It’s been a topsy-turvy start to 2025 for the stock market. Since the Club’s December Monthly Meeting, Wall Street has been barraged by headlines that sent equities seesawing down and then up. The S & P 500 wrapped up 2024 with a roughly 23% gain despite tumbling in the final four sessions of the year and the first trading day of 2025. While bouncing back on Jan. 3, the Santa Claus rally faltered. After losing ground in the first two weeks of 2025, the past almost two weeks have been stronger, with the S & P 500 hitting an all-time intraday high Wednesday. The index, however, did not finish above its Dec. 6 closing high of just over 6,090. Since the Dec. 19 Monthly Meeting to Wednesday’s close, the S & P 500 jumped 3.7%. The Dow and tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 4.2% and 3.2%, respectively, over the same period. Our top performers during that stretch were Coterra Energy, Nextracker, Goldman Sachs , GE Healthcare and Wells Fargo . Here’s how the winners fared over the past 33 days, and what drove the gains in each. 1. Coterra Energy up 23.3% Shares have surged since the start of the year thanks to the strength in energy commodities. The lift in West Texas Intermediate crude and natural gas prices has sent the oil-and-gas exploration and production company higher. Ahead of the January Monthly Meeting — being live-streamed on Thursday at noon ET — Coterra’s advance has put the stock in 26th place out of the entire S & P 500 in 2025. The stock is fourth in the energy sector, which has been the top-performing sector in the S & P 500 year-to-date. After a breakeven 2024, we didn’t want to give back the recent rally. So, we trimmed Coterra on Tuesday and realized a gain of 1% on stock purchased in April 2022. President Donald Trump wants to pave the way with deregulation to boost American energy production. 2. Nextracker up 21.7% Most of the solar stock’s gains were concentrated to the start of 2025 — making up for last year’s 22% decline. It’s not entirely clear what sent Nextracker shares higher earlier this month. We previously speculated that the rebound could be linked to investors repurchasing shares after selling in late December for tax-loss harvesting purposes, which pushed the stock artificially low. Later, Mizuho analysts called Nextracker stock a “top pick” in its outlook for the clean energy and renewables sector, while also raising its price target on shares. After that, then-President Joe Biden signed an executive order that would require more infrastructure needed for generative AI, including new clean power facilities. Both contributed to the stock’s run. We made two sales of Nextracker on recent gains since the December meeting. Nextracker shares were lower Thursday, extending a three-session losing streak. 3. Goldman Sachs up 14.2% The bank stock had two major catalysts over the past month. First, shares have advanced as part of the Trump trade. Investors seem upbeat that another four years of Trump in office could lead to a pick up in Wall Street dealmaking due to a more lenient regulatory environment. Goldman Sachs climbed to near-record highs on its quarterly results on Jan. 15 as well. The firm “once again ended the year as the No. 1 M & A advisor in markets,” CEO David Solomon said on the post-earnings conference call. For the Club, this was a clear reminder of why on Dec. 16 we started buying Goldman in the first place. As part of building our Goldman position, we exited banking rival Morgan Stanley . Goldman went on to receive a plethora of praise from Wall Street analysts following earnings, which has helped it sustain its gains since. 4. GE Healthcare up 12.8% Shares of GEHC have rallied on upbeat Wall Street commentary. Jefferies upgraded the stock to buy from hold in early January, citing future catalysts such as a push-out of China stimulus, suggesting that orders could start to come in after the Chinese New Year. The analysts like GEHC’s valuation after the stock pulled back in late September through the end of 2024. GE Healthcare also announced a big partnership with Sutter Health to provide AI-powered medical imaging technology. Media reports indicated that this could garner $1 billion in revenue for the company. 5. Wells Fargo up 12.6% Like Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo received a boost on the Trump trade. For Wells, that could finally mean the removal of the $1.95 trillion asset cap that the Fed imposed in 2018 following the bank’s fake account scandal. Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf has been cleaning things up since taking the helm in 2019. Jim Cramer feels the progress Scharf has made should be rewarded. Lifting the asset cap would allow the bank to expand key businesses, especially its growing investment banking operations. This, coupled with a stellar earnings report on Jan. 15, led to Wells Fargo rounding out our performers list. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Jan. 10, 2025 in New York City.
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It’s been a topsy-turvy start to 2025 for the stock market. Since the Club’s December Monthly Meeting, Wall Street has been barraged by headlines that sent equities seesawing down and then up.
US President Donald Trump speaks with the press as he meets with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on Feb. 13, 2025.
Jim Watson | AFP | Getty Images
In a sign of easing pressure on India, U.S. President Donald Trump said that trade talks with New Delhi were going well, and he could visit the country next year.
Trump who was speaking to reporters at the White House on Thursday said India “has largely stopped buying oil from Russia,” and if Prime Minister Narendra Modi extended him an invite, he would visit the country in 2026.
Evoking memories of his last visit to India, Trump called Modi “his friend” and a “great man.”
In the last few months, India and U.S. relations have been under stress, with experts warning of missing chemistry between the two leaders, leading to a disconnect between India-US ties.
Steep tariffs, $100,000 fee for H1B visas, and Trump’s repeated claims of having brokered a ceasefire between India and Pakistan and India’s purchases of Russian crude are among issues that have led to a deterioration of ties between New Delhi and Washington in recent months, according to experts.
India currently faces 50% tariffs on it exports, higher than the 47% duties on China.
“Negotiations between New Delhi and Washington D.C. are ongoing and both sides appear optimistic about trade deal being reached by the end of the year, possibly even in the next few weeks,” said Alexandra Hermann, head of Southeast Asia Research of Oxford Economics.
The tariff rate on Indian goods could be cut to 20% from 50% currently, putting India in comparable level to its Asian peers such as Vietnam, Thailand, or the Philippines, she said.
Hermann added that the baseline tariff on India “may not fall to Japan and South Korea’s level of 15%” due to sticking points around purchases of Russian oil, agricultural imports, and limited scope to commit to sizable investments in the U.S.
Last month, the U.S. imposed sanctioned on Russian oil majors Rosneft and Lukoil, which will come into force from Nov 21. As a result Indian and Chinese refiners have started to cut down imports of Russian oil.
According to a Reuters report on Thursday, Russian oil is trading at its steepest discounts to Brent in a year in Asia, as major Indian and Chinese refiners reduce purchases.
India’s Petroleum and Natural Gas ministry did not immediately respond to CNBC’s query on the country cutting Russian oil imports.
“Over the long term, completely phasing out Russian oil isn’t realistic for India,” said Prateek Pandey head of APAC oil and gas research at Rystad Energy, adding that as Russian crude becomes available at a sharper discount “New Delhi’s approach of “economics first” will be tested more than ever.
Tesla will continue to extend its “one-time” FSD transfer scheme for at least another quarter, according to CEO Elon Musk at today’s Tesla shareholder meeting.
Tesla’s shareholder meeting is underway, and the big headline is that shareholders have enthusiastically voted against their own interests, diluting their own voting rights and handing more control of the company to the one person on Earth currently negatively affecting its business the most, CEO Elon Musk.
At the end of the meeting, Tesla hosted a Q&A session with shareholders in attendance, and one of them asked a question we’ve heard before: whether Tesla owners who purchased Tesla’s Full Self-Driving software, which still has not been delivered despite the first purchases happening almost a decade ago at this point, would be able to transfer the licenses to that undelivered software if they choose to buy a new Tesla vehicle.
So far, Tesla’s official policy has been that owners must purchase FSD with each new vehicle they buy, and can’t transfer the licenses between them. However, it did offer a “one-time” exception to that rule for a two month period in 2023. After that, Tesla owners would never be allowed to transfer their FSD license again.
So, the question was perhaps a little out of date. The program hasn’t just been active for a single quarter this time, but for the last half-year. There is no listed end date on Tesla’s website.
Nevertheless, Musk answered the question thusly:
We have done that a few times. I guess we could extend it again. Alright, we’ll extend it for at least another quarter, and then play it by ear after that.
This in fact seems like a limitation as compared to the current status of the program, since it is active with no end date at the moment. Musk mentioning that it might only last for another quarter suggests it may end earlier than Tesla’s website language currently suggests.
However, it’s been apparent all along that this is more of a way to stoke demand, hoping to get current owners to purchase FSD on new cars, so Tesla can hold on to the up to $15,000 it charged those owners for undelivered software.
Musk has continually stated, for more than a decade, that FSD is right around the corner. Consumers were led to believe that their FSD systems would be active soon, with Musk often stating it would be released by “next year.” Musk said that owners would be able to make money by running a robotaxi service, and that their cars would be “appreciating assets” because of it – and now Tesla is making revenue like that, but you can’t.
The years have come and went, and many cars are either out of service, getting old and reaching time for replacement, or owners have been scared away by Musk’s disgusting and high-profile political actions which have included sympathizing with Nazis.
Those owners who have moved on will seemingly never get back their investment into the false promises that Musk advanced, but it only makes sense that owners who do want to retain their license and move it to a new vehicle should be able to do so. Tesla sold software, the software still isn’t working, and people should be able to enjoy that software for a reasonable amount of time if they bought it.
And yet, Tesla continues jerking its most loyal owners around, those who have held strong through the incredible brand damage Musk is doing, and suggesting that the right thing to do is only available as a limited opportunity – trying to nickel and dime the most loyal owners into buying new cars earlier than they would have planned, with the specter of having to re-purchase FSD if they didn’t do so.
That said, there are several current cases in court covering the issue of Tesla’s false advertising regarding FSD. So this issue might be solved for the company by outside forces eventually anyway. But it would have been better if Tesla just did the right thing to begin with – which it continually resists doing.
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Tesla CEO Elon Musk pushed back the dates for a demo of the next-gen Tesla Roadster, which he has said will be able to “fly” and suggested that it might not even be a car at all.
Tesla has been teasing the existence of a future, high-performance sportscar model for years now. Originally it was unveiled in 2017 for a 2020 release, but has been repeatedly pushed back, with another delay today.
Just last week, Musk said that a demo was coming at the end of the year of the Roadster, and that it would be perhaps the most exciting demo of any product ever. Musk also stated that the Roadster will have more tech than all James Bond vehicles combined
Today, he was asked a question at Tesla’s shareholder meeting about the status of that project (including whether the “James Bond” tech would make it to other Teslas – to which Musk responded “um, no”). Here’s the full answer regarding the product’s unveiling:
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The product unveil of the Roadster 2, which will be very different than what we’ve shown previously, that demo event will be April 1 of next year. I have some deniability because I can say I was just kidding. But we are actually tentatively aiming for April 1, for what I think will be the most exciting, whether it works or not, demo of any product. And then I guess production is probably about 12-18 months after that. I think production is about a year or so after that.
When the questioner seemed to respond with disbelief with that answer (who ever thought that this car could ever possibly be delayed?!), Musk answered:
Well, I can’t give away secrets, but you won’t be disappointed.
Musk also said, during the meeting, that owners of Founders’ Series reservations, which represent a $250,000 loan given to Tesla for the last 8 years, would all be invited to the demo.
So, this official announcement puts us back to a timeline of April 1 for the reveal, which is a delay of at least 3 months from when it was supposed to occur as of last week, and production starting (not cars hitting the road) at least in April 2027, or at late as potentially October 2027. If we take the higher end of that range, then the Roadster is likely to only be available in 2028, 11 years after its first unveiling and 8 years after original estimates.
That said, it’s not much of a surprise that the Roadster would be delayed again. Just last week, we saw a new job listing for the Roadster, looking for a “concept development” engineer. That’s a fairly early part of the production process, and even makes it seem like a 2027 release could be optimistic.
We’ve seen records set by the Xiaomi SU7 Ultra, built by a smartphone company from concept to production in just a couple years. We’ve seen the Rimac Nevera R get to 186mph faster than a Bugatti Chiron Super Sport. We’ve seen the Lotus Evija X, which set the third-fastest Nurburgring lap ever, only beaten by two one-off, track-only, purpose-built racecars (one of which is a hybrid, the other is electric). And we’ve seen the BYD Yangwang U9 Xtreme become the fastest production car ever at 308(!!!) miles per hour.
These are milestones that the Roadster might have been able to take a shot at, but time has passed it by, and others have stepped in in the Roadster’s absence.
But maybe that doesn’t matter, because Musk’s comments today suggest the Roadster might not be what we expected.
All along, it has been assumed that the Roadster will be something like the original version unveiled in 2017. But today, Musk said it will be “very different than what we’ve shown previously.” We don’t know what those differences entail – whether it just means the car will have new tech, or if it will be a completely different style of car.
We can imagine that anyone who gave Tesla a $250,000 loan for ten years might be bothered by ending up with a totally different bill of goods than they put their money down for, though, so we hope the plan is to at least keep it a sportscar.
There are some questions about whether these technologies Musk has mentioned will be on the car, though, and if they will be helpful for anything other than a demo if so.
But it is decidedly not a “flying car.” In fact, being able to fly would not actually help sportscar performance, and would actually hurt it. Sportscars are typically looking to maximize downforce in the most efficient manner, in order to enhance grip, but to fly, one must create “upforce,” which isn’t a term anyone uses because it creates no actual performance benefit.
So, while it is highly expected that the Roadster demo might be able to “fly,” we hope that doesn’t make it to production on a sportscar, as that’s more of a parlor trick and would take performance benefits away from where they would be more useful – like having a fan car system, or directional jets to increase lateral acceleration, rather than useless upwards acceleration.
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Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.
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