![CFP semifinal first look: Previewing Notre Dame-Penn State and Texas-Ohio State CFP semifinal first look: Previewing Notre Dame-Penn State and Texas-Ohio State](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/photo/2025/0102/CFP_Bracket_250102_Notre-Dame_16x9.jpg)
CFP semifinal first look: Previewing Notre Dame-Penn State and Texas-Ohio State
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adminThe College Football Playoff is back to a familiar place. The semifinals are set with four teams left competing for the national title.
With its 23-10 Allstate Sugar Bowl win against Georgia on Thursday, Notre Dame will face Penn State on Jan. 9 in the Capital One Orange Bowl at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). On New Year’s Eve, Penn State advanced when it beat Boise State 31-14 in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl.
Texas needed double overtime to escape a gritty Arizona State team on New Year’s Day 39-31 and the Longhorns will face Ohio State, which trounced Oregon 41-21 in the Rose Bowl Game presented by Prudential, at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) on Jan. 10 in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.
Here’s an early look at the semifinal matchups between the four remaining teams in the 12-team field. — Heather Dinich
Jump to:
Penn State vs. Notre Dame
Texas vs. Ohio State
When: Jan. 9 at 7:30 p.m. ET. TV: ESPN
What we learned in the quarterfinals: Penn State quarterback Drew Allar is closer to reaching his full NFL draft potential. When Allar was recruited to Penn State, it was with the expectation that he was talented enough to help lead the program to the national stage. Well, the Nittany Lions are here, but not without some bumps along the way. It has been a learning curve for Allar, though some of the throws he made against Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl were NFL-caliber. But what elevated his game was his 13.8 yards per pass attempt, his highest in a start in his career. And all three of his touchdowns came on throws of at least 10 yards, tying his career high. If Allar can lead the Nittany Lions to new heights, his draft stock will rise with them.
“He possesses a lot of raw talent and plays well within their system,” one NFL GM told ESPN. “There’s something still amiss though. Nevertheless, he’s finally making big-time throws and demonstrating some of the potential that was previously mentioned. I’m cautiously optimistic about his future.”
X factor: DE Abdul Carter. The Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year was injured in the first half against Boise State, and on Thursday posted a picture on X of Darth Vader in a bacta tank, perhaps teasing his comeback. A school spokesman said Thursday the team had no further update. Penn State’s defense was still elite without Carter against Boise State, but the return of the Nittany Lions’ best edge rusher and likely first-round NFL draft pick would be a huge boost in the biggest game to date. Penn State coach James Franklin hasn’t given any update beyond his comments after the Fiesta Bowl. “Obviously … the safety and health and welfare of our guys is priority number one,” Franklin said. “But then, I know Abdul will want to play next week and he’ll do everything in his power to play next week, if he’s able to.”
How Penn State wins: Make Notre Dame one-dimensional by taking away its running game and forcing the Irish into third-and-long situations. Points weren’t easy to come by against a stingy Georgia defense, as Notre Dame’s best offense was a kickoff return for a touchdown to start the second half and a short field created from a turnover to end the first half. If Penn State can do what it did against Boise State — when it limited Ashton Jeanty to his lowest rushing total of the season — Notre Dame quarterback Riley Leonard will have a long day trying to create explosive plays in the passing game. — Heather Dinich
![](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/87.png&h=60&w=60)
What we learned in the quarterfinals: The Notre Dame defense was as good as advertised against Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. The Fighting Irish went into the game ranked No. 2 in the FBS in scoring defense, giving up 13.8 points. The defense surrendered only a field goal in the first half. The Bulldogs looked to be headed for a touchdown late in the first quarter, but Irish safety Adon Shuler jarred the ball loose from tailback Trevor Etienne. Jaiden Ausberry recovered at the Notre Dame 10. After the Irish went ahead 6-3 on a 48-yard field goal with 38 seconds left in the first half, their defense came up with the biggest play of the game. On first-and-10 at the Georgia 25, defensive end RJ Oben sacked quarterback Gunner Stockton, knocking the ball loose. Tackle Junior Tuihalamaka recovered the fumble at the Georgia 13. Quarterback Riley Leonard threw a 13-yard touchdown to Beaux Collins on the next play, giving the Irish a 13-3 lead. The Irish did a nice job against the run, limiting the Bulldogs to 101 yards before sacks, and they dropped Stockton four times.
X factor: Leonard. The Notre Dame offense did just enough against Georgia in the Sugar Bowl, and the one-time Duke transfer was a big reason why. He had 90 yards on 15-for-29 passing and ran 14 times for 80 yards. With the Bulldogs largely containing tailbacks Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price (they combined for 56 yards on 16 carries), Leonard had to carry much of the offense himself. He made a couple of huge runs for first downs, along with tossing the touchdown to Collins. Notre Dame’s receivers struggled to get much separation against Georgia’s secondary, and it probably won’t get much easier against the Nittany Lions. Penn State is No. 8 in the FBS in run defense, giving up 100.9 yards per game. Leonard might have to do even more if the Irish are going to win the Orange Bowl.
How Notre Dame wins: Given Notre Dame’s limitations on offense (at least against very good defenses), its defense is going to have to continue to force turnovers and get off the field on third down, which is exactly what it did against Georgia. Getting pressure on Allar is going to be a priority. Another big play on special teams, like Jayden Harrison‘s 98-yard kickoff return for a touchdown to open up the second half against the Bulldogs, wouldn’t hurt either. Irish kicker Mitch Jeter was more than solid against Georgia, converting three field goal attempts longer than 40 yards. Notre Dame also needs to clean up its 10 penalties. — Mark Schlabach
When: Jan. 10, 7:30 p.m. ET. TV: ESPN
What we learned in the quarterfinals: Texas has gone through quite an identity crisis over the past six weeks on offense. The Longhorns went from rushing domination in their final two regular-season games, to not being able to run in the SEC championship, back to rushing domination in the first round against Clemson, back to struggling on the ground against Arizona State. So which Texas rushing attack will show up against Ohio State? There is no doubt that Texas will need a bigger rushing effort to beat the Buckeyes. Perhaps offensive tackle Cameron Williams will be healthy enough to play and help make a difference. Either way, we learned that Texas still has work to do to put together a complete offensive performance.
X factor: TE Gunnar Helm. Texas likes to use its tight ends in the offense coach Steve Sarkisian runs, and Helm came up huge in the win over Arizona State, with three catches for 56 yards — and the winning touchdown in overtime. Helm was also big in the opening-round win over Clemson with six catches for 77 yards and a score. Sarkisian praised him leading into the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl, saying, “The multiplicity of the things that the tight end has to do in our systems make him extremely valuable. When you have a good one, I think that that makes our lives a lot easier from a playcaller perspective.”
How Texas wins: Texas has been ranked the No. 1 defense in the country for the bulk of the season for a reason, and we saw that for large swaths of its win over Arizona State. The Longhorns will have to continue to set the tone up front and get after Will Howard to make him uncomfortable. Michigan provided the blueprint for winning in November, when it dominated the Buckeyes on both lines of scrimmage. Texas certainly has the potential to do that with its defensive and offensive fronts. But the Longhorns will have to absolutely be better on their offensive line to have any shot to win. They were overwhelmed at times by a smaller Arizona State defensive front. — Andrea Adelson
What we learned in the quarterfinals: No one can stop Jeremiah Smith, and by extension, the Ohio State offense. Against an Oregon team that defeated them in October, the Buckeyes came out of the gates at the Rose Bowl ready to prove the Ducks didn’t have their number. Thanks to Smith, who caught five balls for 161 yards and had two touchdown receptions of 40-plus yards in the first half alone (he finished with 187 yards), Ohio State looked to be playing at a different speed, as Oregon seemed helpless on both sides of the ball. The freshman wide receiver was a blur, speeding past the Ducks’ secondary with ease while making his case for being not just the best freshman in the country — or the best wide receiver — but one of the best players in the sport. It helped that nearly every Ohio State skill player who touched the ball found gold — running back TreVeyon Henderson averaged double-digit yards per carry while adding two touchdowns, and wide receiver Emeka Egbuka added his own tremendous play in a 42-yard touchdown grab in the first half. It was all a reminder that the best version of this Buckeyes team might just be unstoppable.
X factor: Henderson. Texas’ defense might have no choice but to sell out to stop Smith, and though Smith might still get his, it will certainly open things up for other wideouts in the Buckeyes’ offense in addition to Henderson. The senior has not been particularly splashy this season, but he has been consistent. But in Pasadena, he looked as good as ever, recording his first 100-yard game of the season. There’s no question that Ohio State’s air game is its strength, but if it can pair it with more consistent running from Henderson, the Longhorns will have a tough time on defense.
How Ohio State wins: Short of doing exactly what they did to dominate Oregon in Pasadena, the Buckeyes now have a clear recipe for success. The confidence they inherited from avenging their loss to the Ducks should be enough proof they have the talent and execution to beat any team, especially Texas. A healthy dose of Smith will be essential, and the stout defense that has had more sacks than any other playoff team so far will need to pressure Quinn Ewers, but a lot will certainly fall on Will Howard‘s shoulders. In the Rose Bowl, Howard looked as comfortable as he has all season. He had no crucial mistakes, threw three touchdown passes and found Smith over and over again to much success. He’ll have to do more of the same in the Cotton Bowl. — Paolo Uggetti
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‘Everything you want in a hockey player’: How Brady Tkachuk is leading Senators’ playoff charge
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February 11, 2025By
admin!['Everything you want in a hockey player': How Brady Tkachuk is leading Senators' playoff charge 'Everything you want in a hockey player': How Brady Tkachuk is leading Senators' playoff charge](https://a2.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/photo/2025/0209/r1449630_1296x729_16-9.jpg)
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Greg WyshynskiFeb 11, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Greg Wyshynski is ESPN’s senior NHL writer.
What is the most “Tkachuk” thing about Ottawa Senators captain Brady Tkachuk?
“You mean what’s the rattiest thing about him?” asked his teammate Shane Pinto.
Is that an official synonym for Brady’s surname in hockey circles?
“I guess so,” Pinto said with a laugh. “He’s just always stirring the pot on the ice against the other team. But off the ice, he’s a nice kid. I mean, it’s completely different. He’s chill.”
Being a Tkachuk means having a moniker that has defined a certain kind of NHL player: highly skilled with blunt physicality and a win-at-all-costs attitude. Father Keith Tkachuk personified it for 18 seasons, scoring 538 goals and totaling more than 1,000 penalty minutes. Older brother Matthew, 27, swaggered his way to postseason heroism, leading the Florida Panthers to the Stanley Cup last season.
Is it finally time for Brady Tkachuk, 25, to have his definitive moment?
He captains the Senators, one of the NHL’s hottest teams recently and a franchise desperately seeking its first playoff berth since 2017.
“He’s everything you’d want in a hockey player,” said Travis Green, in his first season as Senators head coach. “He’s a bit of a throwback where he can make plays, he can score, he can set up plays, he’s tough, he fights. He’s ultracompetitive. Hard to play against and loves to win.”
Tkachuk will bring those attributes to Team USA in the upcoming 4 Nations Face-Off, as part of a generation of American players getting their first chance to represent their nation in a best-on-best tournament.
“There’s just so much room and opportunity for us to grow in here before then, so I’m still focused on that,” Tkachuk told ESPN recently, standing in the Ottawa dressing room. “But it’s hard not to think about the fact that I’ll be playing for Team USA and playing with my brother. It’s hard not to get excited for it.”
About a month before the tournament, Tkachuk said there hasn’t been a ton of discussion among his national teammates — no Team USA group chat yet. “Everyone’s focused on their own teams right now,” he said.
That’s one of the unique things about the 4 Nations Face-Off, a round-robin tournament in which the U.S. battles NHL stars from Canada, Sweden and Finland. It’s a midseason tournament, with players taking a break from intense playoff races to battle for international bragging rights. Tkachuk believes that the 4 Nations players will be able to focus on the task at hand before getting back to the NHL grind.
He also believes that unlike the 2016 World Cup of Hockey — played before the 2016-17 season, when players were in preseason condition and games at times reflected that — the level of competition will be high for 4 Nations.
“It’s honestly perfect because you’re already in the groove of the season,” he said. “You’re already in the groove of your individual season, and you’re not shaking out any rust at the start of the year. You’re in your tip-top shape. That’s going to be the best quality hockey that you can have in the middle of the season.”
The Senators will have 26 games left when the season resumes on Feb. 22. As of Tuesday, Ottawa had a 90% chance of making the playoffs.
“Right now we’re in a position that I’ve never really been in before,” Tkachuk said. “It’s just so much fun to come to the rink every day. Every game is at the utmost importance.”
Pinto credited Tkachuk, who has been captain since the 2021-22 season, with powering Ottawa into the playoff race. Through 56 games, he led the team with 21 goals and was third (behind Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson) in points. Three of those goals were overtime winners.
“I think every night he drags himself into the battle,” Pinto said. “He gets the boys going. We’re lucky to have him.”
Other teams would be lucky to have him, too. Such as the New York Rangers, for example.
BACK IN DECEMBER, Larry Brooks of the New York Post reported that the Rangers had made Tkachuk their “primary target” in trade discussions, seeking to import the 25-year-old star to change their culture like brother Matthew did with the Panthers. Brooks claimed to have three sources all saying the Rangers were after the Ottawa captain.
Pinto said that Senators players were aware of the report. “With social media now, it’s hard to kind of stay away from all that,” he said.
Tkachuk was obviously aware of it, too.
“It’s just nothing I can control, right? There’s always going to be rumors, there’s always going to be rumblings,” he said. “I think it would be on me if I let that stuff control my emotions and affect me in what I’m trying to do here.”
But Senators owner Michael Andlauer couldn’t ignore the rumors. In fact, he was absolutely fuming about what Brooks had written.
In an interview with The Athletic, the Ottawa owner said “100 percent there’s never actually been an ounce of discussion” about trading Tkachuk, who is signed through 2027-28 ($8,205,714 average annual value).
Andlauer accused Brooks of being a vessel for “soft tampering,” which immediately entered the NHL lexicon.
“If indeed he’s being fed false information, or people are giving this information from another NHL organization, I don’t know — we just had a big memo about tampering from the NHL. I might consider that soft tampering,” Andlauer said.
The Rangers responded in a statement at the time: “This is an irresponsible accusation and we defer to the Commissioner’s office.”
What was it like for Tkachuk to have his owner step up and basically tell the Rangers, “Stay away from him, he’s ours”?
“I was really appreciative for that,” Tkachuk said. “Not many people do that. I think it just speaks to the character that we have in this organization and the leadership we have in Mr. Andlauer. It felt really good to have that kind of support.”
Tkachuk signed a seven-year contract in October 2021 after a difficult negotiation, not unlike the ones his father and brother had fought through in their careers.
“He’s starting to become more of a Tkachuk the later this goes,” Matthew Tkachuk joked at the time.
1:35
Igor Shesterkin charges at Brady Tkachuk during scrum
Igor Shesterkin is shaken up after Brady Tkachuk collides with him in the crease, then the Rangers goalie goes after Tkachuk while the two teams scrap.
That contract was seen by many as an endorsement of Ottawa management’s vision for the future. The following three seasons were good for Brady Tkachuk, who scored more than 30 goals in each of them, but the mediocrity continued for the Senators, who missed the postseason cut and finished no better than sixth in the Atlantic Division.
Over that span, owner Eugene Melnyk passed away, with Andlauer buying the team from the Melnyk family in September 2023. GM Pierre Dorion, who drafted Tkachuk fourth in 2018 and signed him to that extension, was fired in November 2023. Green is the fifth coach Tkachuk has had in seven seasons with Ottawa.
This season, Tkachuk has experienced another change, and it’s a positive one: He’s captaining a team that’s in playoff contention deep into the season.
“I think the key is not looking too far ahead, just focusing on the here and now. As time has gone on this year, I think I’ve gotten better at that, but still need to improve a little bit more,” he said. “Not get too high, not get too low, just focus on what I can do and what I control.”
A LOT OF PLAYERS claim to stay in the “here and now” by not focusing on the daily NHL standings. Tkachuk admits that with the Eastern Conference playoff race basically changing by the hour, that’s an impossibility. He wants to know where the Senators are around the bubble. He just can’t have it weigh on him or his team too much.
“I never want to get consumed in it, where that’s all I care about. That’s going to be detrimental versus being a positive thing,” he said.
That includes imagining potential playoff matchups. There’s one of particular interest to Senators fans: the possibility of facing their archrival Toronto Maple Leafs in the Eastern Conference postseason. Ottawa has lost all four “Battle of Ontario” playoff series against the Leafs, the last one occurring in 2004.
“I did see that. I think it’d be fun and awesome. But for us, we can’t really look too far ahead yet. That’d be exciting. But I think we got to just put our full sole focus and effort into today,” Tkachuk said. “It doesn’t really matter who you play; it’s just about getting there and it’s about the process of getting there.”
Tkachuk’s profile will get a further boost courtesy of Amazon Prime’s “Faceoff: Inside the NHL,” which has been renewed for a second season. Tkachuk was featured in the premiere season of the show during some segments featuring Matthew and Keith.
Brady Tkachuk was the only player named as part of the cast when the show’s renewal was announced in December.
“It’s probably going to be a little weird to start, just with cameras kind of around. When there’s a camera or a mic around, sometimes you can just go into a shell. It’s important to not really change who I am,” he said. “I’m actually really excited to showcase the city of Ottawa and the amazing people that are in that city.”
The Amazon show will chronicle the first time Tkachuk will captain the Senators through a playoff race. It’s also the first time his own teammates are seeing him in that mode, too.
“Brady’s Brady. He’s going to wear his heart on his sleeve every day and he has done a great job so far,” forward Josh Norris said. “I think sometimes he just gets some momentum during the game where you can tell that he’s pissed off or he knows that we need to play better.”
Green was impressed with Tkachuk’s leadership from the moment the coach arrived in Ottawa.
“He’s a great captain now, but he’s still a young captain in the league. He’s learning as he goes,” Green said. “He’s going to be even a better captain the longer he plays in the league.”
Pinto said being this confident as a young captain is one of the most impressive things about Tkachuk.
“As a young guy, it’s never easy to be a leader,” he said. “I think he’s still a year older than me and he’s a captain of a team, so I can’t imagine the pressure he gets put on every night. But I thought he’s done a great job.”
Pinto arrived in the 2020-21 season. He watched as players like Tkachuk and defenseman Thomas Chabot, who started playing for Ottawa in 2016-17, committed to the team contractually and gave it their all through some lean times.
As the Senators push for the playoffs, Pinto said seeing those players get their due is part of the thrill.
“They’ve been through a lot of tough times. It’s made them stronger as people and as players. Obviously there comes a time where you want to start winning. Thankfully, we started to do that, and those guys are probably the happiest out of everyone,” he said. “When the team’s winning, people will start to realize how good they are. I’m just happy for them.”
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Baseball is back! The stars, teams and themes we can’t wait to see in spring training
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February 10, 2025By
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After a wild baseball winter, spring training is in the air.
The Mets inked Juan Soto to the largest contract in MLB history — and also brought back fan favorite Pete Alonso this week. The Dodgers had another busy offseason, including the addition of prized Japanese pitcher Roki Sasaki. And the Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, Houston Astros and New York Yankees were among the most active teams in a scorching hot trade market.
Now, with pitchers and catchers reporting across Arizona and Florida this week, we’ll start seeing how those moves translate to the diamond. We’ve asked our ESPN MLB experts to get us ready for spring training with the stars and storylines they’re most excited to see as baseball returns for the 2025 season.
What is the one thing you are most excited about as spring training begins?
Buster Olney: The Mets are a must-see stop in spring training, and will be must-watch all year. The Dodgers are baseball’s Evil Empire in many fans’ eyes and will be aiming to be the majors’ first back-to-back champion since the 1998-2000 Yankees. But in many ways, the Mets will be the team under the most pressure this year, given their success last October, the record-setting signing of Juan Soto and that they have such a difficult challenge in the loaded National League East.
The major competitive question the Mets face is this: In the face of another rotation makeover, can they replicate the starters’ production of 2024, when they ranked fifth in innings and 12th in ERA?
Jorge Castillo: Can the Mets reproduce some of their magic? The lineup is undoubtedly better than a year ago with the addition of Juan Soto, Mark Vientos coming off a breakout season and Pete Alonso back after a long winter for the slugger. The bullpen has been upgraded. The rotation has questions but so did last year’s.
Beyond the talent, however, the 2024 Mets ran on vibes en route from a 22-33 start to reaching the National League Championship Series. Jose Iglesias, the infielder and part-time singer who helped establish the good energy upon joining the team in late May, is not around anymore. A few other key cogs in the vibes machine are gone, too. Asking the 2025 Mets to replicate the 2024 OMG, Grimace-powered Mets is unrealistic. Teams like that are rare. But vibes matter, and the Mets will need to generate some good ones as they head into a season with higher expectations.
Jeff Passan: Trying to figure out who in the American League is good. The Yankees lost Juan Soto – and gained Max Fried, Cody Bellinger, Devin Williams and Paul Goldschmidt. Their predecessor as AL champion, Texas, added Joc Pederson and Jake Burger, re-signed Nathan Eovaldi, refashioned its bullpen and has a healthy Jacob deGrom. Other playoff teams from last year – Cleveland, Houston, Kansas City, Baltimore, Detroit – still have playoff aspirations. As do the other four AL East teams, Seattle and Minnesota. It’s a wide-open league — again — and spring training often gives little clues that when the standings have sorted themselves out make more sense.
Alden Gonzalez: Getting an up-close look at Roki Sasaki. We’ve been hearing so much about him for years, and he is finally in the major leagues, getting set to face the best hitters in the world. Though they’ll monitor him closely, the Los Angeles Dodgers won’t place any restrictions on Sasaki in his first season in the U.S. I want to see how one of the most lauded pitching development programs goes about extracting the greatness Sasaki clearly possesses. And I want to see how major league hitters react to his absurd splitter.
Jesse Rogers: Excited might be too strong, but I’m definitely interested in the use of automatic balls and strikes this spring. Barring a major breakdown in the system, we’re probably a year away from robot umps — at least for some calls — becoming a permanent part of the game.
On the field, it’s cool to see some of the sport’s most well-known grizzled veterans changing teams while trying to drink from the fountain of youth. Can Justin Verlander help lead the Giants out of .500 hell? Same goes for Max Scherzer in Toronto. Their Hall of Fame-worthy stories are down to the final chapters. And please don’t ask me for Dodgers spring training tickets. That’s going to be a scene all spring.
Other than Juan Soto, which player who changed teams this winter are you most interested in seeing in his new uniform?
Olney: Alex Bregman, who seemingly is likely to land with the Red Sox, Cubs or Tigers soon, with sources in the Astros organization skeptical he’ll return to Houston. If he goes to Fenway Park, he could pepper the Green Monster while relearning the nuances of playing in the middle infield. If he goes to Chicago — likely on a short-term, Cody Bellinger-type deal — he will have pressure to produce. And if he signs with the Tigers, it would be Detroit’s de facto announcement that with Tarik Skubal two years from free agency, the team’s window to win is now, and the expensive signing of Bregman would be an all-in move.
Passan: Corbin Burnes, who was the Diamondbacks’ rejoinder to everything the Dodgers are trying to do. Arizona is a dangerous, dangerous team. It’s easy to forget they swept Los Angeles in the postseason two years ago and reached the World Series without Burnes, who has the best ERA in baseball over the last five seasons. He joins Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Eduardo Rodriguez and Brandon Pfaadt in one of baseball’s best rotations — one that complements an offense that scored the most runs in baseball last year. The offseason after the signing of Jordan Montgomery went bad, Diamondbacks owner Ken Kendrick didn’t allow the sour taste to keep him from trying to win, which is more than can be said for many of his contemporaries. If Burnes is his normal self, the Diamondbacks will be the best competition for the Dodgers in the cutthroat NL West.
Castillo: Four years ago, Walker Buehler, who signed a one-year, $21.5 million deal with Boston this offseason, was one of the best pitchers in the majors. The brash right-hander went 16-4 with a 2.47 ERA in 33 starts, tossing over 200 innings, for the Dodgers. Then, he got hurt, underwent a second Tommy John surgery, missed the 2023 season and struggled upon returning in 2024 before giving a gutsy postseason effort culminating with recording the final three outs of the World Series.
Buehler is talented, confident and a proven big-game performer. A return to his previous form could be the difference in the Red Sox vaulting from missing the playoffs to becoming a legitimate contender — and result in Buehler receiving the payday expected during his peak next winter.
Gonzalez: Kyle Tucker, because I still don’t think enough people realize how good he is. Only 14 players accumulated more FanGraphs wins above replacement from 2021 to 2023 than Tucker. He was on track to be even better — much better — in his age-27 season in 2024, He had an OPS of 1.175 by June 3 before suffering a shin fracture that kept him out for three months. Tucker has since been traded from the Houston Astros to the Chicago Cubs. Free agency is nine months away with a massive payday approaching. And Tucker might be my pick for NL MVP.
Rogers: It’s a tie between Max Fried and Tucker. The former got paid, the latter is hoping for the same. Fried is venturing out from a comfortable situation in Atlanta where players aren’t subjected to the same East Coast intensity that New York, Boston or Philadelphia brings. He’ll feel that with the Yankees. Will he thrive under the bright lights?
Meanwhile, Tucker is leaving the only league, team and city he has known in his big league career — just in time for his platform year in a place that is notoriously volatile for left-handed hitters because of weather patterns that vary from season to season. Wrigley Field is due for a good summer, which could turn Tucker into the next $300 million (or more) man next offseason.
Other than Roki Sasaki, who is one player from our top 100 prospects list you are most looking forward to seeing this spring?
Olney: After being dormant for a few years, the Red Sox appear to be on the verge of a breakout, fueled by some high-end prospects — maybe none better than Roman Anthony, who will presumably make his debut this year. Folks in the Boston organization rave about his work ethic and focus, and for all the talk in recent seasons about fellow prospect Marcelo Mayer, Anthony could have an immediate impact once he lands in the big leagues. His slash line in the minors last year: .291/.396/.498. And he dominated in Triple-A after a second-half promotion, accumulating as many walks (31) as strikeouts (31).
Passan: Even before he reaches the big leagues, Chandler Simpson is already one of the most exciting players in baseball. A 5-foot-11, 170-pound outfielder chosen by the Tampa Bay Rays in the competitive-balance round of the 2022 draft out of Georgia Tech, Simpson is the best base-stealing prospect since Billy Hamilton. In his first full minor league season in 2023, Simpson stole 94 bases in 109 attempts. Last year, at High-A and Double-A, Simpson stole 104 bases in 121 attempts over 110 games. Most interesting is how Simpson hit last year. He very rarely strikes out, his left-handed swing devised for contact. At High-A, he batted .364 in nearly 150 plate appearances. He continued in Double-A, batting .351/.401/.407 and walking 29 times against 27 strikeouts in 358 plate appearances. It’s a lot of singles. But it’s also a lot of times on base that are near-automatic to wind up at second. Hitting to a .377 wOBA and 141 wRC+ means you’re very good. And so while Simpson isn’t nearly as lauded as some of the others here, he is a throwback, the sort who’s impossibly fun to watch. Baseball will take all of that it can get.
Castillo: The Martian has landed in left field at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Jasson Dominguez, one of the most hyped prospects in recent memory, is slated to make the Yankees’ Opening Day roster for the first time as the team’s everyday left fielder. You’re probably thinking, “It’s about time!” But know this: Dominguez turned 22 on Friday. The shine might have dimmed from when he signed as a 16-year-old marvel out of the Dominican Republic, but he’s younger than Travis Bazzana, last year’s No. 1 pick. Last season, despite dealing with injuries, Dominguez slashed .314/.376/.504 with 11 home runs and 16 stolen bases in 58 games across three minor league levels before getting called up to the Bronx in September. He looked uncomfortable in the outfield and didn’t produce enough at the plate for the Yankees to give him playing time in October, but his power-speed combo and getting leeway to find his rhythm should give New York an upgrade in left field over Alex Verdugo.
Gonzalez: Jackson Jobe, a 22-year-old right-hander who debuted with the Detroit Tigers late last season, got a taste of playoff baseball and might lock down a rotation spot this year. He’s a great athlete who can easily access velocity, displays an excellent changeup and flashes a cool-looking sweeper. If Jobe makes the proper adjustments, he and Tarik Skubal in the same rotation could win the Tigers the American League Central.
Rogers: I’ll go with Matt Shaw of the Cubs. How many teams rid themselves of every player who played a position during the previous season? That’s what the Cubs did at third base this winter when they jettisoned seven players who saw time at the hot corner. Barring an Alex Bregman sighting, this has left the door open for Shaw to win the job. That’s some serious faith in a guy who has shot up ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel’s prospect rankings, landing at No. 23 to begin the season, but has only 35 Triple-A games under his belt.
Which team are you far more interested in today than you were a year ago at this time?
Olney: The Reds. The oddsmakers have set the early over/under for Cincinnati’s team win total at 78.5, just above the team’s 77-85 record last season and that makes no sense. The Reds had easily the worst record in one-run decisions last year (15-29) meaning that if they played last season again with the same group, they’d probably improve by four or five wins — and they should be better this season after bolstering their rotation and lineup. And new manager Terry Francona has demonstrated over and over in his Hall of Fame-caliber career that he is difference-making. In his first year as the Guardians’ manager, Cleveland improved from 68-94 to 92-70.
Passan: The A’s. As eye roll-inducing as it was to see A’s owner John Fisher named to the league’s executive committee (inviting the person most responsible for killing baseball in Oakland to the most powerful group in the game said all it needed to about the lack of regret for that decision) the team spending this season in Sacramento is better than the one that made a 19-game improvement to 69-93 last year. The A’s spent $67 million on Luis Severino and traded for Jeffrey Springs to shore up their rotation. They added Jose Leclerc to their bullpen and Gio Urshela to their infield. They locked up slugger Brent Rooker long-term. A full year of Lawrence Butler and Jacob Wilson, a bounce back from Zack Gelof, improvement from JJ Bleday, the arrival of Nick Kurtz — squint and you can see a pretty good core and a team that if everything breaks right could have October aspirations.
Castillo: The Red Sox. Fans in Boston aren’t satisfied with the organization’s offseason, but the Red Sox upgraded their biggest weakness (pitching) and might not be done. Acquiring Nolan Arenado or signing Alex Bregman would be quite the finish for a club that will have three top-25 prospects, including the consensus No. 2 prospect behind Roki Sasaki (Roman Anthony), waiting in Triple-A Worcester.
Garrett Crochet looked like an ace in 2024. Walker Buehler was one before his second Tommy John surgery. Patrick Sandoval might help down the stretch. The Red Sox finished 81-81 with a plus-four run differential last season despite a slew of injuries and a pitching dropoff in the second half. Triston Casas is healthy after playing in just 63 games. Trevor Story is healthy after playing in 26 games last season. Rafael Devers, plagued by shoulder injuries last year, should be healthier. Jarren Duran registered a breakout All-Star 2024 season. Wilyer Abreu had a great rookie year. The Red Sox have the talent to return to contention.
Gonzalez: The Giants. I don’t know if they’ll make the playoffs — I see three National League East teams as near-locks, so it will be tough — but Buster Posey has at least made them seem more exciting in his first year running baseball operations. I don’t know how Willy Adames will age, but pairing him at the top of the order with a healthy Jung Hoo Lee should be fun. I don’t know how much Justin Verlander has left, but inserting him in a group headlined by Logan Webb and Robbie Ray, who is expected to pitch his first full season in three years, is intriguing.
Rogers: Year-to-year, definitely the Mets. We knew nothing of what they would become last season when they opened camp in 2024. Carlos Mendoza was a first-time manager who proved his worth throughout a magical run in New York. After adding Juan Soto and re-signing fan favorite Pete Alonso, the sky seems the limit. But this time, they won’t be just a fun story — they’ll have tons of added pressure. If they can keep it fun and loose like they did last year, the Mets will be a force again. That lineup could be scary.
Sports
We pick the best playmakers, fastest skaters and more on 4 Nations Face-Off rosters
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1 day agoon
February 10, 2025By
admin![We pick the best playmakers, fastest skaters and more on 4 Nations Face-Off rosters We pick the best playmakers, fastest skaters and more on 4 Nations Face-Off rosters](https://a3.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/photo/2025/0202/r1446514_1296x729_16-9.jpg)
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Neil PaineFeb 5, 2025, 06:25 AM ET
Close- Neil Paine writes about sports using data and analytics. Previously, he was Sports Editor at FiveThirtyEight.
The 4 Nations Face-Off, which is a round-robin hockey tournament scheduled for Feb. 12-20 in Montreal and Boston, will boast an international field stacked with elite scorers, playmakers, shutdown defenders and elite goaltenders: Connor McDavid is on for Canada, as are Nathan MacKinnon and Connor Hellebuyck in net. The USA team boasts Auston Matthews and Quinn Hughes; Sweden has William Nylander and Linus Ullmark (if healthy); Finland is led by the likes of Sebastian Aho and Juuse Saros.
The tournament, which replaces the NHL’s typical All-Star Weekend, will feature rosters of NHL players from the United States, Canada, Sweden and Finland, all locked in a battle for bragging rights about which country has produced the best talent in the world.
But which player truly stands out as the most gifted among them?
Thanks to NHL EDGE tracking data, we can quantify factors such as the skating speed and shot power of every skater, among other attributes. Not only will those skills make a difference to the outcome of the tournament, but they’re also darned exciting to watch in action.
Here are the 4 Nations players, selected among the four rosters of 23 players each, who excel in the metrics that define hockey dominance this season.
More 4 Nations Face-Off coverage:
Pick Team USA’s lineup | See the jerseys
How to watch, schedule | Format, rules
Grading the rosters; snubs, surprises
Metrics of choice: Top speed and average skating speed at even strength
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