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Net Zero Secretary Ed Miliband will find the government’s support for a third Heathrow runway “uncomfortable” but he won’t cause any “disruption”, Harriet Harman has said.

The Labour peer told Sky News political editor Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast Mr Miliband is a “green conscience” in the cabinet “but we’ve been here before”.

Baroness Harman was a cabinet minister alongside Mr Miliband in Gordon Brown’s government when they approved an expansion in 2009, saying it was needed for economic reasons.

Mr Miliband had threatened to resign as energy and climate secretary over the plans but, in the end, he did not do so.

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Ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves announcing the government’s support of a third runway on Wednesday, Mr Miliband had said he would not resign if they backed an expansion.

“Ed Miliband really is the sort of green conscience in cabinet,” she said.

More on Ed Miliband

“But we’ve been here. Ed Miliband has been in this situation before.

Image:
Baroness Harman was a cabinet minister alongside Mr Miliband

“Obviously it’s no secret to anybody that Ed Miliband was against it at that time.

“But he stuck with collective responsibility when it came to a free vote on Heathrow.

“Later, when we were in opposition, Ed Miliband, you know, voted against it. But he’s very collaborative and he will remain part of the team.”

File photo dated 02/03/10 of a plane arrives at Heathrow airport as the sun rises over London. The world's richest 1% have already burned their way through their share of the annual global carbon budget in the first 10 days of 2025, according to Oxfam. The charity used the analysis to renew its calls for a tax on private jet flights in Scotland. Issue date: Friday January 10, 2025.
Image:
Rachel Reeves confirmed the government is supporting a third runway at Heathrow. Pic: PA

Read more:
The long history of Heathrow’s third runway plans

Plans to drill UK’s largest untapped oilfield obstructed in court

She added Mr Miliband “actually brought Keir Starmer into politics” and supported him for the leadership.

He will find the support for a third runway “uncomfortable”, Baroness Harman said.

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Government backs Heathrow expansion

“But he will be saying ‘if you’re going to do Heathrow, we better flipping well actually improve a lot of the other green things we’re doing and bring them forward’,” she added.

“So, I think he will stay in government, play a very important role for the green agenda, and I don’t think there will be a disruption.”

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

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Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

Several crypto-linked stocks climbed on Friday as prediction-market odds of a December rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level this month.

Three US-listed Bitcoin miners led the rally, with Cleanspark, Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining all rising in the session and showing double-digit gains over the past five days.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Probability of a US rate cut in December. Source: Polymarket

Yahoo Finance data showed Circle, the issuer of USDC, jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase notched more modest increases at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) was also up around 7% on the week, after dropping to around $82,000 on Nov. 21, according to CoinGecko data.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Top 10 Bitcoin mining stocks. Bitcoin Mining Stock

Much of the volatility in prediction-market pricing this month has been driven by comments from Federal Reserve officials. 

On Oct. 29, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a December cut was “not a foregone conclusion,” a remark investors took as hawkish — which means the Fed could delay rate cuts and keep conditions tight. Polymarket odds slipped from 89% the day before to as low as 22% by Nov. 20.

Sentiment shifted on Nov. 17 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank should consider cutting rates next month, arguing that “the labor market is still weak and near stall speed” and that inflation is now “relatively close” to the Fed’s 2% target.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket traders bet Supreme Court will curb Trump’s tariff powers

Prediction markets expand as demand surges

Prediction markets, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, which enable bettors to wager on the outcomes of real-world events, have expanded their reach and influence this year.

On Nov. 13, Polymarket inked a multi-year agreement with TKO Group Holdings to serve as the official prediction-market partner for the Ultimate Fighting Championships and Zuffa Boxing. The partnership came shortly after it partnered with North American fantasy sports operator PrizePicks.

The same month, Kalshi raised $1 billion from Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, pushing its valuation to $11 billion, according to a TechCrunch report citing a person familiar with the deal. The new round followed a $300 million raise in October.

On Nov. 19, rumors emerged that Coinbase is developing its own prediction-market platform after tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong posted screenshots of an unreleased site. Wong’s images indicated the product would be offered through Coinbase Financial Markets and backed by Kalshi.

Federal Reserve, United States, Predictions
Source: Jane Manchun Wong

On Wednesday, Robinhood said prediction markets have quickly become one of its fastest-growing revenue drivers, with more than one million users trading nine billion contracts since the product launched in March through a partnership with Kalshi.

Magazine: When privacy and AML laws conflict: Crypto projects’ impossible choice