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Russia’s ability to outmatch Ukraine with artillery barrages on the battlefield has significantly reduced to just 1.5 Russian rounds for every Ukrainian shell fired back, Western officials have said.

This compares with Russian forces launching at least five times as many artillery rounds as Ukraine could in the war previously – with the ratio at times much higher even than that.

The Western officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity, put the levelling out down to a “wide variety of factors”.

These factors include limitations in Russia’s defence production lines, difficulties with transporting more rounds to the frontline by rail, and strikes by Ukrainian drones against strategic stockpiles of Russian and North Korean ammunition supplies inside Russia.

In addition, they said Western supplies of ammunition were helping to bolster Ukraine’s armoury.

However, vast quantities of Russian glide bombs appear to be compensating for the reduction in the country’s advantage on the artillery front, the Western officials signalled.

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Army could be ‘worn out in a year’

One official said there had been a “massive increase in Russian glide bomb use on the frontline to devastating effect”.

They said Russian forces were still gaining ground in Ukraine but at a terrible cost.

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The Western officials repeated earlier Ukrainian claims that Russia lost more than 2,000 troops, killed or injured, in a single day last month fighting against Ukraine – the highest casualty rate of the war.

Moscow has consistently dismissed Russian casualty estimates by Ukraine and its allies.

The Kremlin does not publish up-to-date figures. Ukraine is also secretive about its losses.

One of the Western officials said the figures “speak to the brutality of the frontline – very Somme-esque”.

The Battle of the Somme in France was one of the largest and bloodiest battles of the First World War.

The Western official said Russian forces suffered 2,030 casualties on 28 November – “a new war high” and the first time the rate of dead and wounded had breached the 2,000-mark.

The official said the average daily rate of Russian dead and injured in Ukraine for the whole of November had topped 1,500 for a third straight month, putting the average at 1,523 personnel.

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Indonesia and Thailand mark 20 years since devastating Boxing Day tsunami which killed 230,000 across a dozen countries

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Indonesia and Thailand mark 20 years since devastating Boxing Day tsunami which killed 230,000 across a dozen countries

Indonesia and Thailand are marking 20 years since a tsunami caused the death of hundreds of thousands of people in one of the worst natural disasters in modern history.

People started gathering in prayer today and visiting mass graves in Aceh, one of the worst-hit areas by the Boxing Day Indian Ocean tsunami which saw an estimated 230,000 people killed across a dozen countries.

The tsunami was triggered by a 9.1-magnitude earthquake that struck off the west coast of North Sumatra, Indonesia, at 7.59am local time on 26 December 2004.

Indonesia was the country with highest number of deaths, but India, Sri Lanka and Thailand were also badly hit.

People gather to commemorate the victims of a tsunami that hit Indonesia's province of Aceh 20 years ago
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People remember the victims of the tsunami in Indonesia’s Aceh

Many wept openly at the mass grave in Ulee Lheue village, where more than 14,000 unidentified and unclaimed tsunami victims are buried. It is one of several mass graves in Banda Aceh, the capital of Indonesia’s northernmost province.

Footage showed people visiting a mass grave in Siron to remember the victims of an event that shocked the world.

People gather to commemorate victims of tsunami in Thailand on 20th anniversary
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People gather to mark the anniversary in Thailand

People gather to commemorate victims of tsunami in Thailand on 20th anniversary

In Thailand, people gathered in Phang Nga province to honour the victims and those affected.

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To mark the 20th anniversary of the disaster, Sky News has spoken to people who survived the tsunami, one of whom lost his brother to the huge waves while they holidayed together in Thailand.

In Aceh, the tsunami reached 167ft (51m) high, according to the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) and caused flooding up to three miles (5km) inland.

The infrastructure in Aceh has been rebuilt and is now more resilient than 20 years ago.

Early warning systems have been installed in coastal areas to alert residents of potential tsunamis, providing crucial time to seek safety.

A coast guard ship that was carried about five kilometres inland to the city centre of Banda Aceh during the tsunami. Pic: Reuters
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A coast guard ship that was carried about 5km inland to the city centre of Banda Aceh during the tsunami. Pic: Reuters

The rebuilding efforts were made possible by the support of international donors and organisations, who contributed significant funds to help the region recover.

Schools, hospitals, and essential infrastructure that were destroyed by the disaster have been reconstructed with enhanced strength and durability, ensuring better preparedness for future challenges.

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Various communities in Aceh commemorate the tsunami yearly along with the government and local authorities.

In Banda Aceh, art communities in early December spread disaster awareness through theatrical or musical performances that can be easier for people to follow and target all groups, including those born after the tsunami.

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Undersea power cable suffers outage as Baltic Sea countries on edge over series of disruptions

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Undersea power cable suffers outage as Baltic Sea countries on edge over series of disruptions

The possibility that a power cable under the Baltic Sea between Finland and Estonia has been sabotaged is being investigated after it stopped working on Christmas Day.

Authorities in both countries are examining whether a foreign ship may have been involved, without naming the vessel.

It’s the latest in a series of incidents in the region in which undersea cables appear to have been damaged.

The Estlink-2 cable suffered a sudden failure on Wednesday, Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo said.

“The police, in cooperation with the Border Guard and other authorities, are investigating the chain of events of the incident,” Finnish police said in a statement.

There was no power loss to citizens in either Estonia or Finland during the outage, with Estonia saying they had enough spare capacity to meet power needs, public broadcaster ERR said on its website.

But the 658 megawatt (MW) Estlink 2 power interconnector remained offline following the outage that began at midday local time, leaving only the 358 MW Estlink 1 in operation between the two countries, operator Fingrid said.

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Baltic Sea nations are on high alert for potential acts of sabotage following a string of outages of power cables, telecom
links and gas pipelines since 2022, although subsea equipment is also subject to technical malfunction and accidents.

Yesterday’s incident comes after the Balticconnector gas pipeline linking Finland and Estonia was damaged last year, along with several telecoms cables.

Finnish police investigating that incident said it was likely caused by a ship dragging its anchor.

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It comes as Swedish police are leading an investigation into the breach last month of two Baltic Sea telecom cables, in an incident German defence minister Boris Pistorius has said he assumed was caused by sabotage.

The Nord Stream natural gas pipelines that once brought natural gas from Russia to Germany were damaged by underwater explosions in September 2022.

Authorities have termed it sabotage and launched criminal probes.

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‘No respite even at Christmas’: Starmer condemns Russian missile strikes on Ukraine

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'No respite even at Christmas': Starmer condemns Russian missile strikes on Ukraine

Sir Keir Starmer has condemned Russia’s Christmas Day bombardment of Ukraine, saying the hail of missiles and drones was “bloody and brutal”.

The prime minister lamented that there was “no respite even at Christmas” for Ukrainians, who spent the morning sheltering in metro stations as bombs rained down on their cities.

Russia’s defence ministry said it carried out a “massive strike” on energy facilities that it claimed supported Kyiv’s military.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy also condemned the attack, saying Russia was seeking to plunge his people into darkness.

“Putin deliberately chose Christmas,” he said on Wednesday. “What could be more inhumane?”

In the east, Kremlin forces claim to have captured the settlement of Vidrodzhennia as they continue to make territorial gains.

People take shelter at a metro station during an air raid alert in Kyiv, Ukraine.
Pic: Reuters
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People take shelter at a metro station during an air raid alert in Kyiv. Pic: Reuters


‘Christmas gift to Ukraine’

Regions across the country reported missile and drone strikes as Ukrainians spend another holiday season facing attacks on their power infrastructure.

Kyiv’s military said it downed 59 Russian missiles and 54 drones, but others made it through their air defences.

Strikes in Kharkiv wounded six people and left half a million in the region without heating, as temperatures hovered just a few degrees above zero.

A firefighter works at the site of residential buildings hit by a Russian drone strike in Kharkiv.
Pic: Reuters
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Firefighters work in the wreckage of homes in Kharkiv. Pic: Reuters

“Kharkiv is under massive missile fire. A series of explosions rang out in the city and there are still ballistic missiles flying in the direction of the city. Stay in safe places,” Kharkiv mayor Ihor Terekhov said.

In the capital, residents faced blackouts while in Dnipro region one person was killed.

Dnipropetrovsk Governor Serhiy Lysa said the Russian army is trying to destroy the region’s power system.

A man plays the accordion near Ukraine's main Christmas tree in Sophia Square on Christmas Eve, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine, December 24, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Peter
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Sophia Square, Kyiv, on Christmas Eve. Pic: Reuters


Ukrainians, marking their second Christmas since changing to celebrate on the same day as the West, sheltered in underground metro stations as the deadly salvo of missiles soared towards them.

“Russia’s Christmas gift to Ukraine: more than 70 missiles and 100 drones,” US ambassador Bridget Brink said. “For the third holiday season, Russia weaponises winter.”

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A military Orthodox chaplain conducts a Christmas Eve mass for service members of the 72nd Chorni Zaporozhtsi Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, at a position in a front line in Donetsk region, Ukraine December 24, 2024. Valentyn Kuzan/Press Service of the 72nd Chorni Zaporozhtsi Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces/Handout via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY.
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A military chaplain conducts a Christmas Eve mass for soldiers on the front line. Pic: Reuters/72nd Mechanised Brigade

Four dead in Kursk region

In the east, Ukrainian soldiers celebrated Christmas by candlelight as they ate together near the frontline.

Fighting continues to be tough in Donbas, as Russian forces push forward and make steady gains.

On Wednesday, Russia’s defence ministry said its forces had taken the settlement of Vidrodzhennia.

Service members of the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces eat meals during a Christmas Eve dinner at a position near a front line, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine December 24, 2024. Volodymyr Petrov/Press Service of the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces/Handout via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. DO NOT OBSCURE LOGO.
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Soldiers eat by candlelight on Christmas Eve near the front line. Pic: Reuters/33rd Separate Mechanised Brigade

Across the border, in Russia’s Kursk region, four people were killed and five injured in the town of Lgov after Ukrainian shelling, the region’s acting governor said.

“A five-storey residential building, two single-storey residential buildings and a single-storey beauty salon were seriously damaged,” Alexander Khinshtein wrote on Telegram.

Pope calls for peace talks

In the Vatican, Pope Francis mentioned the war in Ukraine directly during his Christmas Day message, calling for “the boldness needed to open the door to negotiation”.

Speaking to thousands of people from the balcony of St Peter’s Basilica, he said: “May the sound of arms be silenced in war-torn Ukraine!”

He also called for “gestures of dialogue and encounter, in order to achieve a just and lasting peace”.

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