable Apple supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo writing on Monday that the Apple Intelligence suite of features does not appear to be boosting iPhone sales.
Apple Intelligence struggles since launch
The company launched Apple Intelligence in October as the signature feature in its latest line of iPhone models and its answer to Silicon Valley’s AI arms race that kicked off with the launch of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in late 2022.
Apple has used the AI features as the key selling point in its advertisements and marketing for its latest hardware products, but the software has been riddled with issues.
The company says that the entire Apple Intelligence system is in beta, and the update on Thursday added language to say that the AI software can produce unexpected results.
Apple Intelligence includes several features, including image generators, but the one that’s received the most attention is how it can summarize entire stacks of notifications into concise sentences — useful, according to Apple’s marketing materials, for getting through hundreds of group chat notifications without scrolling through the whole discussion.
With the Thursday update, Apple said it will show any AI-summarized notification in italics to distinguish them from other notifications.
In testing, Apple Intelligence summaries weren’t perfect, but the errors were mostly funny and obvious. Problems cropped up when the technology began being used to summarize news, and it displayed false information.
The most egregious well-documented error happened in December, when 22 separate BBC news notifications were combined into a three-part headline that started with “Luigi Mangione shoots himself.” The alleged Brian Thompson assassin has not done that.
The feature also combined headlines from The New York Times into a November notification that falsely said that Israeli Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu had been arrested, according to a ProPublica reporter’s post on social media.
Another Apple Intelligence notification on Jan. 3 said that darts player Luke Littler had won a world championship, which had yet to take place, according to the BBC. The technology also conflated notifications from BBC’s sports app to say that “Brazilian tennis player, Rafael Nadal, comes out as gay.” Nadal is Spanish and is married to Maria Francisca Perello.
Apple on Thursday also rolled out a new feature that lets users turn off AI summaries for any app by swiping left on the notification from the phone’s lock screen. Users previously could only turn off AI summaries through the settings app.
Duolingo shares rose nearly 7% on Thursday following a large spike in users signing up to learn Mandarin in conjunction with soaring usage of Chinese social media app RedNote, a TikTok rival.
The company confirmed to CNBC that there’s been a 216% increase in Mandarin learners using the app compared to a year earlier. For context, Spanish, one of the most popular languages on the app, has seen a 40% increase over the same period, Duolingo said.
RedNote, or Xiaohongshu, as it’s known in China, has rocketed to become the No. 1 free app on the Apple app store, a position it’s held for most of this week. Rounding out the top five are TikTok’s Lemon8 app, U.S. social media upstart Clapper, OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Meta’s Threads.
Last week, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the case involving the future of TikTok in the U.S., and a law that could effectively ban the popular app. The justices appeared to favor upholding the law, and a decision could come as soon as Friday. TikTok is reportedly preparing for a U.S. shutdown on Sunday.
RedNote has so far been the top beneficiary of the American user exodus, seeing its U.S. app downloads increase by 20 times over the last week, according to market intelligence firm Sensor Tower. A Duolingo spokesperson told CNBC that the company’s marketing team is “forward-thinking and already has an active presence on Red, managed by our team in China.”
Duolingo offers online and mobile courses across 42 languages. According to its website, Duolingo has 48.8 million Spanish learners. French is the second most popular language on the app at 27.3 million users, while Chinese is eighth at 10.7 million.
Duolingo shares climbed 43% last year, topping the Nasdaq’s 29% gain.
Snap CEO Evan Spiegel, joins CNBC ‘Power Lunch’ on September 17, 2024.
CNBC
Snap shares closed down 5% on Thursday after the Federal Trade Commission said it would refer a complaint against the company to the Department of Justice.
The FTC’s non-public complaint involves allegations that Snapchat’s My AI chatbot poses “risks and harms to young users,” the commission said in a statement. The complaint stems from the FTC’s compliance reviews with Snap following a 2014 settlement regarding allegations of public deception pertaining to data collection by the company.
As part of the FTC’s compliance reviews of Snap, the agency said it had uncovered the possibility that the company “is violating or is about to violate the law.”
“A proceeding is in the public interest,” the FTC said in its statement.
The FTC did not specify what about the My AI chatbot its complaint was focused on, but the chatbot has previously drawn scrutiny.
A Snap spokesperson pushed back against the FTC’s claims in a statement to CNBC.
“Unfortunately, on the last day of this Administration, a divided FTC decided to vote out a proposed complaint that does not consider any of these efforts, is based on inaccuracies, and lacks concrete evidence,” the Snap spokesperson said. “It also fails to identify any tangible harm and is subject to serious First Amendment concerns.”
The spokesperson added that while the company shares the FTC’s “focus on ensuring the thoughtful development of generative AI,” Snap believes that the “complaint would stifle innovation and competition in a critical and growing sector of the economy.”
Jonathan Raa | AP
Snap debuted the My AI chatbot in 2023. It is powered by the large language models of OpenAI and Google, giving it the ability to answer user questions and provide tips and suggestions similar to ChatGPT and other AI-powered chatting tools.
The chatbot has been noted for providing problematic responses. In one instance while speaking with a reporter who was pretending to be a teenager, the chatbot answered explained how to hide the smell of alcohol and marijuana, The Washington Post reported in 2023. At the time of the chatbot’s initial release, Snap said that My AI, like other AI-powered chatbots, is “prone to hallucination and can be tricked into saying just about anything. Please be aware of its many deficiencies and sorry in advance!”
In Oct. 2023, the United Kingdom’s Information Commissioner’s Office issued a preliminary enforcement notice against Snap, alleging that the company’s My AI-related risk assessment “did not adequately assess the data protection risks posed by the generative AI technology, particularly to children.”
Although the FTC said that it voted during a closed meeting to issue a public statement about it’s case against Snap and its ensuing referral to the DOJ, it noted that FTC commissioners Melissa Holyoak and Andrew Ferguson were absent.
The FTC also pointed to a dissenting statement by Ferguson, who President-elect Donald Trump named in December to replace Lina Khan as the next FTC chair.
Ferguson noted that these kinds of referrals “are not disclosed unless and until the complaint is filed in court by the Department or the Commission.”
“I did not participate in the farcical closed meeting at which this matter was approved,” he wrote.
Ferguson added that he opposes the FTC’s complaint against Snap, but that he can’t “release a detailed analysis of its many problems,” because the case is not public. Ferguson wrote that the complaint’s interpretations of an FTC law is “wrong” and that it is “in direct conflict with the guarantees of the First Amendment.”
If the DOJ files the complaint, Ferguson said he will “release a more detailed statement about this affront to the Constitution and the rule of law.”