Rachel Reeves will unveil Labour’s plans to grow the UK economy on Wednesday, warning it “will not come without a fight”.
The chancellor is expected to announce a raft of measures including developing Oxford and Cambridge – which she says has the “potential to be Europe’s Silicon Valley” – building nine new reservoirs and the redevelopment of Old Trafford.
The speech is considered a key moment for a chancellor who has struggled with sluggish economic headwinds since her first budget last autumn.
Despite intense speculation, the government has not yet announced whether they will back a third runway at Heathrow, or further developments at other airports.
Image: The chancellor has struggled with sluggish economic headwinds since her first budget last autumn. Pic: PA
• Support for the Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor – also known as the Oxbridge Arc – that was scrapped by the Conservatives in 2022. The government points to a report claiming the development, including transport, business growth, and housing, could add £78bn to the UK economy by 2035;
• An agreement that allows water companies to spend £7.9bn to build nine new reservoirs, with two planned for Somerset and then one each in Lincolnshire, Hampshire, Cambridgeshire, Oxfordshire, Suffolk, Kent and West Midlands. A new reservoir hasn’t been opened in the UK since 1992;
• The government will back the redevelopment of Manchester United’s Old Trafford stadium and its surrounding area, alongside plans to change the way projects are appraised and evaluated, in order to “support decisions on public investment across the country, including outside London and the southeast”;
• Confirmation of a new approach to the National Wealth Fund and Office for Investment to get regional development happening faster.
When the chancellor stands up and delivers her much-anticipated speech on Wednesday – with all sorts of exciting schemes for new infrastructure and growth-friendly reforms – she will cast it as part of the new government’s long-standing economic strategy.
Regardless of whether you believe that this is all business-as-usual, it’s hard to escape the fact that the backdrop to the chancellor’s growth speech is, to say the least, challenging. The economy has flatlined at best (possibly even shrunk) since Labour took power. Business and consumer confidence have dipped. Not all of this is down to the miserable messaging emanating from Downing Street since July, but some of it is.
Still, whether or not this constitutes a change, most businesses would welcome the chancellor’s enthusiasm for business-friendly reforms.
But it’s not everything. What about the fact that the UK has the highest energy costs in the developed world? What about the fact that these costs are likely to be pushed higher by net zero policies (even if they eventually come down)? What about the fact that tax levels are about to hit the highest level in history, or that government debt levels are now rising even faster than previously expected.
Ms Reeves will use these plans as demonstrations of the government’s commitment to “growth”.
The chancellor is set to say in her speech: “Low growth is not our destiny. But growth will not come without a fight. Without a government that is on the side of working people. Willing to take the right decisions now to change our country’s course for the better.
“That’s what our Plan for Change is about. That is what drives me as chancellor. And it is what I’m determined to deliver.”
In its election campaign last year, Labour pledged to increase building in the UK – both housing and infrastructure.
These pledges are essential to the government’s plans to grow the economy, which has continued to struggle since Ms Reeves’ budget.
A key date for the chancellor is 26 March, when the Office for Budget Responsibility will provide its latest forecast, an indicator of whether they think the government’s plans will work.
A lack of growth could lead to Ms Reeves having to cut budgets further or raise taxes.
As part of the government’s plans to grow the economy and build, Sir Keir Starmer has vowed to “take on” people who oppose building near where they live, who are known as Nimbys – which stands for Not In My Backyard.
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0:41
PM: ‘Growth number one priority’
The Oxbridge arc
The chancellor will also announce that the Environment Agency has dropped its opposition to 4,500 houses around Cambridge after working with the regulator and local authorities.
The prime minister was clear last week that he also wants to see fewer legal challenges to planning applications.
Other developments in that region that are getting government backing include more funding for East-West Rail, with new services between Oxford and Milton Keynes, and upgrades to the roads linking Milton Keynes and Cambridge.
Ms Reeves will also say a new East Coast Mainline Station at Tempsford – between Cambridge and Milton Keynes – will be supported.
Image: Starmer and Reeves will ‘take on’ people who oppose building near where they live. Pic: AP
Sir Patrick Vallance, a science minister who came to prominence during COVID as the government’s chief scientific adviser, will be made the Oxford-Cambridge growth corridor champion.
Ms Reeves is set to say: “Just 66 miles apart, these cities are home to two of the best universities in the world, two of the most intensive innovation clusters in the world, and the area is a hub for globally renowned science and technology firms in life sciences, manufacturing, and AI.
“It has the potential to be Europe’s Silicon Valley. The home of British innovation.”
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Sticking to Labour’s manifesto pledge and freezing income tax thresholds rather than raising income tax has hurt low- and middle-income earners, an influential thinktank has said.
Millions of these workers “would have been better off with their tax rates rising than their thresholds being frozen”, according to the Resolution Foundation’s chief executive, Ruth Curtice.
“Ironically, sticking to her manifesto tax pledge has cost millions of low-to-middle earners”, she said.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced in her budget speech that the point at which people start paying higher rates of tax has been held. It means earners are set to be dragged into higher tax bands as they get pay rises.
The chancellor felt unable to raise income tax as the Labour Party pledged not to raise taxes on working people in its election manifesto.
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3:47
Budget: What does the public think?
But many are saying that pledge was broken regardless, as the tax burden has increased by £26bn in this budget.
When asked by Sky News whether Ms Reeves would accept she broke the manifesto pledge, she said on Thursday: “I do recognise that yesterday I have asked working people to contribute a bit more by freezing those thresholds for a further three years from 2028.”
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“I do recognise that that will mean that working people pay a bit more, but I’ve kept that contribution to an absolute minimum”.
As a result of the freeze in income tax bands, another closely watched thinktank, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), said a basic-rate taxpayer will pay £220 more tax per year, while a higher-rate taxpayer will be charged £600 more annually.
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The Resolution Foundation thinktank, which aims to raise living standards, welcomed measures designed to support people with the cost of living, such as the removal of the two-child benefit cap, which limited the number of children families could claim benefits for.
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The announced reduction in energy bills through the removal of as yet unspecified levies was similarly welcomed.
The chancellor said bills would become £150 cheaper a year, but the foundation said typical energy bills will fall by around £130 annually for the next three years, “though support then fades away”.
Credit was also given to Ms Reeves for increasing the financial cushion she has against market shocks, like a spike in energy prices.
This is part of her self-imposed fiscal rules to bring down debt and balance the budget by 2030.
As a result, less policy speculation and more stability can be expected.
“The decision to increase her headroom, when she didn’t strictly need to, deserves credit,” said economics research institute, the IFS.
“It means that it will require a larger shock to blow the chancellor off course. This in turn should mean that we can expect a period of greater stability and more muted policy speculation.”
More money, however, will be borrowed as a result of the budget, said independent forecasters, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
Budget spending and tax policies increase borrowing by an average of £5bn over the next three years, but then reduces it by roughly £13bn in the following two.
More to come
This budget won’t be the last of it, the Resolution Foundation’s Ms Curtice said, as economic growth forecasts have been downgraded by the OBR, and growth is a “hurdle that remains to be cleared”.
“Until that challenge is taken on, we can expect plenty more bracing budgets,” she added.
It comes despite Ms Reeves saying as far back as last year, there would be no more tax increases.
Ultimately, though, the foundation said: “The great drumbeat of doom that preceded the chancellor’s big day turned out to be over the top: the forecasts came in better than many had feared.”
The Scottish government does not intend to increase income tax rates or introduce new bands in next year’s budget, First Minister John Swinney has vowed.
However, the SNP leader did not disclose if the pay thresholds will remain the same.
In the 2025 Budget, Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced £26bn worth of tax rises – including extending the freeze on tax thresholds which could see earners dragged into higher bands if they get a pay rise.
At First Minister’s Questions on Thursday, Scottish Tory leader Russell Findlay accused the UK chancellor of “screwing taxpayers”.
He added: “She’s also borrowing even more money, leaving more debt to future generations. And she did all of this, all of this, despite saying that she would do none of it.
“Does John Swinney intend to keep the SNP manifesto promise not to raise tax on Scottish workers?”
In Scotland, Holyrood ministers have used devolved powers to set up an income tax system with seven bands compared to the UK’s four.
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Earlier in the day, Finance Secretary Shona Robison said the tax strategy in January’s budget would remain the same ahead of next year’s Holyrood election.
Citing this, Mr Swinney said: “Obviously, the government is giving consideration to the implications of the United Kingdom budget for the Scottish budget.
“But the finance secretary confirmed this morning that the Scottish government will not increase income tax rates or introduce any new bands.”
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The UK government’s scrapping of the two-child benefit cap has freed up about £155m in Scottish government funding that was going to be used to mitigate the cap north of the border.
Mr Findlay, MSP for West Scotland, urged Mr Swinney to now use that cash to lower income tax bills.
He said: “We believe that Scottish taxpayers deserve to keep more of their own hard-earned money. They deserve fairness and they deserve a break from higher bills.”
The first minister previously said the money would be invested in other initiatives to help reduce child poverty “even further”.
Mr Swinney said he was “glad” the Scottish government “shamed the Labour Party into acting on this particular issue”.
He added: “So, when Mr Findlay attacks me for asking people on higher earnings to pay more in tax, I’m prepared to do that so that I can work to eradicate child poverty, which is the best thing for the future of our country.”
Representatives of European Union member states reached an agreement on Wednesday in the Council of the EU to move forward with the controversial “Chat Control” child sexual abuse regulation, which paves the way for new rules targeting abusive child sexual abuse material (CSAM) on messaging apps and other online services.
“Every year, millions of files are shared that depict the sexual abuse of children… This is completely unacceptable. Therefore, I’m glad that the member states have finally agreed on a way forward that includes a number of obligations for providers of communication services,” commented Danish Minister for Justice, Peter Hummelgaard.
The deal, which follows years of division and deadlock among member states and privacy groups, allows the legislative file to move into final talks with the European Parliament on when and how platforms can be required to scan user content for suspected child sexual abuse and grooming.
The existing CSAM framework is set to expire on April 3, 2026, and is on track to be replaced by the new legislation, pending detailed negotiations with European Parliament lawmakers.
EU Chat Control laws: What’s in and what’s out
In its latest draft, the Council maintains the core CSAM framework but modifies how platforms are encouraged to act. Online services would still have to assess how their products can be abused and adopt mitigation measures.
Service providers would also have to cooperate with a newly-established EU Centre on Child Sexual Abuse to support the implementation of the regulation, and face oversight from national authorities if they fall short.
While the latest Council text removes the explicit obligation of mandatory scanning of all private messages, the legal basis for “voluntary” CSAM detection is extended indefinitely. There are also calls for tougher risk obligations for platforms.
To end the Chat Control stalemate, a team of Danish negotiators in the Council worked to remove the most contentious element: the blanket mandatory scanning requirement. Under previous provisions, end-to-end encrypted services like Signal and WhatsApp would have been required to systematically search users’ messages for illegal material.
Yet, it’s a compromise that leaves both sides feeling shortchanged. Law enforcement officials warn that abusive content will still lurk in the corners of fully encrypted services, while digital rights groups argue that the deal still paves the way for broader monitoring of private communications and potential for mass surveillance, according to a Thusday Politico report.
Lead negotiator and Chair of the Committee on Civil Liberties, Justice and Home Affairs in the European Parliament, Javier Zarzalejos, urged both the Council and Parliament to enter negotiations at once. He stressed the importance of establishing a legislative framework to prevent and combat child sexual abuse online, while respecting encryption.
“I am committed to work with all political groups, the Commission, and member states in the Council in the coming months in order to agree on a legally sound and balanced legislative text that contributes to effectively prevent and combating child sexual abuse online,” he stated.
The Council celebrated the latest efforts to protect children from sexual abuse online; however, former Dutch Member of Parliament Rob Roos lambasted the Council for acting similarly to the “East German era, stripping 450 million EU citizens of their right to privacy.” He warned that Brussels was acting “behind closed doors,” and that “Europe risks sliding into digital authoritarianism.”
Telegram founder and CEO Pavel Durov pointed out that EU officials were exempt from having their messages monitored. He commented in a post on X, “The EU weaponizes people’s strong emotions about child protection to push mass surveillance and censorship. Their surveillance law proposals conveniently exempted EU officials from having their own messages scanned.”
The latest movement on Chat Control lands in the middle of a broader global crackdown on privacy tools. European regulators and law‑enforcement agencies have pushed high‑profile cases against crypto privacy projects like Tornado Cash, while US authorities have targeted developers linked to Samurai Wallet over alleged money‑laundering and sanctions violations, thrusting privacy‑preserving software into the crosshairs.
Session president Alexander Linton told Cointelegraph that regulatory and technical developments are “threatening the future of private messaging,” while co-founder Chris McCabe said the challenge was now about raising global awareness.