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Israel is said to be edging closer to a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon, according to reports.

Israeli media outlets Haaretz, Walla, Ynet, Kan and American news website Axios reported both parties are getting closer to reaching a deal amid signs of progress in the US-led ceasefire talks.

It is suggested Israel has agreed to large parts of a ceasefire deal – but not all of it, yet.

An agreement could see an end to fighting that has seen more than 3,500 Lebanese killed and more than 15,000 injured in over a year.

Any potential agreement would also reportedly allow hundreds of thousands of people on both sides of the border to gradually return home, Axios reported.

It follows more airstrikes over the weekend which saw Hezbollah fire heavy rocket barrages at Israel on Sunday.

Israel’s military said houses had been destroyed or set alight near Tel Aviv, after an Israeli airstrike killed at least 29 people in Beirut the day before.

Israel also struck Beirut’s Hezbollah-controlled southern suburbs.

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Beirut rocked by blasts

Hezbollah’s new leader Naim Kassem appeared to be open to a ceasefire with Israel during a speech last week.

He hinted at progress in the negotiations – and struck a positive tone looking ahead, saying: “We are thinking about the future of our country.”

Fighting began between Hezbollah in Lebanon and Israel the day after the 7 October Hamas attacks last year, and Israel launched a ground invasion earlier this year.

Reports claimed that the draft agreement included a 60-day transition period that would see the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) withdraw from southern Lebanon – where troops have been fighting the Iran-backed militant group.

It would also reportedly see Hezbollah move its heavy weapons north of the Litani River as the Lebanese army would deploy in areas close to the border – all in an effort to maintain peace.

Analysis: Expect bumps in the road ahead

Progress towards a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel has moved slowly but steadily in the right direction – it now seems that both sides are closing their positions on a truce that could be announced as early as this week.

Remaining issues are still to be resolved, particularly how the agreement will be enforced, a senior official in Israel’s prime minister’s office has told me.

Israel wants US guarantees that it can take military action if Hezbollah regroups in southern Lebanon, but there would need to be a reporting mechanism in place whereby Israel flags its concerns first before any military option.

If a ceasefire is agreed, it will be presented as a win by all sides: Israel will say, with justification, that it has successfully pushed Hezbollah forces back from its border, killed many of the group’s senior leadership, eliminated much of its military capability, created a safe environment for around 60,000 of its civilians to return home, and brought security on its northern border.

Hezbollah will likely boast it has continued its fight against Israel and support for Hamas for around 14 months, causing not insignificant damage to Israel and engaging the IDF in a tough battle in southern Lebanon.

And the United States, which has brokered the deal through its envoy Amos Hochstein, will be able to claim a foreign policy success at least on one front in the final weeks of Joe Biden’s presidency.

There will still be bumps in the road ahead.

It’s unclear how the Lebanese armed forces will be able to assume control of southern Lebanon given how stretched they already are, how Israel will prevent Hezbollah rearming through routes across the Syrian border, how decades-old territorial disputes will be resolved.

But right now the vibe, from both sides, is increasingly confident.

Quoting a senior Israeli source, one news site said “the direction was positive” but that an agreement hadn’t been finalised.

Other reports added that an announcement was possible this week if things went to plan.

According to Axios, the draft agreement includes a US-led oversight committee to monitor implementation and address any potential violations.

It added the deal was nearing completion when the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his former defence minister Yoav Gallant last Thursday.

A billboard in Iran depicts Mr Netanyahu and Mr Gallant in prison jumpsuits.
Pic: Reuters
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A billboard in Iran depicts Mr Netanyahu and Mr Gallant in prison jumpsuits. Pic: Reuters

Ynet reported US envoy Amos Hochstein had informed Lebanon of Israel’s move towards agreeing to the settlement.

It added Mr Hochstein had previously made it clear to Israel that Lebanon had already agreed to the ceasefire before it did, and if this failed, no further efforts would be made before Donald Trump enters the White House in January.

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Israel reportedly moved towards a potential deal after Mr Netanyahu held a meeting with his most senior ministers and intelligence chiefs.

While this would not mark the first time reports have emerged claiming a ceasefire deal is close in the region, any such step would be an important one.

Reports added among the negotiations, Israel sought assurances from the US that it could react with force if Hezbollah broke the terms of the ceasefire.

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Donald Trump refuses to rule out military force over Panama Canal and Greenland – as he warns NATO to spend more

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Donald Trump refuses to rule out military force over Panama Canal and Greenland - as he warns NATO to spend more

US president-elect Donald Trump has refused to rule out military or economic action to seize the Panama Canal and Greenland – as he said he believes NATO spending should be increased to 5% per member state.

Speaking at Mar-a-Lago, Florida, Mr Trump made a series of sweeping claims on what his policies could look like when he takes office on 20 January.

He said he believes NATO spending should be increased to 5% per member state, while he also declared US control of Greenland and the Panama Canal as vital to American national security.

The 78-year-old Republican also spoke of relations with Canada, as well as addressing his position on the Middle East and the war in Ukraine.

Sky News takes a look at some of the key claims brought up during the conference.

NATO

Mr Trump claimed “nobody knows more about NATO than I do”, before adding: “If it weren’t for me, NATO wouldn’t exist right now.

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“I raised from countries that weren’t paying their bills, over $680bn. I saved NATO, but NATO is taking advantage of us.”

The president-elect also said members of NATO should be contributing 5% of their GDPs (gross domestic product) to defence spending – the previous target has been 2%.

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump makes remarks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. January 7, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Barria
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Donald Trump speaking at Mar-a-Lago. Pic: Reuters

Greenland and Panama Canal

Asked if he can reassure the world he won’t resort to military action or economic coercion in trying to get control of the areas, he said: “No, I can’t assure you on either of those two.”

“But, I can say this, we need them for economic security.”

He didn’t add any further detail around Greenland – which he has recently suggested the US should own or control – but he said the Panama Canal “was built for our military”.

He said the canal was “vital” to the country and China was “operating” it.

Mr Trump criticised the late Jimmy Carter for his role in signing over the Panama Canal to Panama during his presidency, saying it’s “a disgrace what took place” and “Jimmy Carter gave it to them for one dollar.”

Canada

A day after Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced he was stepping down, Mr Trump said he believed the US’ northern neighbour should become the 51st US state.

He mocked Mr Trudeau by calling him “governor” rather than prime minister.

He argued the US and Canada combined would amount to an “economic force” that would “really be something”.

“There isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell that Canada would become part of the United States,” Mr Trudeau responded.

Israel-Hamas war

Israel has been waging a 15-month war on the militant group ruling Gaza, Hamas, since they launched an unprecedented attack on southern Israel on 7 October which saw 1,200 people massacred and about 250 taken hostage, many of whom remain in captivity.

Mr Trump said: “If those hostages aren’t back by the time I get into office, all hell will break out in the Middle East.”

Nearly 46,000 Palestinians have been killed in Israel’s assault on Gaza, according to Hamas-run health officials in the enclave.

Analysis: Trump’s warning risks becoming less threatening

Ukraine war

Referring to Russia’s ongoing full-scale war against its smaller neighbour, Mr Trump said a “big part of the problem” was Russian President Vladimir Putin had said for many years he did not want Ukraine involved with NATO.

“Somewhere along the line [outgoing President Joe] Biden said you can join NATO,” he said.

“Well, then Russia has NATO right on their doorstep.

“When I heard the way Biden was negotiating I said ‘you are going to end up in a war’ and it turned out to be a war.”

Asked if he would commit to keep supporting Ukraine during negotiations with Moscow, Mr Trump quipped: “Well, I wouldn’t tell you if that were the case.”

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Offshore drilling

Mr Trump repeated one of his favourite phrases from the campaign trail, “drill, baby, drill”.

On Monday, outgoing President Biden moved to ban new offshore oil and gas developments along most US coastlines.

But Mr Trump, who has vowed to boost domestic energy production, said he will undo it.

“We’re going to be drilling a lot of other locations,” he said.

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Donald Trump’s threats could be a make-or-break test for NATO

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Donald Trump's threats could be a make-or-break test for NATO

The public articulation by Donald Trump of a new desired target for NATO allies to spend 5% of national income on defence will surely plunge governments across Europe into crisis mode – not least here in the UK.

Britain presents itself to the world and in particular to the United States as the biggest defence spender in Europe and NATO’s most powerful European military.

Yet Sir Keir Starmer has not even managed to set out a timeline for what he describes as a “path to 2.5%” of GDP being invested in his armed forces, up from just over 2% today.

If the prime minister merely sticks to this pledge, he risks being viewed by the new administration as woefully unambitious and not credible on defence.

Then there is the extraordinary threat by Mr Trump to seize Greenland by force if necessary, even though this valuable piece of territory belongs to a fellow NATO ally in the form of Denmark.

The move – were it to happen – would demonstrate the limitations of the alliance’s Article 5 founding principle.

It is supposed to guarantee that all allies would come to the defence of any member state which is under armed attack.

But what about if the aggressor is also meant to be an ally?

The president-elect also appeared to dash any hope of Ukraine being offered membership to the alliance anytime soon – a core request of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Instead, Mr Trump sounded sympathetic to Vladimir Putin’s absolute opposition to such a move.

He said he would meet the Russian president after taking office – reiterating a promise to end the war in Ukraine, though again without spelling out how.

The outbursts came in a lengthy press conference on Tuesday that marked the starting shot in what could be a make-or-break test for NATO – an alliance of transatlantic friends that rose from the ashes of the Second World War.

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European members of NATO, as well as Canada, already took a battering the last time Mr Trump was in the White House – and rightly so.

The US had for far too long largely bankrolled the security of Europe, while the majority of its allies – including the UK – reaped the so-called “peace dividend” that followed the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, swapping expenditure on defence for peacetime priorities such as economic growth, healthcare and education.

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From 2019: Was this the most awkward NATO summit ever?

Mr Trump made clear during his first term his displeasure about what he saw as Washington being ripped off and vowed to make Europe take its fair share of the burden.

He even warned member states that the US would not come to the aid of an ally that was not hitting at the very least a minimum NATO spending targeting of 2% of GDP – something they had previously pledged to do by 2024 but were slow to deliver on.

Such language electrified allies in a way that even Putin’s initial 2014 invasion of Ukraine, with the annexation of Crimea and attacks in the east of the country, had not.

Yet, with the threat from Russia growing in the wake of its full-scale war in Ukraine in 2022, coupled with conflict in the Middle East and the challenge posed by China, it has become clear that this heightened level of expenditure by allies was still far short of what is required to rebuild militaries across Europe that have been hollowed out over decades.

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Mark Rutte, the new secretary general of NATO, set the stage for what is expected to be another push to ramp up investment when he delivered a landmark speech last month in which he called on allies to return to a “war mindset” and “turbocharge” defence spending.

He said this was to counter growing threats, but observers said it was also a pre-emptive response to the anticipated demands of the next Trump administration.

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‘Ukraine needs more arms, less talking’

Either way, it poses a huge challenge for all allies, in particular for Sir Keir Starmer.

He and Rachel Reeves face a choice: change course when it comes to their top priorities of economic growth, hospital waiting lists and new housing and instead invest more in defence or defy what will doubtless be growing demands from the United States to spend billions of pounds more on the UK armed forces – and maybe even leave the country in a position whereby the US would not come to its aid if attacked.

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Rapid Support Forces (RSF) accused by US of committing genocide in Sudan war

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Rapid Support Forces (RSF) accused by US of committing genocide in Sudan war

The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and its allied militias are committing genocide in Sudan while waging war against the army for control of the country, Joe Biden’s US administration has determined – two weeks before leaving office.

In a statement sharing the designation on Tuesday, US secretary of state Antony Blinken said the RSF and its aligned militias had “systematically murdered men and boys – even infants – on an ethnic basis” and “deliberately targeted women and girls from certain ethnic groups for rape and other forms of brutal sexual violence”.

He announced that Washington would impose sanctions on RSF leader Mohamed Hamdan “Hemedti” Dagalo and seven RSF-owned companies located in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Mohamed Hamdan "Hemedti" Dagalo
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Mohamed Hamdan ‘Hemedti’ Dagalo. File pic: AP

The UAE is credibly accused of backing and arming the RSF – something it has strenuously denied.

When reached for comment by Reuters, the RSF rejected these measures and said: “America previously punished the great African freedom fighter Nelson Mandela, which was wrong.

“Today, it is rewarding those who started the war by punishing (RSF leader) general Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, which is also wrong.”

The RSF has been fighting Sudan’s army for territorial control of the country since war erupted in the capital, Khartoum, in April 2023.

The ensuing devastation has been described as the worst humanitarian crisis ever recorded – with over 11 million people forced out of their homes, tens of thousands dead, and 30 million in need of humanitarian assistance.

Sudan, Africa
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Sudan, Africa

In December 2023, Mr Blinken announced that both warring parties had committed war crimes, but that the RSF in particular had committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing.

He mentioned this precedent in this latest announcement, adding: “Today’s action is part of our continued efforts to promote accountability for all warring parties whose actions fuel this conflict.

“The United States does not support either side of this war, and these actions against Hemedti and the RSF do not signify support or favour for the SAF (Sudanese Armed Forces).

“Both belligerents bear responsibility for the violence and suffering in Sudan and lack the legitimacy to govern a future peaceful Sudan.”

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From November: RSF attacks farming villages leaving dozens dead

This comes twenty years after then US secretary of state Colin Powell described the conflict in Darfur, western Sudan, as a genocide in 2004.

Back then, RSF leader Hemedti was heading up a lesser-known Janjaweed militia that was carrying out state-sanctioned atrocities against civilians.

He was not held accountable then, and many wonder if this latest designation will have any impact on the actions of forces on the ground.

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