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Sir Keir Starmer has for the first time said it was British policy to “put Ukraine in the strongest possible position for negotiations”.

During a speech at the Lord Mayor’s Banquet in London on Monday, the prime minister said he wants Ukraine to be in a position of strength “so they can secure a just and lasting peace on their terms that guarantees their security, independence – and right to choose their own future”.

But make no mistake. This is a significant shift.

Only last month, both Sir Keir and French President Emmanuel Macron were promising to “support Ukraine unwaveringly and for as long as necessary to thwart Russia’s war of aggression”.

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In the summer, his predecessor Rishi Sunak stated British policy on Ukraine was based on the principle that “aggression cannot and will not prevail” while also talking of a just and lasting peace “based on international law and the UN charter”.

If negotiations happen and settle on some kind of compromise, as they always do, Russian aggression will have prevailed to some extent at least.

If Russia, as many seem to expect, walks away with de facto control of at least part of the chunk of Ukraine it has taken by force and wins a commitment Ukraine will not join NATO for the foreseeable future, Vladimir Putin will have been vindicated, at least in part.

His decision to wield naked unprovoked brutal aggression against a neighbour will have achieved some of its ends.

That Western leaders are now talking about negotiations between Ukraine and Russia will, say critics, be a sign of their abject failure to “thwart Russian aggression”.

A Ukrainian serviceman from an anti-drone mobile air defence unit fires a ZU-23-2 anti-aircraft cannon during combat, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in the Chernihiv region, Ukraine December 1, 2024. REUTERS/Maksym Kishka
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A Ukrainian serviceman fires an anti-aircraft cannon during combat in the Chernihiv region

A drone view shows an apartment building hit by a Russian drone strike, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Ternopil, Ukraine December 2, 2024. Press service of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in Ternopil region/Handout via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
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An apartment building hit by a Russian drone strike in Ternopil. Pics: Reuters

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The West failed to deter Russia from invading Ukraine, hoping the threat of “swift punitive” financial sanctions would suffice.

Then it failed to act with sufficient urgency and unity to help Ukraine repel that invasion.

Western leaders seem ready to accept inevitability of negotiations

Russia may be reaching the limit of its ability to support a war it is undoubtedly winning, drafting in North Korean and Yemeni troops to avoid an unpopular second mobilisation of Russians. And with inflation soaring the Russian economy is creaking.

But US President-elect Donald Trump seems determined to press on and expedite negotiations and other leaders, including Ukraine’s own and now Britain’s, seem ready to accept their inevitability.

Sir Keir gave the impression negotiations were around the corner. That could be jumping the gun. We have no idea when they will start, if they do.

For some, Sir Keir’s words will be overhasty.

Many would prefer Europe to hold the line even if the US is about to walk away from giving Ukraine the military support it has relied on for two years.

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Roger Ver moves to dismiss US tax evasion charges as ‘unconstitutional’

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Roger Ver moves to dismiss US tax evasion charges as ‘unconstitutional’

Roger Ver argued that the IRS’ exit tax for renounced US citizens with over $2 million in assets is unconstitutional and “impermissibly vague.”

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Russia sentences Hydra market founder to life in prison

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Russia sentences Hydra market founder to life in prison

Hydra market founder Stanislav Moiseev and 15 of his accomplices were jailed for between 8 and 23 years for their involvement in the darknet market and crypto mixer.

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‘It doesn’t matter’: Reform deputy dismisses court records that say MP kicked his girlfriend

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'It doesn't matter': Reform deputy dismisses court records that say MP kicked his girlfriend

Richard Tice has been challenged for appearing to cast doubt on court documents that detailed how one of the party’s MPs was jailed for repeatedly kicking his girlfriend.

The Reform UK deputy leader defended James McMurdock, who was jailed 18 years ago for repeatedly kicking his girlfriend, saying the UK is a “Christian nation” that believes in “redemption”.

Speaking to the Politics Hub with Sophy Ridge, Mr Tice said he did not believe Mr McMurdock, the party’s MP for South Basildon and East Thurrock, should be “doomed as a sinner forever”.

Mr McMurdock, a former investment banker, was convicted of assaulting his then girlfriend in 2006 while drunk outside a nightclub.

He spent 21 days in a young offenders’ institution after admitting to the attack.

Before he was elected as an MP, the investment banker had not publicly disclosed the conviction and when it emerged in July he had been jailed for attacking his girlfriend when he was 19 years old, he downplayed the incident as a “teenage indiscretion”.

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But further details of what happened during the incident emerged after The Times applied to the court for information from the official record, which showed he received the custodial sentence for “kicking” the victim “around four times”.

James McMurdock arrives at the House of Commons.
Pic: PA
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James McMurdock. Pic: PA

Mr Tice said his colleague was an example of someone who “had a bad issue at a very young age but has gone full circle”.

He said the UK was a “great Christian nation” and added: “Are you seriously saying that if someone makes a bad mistake in life, aged 19, that there’s no redemption they are doomed as a sinner forever? No.”

He went on: “The whole point of Christianity is a sense of if you’ve done something wrong, you pay your price. And at the end of that sentence, whatever it is, then, in a sense you’ve done your bit, you served your punishment, whatever it is.

“Isn’t it remarkable that an individual had I, you know, had a bad issue at a very young age but has gone full circle.

“Doesn’t it show, actually, to other young people that bad stuff can happen – you can make bad judgements, you can get things badly wrong. But many years later, actually you can you can do really well.

“He had a great job and end up as a member of parliament. I think that’s a good thing.”

MPs do not have to disclose previous convictions to the public when standing, with only people in prison at the time of the election for a sentence of more than a year barred.

McMurdock’s victim’s mother brought the incident to light a week after his election, saying he “left marks on her body” and “it took two security guards to pull him off her”.

When the allegations were revealed, McMurdock said the pair had argued and he had pushed her.

Challenged on whether there had been a “major discrepancy” between Mr McMurdock’s version of events and what had been reported, Mr Tice replied that his “understanding” of the incident was “different” to what The Times said had happened.

Pressed on what he believed happened, Mr Tice replied: “It actually doesn’t matter.”

“I’m trusting James,” he said.

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“He’s bang on the money and I think that what he says is right. He was there. The court wasn’t there. The Times weren’t there.

“The law is the law. The law ruled that he had transgressed and he was punished. He served his punishment.”

When the allegations emerged, Mr McMurdock told Sky News the incident was “the biggest regret of my life”.

He said: “While I absolutely deny the horrific details in this tale, there is one truth in it that I cannot, nor will not deny or hide from.

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“A generous person might call it a teenage indiscretion but I do not expect everyone to be so kind.

“Nearly 20 years ago, at 19 years of age, at the end of a night out together, we argued and I pushed her. She fell over and she was hurt. Despite being 38 now and having lived a whole life again I still feel deeply ashamed and apologetic.

“Despite us both being very drunk, I handed myself into the police immediately and admitted my fault. I was charged for what I did, not for what has been claimed, and I faced the consequences then and paid for my action in full.

“This is the biggest regret of my life and I wish I could go back in time and fix things.”

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