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Counting is under way in Ireland’s general election.

But unlike the UK, it will take more than a few hours for all 174 seats to be filled – and much longer for a government to be formed.

Here’s three things you should look out for as the votes are being counted.

A first preference vote for Sinn Fein Leader Mary Lou McDonlad as Ballot papers are counted at RDS Simmonscourt, Dublin, after voters went to the polls to elect 174 TDs across 43 constituencies during the General Election. Picture date: Saturday November 30, 2024.
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A first preference vote for Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonlad as ballot papers are counted at RDS Simmonscourt, Dublin. Pic: PA

1. The main parties’ race to 88

That’s the number needed for a majority in Ireland‘s lower house of parliament, the Dail.

But the three largest parties – Fianna Fail (FF), Fine Gael (FG) and Sinn Finn (SF) – have not fielded enough candidates to reach this, so they will be on the hunt for coalition partners.

In the last election, FF won 38 seats, SF picked up 37 and FG won 35 with much the same support that Friday’s exit poll suggests.

Counting takes place at RDS Simmonscourt, Dublin after voters went to the polls to elect 174 TDs across 43 constituencies during the General Election. Picture date: Saturday November 30, 2024.
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Ballots being counted this morning. Pic: PA

Count verifiers look on as counting takes place at RDS Simmonscourt, Dublin after voters went to the polls to elect 174 TDs across 43 constituencies during the General Election. Picture date: Saturday November 30, 2024.
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Count verifiers look on as counting takes place in Dublin. Pic: PA

The centre-right Fianna Fail and Fine Gael, who ruled in the last government with the Green Party, have vowed not to enter a coalition with the left-wing Sinn Fein.

So if the exit poll closely mirrors the final result, a FF-FG coalition looks likely – along with another party or independent candidates.

Explainer: How Ireland’s election voting system works

But if Sinn Fein translates their support into significantly more seats than they picked up last time, it would put the party in a stronger negotiating position – and Mary Lou McDonald could still have an outside chance of becoming Ireland’s first female taoiseach.

2. How the smaller parties fare

Ireland’s electoral system – proportional representation by single transferable vote – means smaller parties pick up more seats than their UK counterparts.

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Meet Ireland’s first-time voters

On the left, there is Labour, the Social Democrats, the Greens – all on between 4% and 6% in the exit poll – as well as the People Before Profit-Solidarity alliance.

On the right, there is SF breakaway party Aontu and several newly formed far-right parties, the largest of which is Independent Ireland.

Read more: How Trump looms over Ireland’s election

At least one of these groups is likely to form a government with FF and FG – depending on how many seats they pick up.

3. How the independent candidates perform

A quirk of Ireland’s electoral system is the high number of independent candidates.

The exit poll put independents at 14.6% – meaning they are likely to win a significant number of seats. In 2020, independent candidates picked up 19 seats with 12.2% of the vote.

It’s likely that a three-party coalition will still fall short of reaching the 88-seat threshold for a majority, so support from independents will become important.

In 2016, nine independents were members of the Fine Gael-led minority government, with three holding ministerial posts.

The independents come from across the ideological spectrum and often focus on hyper-local issues.

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Nova festival survivor dies two years after girlfriend shot dead as he shielded her

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Nova festival survivor dies two years after girlfriend shot dead as he shielded her

It was supposed to be a day of pure joy, with hours spent dancing with the love of his life.

But when Hamas terrorists attacked Nova festival on 7 October 2023, Roei Shalev’s life was tragically changed forever.

The 29-year-old was dancing the night away with his partner, Mapal Adam, and their best friend Hilly Solomon when rocket fire suddenly drowned out the music.

Roei, Mapal and Hilly frantically tried to escape by car, driving away from the festival grounds until they encountered a young woman stumbling into the road, covered in blood.

She warned them that there were Hamas gunmen behind her, so the trio exited their vehicle and ran to nearby trees to hide.

“Bullets whizzed past us, grenades exploded nearby, and terror engulfed us from all directions,” Roei said.

They dived under two abandoned cars – Roei and Mapal under one, Hilly under the other.

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But the gunmen caught up with them, shooting the three festivalgoers as they were pinned under the cars.

Roei tried to shield 26-year-old Mapal from the bullets, but she died beneath him while he was shot in the back. Hilly, 26, was also killed instantly.

Roei was shot in the back twice. Pic: Instagram/@roeishalev
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Roei was shot in the back twice. Pic: Instagram/@roeishalev

What followed were “agonising” hours during which Roei lay still, covered in his and his girlfriend’s blood, and played dead.

Even when a second group of gunmen approached and shot at him a second time, hitting him in the back yet again, he did not move.

Seven hours later, the Israeli army found Roei alive.

“That day was the darkest I’ve ever known,” he later said.

The terror continued

A week after his girlfriend and best friend were killed, Roei’s mother Raffaela took her own life because she “couldn’t contain the pain and losses of October 7”, according to her son.

“In just one week, I lost three of the most important women to me in the world,” Roei said.

“In the months that followed, I struggled to cope. Flashbacks and anxiety consumed me, and sleep became a distant memory.”

Roei said therapy and the unwavering support of others gave him the strength to share his story publicly.

“I opened up on social media, laying bare the rawest details of my trauma. The response was overwhelming,” Roei wrote on a fundraising page for Nova festival survivors and their families last year.

“Messages poured in from people who found solace and inspiration in my journey. Their words gave me purpose, a reason to keep fighting.”

He said he was “uncertain of what the future holds”, but knew that he had to “honour the memory of the three extraordinary girls who were taken from us too soon”.

Roei Shalev and Mapal Adam. Pic: Instagram/@roeishalev
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Roei Shalev and Mapal Adam. Pic: Instagram/@roeishalev

In the two years that followed these tragic events, Roei renamed the family bakery he had been running with his girlfriend to “Mapal Cafe”, in tribute to his “one and only love” and organised events to commemorate Mapal and Hilly.

“Amidst the pain and sorrow, I hold onto one truth: we will dance again,” he said in his fundraising post a year ago.

‘Longing for you is only getting bigger’

On the anniversary of his girlfriend’s death, Roei wrote on Instagram: “Two years have passed since the most terrible day of my life… and of a whole country.

“The longing for you is only getting bigger, the pain does not pass with time. It is always there, everywhere, all the time. I’m full of pain this year, even more than last year.”

In the post, Roei thanked his girlfriend for “moments I won’t forget, pure love and the best relationship I could ask for”.

He also addressed both her and Hilly, saying: “A huge apology that I couldn’t keep you safe on this terrible day, you know I did everything, I did everything to keep you safe, my beloved.

“I preferred to die in agony and for you to survive it.”

A woman leans on a picture of Mapal Adam, at the site of the Nova music festival. File pic: AP
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A woman leans on a picture of Mapal Adam, at the site of the Nova music festival. File pic: AP

On Friday night, three days after the anniversary of the tragic events, Roei posted a note on his Instagram account, saying he “can’t go on anymore”.

“I’ve never felt such deep and burning pain and suffering in my life. It’s eating me up inside,” Roei wrote.

His note raised concern among his family and friends, and a frantic search was launched.

The search ended a few hours later in the tragic discovery of Roei’s body inside a burning car near Poleg Beach in Netanya, Israel. Police have opened an investigation, according to Israeli media.

His friends describe Roei as a warm and devoted member of the Nova community who “gave strength to everyone else while quietly carrying immense pain”, The Times of Israel reports.

Roei’s family confirmed his death in a statement and asked for their privacy to be respected.

Roei Shalev was found dead on Friday. Pic: Instagram/@novaexhibitions
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Roei Shalev was found dead on Friday. Pic: Instagram/@novaexhibitions

The Nova Tribe Community organisation, which represents survivors and families of the victims of the October 7 attack on the music festival, called his death “heartbreaking” and “deeply saddening” in a tribute.

“Roei was a pillar of strength within the community, and his death is an immeasurable loss for us,” the organisation said.

The statement continued: “Sadly, many members of the Nova community are still experiencing traumatic moments daily since October 7.

“We ask everyone to show constant awareness and emotional sensitivity to the mental state of those affected by the October 7 events and to all survivors and bereaved families.”

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SafeHeart, a non-profit organisation providing psychological support for October 7 survivors and their families, said in a statement: “Our hearts are broken alongside Roei’s family, friends, and the entire survivor community.

“This terrible tragedy is a painful reminder that for many survivors, the trauma of October 7 has not ended. It continues to live within them, day by day, moment by moment. The pain does not simply fade with time; in many cases, it grows stronger.”

Anyone feeling emotionally distressed or suicidal can call Samaritans for help on 116 123 or email jo@samaritans.org in the UK.

Alternatively, you can call Mind’s support line on 0300 102 1234, or NHS on 111.

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October 7 survivor dies two years after girlfriend shot dead by Hamas at Nova Festival

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October 7 survivor dies two years after girlfriend shot dead by Hamas at Nova Festival

A survivor of the October 7 attacks has died, two years after his girlfriend was shot dead by Hamas gunmen at Nova Festival.

Roei Shalev, 29, has been found dead shortly after the second anniversary of the death of his 27-year-old girlfriend Mapal Adam, who was killed by Hamas gunmen when they attacked Nova Festival.

The couple had been dancing with their friend Hilly Solomon, 26, on 7 October 2023 when the sound of rocket fire drowned out the music, causing them to flee the festival grounds in their car.

As Hamas fighters closed in from all directions, the trio hid under a car, but they were spotted by gunmen and shot several times.

Roei Shalev and Mapal Adam. Pic: Instagram/@roeishalev
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Roei Shalev and Mapal Adam. Pic: Instagram/@roeishalev

Mr Shalev said he waited seven “agonising” hours with two bullets in his back – with his girlfriend and his friend lying dead beside him – until the Israeli army came.

A week later, his mother took her own life.

“In just one week, I lost three of the most important women to me in the world,” Mr Shalev wrote on a fundraising page for festival survivors and their families.

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“That day was the darkest I’ve ever known. In the months that followed, I struggled to cope. Flashbacks and anxiety consumed me, and sleep became a distant memory,” he added.

Now, two years after the horrifying attack, Mr Shalev was found dead in a burning car near Poleg Beach in Netanya, Israel.

Police have opened an investigation, Israeli media reports.

Shortly before his body was found, Mr Shalev had posted a note on his Instagram account, saying he “can’t go on anymore”.

“I’ve never felt such deep and burning pain and suffering in my life. It’s eating me up inside,” Mr Shavel wrote.

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Anyone feeling emotionally distressed or suicidal can call Samaritans for help on 116 123 or email jo@samaritans.org in the UK.

Alternatively, you can call Mind’s support line on 0300 102 1234, or NHS on 111.

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Hamas official thanks Donald Trump for ceasefire deal – but tells Sky News Tony Blair not welcome

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Hamas official thanks Donald Trump for ceasefire deal - but tells Sky News Tony Blair not welcome

A senior Hamas official has thanked President Donald Trump for his role in securing a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas.

In an exclusive interview with Sky News’ lead world news presenter Yalda Hakim, senior Hamas official Dr Basem Naim also warned that former UK Prime Minister Sir Tony Blair would not be welcome in any post-war role for Gaza.

Latest updates: Palestinians head back north – as Israel pulls troops back

Israel and Hamas have agreed to a first phase of a peace deal brokered by the US president, with a ceasefire taking effect on Friday.

Dr Naim said the ceasefire would not have been possible without President Trump, but insisted he needed to continue to apply pressure to Israel to stick to the agreement.

He added that Hamas would be willing to step aside for a Palestinian body to govern a post-war Gaza, but that they would remain “on the ground” and would not be disarmed.

Dr Naim said in the interview: “Without the personal interference of President Trump in this case, I don’t think that it would have happened to have reached the end of the war.

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“Therefore, yes, we thank President Trump and his personal efforts to interfere and to pressure Israel to bring an end to this massacre and slaughtering.”

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He added: “We believe and we hope that President Trump will continue to interfere personally and to exercise the maximum pressure on [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu to fulfil its obligation.

“First, as according to the deal, and second, according to the international law as an occupying power, because I think without this pressure, without this personal interference from President Trump, this will not happen.

“We have already seen Netanyahu speaking to the media, threatening to go to war again if this doesn’t happen, if that doesn’t happen.”

Donald Trump has been thanked for his role in securing a peace deal in Gaza. Pic: AP
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Donald Trump has been thanked for his role in securing a peace deal in Gaza. Pic: AP

Questions remain over the next phases of the peace plan, including who will govern Gaza as Israeli troops gradually pull back and whether Hamas will disarm – as called for in Mr Trump’s ceasefire plan.

Mr Netanyahu has hinted that Israel might renew its offensive if Hamas does not give up its weapons.

However, Dr Naim said Hamas would not completely disarm and that weapons would only be handed over to the Palestinian state, with fighters integrated into the Palestinian National Army.

“No one has the right to deny us the right to resist the occupation of armies,” he said.

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Thousands of Gazans are heading north as Israeli troops pull back.

On future governance, Dr Naim criticised plans for Sir Tony to play any role in overseeing the future of Gaza, saying that Hamas and Palestinians were angered by his role in previous wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Dr Naim added: “When it comes to Tony Blair, unfortunately, we Palestinians, Arabs and Muslims and maybe others around the world have bad memories of him.

“We can still remember his role in killing, causing thousands or millions of deaths to innocent civilians in Afghanistan and Iraq.

“We can still remember him very well after destroying Iraq and Afghanistan.”

Under Mr Trump’s plans, Sir Tony would form part of an international supervisory body.

The international body, the Council of Peace or Board of Peace, would govern under plans approved by Mr Netanyahu.

Read more:
How withdrawal of Israeli troops in Gaza could work
Could the Gaza deal lead to something even bigger?

The body would hold most power while overseeing the administration of Palestinian technocrats running day-to-day affairs.

It would also hold the commanding role of directing reconstruction in Gaza.

Sir Tony Blair has been told he would not be welcome in a post-war Gaza. Pic: PA
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Sir Tony Blair has been told he would not be welcome in a post-war Gaza. Pic: PA

Dr Naim added that Hamas was satisfied Mr Trump’s plan would achieve peace in Gaza.

But he said it could never be fully satisfied after accusing Israel of genocide.

Israel has continually denied this, claiming it has been fighting Hamas terrorists to defend itself following the October 7 massacre in 2023.

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