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Primark’s owners have reported a rare plunge in retail sales during the crucial Christmas quarter, underlining the challenges facing even discount retailers in the tough economy.

Associated British Foods (ABF) reported a like-for-like sales decline of 6% for Primark in the UK and Ireland over the 16 weeks to 4 January.

It said that while sales within the fashion-dominated business had held up over the festive season, the build up to December was mired by weak consumer demand and warm weather.

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ABF said that as a result of the drag, it was now expecting “low single-digit” sales growth for the brand in 2025, down from a forecast for mid single-digit growth made in November.

That was despite growth in key emerging markets of the US, France, Spain, Italy and Portugal.

The UK and Ireland account for almost half of Primark’s revenues.

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The company’s bleak update chimes with the findings of an industry survey, released earlier on Thursday, which stated that the outlook for UK consumer confidence had plunged to a new low.

The British Retail Consortium’s (BRC’s) latest Sentiment Monitor showed declines in expectations for both the economy and personal finances.

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‘We need to grow our economy’

The retail lobby group has been among the loudest voices in opposing Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ decision to pile £25bn of taxes on business in the budget – the vast majority through employer national insurance contributions.

The measures do not kick in until April but major employers, such as supermarkets and other major chains, have widely warned that the tax grab will result in lower investment, jobs, wages and higher prices to help offset the impact.

The most recent employment figures pointed to an acceleration in job losses among payrolled employees during December.

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Reeves risks economic ‘doom Loop’

While highlighting the deterioration in consumer confidence, the BRC did add that a significant contribution was likely to have come from a traditional post-Christmas easing when many shoppers tend to tighten their belts.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said of the outlook: “As the government warns of tough times ahead, it is little surprise that the public have caught the January blues.

“Consumer confidence in the economy fell to a new low, with concerns most pronounced among older generations.”

She added: “On top of this challenging market backdrop, retailers are facing £7 billion in additional costs from the budget and new packaging levy.

“With retailers’ tight margins leaving little scope to absorb more costs, many are warning of price rises and job cuts in the coming months.

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Low retail sales in key Christmas month

“To mitigate this, and shore up investment in shops and entry level jobs, the government must ensure that no shop ends up paying a higher business rates bill because of its proposed reforms.”

The Labour government has placed economic growth at the top of its list of priorities but the economy has stagnated since the election, with consumers continuing to grapple a host of higher bills such as from household energy.

Shares in ABF were down by more than 2.5% while some other consumer-facing stocks also fell in sympathy.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said of the update: “If Primark is struggling, you know the UK retail sector is in trouble.”

He added: “When Primark says UK sales are weak, you know there has been a change in shopper behaviour. People might still be visiting its stores but they are being more selective and that’s a problem when the business model is built on shifting high volumes of goods.

“Retailers love to blame the weather when things don’t go well. While the UK autumn was relatively mild, winter has been bitterly cold so Primark should still have been able to shift plenty of jumpers and coats in recent weeks, albeit the last couple of weeks fall outside of the reporting period to 4 January for the trading update.”

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BP raises prospect of more job losses as AI drives efficiency

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BP raises prospect of more job losses as AI drives efficiency

BP has signalled an accelerated effort to bring down costs ahead, refusing to rule out further job losses as artificial intelligence (AI) technology helps drive efficiencies.

The company, which revealed in January that it was to axe almost 8,000 workers and contractors globally as part of a cost-cutting plan, said alongside its second quarter results that it was to review its portfolio of businesses and examine its cost base again.

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BP is under pressure to grow profitability and investor value through a shareholder-driven refocus on oil and gas revenues.

Just 24 hours earlier, the company revealed progress through its largest oil and gas discovery, off Brazil’s east coast, this century.

BP said it was exploring the creation of production facilities at the site.

It has made nine other exploration discoveries this year.

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BP’s share price has lagged those of rivals for many years – a trend that investors have blamed on the now-abandoned shift to renewable energy that began under former boss Bernard Looney.

BP interim CEO Murray Auchincloss, takes part in a panel during the ADIPEC, Oil and Energy exhibition and conference in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, Monday Oct. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/Kamran Jebreili)
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BP boss Murray Auchincloss is facing shareholder pressure to grow profitability

His replacement, Murray Auchincloss, has reportedly come under shareholder pressure to slash costs further, with the Financial Times reporting on Monday that activist investor Elliott was leading that charge based on concerns over high contractor numbers.

Mr Auchincloss said on Tuesday that AI was playing a leading role in bolstering efficiency across the business.

In an interview with Sky’s US partner CNBC, he said: “We need to keep driving safely to be the very best in the sector we can be, and that’s why we’re focused on another review to try to drive us towards best in class… inside the sector, and technology plays a huge part in that.

“Just technology is moving so fast, we see tremendous opportunity in that space. So it’s good for all seasons to drive cost discipline and capital discipline into the business. And that’s what we’re focused on.”

When contacted by Sky News, a BP spokesperson suggested the company had no plans for further job losses this year and could not speculate beyond that ahead of the conclusions of the new cost review.

BP reported a second quarter underlying replacement cost profit of $2.4bn, down 14% on the same period last year but well ahead of analyst forecasts of $1.8bn. Much of the reduction was down to lower comparable oil and gas prices.

It moved to reward investors with a 4% dividend increase and maintained the pace of its share buyback programme at $750m for the quarter.

BP said it was making progress in driving shareholder value through both its operational return to oil and gas investment and cost reductions, which stood at $1.7bn over the six months.

Shares, up 3% over the year to date ahead of Tuesday’s open, were trading 2% higher in early dealing.

Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said of the company’s figures: “Production increases, strong results from trading activities, favourable tax rates, and better volumes and margins downstream all played their part.

“It’s also upping the ante when it comes to exploration and development, culminating in this week’s announcement of an oil find at the offshore Brazilian prospect Bumerangue.

“Its drilling rig intersected a staggering 500m of hydrocarbons. Taking into account the acreage of the block, it’s given BP the confidence to declare the largest discovery in 25 years.”

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British Land hires lawyers to scrutinise retail rescue deals

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British Land hires lawyers to scrutinise retail rescue deals

British Land, the FTSE 100 commercial property company, has hired lawyers to scrutinise rescue deals for the high street retailers Poundland and River Island.

Sky News has learnt that Hogan Lovells, the City law firm, has been instructed by British Land to seek further information on restructuring plans that the two chains say are necessary for their survival.

British Land owns 20 Poundland stores, 13 of which would see rents compromised under its restructuring plan, while it is River Island’s landlord at 22 shops – seven of which would be affected.

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Retail industry sources said that British Land had already struck deals to re-let some of the affected Poundland sites.

The company, which has a market capitalisation of ? and is one of Britain’s biggest commercial landlords, is understood to have abstained on the River Island restructuring plan vote.

The appointment of Hogan Lovells does not amount to a decision to formally challenge the restructurings, but that remains an option in both cases, according to industry sources.

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Hogan Lovells has been engaged on a string of previous challenges to retailers’ rescue deals on the basis that they unfairly compromised property-owners.

About 20,000 jobs would potentially be put at risk if Poundland and River Island were to collapse altogether.

Both face sanctions hearings in court this month which will determine whether their rescue deals can go ahead.

Even if the proposals are rubber-stamped, about 100 stores in aggregate across the two chains will be permanently closed.

British Land declined to comment.

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Former fund manager Woodford facing ban and £46m fine

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Former fund manager Woodford facing ban and £46m fine

The City watchdog has provisionally banned former star fund manager Neil Woodford and fined him and his former fund company almost £46m.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) said it planned to prevent Mr Woodford from holding senior manager roles and managing funds.

The watchdog also aimed to fine him £5.89m and Woodford Investment Management (WIM) £40m related to its collapse in 2019.

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Mr Woodford’s flagship fund, Woodford Equity Income (WEI), was wound down after investors tried to withdraw cash faster than the fund could pay out, amid concerns over its high exposure to illiquid and unquoted shares.

The FCA determined that Mr Woodford and the fund “made unreasonable and inappropriate investment decisions” between July 2018 and June 2019.

The fund’s sale of liquid assets and acquisition of illiquid ones meant WEI was unable to meet rules in place at the time, whereby investors should have been able to access their funds within four days.

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“WIM and Mr Woodford did not react appropriately as the fund’s value declined, its liquidity worsened and more investors withdrew their money,” the FCA said.

“The FCA has concluded that Mr Woodford held a defective and unreasonably narrow understanding of his responsibilities.”

Steve Smart, its joint executive director of enforcement and market oversight, added: “Being a leader in financial services comes with responsibilities as well as profile. Mr Woodford simply doesn’t accept he had any role in managing the liquidity of the fund.

“The very minimum investors should expect is those managing their money make sensible decisions and take their senior role seriously.

“Neither Neil Woodford nor Woodford Investment Management did so, putting at risk the money people had entrusted them with.”

Both Mr Woodford and WIM have referred the case to the Upper Tribunal for appeal.

He was yet to comment.

Mr Woodford was once considered the star stock picker of his generation.

He launched his own investment business after building up a reputation for delivering stellar returns while at Invesco Perpetual.

At its height in 2017, the Woodford Equity Income Fund had a value of over £10bn, but by the time of its suspension in June 2019, this had sunk to as low as £3.7bn.

While a redress scheme enabled investors to get some cash back, around 300,000 people lost money through the fund’s collapse.

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