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In the hours before Donald Trump’s inauguration the world is preparing for a presidency that has huge implications for international security, global trade and the fight against climate change.

Here Sky News’ correspondents explain what Trump 2.0 could mean for their area of expertise.

Is Trump about to end the Ukraine war in a day?

Donald Trump inauguration

Deborah Haynes, security and defence editor

Donald Trump will want to strike a deal on Russia’s war in Ukraine that brings him a “win” for ending the fighting, but without also gifting a victory to Vladimir Putin.

Crucially, any settlement must be acceptable to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who has spent the past few months working hard to impress the value of Kyiv as an ally upon the incoming US leader – and the global menace posed by an emboldened Moscow.

Such a tricky balancing act – after almost three years of all-out war, hundreds of thousands of casualties and millions of Ukrainians displaced from their homes – will require careful, patient diplomacy.

This was not always a feature of Mr Trump’s first term in office, though his unpredictable, forceful style could yet bring something new to the table that enables the two warring sides to compromise in ways that had previously been impossible to imagine.

In a sign of reality biting, previous claims by the president-elect that he could end the conflict in a day have become less binding. General Keith Kellogg, his envoy to Ukraine and Russia, now says he hopes to secure a deal within the first 100 days of a Trump presidency.

Read Deborah’s full analysis here

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For Europe, Trump means a reset

Donald Trump inauguration

By Adam Parsons, Europe correspondent

In Europe, the inauguration of Donald Trump will mean a reset in politics, trade and security.

Europeans have heard him talk about cutting support for Ukraine, introducing tariffs and forcing NATO members to massively increase defence spending. The question, as ever, is whether his actions will match his rhetoric.

Mr Trump has promised a rapid end to the Ukraine war, but he hasn’t said how. If Russia, after so much time and loss of life, felt it was suddenly in the ascendency over a weakened Ukraine, it might demand the sort of deal that would unsettle the whole of Eastern Europe.

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Mr Trump has previously been ambiguous about his support for NATO, so there will be plenty across Europe who push for their nations to spend more on defence and be less reliant on America.

And Denmark will continue to push back hard against Mr Trump’s intention of either buying or seizing Greenland. The Danes will expect, and surely receive, wholehearted backing from both the EU and NATO.

But the diplomats have their work cut out. Mr Trump is likely to introduce more tariffs against some countries, most notably China.

But will he do the same to Europe, or will he decide that it’s better to bring old friends into the tent? Certainly, Europe – struggling with poor growth in its biggest economies – would desperately want to avoid tit-for-tat tariffs.

Read Adam’s full analysis here

Trump might not be as damaging to climate action as some fear

By Victoria Seabrook, climate reporter

Donald Trump’s reelection has been likened to taking a “wrecking ball” to climate action. But it might not be so bad.

Certainly, the incoming president wants to ban new offshore “windmills” (his disdaining term for turbines), unplug any stops on oil and gas and roll back environmental rules, again.

On day one, he is expected to wrench the US out of global climate obligations under the Paris Agreement, which he says kills its economy.

As America is the second-largest emitter in the world, his actions will reverberate around the planet, not just by fuelling climate change that knows no borders, but by providing cover for others to do the same.

But America was no climate saint to begin with.

It was already a laggard in cutting emissions and paying into climate funding for developing nations. Oil production reached record levels under Joe Biden.

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How Trump’s inauguration will unfold

Meanwhile, the global transition to clean energy is not just underway but “unstoppable”, say advocates. China’s enormous wind and solar installations are a case in point.

Back in the US, some regional leaders will plough on with their own climate targets.

The US Climate Alliance, a bipartisan coalition of governors representing half the population – are still aiming to meet Biden’s goal of cutting emissions by 61%, which he rushed through just before Trump’s return to the White House.

Perhaps the climate movement is just putting a brave face on it when it says America is still in the fight.

His impact on global climate efforts will be felt for years. But the extent of that is not a done deal.

Read Victoria’s full analysis here

Trump keeping China wondering what he’ll do

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By Nicole Johnston, Asia correspondent

No doubt China and the Indo-Pacific region are gaming out how to handle a second Trump presidency, but given the high degree of unpredictability ahead, the best approach is likely to be a cautious wait-and-see.

Mr Trump has railed against China’s export-driven economy and trade surplus with the US. He has also called out China’s export of the chemical precursors for fentanyl, blaming it for the US opioid crisis.

On the campaign trail, Mr Trump brought up one of his favourite anti-China lines by calling COVID-19, the “China virus”.

He has threatened tariffs of up to 60 per cent on Chinese goods.

This hardly makes for warm relations. But in classic Trump style, the great disrupter is also engaging with President Xi Jinping and keeping China, and the rest of the world wondering, what will he do?

The two leaders have held a rare phone conversation. Mr Trump said they discussed trade, fentanyl and TikTok.

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What to expect from Trump’s second term

The Wall Street Journal reports that Mr Trump has told advisers he wants to travel to China after taking office.

Before the election, he told the same newspaper that China would not provoke him because Mr Xi knows he’s “crazy”.

Mr Trump invited Mr Xi to the inauguration. The Chinese president declined, but is sending his vice-president, Han Zheng.

Mr Trump has a penchant for strongman leaders and autocrats. He has previously expressed his admiration for Xi Jinping.

The president-elect is keeping the Chinese off balance. Will it be confrontation or concord? No one knows.

The Chinese do not want a trade war with the US. But if Mr Trump’s isolationist foreign policy preference means China is left to expand its influence in this region and beyond, Beijing will regard that as a major advantage.

The moment the world changed

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By Ed Conway, economics and data editor

There’s a fair chance that when historians look back at the era we’re currently in, they will describe this – the second inauguration of Donald Trump – as the moment the world changed.

This, they may say (yes, of course, it all depends on what happens next) was the moment the 35-year long period of globalisation that began with the fall of the Berlin Wall gave way to a new era. It was the moment the prevailing assumptions among the governing elite – that free trade and free movement of people were critical principles of policy – were replaced by new principles.

Those principles – that barriers to migration flows and tariffs on trade flows are a valid part of the policy toolkit – are not exactly new. Indeed, look back over the past two centuries, and you see that every 75 years or so, the pendulum swings to and from an adherence to free trade.

Nor is it entirely true to say Donald Trump changed everything: look at Joe Biden’s policies while in office, and you see that far from reversing the Trump 1.0 stance on China, Mr Biden reinforced it with new tariffs and protectionist measures.

Even so, historians tend to be drawn towards symbolic moments, and this is certainly one of them. Americans have given their popular support to a president who not only espouses a very different rendition of American international engagement to most of his post-war predecessors but glorifies it.

Since Franklin Roosevelt, one of the overarching goals of American policy was to use its power to try to seek international stability and to enshrine democracy and certain social and economic values (the “Washington consensus” as it became known).

The Trump 2.0 era seems to suggest that model is now over.

The consequences are likely to be profound.

Read Ed’s full analysis here

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Donald Trump will deploy National Guard troops to Washington DC to ‘re-establish law and order’

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Donald Trump will deploy National Guard troops to Washington DC to 're-establish law and order'

Donald Trump has announced he is going to deploy National Guard troops to Washington DC to make the US capital’s streets safer.

At a White House news conference on Monday, the president said the city’s police would come under federal control as he said the murder rate in DC was “higher than” in some of the “worst places on earth”.

He said he was sending in the troops to “re-establish law, order, and public safety”.

Members of the National Guard outside the US Capitol. File Pic: AP
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Members of the National Guard outside the US Capitol. File Pic: AP

Mr Trump said he was announcing a “historic action to rescue our nation’s capital from crime, bloodshed, bedlam and squalor and worse.

“This is liberation day in DC and we are going to take our capital back.”

The president continued: “So today we are declaring a public safety emergency in the district of Columbia.”

He added it is not just about safety but also the “beautification” of the city.

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“Washington DC should be one of the safest, cleanest and most beautiful cities anywhere in the world and we’re going to make it that.”

Last week, the Republican president directed federal law enforcement agencies to increase their presence in Washington for seven days, with the option “to extend as needed”.

A member of the National Guard patrols the area outside of the US Capitol in 2021.
File pic: AP
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A member of the National Guard patrols the area outside of the US Capitol in 2021.
File pic: AP

On Friday night, federal agencies including the Secret Service, the FBI and the US Marshals Service assigned more than 120 officers and agents to assist in Washington.

National Guard troops usually belong to individual states and personnel in many cases are trained to help with emergencies that those states have to deal with, such as natural disasters.

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Since they are the reserve force of the US military, National Guard troops are usually part-time, meaning that they have other jobs as well.

Minority leader of the US House of Representatives, Hakeem Jeffries, responded to Mr Trump’s announcement on Monday with a post on X which read: “Violent crime in Washington, DC is at a thirty-year low.

“Donald Trump has no basis to take over the local police department. And zero credibility on the issue of law and order.

“Get lost.”

In a social media post on Sunday, Mr Trump emphasised the removal of Washington’s homeless population, though it was unclear where the thousands of people would go.

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“The Homeless have to move out, IMMEDIATELY,” Mr Trump wrote.

“We will give you places to stay, but FAR from the Capital. The Criminals, you don’t have to move out. We’re going to put you in jail where you belong.”

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Trump ‘considering’ whether to invite Zelenskyy to Putin meeting in Alaska

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Trump 'considering' whether to invite Zelenskyy to Putin meeting in Alaska

The White House is considering inviting Volodymyr Zelenskyy to a meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Alaska, according to reports in the US.

The reports come a day after Washington and Moscow confirmed the US and Russian presidents will meet on Friday to discuss bringing about an end to the war in Ukraine.

A senior US official and three people briefed on internal discussions have told Sky News’ US partner network NBC News that the Trump administration is now considering inviting the Ukrainian president to the summit.

“It’s being discussed,” one of the people briefed on the talks was quoted as saying.

Analysis: Zelenskyy faces nightmare deal


Mark Austin

Mark Austin

Chief presenter

For Ukraine – its exhausted, brave soldiers, its thousands of bereaved families mourning their dead, and its beleaguered president – it is exactly what they feared it would be.

They fear the compromise they will be forced to make will be messy, costly, unfair and ultimately beneficial to the invading tyrant who brought death and destruction to their sovereign land.

Read Mark’s full analysis here.

The sources said a visit by Mr Zelenskyy has not been finalised – and it is unclear whether the Ukrainian leader will be in Alaska.

However, the senior administration official said it is “absolutely” possible.

“Everyone is very hopeful that would happen,” the official said.

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Asked whether the US had officially invited Mr Zelenskyy, a senior White House official said: “The president remains open to a trilateral summit with both leaders. Right now, the White House is focusing on planning the bilateral meeting requested by President Putin.”

On Friday – before the summit was confirmed – Mr Trump had told reporters at the White House that “we’re getting very close to a deal” that would end the conflict.

The US president added there will be “some swapping of territories to the betterment of both sides”.

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US diplomacy ‘totally amateur’

Zelenskyy suggests he’s unwilling to give up territory

Yesterday, the Ukrainian president warned that allowing Russia to keep territory it has occupied in Ukraine will result in another invasion.

He said allowing Mr Putin to annex Crimea in 2014 didn’t prevent Russia forces from occupying more parts of Ukraine during the current conflict.

Mr Zelenskyy added: “Now, Putin wants to be forgiven for seizing the south of our Kherson region, Zaporizhzhia, the entire territory of Luhansk and Donetsk regions, and Crimea. We will not allow this second attempt to partition Ukraine.

“Knowing Russia – where there is a second, there will be a third.”

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Zelenskyy: Ukraine will not give land to ‘occupier’

NATO allies say Ukraine must be involved in negotiations

Ukraine and several NATO allies have reportedly been privately concerned Mr Trump might agree to Mr Putin’s proposals for ending the war without taking their positions into account.

In a joint statement last night, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and the leaders of France, Italy, Germany, Poland, Finland and the European Commission said Ukraine’s future cannot be decided without Kyiv.

They said: “Ukraine has the freedom of choice over its own destiny. Meaningful negotiations can only take place in the context of a ceasefire or reduction of hostilities.

“The path to peace in Ukraine cannot be decided without Ukraine.

“We remain committed to the principle that international borders must not be changed by force.

“The current line of contact should be the starting point of negotiations.”

Read analysis:
Lifting sanctions a ‘massive victory for Moscow’

Stakes high for Alaska summit as Zelenskyy faces nightmare deal
Why Trump will have a lot of ice to break at Alaska summit

From left: Volodymr Zelenskyy, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. Pics: AP
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From left: Volodymr Zelenskyy, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. Pics: AP

UK hosts Ukrainian officials ahead of summit

Earlier, Foreign Secretary David Lammy hosted a meeting of top Ukrainian officials and European national security advisers alongside US Vice President JD Vance.

The meeting took place at Chevening, the foreign secretary’s official country retreat in Kent, where Mr Vance is staying at the start of a UK holiday.

After the meeting, Mr Lammy said: “The UK’s support for Ukraine remains ironclad as we continue working towards a just and lasting peace.”

From left: Rustem Umerov, David Lammy, JD Vance and Andriy Yermak. Pic: X/David Lammy
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From left: Rustem Umerov, David Lammy, JD Vance and Andriy Yermak. Pic: X/David Lammy

It is understood that the meeting had been called at Washington’s request, and included representatives from the US, Ukraine, France, Germany, Italy, Finland and Poland, as well as the UK.

Ukraine was represented by Rustem Umerov, secretary of the country’s national security and defence council, and the head of Mr Zelenskyy’s office, Andriy Yermak.

In a post on social media, Mr Yermak said the allies’ positions were “clear” that “a reliable, lasting peace is only possible with Ukraine at the negotiating table, with full respect for our sovereignty and without recognising the occupation”.

Ahead of the meeting, Sir Keir discussed the talks in a call with Mr Zelenskyy, and also spoke to French President Emmanuel Macron.

A Downing Street spokeswoman said Sir Keir and Mr Macron “discussed the latest developments in Ukraine, reiterating their unwavering support for President Zelenskyy and to securing a just and lasting peace for the Ukrainian people”.

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Man who killed police officer ‘blamed COVID jab for making him depressed and suicidal’

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Man who killed police officer 'blamed COVID jab for making him depressed and suicidal'

A man who opened fire on the headquarters of America’s national public health agency – leaving a police officer dead – had blamed the COVID vaccine for making him depressed and suicidal.

Patrick Joseph White, a 30-year-old from Georgia, had tried to enter the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) headquarters in Atlanta but was stopped by guards, a law enforcement official said.

They added that White then drove to a pharmacy across the street before opening fire late on Friday afternoon.

He was armed with five guns – including at least one long gun.

DeKalb County Police Officer David Rose, who had three children, was shot dead while responding to the incident.

 DeKalb County Police Officer David Rose. Pic: Reuters
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DeKalb County Police Officer David Rose. Pic: Reuters

White also died, but authorities haven’t said whether he was killed by police or if he killed himself.

His father had contacted police and identified his son as the possible gunman.

White’s father also said his son had been upset over the death of his dog and had become fixated on the COVID-19 vaccine.

Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr, whose scepticism of vaccines has been a cornerstone of his career, voiced support for CDC employees yesterday.

But some laid-off CDC employees said Mr Kennedy shares responsibility for the violence and should resign.

An armed police officer at the scene. Pic: AP
Image:
An armed police officer at the scene. Pic: AP

Mr Kennedy has a history as a leader in the anti-vaccine movement, but he reached new prominence by spreading distrust of COVID-19 vaccines. For example, he called it “criminal medical malpractice” to give these jabs to children.

He said after the shooting: “We are deeply saddened by the tragic shooting at CDC’s Atlanta campus that took the life of officer David Rose.

“We know how shaken our public health colleagues feel today. No one should face violence while working to protect the health of others.”

Sarah Boim, a former CDC communications staffer who was fired this year during a wave of terminations, said the shooting was the “physical embodiment of the narrative that has taken over, attacking science, and attacking our federal workers”.

The CDC headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia. Pic: AP
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The CDC headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia. Pic: AP

White’s ‘distrust of COVID vaccines’

A neighbour of White told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution that the gunman spoke with her multiple times about his distrust of COVID-19 jabs.

Nancy Hoalst, who lives on the same street as White’s family, said he seemed like a “good guy” but he would bring up vaccines even in unrelated conversations.

“He was very unsettled, and he very deeply believed that vaccines hurt him and were hurting other people.” Ms Hoalst told the Atlanta newspaper. “He emphatically believed that.”

However, she said she never believed White would be violent and added: “I had no idea he thought he would take it out on the CDC.”

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