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A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah has been agreed, to celebrations in Lebanon but scepticism in Israel.

Lebanese people are finally looking forward to some calm after months of heavy bombardment in the capital Beirut and across the country.

An estimated 1.2 million people have been displaced and many towns and villages heavily damaged.

Middle East latest: Israel and Lebanon agree ceasefire

But a snap poll for one Israeli news channel found only 37% of Israelis in favour of the deal.

Not everyone in the Israeli cabinet was supportive of the deal, either.

Itamar Ben-Gvir describes it as “a historic mistake” but didn’t threaten to withdraw his party from government. He was the one person who voted against the truce.

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So what have those critics extracted from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in return for their support?

Some have recently been pushing for Israeli occupation of Gaza or annexation of the West Bank.

The concern in Israel largely centres on enforcement and doubts that Hezbollah will stay true to the terms of the deal.

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‘There are questions about how this peace will be maintained,’ says Sky’s International Correspondent Alex Rossi.

Netanyahu says Israel will strike Hezbollah the moment they show any attempt to rearm or regroup in southern Lebanon, but his willingness to do this deal suggests he is ready to move on from this particular war.

So with little public support, especially among many of his own base, why now?

Well, Netanyahu was honest in his televised statement when he said that the IDF needed to regroup and rearm – fighting on multiple fronts for more than a year has taken its toll, especially among the thousands of reserve soldiers they rely on.

Israeli PM to propose ceasefire deal to cabinet
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Netanyahu speaking on the day the ceasefire was announced

He is also under pressure from the incoming president-elect Donald Trump to wrap up the wars and agreeing this ceasefire was more straightforward than negotiations with Hamas in Gaza.

President Biden spoke of renewed efforts to get a ceasefire in Gaza, and there is hope Hamas will now feel isolated and forced to do a deal.

But the situation in Gaza is far more complex, with the lives of hostages at stake, Hamas’s leaders remain determined to fight and Israel’s plans for the Strip unknown.

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Israeli warplanes fly over Dahiyeh, in Beirut, Lebanon, Tuesday, Nov. 26, 2024. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)
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Israeli warplanes fly over Beirut on the day the ceasefire was announced. Pic: AP/Bilal Hussein.

A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah is a significant moment, it should and will be welcomed around the world, and it might be enough to calm Iran and the Iraqi militias.

As long as the hostages remain in Gaza, however, and the humanitarian crisis there worsens with the onset of winter rains and lack of aid, the dark clouds will continue to hang over the Middle East.

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Iran not complying with nuclear obligations for first time in almost 20 years, says UN watchdog

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Iran not complying with nuclear obligations for first time in almost 20 years, says UN watchdog

The UN nuclear watchdog’s board of governors has found that Iran is not complying with its nuclear obligations for the first time in 20 years.

It comes as sources have told US media that Israel is considering taking military action against Iran in the coming days – without American support.

Iran said it has “always adhered” to the safeguard obligations laid down by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Tehran said it “has no choice but to respond to this political resolution,” and said it would launch a new enrichment site “in a secure location”.

“Other measures are also being planned and will be announced subsequently,” Iran said.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
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Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

The reports come as US President Donald Trump is said to be in advanced discussions with Iran about a diplomatic deal to curtail the Middle Eastern country’s nuclear programme.

However Mr Trump told the New York Post’s “Pod Force One” podcast that he was “getting more and more less confident about” an agreement.

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Iran will not abandon what it views as its right to enrich uranium – contrary to US demands, a senior Iranian official said on Thursday.

Last week, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that abandoning such enrichment was “100%” against the country’s interests.

Israel is said to have become more serious about a unilateral strike on Iran, particularly with reports that a deal between the US and Iran could include provisions about uranium enrichment. Israel views those provisions as unacceptable.

Such a strike would be a dramatic break with the Trump administration’s foreign policy.

With tensions in the region simmering as the nuclear discussions unfold and with the potential for unrest, the US State Department ordered the evacuation of all non-essential personnel from its embassy in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad.

America has also authorised – rather than ordered – the departure of non-essential personnel and family members from Bahrain and Kuwait

Israel has made no secret of its assessment that Iran is politically and militarily weak, and there has rarely been a better moment to strike its nuclear facilities.

So far, pressure from the US has stopped them acting.

But nuclear talks between Iran and the US are faltering, President Trump is no longer confident a deal can be reached, and Israel has said it is ready to strike if the talks collapse. That moment could be nearing.

A further round of negotiations is set to take place in Oman this weekend. If Iran remains insistent that it must retain enriched uranium, then US patience might run out.

Although the threat of Israeli strikes should be taken seriously, the decision to partially evacuate the US embassy in Baghdad and permit the voluntary departure of other US government dependents in the region, could be a negotiating tactic. A way of upping the stakes.

Sources I’ve spoken to around the region are calm, for now.

But for Israel, the window to act could be closing. Its strikes on the Iran in October 2024 reportedly eliminated much of the country’s air defences. The more time that passes the more opportunity Iran has to rebuild, and that will be in the mind of Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli commanders as their weigh their options.

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Israel considering military action against Iran in days without US support – reports

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Israel considering military action against Iran in days without US support - reports

Israel is considering taking military action against Iran in the coming days – without American support, sources have told US media.

The reports come as US President Donald Trump is said to be in advanced discussions with Iran about a diplomatic deal to curtail the Middle Eastern country’s nuclear programme.

Israel is said to have become more serious about a unilateral strike on Iran as the negotiations between Washington and Tehran appear closer to a preliminary or framework agreement that includes provisions about uranium enrichment.

Israel views those provisions as unacceptable.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government is therefore considering a strike on Iran, a Capitol Hill aide and other sources familiar with the matter have told Sky News’ US partner network NBC News.

An Israeli strike on Iran would be a dramatic break with the Trump administration which has argued against such a move.

The prospect of a new front in the conflict in the Middle East has prompted the Trump administration to order all embassies within striking distance of Iranian missiles, aircraft and other assets, to send cables with assessments about the potential threat to Americans and US infrastructure, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

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The White House has not yet briefed senior politicians on the situation, according to a US official.

The reports have emerged after the US State Department said it had ordered the evacuation of all non-essential personnel from its embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, due to the potential for regional unrest.

It did not mention any possible attack by Israel on Iran when it announced the move.

White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly said: “The State Department regularly reviews American personnel abroad, and this decision was made as a result of a recent review.”

It comes as the US is also authorising the departure of non-essential personnel and family members from Bahrain and Kuwait – giving the staff a choice as to whether to leave those countries.

Iraqi soldiers outside the US embassy in Baghdad in 2020. Pic: AP
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Iraqi soldiers outside the US embassy in Baghdad in 2020. Pic: AP

An Iraqi government source told the country’s state news agency that Baghdad has not recorded any security indication that calls for the evacuation.

There was already limited staffing in the US embassy in Baghdad and the order will not affect a large number of personnel.

Meanwhile, the military dependents in Bahrain and Kuwait will have the option of leaving those countries at government expense and with government assistance.

Asked why the US personnel are being moved out of the Middle East, Mr Trump said on Wednesday evening: “They are being moved out because it could be a dangerous place and we’ll see what happens.”

When asked if there is anything that can be done to reduce tensions in the region, the US president said: “They can’t have a nuclear weapon, very simple, they can’t have a nuclear weapon, we’re not going to allow that.”

US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is set to meet Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in the Oman capital Muscat on Sunday to discuss the Iranian response to a recent US proposal, according to American news site Axios, which cited a US official.

The US and Iran have been engaged in talks aimed at limiting Tehran’s nuclear programme in exchange for the lifting of some of the crushing economic sanctions America has imposed on the country.

Iran insists its nuclear programme is peaceful.

Read more from Sky News:
Controversial aid distributer accuses Hamas of deadly attack
Palestinians ‘killed by Israeli gunfire at US-backed aid site’

Tehran and Washington tensions

Mr Trump, who has previously said Israel or America could carry out airstrikes targeting Iranian nuclear facilities if negotiations failed, has given a less-than-optimistic view about reaching a deal with Iran.

He told the New York Post’s “Pod Force One” podcast that he was “getting more and more less confident about” a deal.

“They seem to be delaying, and I think that’s a shame. I’m less confident now than I would have been a couple of months ago. Something happened to them,” he said in the interview released on Wednesday.

Iran’s mission to the UN posted on the X social media platform that “threats of ‘overwhelming force’ won’t change facts”.

“Iran is not seeking a nuclear weapon, and US militarism only fuels instability,” the Iranian mission wrote on Wednesday.

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Controversial aid distributer claims Hamas has carried out deadly attack on bus carrying Palestinians

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Controversial aid distributer claims Hamas has carried out deadly attack on bus carrying Palestinians

The controversial US and Israeli-backed aid distributor in Gaza has accused Hamas of a deadly attack on a bus carrying Palestinians working with the organisation.

The Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF) has said at least five aid workers were killed and it fears some team members “may have been taken hostage”.

The aid organisation also said multiple people were injured in the alleged attack.

In a statement, the GHF has said the bus was carrying more than two dozen people working with the organisation when it was targeted at 10pm Gaza time (8pm UK time) on Wednesday.

The GHF said those in the bus were “local Palestinians” working with the organisation to “deliver critical aid”.

“At the time of the attack, our team was en route to one of our distribution centres in the area west of Khan Younis”, the GHF added.

It continued in its statement: “We are still gathering facts, but what we know is devastating: there are at least five fatalities, multiple injuries, and fear that some of our team members may have been taken hostage.

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“We condemn this heinous and deliberate attack in the strongest possible terms. These were aid workers.”

The GHF also said in its statement that Hamas has in recent days been threatening members of the organisation, including aid workers, and civilians who have been receiving the aid.

The organisation said it holds Hamas fully responsible for “taking the lives of our dedicated workers who have been distributing humanitarian aid to the Palestinian people at the foundation’s sites in central and southern Gaza”.

“Tonight, the world must see this for what it is: an attack on humanity. We call on the international community to immediately condemn Hamas for this unprovoked attack and continued threat against our people simply trying to feed the Palestinian people,” the GHF said.

“We will release additional information once it becomes available. Despite this heinous attack, we will continue our mission to provide critical aid to the people of Gaza.”

Read more:
How the Israeli-backed aid plan in Gaza is unravelling
Two Israeli ministers who have been sanctioned by the UK?

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From 10 June: The deadly road to Gaza aid point

The alleged attack came hours after health officials in Gaza said at least 25 Palestinians were killed by Israeli gunfire at a GHF site close to the former settlement of Netzarim, near Gaza City.

Medical officials at Shifa and al Quds hospitals say the people were killed as they approached the site.

Gaza’s health ministry said earlier this week that around 160 people have been killed in shootings near aid sites run by the GHF since they began distributing aid on 26 May.

However, the GHF has said there has been no violence in or around the distribution centres themselves.

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From 3 June: Shots fired as aid distributed in Gaza

Why is the aid system controversial?

Israel and the US have said the GHF system is aimed at preventing Hamas from siphoning off assistance.

Israel has not provided any evidence of systematic diversion, and the UN denies it has occurred.

The foundation’s distribution of aid has been marred by chaos, and multiple witnesses have said Israeli troops fired on crowds near the delivery sites.

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UN agencies and major aid groups have refused to work with the new system, saying it violates humanitarian principles because it allows Israel to control who receives aid and forces people to relocate to distribution sites, risking yet more mass displacement in the territory.

Jake Wood, a former US marine, resigned as head of the GHF in May before it began distributing aid in Gaza over concerns about is independence.

Mr Wood said the foundation cannot adhere to the “humanitarian principles of humanity, neutrality, impartiality, and independence, which I will not abandon”.

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