Connect with us

Published

on

Working oil pumps against a sunset sky.

Imaginima | E+ | Getty Images

Higher fuel prices could be in the cards if President-elect Donald Trump follows through with his tariff threats on Canada, according to industry experts, who are skeptical on whether the new levies will ever be implemented.

Trump on Monday pledged to implement additional tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico on day one of his presidency, according to his posts on social media platform Truth Social. He said he would sign an executive order on Jan. 20 imposing a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico, a move that may breach the terms of a regional free trade agreement.

Goldman Sachs’ Co-Head of Global Commodities Research Daan Struyven said that if a 25% levy hit Canadian crude exports to the U.S. “that could, in theory, lead to some pretty significant consequences for three groups.”

U.S. refiners who rely on Canadian oil barrels could face lower profit margins, and consumers may potentially face higher prices, surmised Struyven. Lastly, Canadian producers may suffer revenue losses if they are unable to reroute their barrels that would have otherwise gone to the U.S.

America’s imports of Canadian crude oil hit a record of 4.3 million barrels per day in July 2024 after the expansion of Canada’s Trans Mountain pipeline, according to the most recent data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

If we were to see a 25% tariff on Canadian energy exports, I think it could have some very significant ramifications for trade flows.

Daan Struyven

Goldman Sachs

Additionally, refiners in the Midwest, which are more adapted to process Canada’s heavy sour crude rather than the low sulfur sweet crude produced domestically, could also have problems switching should the Canadian imports be interrupted, Struyven told journalists at an online conference.

“If we were to see a 25% tariff on Canadian energy exports, I think it could have some very significant ramifications for trade flows,” Struyven said. 

Mexico and especially Canada have “notable tightly integrated linkages” with the U.S. when it comes to the oil, natural gas and auto industries, Citigroup wrote in a note following Trump’s announcements this week. 

“Absent carve-outs, this would increase costs for U.S. refiners and U.S. consumers,” said the bank’s research team led by Energy Strategist Eric Lee.

However, Goldman highlighted that it is unlikely that the tariffs will be implemented as announced, on the premise that the Trump administration is focused on reducing energy costs.

Mexico and Canada tariffs would 'never be introduced', but there will be no rollbacks for China

Trump cannot allow inflation to get out of control in the 15 months before the midterm election season, Viktor Shvets, global strategist at Macquarie Capital, told CNBC. Shvets believes that tariffs are used as a negotiating tool to achieve certain objectives such as strengthening the border.

“I do not believe for a second that there will be a massive increase in overall tariffs because that will represent a tax on U.S. domestic manufacturers. That will also represent a tax on U.S. exporters,” said Shvets.

Canada’s trade bodies have shared their concerns, too.

“As Canadians, we need to be eyes-wide-open on the President-elect’s promise for across-the-board tariffs,” the CEO of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, Lisa Baiton, reportedly said.

Danielle Smith, the premier of Alberta which accounts for the largest production of crude in Canada, said that the Trump administration has “valid concerns related to illegal activities at our shared border,” and urged the federal government to resolve said issues immediately to avoid any “unnecessary tariffs” on Canadian exports.

Continue Reading

Environment

Vietnam setting bans on gasoline motorcycles next year, followed by cars

Published

on

By

Vietnam setting bans on gasoline motorcycles next year, followed by cars

Vietnam is taking bold steps to clean up its streets – and quiet them down. Starting next summer, the major downtown areas of Hanoi will ban all gasoline-powered motorcycles as part of a program to cut down on emissions.

The plan will go into effect on July 1, 2026, and then will expand the following year to cover more districts outside of downtown, and eventually include gasoline-powered cars as well. Other major cities like Ho Chi Minh City and Da Nang are now studying similar measures.

The plan is part of Vietnam’s national goal to phase out gas-powered two-wheelers entirely by 2045. And in a country where motorcycles are the lifeblood of daily transportation, with an estimated 72 million of them on the road, this marks a seismic shift.

The first phase of the ban will cover the Hoan Kiem and Ba Dinh districts of Hanoi within the Ring Road 1. These central areas are known for dense traffic, high pollution levels, and a thriving tourism industry. Officials hope that banning gasoline-powered motorbikes will reduce noise, smog, and carbon emissions while nudging residents toward cleaner electric alternatives.

Advertisement – scroll for more content

For now, the ban only affects motorcycles, but city officials have confirmed that it will extend to gasoline-powered cars in later phases. And while many Vietnamese cities have flirted with the idea of regulating vehicle emissions before, this marks the first concrete plan with a clear timeline. Ho Chi Minh City, the country’s largest urban area, is closely watching Hanoi’s progress and is said to be considering following suit.

Electric motorcycles and scooters are already a fast-growing market in Vietnam, led by homegrown companies like VinFast and Selex Motors. VinFast claims to have sold over 160,000 electric scooters as of early 2024, and Selex is rapidly expanding its battery-swap station network. But so far, electric two-wheelers only account for around 5% of the total market.

That number could soon change.

As gas-powered vehicles begin to disappear from urban centers, electric models may finally gain the upper hand. The government is also exploring support policies like financial incentives and improved charging infrastructure, both of which are key to getting more people to switch.

Still, there are hurdles. Many Vietnamese riders are hesitant to adopt electric bikes due to range anxiety, high upfront costs, and a lack of charging stations. But with regulatory pressure increasing and electric models becoming more affordable, the shift looks more like a matter of “when” than “if.”

Electrek’s Take

Vietnam banning gas-powered motorcycles is a big deal, and not just for local air quality. It’s also a major signal to the broader Southeast Asian market, where motorcycles vastly outnumber cars. If Vietnam can pull this off, it could become a model for electrifying personal transport in developing countries. Keep an eye on this one.

Each time I’ve visited Shanghai, for example, I’m amazed at how a pack of 30-40 motorcycles and scooters can whizz by with nothing but wind noise. China has set the example on how cities can clean up, quiet down, and improve their quality of life by mandating an end to gasoline-powered motorcycles. If other countries can replicate it in big cities, the improvement to local and global air quality would be massive, and that comes on top of all the hyper-local benefits like reductions in noise and urban grime.

That being said, one year is an incredibly fast timeline to shift literally millions of motorcycles to electric. It also doesn’t appear to address the financial burden this will put on residents who will have to replace their vehicle, even if locally produced electric scooters can be made affordable. I’ll be watching this one intently to see how officials can address these issues and if they can maintain this tight deadline. If they can pull it off, though, the face of major Vietnamese cities could change completely.

FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.

Continue Reading

Environment

Manitou and Hangcha commit to heavy equipment battery production JV

Published

on

By

Manitou and Hangcha commit to heavy equipment battery production JV

French equipment manufacturer Manitou has committed to a joint venture with Chinese forklift manufacturer Hangcha that will see the two companies develop and manufacture advanced lithium-ion batteries to support the electrification of the heavy material handler space.

Manitou is well-known in the West, so they need no introduction. Hangcha, though, is arguably just as capable of a company, having opened its first forklift plant in 1956, manufacturing others’ designs under license. They developed their own, in-house material handler in 1974, and have racked up hits ever since. Hangcha is currently the world’s eighth-largest manufacturer of industrial vehicles globally (sounds wrong, but here’s the source).

The plan for the JV is to upgrade the two companies’ deployed fleets of existing lead-acid battery-powered vehicle with longer lasting lithium-ion (li-ion) batteries to expand their operational lifespan. From there, the focus could switch to diesel retrofits and, eventually, the joint development of entirely new products.

“Deepening strategic cooperation with Manitou Group and jointly establishing a lithium battery joint marks a new phase in the partnership between the two sides, which is a milestone in Hangcha global industrial layout,” explains Zhao Limin, Chairman and General Manager of Hangcha Group. “Leveraging Hangcha’s core technological and manufacturing strengths in lithium battery solutions, we will collaboratively enhance solution capability of new energy industrial vehicle power systems. This partnership perfectly aligns with our shared objectives to accelerate electrification transformation and drive sustainable development, while providing robust support to the broader industrial vehicle market.”

Advertisement – scroll for more content

Manitou MHT 12330


MHT 12330 with 72,750 lb. lift capacity; via Manitou.

Once production begins, the joint venture factory will play a key role in supporting Manitou Group’s “LIFT” strategic roadmap. LIFT aims to expand Manitou’s electric vehicle lineup of telehandlers and forklifts, and have EVs account for 28% of total unit forklift sales by 2030. Hangcha Group, meanwhile, has publicly stated its intention to become 100% electric by the end of 2025.

This joint venture plans to recruit employees including engineers, operators, sales representatives and after-sales service technicians. Le Mans Metropole will support the recruitment and local integration and training of future employees.

SOURCE | IMAGES: Manitou; images by Manitou, via Belkorp AG.


If you’re considering going solar, it’s always a good idea to get quotes from a few installers. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them. 

Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.

FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.

Continue Reading

Environment

With another tariff deadline looming, these 10 things are going the right way for stocks

Published

on

By

With another tariff deadline looming, these 10 things are going the right way for stocks

Continue Reading

Trending