Scotland has vowed to scrap the two-child benefit cap, saying it will lift 15,000 Scottish children out of poverty.
Scotland’s finance secretary Shona Robison also committed to a record investment in the NHS as she unveiled the nation’s draft budget for the coming year in a speech at Holyrood.
The MSP previously said the budget would put “the people of Scotland first”.
Ms Robison told the chamber on Wednesday: “This budget invests in public services, lifts children out of poverty, acts in the face of the climate emergency, and supports jobs and economic growth.
“It is a budget filled with hope for Scotland’s future.”
Highlights from the draft budget:
• The Scottish government will mitigate the impact of the UK government’s two-child benefit cap. Ms Robison has urged Westminster to provide the necessary data to allow for the change to be made. She said: “Let me be crystal clear, this government is to end the two-child cap and in doing so will lift over 15,000 Scottish children out of poverty.”
• The nation’s NHS will receive a record £21bn for health and social care – an increase of £2bn for frontline NHS boards. The investment comes as spending watchdog Audit Scotland warned the NHS is unsustainable in its present state, with a fundamental change “urgently needed”.
• Almost £200m will be invested to reduce NHS waiting times. Ms Robison said by March 2026, no one will wait longer than 12 months for a new outpatient appointment, inpatient treatment or day-case treatment.
• The SNP has ditched its flagship council tax freeze. Local authority funding will be increased by more than £1bn, taking the total amount to more than £15bn. Ms Robison said while it is up to the local authorities to make their own decisions with the funding, there is “no reason for big increases in council tax next year”.
• More than £300m of ScotWind revenues will be invested in jobs and in measures to meet the climate challenge.
• £768m will be invested into affordable homes, enabling more than 8,000 new properties for social rent, mid-market rent and low-cost home ownership to be built or acquired this coming year.
• The Scottish government will also work with the City of Edinburgh Council to “unlock” more than 800 new net zero homes at the local authority’s Granton development site.
• New funding of £4m will be invested to tackle homelessness and for prevention pilots.
• An additional £800m will be invested into social security benefits.
• More than £2.5m will be delivered to support actions within the Disability Equality Action Plan.
• Spending on education and skills will increase by 3% over and above inflation, an uplift of £158m.
• £120m will be provided to headteachers to support initiatives designed to address the poverty-related attainment gap.
• Free school meals will also be expanded to primary 6 and 7 children from low-income families.
• A new initiative titled “bright start breakfasts” will be funded to help deliver more breakfast clubs in primary schools across the country.
• £29m will be invested into an additional support needs (ASN) plan, which will help maintain teacher numbers at 2023 levels and additionally train new ASN teachers.
• Almost £4.2bn will be invested across the justice system. The funding will seek to maintain police numbers. An additional £3m will be made available to help mitigate retail crime amid shoplifting concerns.
• £4.9bn will be invested to tackle the climate and nature crises.
• £25m will be allocated to support the creation of new jobs in the green energy supply chain in Scotland. And to help people at home and work, £300m will be invested in upgrading heating and insulation.
• £90m will be invested to protect, maintain and increase the nation’s woodlands and peatlands.
• £190m will be made available to boost bus services and to make it easier for people to walk, wheel or cycle. The electric vehicle charging network is also to be expanded.
• Almost £1.1bn will be used to maintain and renew the nation’s rail infrastructure.
• £237m will be invested to maintain and improve the nation’s ports, as well as deliver a “more resilient and effective ferry fleet”.
• In rural communities, more than £660m will be used to support farmers, crofters and the wider economy.
• The culture budget will increase by £34m.
• Income tax rates in Scotland have been frozen until 2026.
• The SNP had already confirmed it intends to restore a universal winter fuel payment for pensioners next year. Those in receipt of pension credit or other benefits will receive a £200 or £300 payment, depending on their age. All other pensioners will receive a reduced payment of £100.
Image: First Minister John Swinney and Ms Robison at Holyrood on Wednesday. Pic: PA
The Scottish budget is largely funded through the block grant alongside taxes raised north of the border.
Holyrood has an additional £3.4bn to spend in 2025-26, thanks to cash announced by UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves in her budget in October – taking the overall settlement to £47.7bn.
However, the Scottish budget for 2023-24 amounted to around £59.7bn.
Holyrood ministers are legally obliged to balance the books and have limited borrowing powers with which to raise additional funds.
The draft budget will be scrutinised in the Scottish parliament over the coming weeks before an expected vote in February, where the SNP will need to garner support from outside its minority administration for it to pass.
Image: Ms Robison during a visit to Logan Energy in Edinburgh earlier on Wednesday. Pic: PA
Following her statement, Ms Robison said she was looking forward to working with the opposition parties.
She added: “I am proud to present a budget that delivers on the priorities of the people of Scotland.
“Parliament can show that we understand the pressures people are facing.
“We can choose to come together to bring hope to people, to renew our public services, and deliver a wealth of new opportunities in our economy.”
In response, the Scottish Greens said it will not back the proposed budget “as things stand”.
Ross Greer, the party’s finance spokesperson, cited its failure to expand free school meals for all P6 and P7 pupils.
The MSP said: “The government has agreed to more modest Green proposals like free ferry travel for young islanders, free bus travel for asylum seekers and higher tax on the purchase of holiday homes, but these measures are not nearly enough to make up for the cuts elsewhere.
“Big changes will be needed if they expect the Scottish Greens’ support.”
IPPR Scotland welcomed the intention to scrap the two-child benefit cap, as did Oxfam Scotland.
However, the charity criticised the Scottish government’s failure to implement a tax on “pollution spewing private jets” and is calling on ministers to “turbocharge talks with the UK government in order to give the tax clearance for take-off as soon as possible”.
Meanwhile, the Scottish Conservatives branded it “more of the same from the SNP”.
Craig Hoy, the party’s shadow cabinet secretary for finance, said: “Taxpayers are paying the price for years of SNP waste on ferries, gender reforms, failed independence bids, and a National Care Service that has already cost £30m.”
The MSP said the NHS is on its knees and needed “urgent reform”.
He added: “The extra funding is welcome but our NHS needs more than money, it needs leadership and a serious plan to reduce waiting lists, yet the SNP’s only proposal is rehashing a previous broken promise.
“The Nationalists have no vision for the future of the country and it’s clear John Swinney is out of ideas.”
The Scottish Tories also said the two-child benefit cap is “necessary”.
MSP Liz Smith, the party’s shadow social security secretary, said: “Social security payments must be fair to people who are struggling and to taxpayers who pick up the bill.
“We believe the two-child cap is necessary and the right approach at this time.
“The rapidly rising benefits bill is currently unsustainable as a direct consequence of the SNP’s high tax rates and mismanagement of our economy and public finances.”
Thousands of job cuts at the NHS will go ahead after the £1bn needed to fund the redundancies was approved by the Treasury.
The government had already announced its intention to slash the headcount across both NHS England and the Department of Health by around 18,000 administrative staff and managers, including on local health boards.
The move is designed to remove “unnecessary bureaucracy” and raise £1bn a year by the end of the parliament to improve services for patients by freeing up more cash for operations.
NHS England, the Department of Health and Social Care, and the Treasury had been in talks over how to pay for the £1bn one-off bill for redundancies.
It is understood the Treasury has not granted additional funding for the departures over and above the NHS’s current cash settlement, but the NHS will be permitted to overspend its budget this year to pay for redundancies, recouping the costs further down the line.
‘Every penny will be spent wisely’
Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to make further announcements regarding the health service in the budget on 26 November.
And addressing the NHS providers’ annual conference in Manchester today, Mr Streeting is expected to say the government will be “protecting investment in the NHS”.
He will add: “I want to reassure taxpayers that every penny they are being asked to pay will be spent wisely.
“Our investment to offer more services at evenings and weekends, arm staff with modern technology, and improving staff retention is working.
“At the same time, cuts to wasteful spending on things like recruitment agencies saw productivity grow by 2.4% in the most recent figures – we are getting better bang for our buck.”
Image: Health Secretary Wes Streeting during a visit to the NHS National Operations Centre in London earlier this year. Pic: PA
He is also expected on Wednesday to give NHS leaders the go-ahead for a 50% cut to headcounts in Integrated Care Boards, which plan health services for specific regions.
They have been tasked with transforming the NHS into a neighbourhood health service – as set down in the government’s long-term plans for the NHS.
Those include abolishing NHS England, which will be brought back into the health department within two years.
NSK said it had begun consultations with union representatives on its plans.
Unite the Union said it would fight the planned closures. It described the announcement as a “betrayal” of the workforce.
The company first began operations at Peterlee in 1976. It has another UK manufacturing facility at Newark in Nottinghamshire and another three in Germany and Poland.
The Peterlee factories produce bearings for steering columns and wheel hubs.
Its customers are understood to include VW, Renault and fellow Japanese firm Nissan, which has sprawling car production facilities just up the coast at nearby Sunderland.
Its statement said NSK Europe had faced “persistent challenges in the profitability of locally manufactured products”.
“NSK will continue discussions with stakeholders and provide support measures for affected staff if the closure proceeds, which is expected to be completed no later than March 2027.
“The company has not yet determined the full impact of this decision on its business performance,” the statement concluded.
Challenges for UK manufacturers in recent times include Brexit red tape and high energy costs, though the Peterlee operation is understood to have been run on power generated purely from wind.
Unite blamed pressures on automotive parts suppliers from weak demand hitting car manufacturers during the transition away from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles.
Its general secretary Sharon Graham said: “This is a complete betrayal by NSK of its County Durham workforce, who have broken their backs hitting performance targets that they were told would keep their factories safe.
“There is a viable business case for keeping these sites open and Unite will fight tooth and nail for that to happen.”
Unite said it was urging the government to intervene with financial support to protect automotive jobs.
The UK’s jobless rate has risen to a level not seen since late 2020, according to official figures released ahead of the budget.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a figure of 5% covering the three months to September – up from 4.8% reported last month. It was a larger leap than economists had predicted, and the ONS said that men were worst affected by the shift.
It leaves the jobless rate at its highest level since December 2020-February 2021.
It had stood at 4.1% when Labour took office last year.
There was no better news for Chancellor Rachel Reeves in wider, experimental, HMRC data released by the ONS, which showed a 32,000 decline in payrolled employment during October.
That suggested a pause to a more recent trend of declines slowing since sharp falls first witnessed in the spring of this year.
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It was April when measures introduced in Ms Reeves’s first budget came into effect, with hikes in minimum pay and employer national insurance contributions hammering employment and investment sentiment in the private sector.
It also coincided with peak US trade war uncertainty as Donald Trump ramped up his tariffs.
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3:53
Where Reeves stands on tax rises
ONS director of economic statistics Liz McKeown said of the data: “Taken together these figures point to a weakening labour market.
“The number of people on payroll is falling, with revised tax data now showing falls in most of the last 12 months.
“Meanwhile the unemployment rate is up in the latest quarter to a post pandemic high. The number of job vacancies, however, remains broadly unchanged.
“Wage growth in the private sector slowed further, but we continue to see stronger public sector pay growth, reflecting some pay rises being awarded earlier than they were last year.”
In good news, the overall slowing in the pace of wage growth and weakening jobs market should help bolster the case for an interest rate cut by the Bank of England next month, assuming inflationary pressures continue to ease after last week’s rate hold.
The ONS figures were released as the clock ticks down to the chancellor’s second budget due on 26 November.
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13:06
The state of UK economy ahead of budget
Ms Reeves used an event in Downing Street last week to prepare the ground for a painful series of measures that are expected to be only partly offset by some announcements to keep Labour MPs onside, as she stares down a black hole in the public finances believed to be in the region of £30bn.
She has signalled a break from Labour’s manifesto tax pledge not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT, on the grounds that the world has changed since that promise was made.
The chancellor’s gripes include Brexit and the effects of the US trade war.
Nevertheless, a spending priority would appear to be the lifting of the two-child benefit cap. That would take an estimated 350,000 children out of poverty, according to the Child Poverty Action Group.
Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesperson, Daisy Cooper, said of the employment data: “Surely the writing is on the wall now for the chancellor’s jobs tax.
“Everyone except Rachel Reeves seems to have woken up to the fact that forcing small businesses to pay more in tax for giving people jobs would damage job opportunities. Now the proof is staring her in the face.
“The government must reverse their damaging national insurance hike at the budget, and commit to saving the small businesses who employ millions in Britain and are at risk of collapse, if they’re to have any hope of reversing today’s concerning trend.”
The Conservatives accused Ms Reeves of presiding over a “high-tax, anti-business” agenda.
Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, Pat McFadden, said: “Over 329,000 more people have moved into work this year already, but today’s figures are exactly why we’re stepping up our plan to Get Britain Working.
“We’ve introduced the most ambitious employment reforms in a generation to modernise jobcentres, expand youth hubs and tackle ill-health through stronger partnerships with employers.
“And this week we’re going further by launching an independent investigation that will bolster our drive to ensure all young people are earning or learning.
“We’re backing businesses to grow and create jobs by cutting red tape, signing trade deals and securing hundreds of billions in investment, which helped make the UK the fastest growing economy in the G7 in the first half of this year.”