Several commodities face headwinds in 2025 — but this metal’s record rally is set to continue
Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central’s office in Singapore June 19, 2017.
Edgar Su | Reuters
Commodity prices are largely expected to fall in 2025 due to a sluggish global economic outlook and a resurgent dollar, but gold and gas prices are poised to rally this year, according to industry experts.
Commodities had a mixed 2024: While investors flocked to gold to hedge against inflation, commodities such as iron ore fell as the world’s largest consumer of metals, China, struggled with tepid growth. The story this year is likely to be the same.
“Commodities in general will be under pressure across the board in 2025,” said research firm BMI’s head of commodities analysis Sabrin Chowdhury, adding that the strength of the U.S. dollar will cap demand for commodities priced in the greenback.
Market participants will be keeping an eye on further China stimulus in hopes that it may fuel a recovery in commodities demand in the world’s second-largest economy.
Oil prices to slip
Crude oil prices last year were dragged down by weak Chinese demand and a supply glut, and market watchers expect prices to remain pressured in 2025.
The International Energy Agency in November painted a bearish oil market picture for 2025, forecasting global oil demand to grow under a million barrels per day. This compares to a two million barrel per day increase in 2023.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia sees Brent oil prices falling to $70 per barrel this year on expectations increased oil supply from non‑OPEC+ countries that’ll eclipse the rise in global oil consumption.
Oil prices year-on-year
BMI said in its December note that the first half of 2025 was likely to see a supply glut as substantial new production from U.S., Canada, Guyana and Brazil comes online. Also, if OPEC+ plans to roll back voluntary cuts materialize, the oversupply will further pressure prices.
BMI noted that the demand picture in 2025 was not clear yet. “Global oil and gas demand remains uncertain, with stable economic growth and rising fuel demand offset by trade war impacts, inflation and contracting demand in developed markets.”
Global crude benchmark Brent was last trading at $76.34 per barrel, around the same levels as it was a year ago in early January.
Gas set to rise
Global natural gas prices have rallied since mid-December 2024, driven by cold weather and geopolitics, Citi analysts said.
Ukraine’s recent halt of Russian gas flow to several European nations on New Year’s Day has introduced greater uncertainty to the global gas markets. As long as the cutoff remains in place, gas prices are likely to remain elevated.
Colder weather for the rest of winter in the U.S. and Asia could also keep prices elevated, said Citi.
BMI forecasts gas prices to rise by about 40% in 2025 to $3.4 per million British thermal units (MMbtu) compared to an average of $2.4 per MMbtu in 2024, driven by growing demand from the LNG sector and higher net pipeline exports.
U.S. Henry Hub natural gas prices, which was the gauge that BMI referred to, are currently trading at $2.95 per MMbtu.
“LNG will continue to drive new consumption, supported by rising export capacity and strong demand in Europe and Asia,” BMI analysts wrote.
Gold may add sheen
Gold prices notched a slew of all-time highs last year, and the run of fresh records could extend in 2025.
“Investors are optimistic about gold and silver for 2025 because they are so pessimistic on geopolitics and government debt,” said Adrian Ash, director of research at BullionVault, a gold investment services firm, emphasizing on the yellow metal’s role as a hedge against risk.
Gold prices year-on-year
JPMorgan analysts also expect gold prices to rise, especially if U.S. policies become “more disruptive” in the form of increased tariffs, elevated trade tensions and higher risks to economic growth.
Gold notched its best annual performance in over a decade last year. Bullion prices rose about 26% in 2024, data from FactSet showed, driven by central bank as well as retail investor purchases.
BullionVault and JPMorgan expect gold prices to go up to $3,000 per ounce in 2025.
Silver and platinum likely to advance
Gold’s poorer cousin, silver, could also see prices rise, especially as demand for solar power — silver is used in building solar panels — remains resilient and the metal’s supply stays limited.
“Both silver and platinum have strong underlying deficit fundamentals, and we think a catch up trade later in 2025, once base metals find firmer footing, could be quite potent,” JPMorgan analysts noted.
Solar power panels near Crawford Notch, New Hampshire. Silver is primarily utilized in industrial applications and is frequently incorporated in the production of automobiles, solar panels, jewelry, and electronics
Adam Jeffery | CNBC
Silver is primarily utilized in industrial applications and is frequently incorporated in the production of automobiles, solar panels, jewelry and electronics. It is also needed in building artificial intelligence products and has military applications as well, said CIO of Swiss Asia Capital’s CIO Juerg Kiener.
That said, silver’s upside will be dependent on global industrial demand which will be impacted by Trump’s tariffs, precious metals trading services group MKS Pamp wrote in an outlook report.
Copper faces demand worries
Prices of copper, which is key to the manufacturing of electric vehicles and power grids, may see a dent after shooting to a record high this year on the back of a global energy transition.
“A potential deceleration in energy transition amid Trump’s policy shifts might dampen, to some extent, the ‘green sentiment’ that bolstered prices in 2024,” BMI wrote in a note.
Close up of electrical engineer inspecting copper windings in electrical engineering factory
Monty Rakusen | Digitalvision | Getty Images
While copper prices rose to a record high in May 2024 largely as a result of a squeezed market, they trended lower for the rest of the year, and will continue to do so, John Gross, president at the eponymous metals management consultancy John Gross and Company, told CNBC.
A cocktail mix of high inflation, elevated interest rates and a stronger dollar will weigh on all metals markets, the metals market veteran said.
Iron ore forecast to drop
Iron ore prices may also slide on the back of an oversupply resulting from Chinese policies and geopolitics.
“The expected U.S. tariffs on China, changing nature of Chinese stimulus and new low-cost supply [will] push the market into further surplus,” Goldman Sachs said, forecasting prices to decline to $95 per ton in 2025.
This despite China likely to import record amount of iron ore this year, according to Reuters. Iron ore prices fell over 24%, according to data from FactSet.
Cocoa and coffee
Cocoa and coffee prices stand out amongst the soft commodities basket, having scaled record highs in 2024 fueled by adverse weather conditions and supply tightness in key producing regions. But demand may taper in 2025.
“Given that these commodities are trading at levels well above cost of production, we expect production to expand and demand to contract in the coming year,” Rabobank researchers said.
We’ve got good news – EV lease prices look much better than expected, despite the end of the federal tax credit and 25% import tariff being in place. Prices have crept up compared to last month, but several automakers have stepped in to fill the gap by covering the $7,500 credit themselves or adding extra incentives – and the price of one EV even dropped. Here are October’s top EV lease deals, spotted by our friends at CarsDirect.
2025 Hyundai IONIQ 5 lease from $189/month
The updated 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 5 SE RWD Standard Range remains one of the standout EV lease deals this month, holding steady even after the end of the federal EV tax credit and new import tariffs. Through November 3, you can lease one for $189 a month for 36 months (10,000 miles per year) with $3,999 due at signing. That works out to an effective monthly cost of about $300 – just $40 more than September.
The price bump is far smaller than many expected, especially with Hyundai’s $17,000 in lease cash factored in. And if you’re tempted by an upgrade, the SEL RWD trim is just $50 more per month under the same terms. You’ll get a model that’s roughly $7,000 more in value and $18,750 in savings.
The IONIQ 5 SE RWD Standard Range offers an EPA-estimated 245 miles of range, and this particular offer is available in the Los Angeles and greater California metro areas.
Click here to find a local dealer that may have the Hyundai IONIQ 5 in stock. –trusted affiliate link
2025 Hyundai IONIQ 6 lease from $189/month
The 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 6 SE RWD Standard Range is tied with its sibling for the most affordable EV lease deal this month, offering standout value even after the federal EV tax credit ended. In the California metro area, you can lease it for $189 per month for 36 months (10,000 miles per year) with $3,999 due at signing, and Hyundai is sweetening the deal with $13,250 in lease cash.
That brings the effective monthly cost to around $300, which is only $20 more than last month when the tax credit was still active. With an EPA-estimated 240 miles of range, 149 horsepower, fast-charging capabilities, and a sleek, distinctive design, the IONIQ 6 remains a fan favorite. This offer is valid through November 3.
Click here to find a local dealer that may have the Hyundai IONIQ 6 in stock. –trusted affiliate link
2025 Kia Niro lease from $209/month
The 2025 Kia Niro Wind EV returns to our top 5 this month with an impressive regional lease deal. You can lease the Niro Wind EV for $209 per month for 24 months (10,000 miles per year) with $3,999 due at signing. The offer includes $11,800 in lease cash and $14,940 in total savings, bringing the effective monthly cost to about $376. That’s about $80 more per month than September’s tax credit-incentivized deal at $129, but it’s still a solid offer given the policy changes.
This deal is available to California, Colorado, Oregon, and Washington residents through November 3.
Click here to find a local dealer that may have the Kia Niro in stock. –trusted affiliate link
2025 Ford Mustang Mach-E from $219/month
The 2025 Ford Mustang Mach-E Select RWD with Package 100A is offering bigger savings this month, making it an even stronger pick for EV shoppers. Known for its premium design and an EPA-estimated 300 miles of range, the Mach-E remains a favorite among drivers who want style and substance.
You can now lease it for $219 per month for 24 months (10,500 miles per year) with $4,499 due at signing. That’s $20 less per month than September’s advertised deal, though the term is shorter. With an effective monthly cost of about $406, it’s only $45 more than last month, a smaller jump than many expected.
The offer includes $6,750 in lease cash for qualified lessees, plus a free Ford Charging Station Pro with complimentary home installation – a rare perk. If you already have a home charger, you can choose an extra $2,000 in bonus cash instead.
This deal is currently available in California through January 5, 2026. Ford found a clever workaround to extend the tax credit for leases through Ford Credit until December 31, 2025. GM also has a similar program.
Click here to find a local dealer that may have the Ford Mustang Mach-E in stock. –trusted affiliate link
2025 Chevrolet Equinox from $269/month
Through November 3, you can lease the 2025 Chevrolet Equinox EV 2LT for $269 per month for 24 months (10,000 miles per year) with just $679 due at signing – one of the lowest upfront costs we’ve seen lately. That works out to an effective monthly cost of around $297. It’s got a quirk, though – this deal excludes Black Cloth Seats.
This is one of the rare EVs to see a price drop in the post-tax-credit era. Compared to September’s offer of $309 a month with $2,609 due at signing, this Chevy Equinox lease is $121 cheaper in effective monthly cost.
The deal is available nationwide for current Chevrolet lessees or those switching from another brand, and it includes a $2,250 loyalty or conquest bonus on top of $1,750 in lease cash. Want to drive away with the newest model? You can upgrade for just $30 more per month.
With an EPA-estimated 319 miles of range, the 2025 Equinox EV 2LT offers solid value for drivers looking to get into Chevy’s newest electric SUV.
Click here to find a local dealer that may have the Chevrolet Equinox in stock. –trusted affiliate link
Read more: From $0 a month: 5 of the best EV lease deals in September
The 30% federal solar tax credit is ending this year. If you’ve ever considered going solar, now’s the time to act. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
Nissan is tossing around the idea of a new Nissan LEAF NISMO again, but this time it will be based the newly upgraded version.
Is Nissan launching a new LEAF NISMO EV?
I know, we’ve all heard this one before. Nissan has been talking about launching a LEAF NISMO for years now. And it has released limited edition versions for select markets, but there’s still no production LEAF NISMO available.
According to Christian Spencer, Nissan’s senior marketing manager, there’s a reason for that. Spencer told Carscoops that “The NISMO brand has a lot of variation across the globe.”
He pointed out that in Japan, “NISMO has a lot deeper roots in some of the electric vehicles,”like the Ariya SUV, which is already on sale in Nissan’s home market.
In the US, the brand tries to “focus a little bit more just because the driving enviroment is different.” While Japan gets the NISMO models, Nissan’s performance cars in the US are mostly Z or GT-R versions.
The streets in Japan are smaller and steeper, “so the meaning for NISMO varies a little bit,” Spencer explained. But, he hinted NISMO could make a comeback in the US, starting with the newly upgrade LEAF.
Spencer said that “If we see that demand from the customer base, we’re going to follow it.” Again, this isn’t the first (or likely last) we’ve heard Nissan is planning to launch a LEAF Nismo, but it is for the newly upgraded model introduced this year.
Nissan said the new 2026 LEAF has “the lowest starting MSRP for any new EV currently on sale in the US” starting at just $29,990.
That’s even cheaper than the OG LEAF, launched in 2011 for $32,780 despite the upgrades. The new LEAF now has a new crossover SUV-like design, over 300 miles driving range, and an NACS port to recharge at Tesla Superchargers.
Will it be next in line for the NISMO treatment? It could make for an affordable performance EV to rival the Hyundai IONIQ 5 N or Tesla Model Y. The question is… will it sell?
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
Love it or hate it, the Kia Soul always stood out with its funky, box-like design. Kia is dropping the infamous box car from its lineup at the end of 2025, but promises more exciting vehicles will replace it.
Kia is retiring the Soul box car after the 2025 model year
Who could forget the dancing hamster commercials Kia put out over a decade ago? The Soul was the star in some of Kia’s best marketing ads, but it won’t be offered as a 2026 model year.
Kia is retiring the Soul at the end of the year as it prepares for a new generation of electric and hybrid vehicles., Although Kia’s lineup will be Soul-less next year, the company is promising to replace it with even more exciting cars.
The funky box car was “a cornerstone in Kia gaining a foothold in the United States,” according to Eric Watson, Kia America’s VP of sales.
Kia is on track for its third consecutive sales record in the US and its highest market share ever. Watson said the Soul helped the brand achieve its early success, but is “equally excited for the future of Kia’s expansive and award-winning utility vehicle lineup.”
The Soul was Kia’s most affordable vehicle in the US for the 2025 model year, starting at just $21,935. Next year, the K4 sedan will take its place, starting at a slightly higher price of $23,165.
Kia is also launching the electric version, the EV4, in early 2026. Although prices have yet to be confirmed, the electric sedan is expected to start at around $35,000 to $40,000.
The EV4 will join the updated EV6 and EV9 in Kia’s expanding lineup. Both the EV6 and EV9 are assembled at Kia’s plant in Georgia.
The EV3, Kia’s compact electric SUV, is also expected to launch in the US sometime in 2026. Prices and an official launch date have yet to be confirmed, but the smaller electric SUV will likely start at around $30,000 to $35,000.
Kia’s EV3 is already among the top-selling electric vehicles in the UK, Europe, and other overseas markets. The company also offers some of the top-selling hybrids in the US, including the Niro, Sportage, and Sorento, which will help fill the gap left by the Soul.
Kia plans to end Soul production in October with just a few thousand models remaining at dealers. These will be the last few sold in the US as Kia prepares to revamp its lineup in 2026.
What do you think of the move? Are you sad to see the Soul go? Let us know in the comments.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
-
Sports3 years ago‘Storybook stuff’: Inside the night Bryce Harper sent the Phillies to the World Series
-
Sports2 years agoStory injured on diving stop, exits Red Sox game
-
Sports2 years agoGame 1 of WS least-watched in recorded history
-
Sports3 years agoButton battles heat exhaustion in NASCAR debut
-
Sports3 years agoMLB Rank 2023: Ranking baseball’s top 100 players
-
Sports4 years ago
Team Europe easily wins 4th straight Laver Cup
-
Environment2 years agoJapan and South Korea have a lot at stake in a free and open South China Sea
-
Environment1 year agoHere are the best electric bikes you can buy at every price level in October 2024