The bulls returned to Wall Street on Friday after a brief hiatus. In the week ahead, investors from all camps will focus on a series of labor market reports for clues on where the U.S. economy and stock market may go from here. The S & P 500 , Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average are coming off a volatile, holiday-shortened trading week. Despite a big and broad rally in Friday’s session, the major stock benchmarks all posted weekly losses. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq both lost 0.5%, while the 30-stock Dow dropped 0.6%. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq entered Friday on five-session losing streaks. The Dow had been on a four-day skid. The market was closed Wednesday for New Year’s Day. Sure, it’s now 2025, but “the same stocks that are good are still good,” Jim Cramer said on Friday’s Morning Meeting. He noted that the winners circle in 2024 once again included semiconductor companies such as Club holding Nvidia , our No. 1 portfolio performer last year. The artificial intelligence chip king also was among our top-performing stocks last week, with a 5.7% gain that trailed only oil-and-gas producer Coterra Energy and solar firm Nextracker , which both rose roughly 6.5%. We booked a nearly 1,000% profit when we trimmed some Nvidia shares on Thursday. 1. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s keynote address at the annual CES conference in Las Vegas, set to begin at 9:30 p.m. ET on Monday , is one of the biggest events on the corporate calendar in the week ahead. “The scuttlebutt on the speech is that you’ve seen none of it,” Jim said. “A lot of emphasis, by the way, on total cost of ownership and the return that you get by buying his chips. I think that’s going to change the discussion” and quiet concerns about custom AI processors encroaching on Nvidia’s turf, he added. 2. The employment picture will command the spotlight on the economic front, starting Tuesday morning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for November. The closely watched reading, known as JOLTS, measures the tightness or slack in the labor market. Economists expect 7.7 million job openings in November, according to Dow Jones. That would be in line with the prior month. 3. The main jobs event of the week is Friday morning’s nonfarm payroll report for December. The consensus forecast is that the U.S. added 155,000 jobs in the final month of 2024 and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%, according to estimates compiled by Dow Jones. In November, nonfarm payrolls expanded by a better-than-expected 227,000 , while the unemployment rate matched forecasts. 4. Before Friday’s official government report, payroll processing firm ADP will release its look at private-sector job creation in the U.S. on Wednesday morning. The ADP report is expected to show that 130,000 jobs were added in December, per Dow Jones. Initial jobless claims also will be released Wednesday, a day earlier than normal, because Thursday is the national day of mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. The U.S. stock market also is closed Thursday. The fresh batch of labor market data will help shape investors’ thinking about the course of Federal Reserve policy this year. A stronger-than-expected December jobs report, in particular, has the potential to reinforce expectations for less supportive monetary policy in the year ahead. In mid-December, the central bank released projections that showed policymakers expect to lower interest rates just twice in 2025 , down from an expectation of four cuts provided in September. The more hawkish stance spooked the stock market, and the S & P 500 remains nearly 2% below its Dec. 17 close, the day before the Fed’s disclosure. We’ll keep a close eye on bond yields for real-time clues on how the market is perceiving the forthcoming labor numbers. Strong data generally lends support for yields. “[Bonds] are reacting to every piece of data. I think that’s because there’s a perception that the economy is actually accelerating, doing well,” Jim explained during Thursday’s Morning Meeting. 5. Modelo and Corona brewer Constellation Brands is the only Club holding set to report earnings this week. The numbers are now due out before the bell Friday, instead of the originally scheduled Thursday, because of the national day of mourning. Analysts expect Constellation to have earned $3.32 cents per share on revenues of $2.54 billion in the three months ended Nov. 30, according to LSEG. We added to our position in Constellation Brands on Tuesday. Within the report, the year-over-year growth rate of its beer business will hold a lot of weight. Investors were not satisfied with the 6% figure in Constellation’s June-to-August period, which represented a slowdown from the 8%, 11%, and 11.8% growth seen in the three prior quarters. Constellation’s struggling wine-and-spirits division also will be in focus. CEO Bill Newlands in October talked about some “green shoots” in some higher-end wine brands, and now we’ll get to see whether there was any sequential improvement in this disappointing segment. There’s plenty more for Constellation executives to discuss on their earnings call. When it comes to President-elect Donald Trump’s proposal for higher tariffs on Mexican imports, we’re curious if management will mention the possibility of securing exemptions. Analysts at Roth MKM floated this possibility late last year , citing an agreement with the Justice Department that effectively requires Constellation to make its Mexican beers in Mexico. The U.S. surgeon general’s new warning on alcohol and cancer risks, which weighed on the stock in Friday’s session, also figures to be a topic of conversation. Week ahead Monday, Jan. 6 10 a.m. ET: Durable Goods and Advance Total Manufacturing report for November 9:30 p.m. ET: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang keynote at CES Tuesday, Jan. 7 10 a.m. ET: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) 10 a.m. ET: ISM Services for December Before the bell: Apogee Enterprises (APOG) After the bell: Kura Sushi USA (KRUS) Wednesday, Jan. 8 8:15 a.m. ET: ADP Employment Survey 8:30 a.m. ET: Initial jobless claims 2 p.m. ET: FOMC minutes Before the bell: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Helen of Troy (HELE), Simply Good Foods (SMPL), Albertsons (ACI) After the bell: Penguin Solutions (PENG) Thursday, Jan. 9 NYSE and Nasdaq closed for national day of mourning Friday, Jan. 10 8:30 a.m. ET: Nonfarm payroll report 10 a.m. ET: Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Before the bell: Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Constellation Brands (STZ) After the bell: WD-40 (WDFC) (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long NVDA, STZ, CTRA and NXT. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
“Now Hiring” signage outside a Home Depot store in San Carlos, California, US, on Monday, Nov. 11, 2024.
David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The bulls returned to Wall Street on Friday after a brief hiatus.
In the week ahead, investors from all camps will focus on a series of labor market reports for clues on where the U.S. economy and stock market may go from here.
Subaru is the latest Japanese automaker to announce it will “re-evaluate” its EV plans. The company is rethinking its strategy with slowing sales and a potential multi-billion-dollar hit from Trump’s auto tariffs. The tariffs might not even be Subaru’s biggest threat.
Subaru and other Japanese automakers adjust EV plans
Within the past week, Japanese automakers, including Nissan, Honda, Toyota, and now Subaru, have announced major adjustments to their EV plans.
After releasing fiscal year financial results on Wednesday, Subaru’s CEO, Atsushi Osaki, said, “We are re-evaluating our plans, including the timing of investments.” Osaki added that the move is due to “today’s rapidly changing environment” and other external factors.
Like most of the industry, Subaru is bracing for a shift under the Trump administration, which could cost it billions. With around half of its vehicles sold, the US is key for the Japanese automaker.
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Subaru said Trump’s new auto tariffs could cost the company up to $2.5 billion this year. The automaker is looking at ways to boost US production, but it won’t be easy.
2025 Subaru Solterra (Source: Subaru)
Tomoaki Emori, Subaru’s senior managing executive director, said (via Automotive News), “Under the current circumstances, there is probably no way not to expand in the US. We must think about how to go about that.”
Emori added that the company still has the production capacity, “so we would like to mitigate the impact of tariffs while making use of it.”
Subaru joins a growing list of automakers in pulling its earnings forecast, citing “developments in US tariff policy” make it hard to forecast.
2025 Subaru Solterra (Source: Subaru)
The company’s global sales fell 4.1% to 936,000 units over the past year. In North America, deliveries also fell 4.1% to 732,000 vehicles. Subaru anticipates global sales will continue dropping to around 900,000 this year, or another 4% drop. A part of the forecast is due to downtime at its Yajima plant as Subaru prepares to produce EV batteries.
Osaki said Subaru is “making various preparations for a BEV-dedicated plant,” but added it may add a mix of gas-powered vehicles.
2026 Subaru Trailseeker electric SUV (Source: Subaru)
Subaru unveiled its second EV for the US at last month’s NY Auto Show, the 2026 Trailseeker. The Outback-sized electric SUV will go on sale in 2026, joining the smaller Solterra in Subaru’s EV lineup in the US.
Since “It is becoming more difficult to decide how to incorporate electrification into our production mix,” Emori said, Subaru is “thinking about how to incorporate hybrids and plug-in hybrids.”
Electrek’s Take
Subaru and other Japanese automakers are quickly falling behind Chinese EV leaders like BYD in some of their most important sales regions, like Southeast Asia.
Delaying new EV models and other projects will only set them further behind in the long run. Nissan is in crisis mode after scrapping plans to build a new battery plant in Japan. The facility was expected to produce lower-cost LFP batteries, which could have helped Nissan compete on costs with BYD and others.
Last week, Toyota’s President, Koji Sato, said the company will be “reviewing” its goal of selling 1.5 million electric vehicles by 2026. And just yesterday, Honda announced plans to pause around $15 billion in planned EV investments in Canada.
BYD and other EV leaders are expanding overseas to drive growth after squeezing foreign brands, especially Japanese automakers, out of China.
Next year, BYD is launching its first kei car, or mini EV, that’s expected to be a big threat to Japanese automakers. A Suzuki dealer (via Nikkei) warned, “Young people do not have a negative view of BYD. It would be a huge threat if the company launches cheap models in Japan.”
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Porsche Cars North America has integrated over 97,000 more charging stations into its app, streamlining its Porsche Charging Service.
That brings the total number of EV charging stations available to Porsche Charging Service customers in the US to 102,000, with more scheduled to be added in 2025. That means Porsche drivers can now use the My Porsche app as a one-stop shop to easily find, use, and pay at most J1772 and CCS charging stations.
“This is a significant milestone for Porsche and the electric vehicle journey,” said Timo Resch, president and CEO of Porsche Cars North America. “We know flexibility and choice are important.”
Customers in the Porsche Charging Service inclusive period – that’s the year after you buy your EV – or who sign up for Porsche Charging Service Premium can now access the ChargePoint, EV Connect, EVgo, Flo, EvGateway, and Ionna networks, in addition to chargers in the Electrify America network.
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Customers in the Porsche Charging Service Base plan will receive access later this summer.
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Tesla’s (TSLA) board is reportedly exploring a new CEO pay deal for Elon Musk, who might not get back his $55 billion 2018 compensation package.
According to a new Financial Times report, Tesla’s board created a new “special committee” to explore a new CEO pay package for Musk.
The report points to the committee looking at new stock options and “alternative ways” to compensate Musk if Tesla fails to reinstate his 2018 compensation package, which was rescinded by a judge who found that Musk negotiated the deal with a board under his control and then misrepresented it to shareholders.
Musk is Tesla’s largest shareholder and therefore, he stands to benefit the most when the company does well. However, he doesn’t take a salary for his role as CEO.
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Historically, He has received stock compensation packages, with the one secured in 2018 being the controversial one currently under contention.
Since then, no new CEO compensation package has been approved, and Tesla has not suggested another one as it tried to appeal the judge’s decision on the 2018 package.
The company is currently attacking the decision on two fronts with an appeal to the Delaware Supreme Court and a new legislation in Delaware to try to circumvent the decision altogether.
FT reporting that the board is working on a new compensation package with backpay could point to Tesla anticipating not being able to reinstate the original compensation package.
Robyn Denholm and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson are the board members reportedly on the new committee.
Denholm took over from Musk as Tesla’s chair, and she has recently made headlines for selling her Tesla stock options for more than $530 million over the last few years.
Electrek’s Take
It increasingly looks like Tesla won’t be able to distance itself from Musk and separate its fate from his.
Musk has masterfully convinced Tesla shareholders that the destruction of its core business, selling electric vehicles, doesn’t matter because the company is on the verge of solving self-driving – something he has claimed every year for the last 6 years and has been wrong every time.
Now that they don’t care about EVs, there’s no point in blaming Musk for killing demand and delivering a single new vehicle in 5 years, the Cybertruck, a commercial flop.
Therefore, the only thing that will make Tesla shareholders stop wanting Musk as CEO is if they stop believing his self-driving and humanoid robot claims.
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