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More people are crossing the English Channel in small boats on the weekend. Our data analysis shows last year 40% of the total number of arrivals happened on a Saturday or Sunday.

We have been looking into possible reasons why many more people are arriving in small boats on the weekend, and the explanation might not be quite what you expect.

More people are crossing the channel in small boats on the weekend.
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More people are crossing the Channel in small boats on the weekend

Here are a few theories.

French staffing and resources

One suggestion is that French border force, police and coastguard are not working to a consistent level seven days a week.

“Gangs have realised there are lower or less engaged staffing on weekends on the French side,” a former senior Home Office official who worked closely on deals with French tells me.

A former immigration minister said they found it “frustrating” that “we were paying the French but weren’t able to specify operational deployments”.

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They said it would “not surprise me if the French had fewer people at the weekend and the people smugglers have come to realise that”.

Hundreds of millions have been given by the UK to France to police the Calais coast, most recently almost £500m in 2023.

Another former senior government official with responsibility for borders said the French would be able to demonstrate that “hundreds or thousands of officers are working there” but “strategically it suits France to have the gust with us”.

But when we put this to the French side there was a pushback.

Marc de Fleurian, the Calais MP from Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party, says “blaming the other side of the Channel” is the “easy answer”.

He said it’s “cowardly to say it’s the other side’s fault”.

More people cross the Channel on the weekends than any other day.
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More people cross the Channel on the weekends than any other day

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Pierre Henri Dumont, who was the Calais MP from 2017-2024, said: “The reality is you can have as many police officers as you want, but people will cross the Channel. If you have eight rather than 100 police officers that won’t change anything at all.”

A French coastguard source told Sky News there are the same staffing levels at the weekend, he says “any suggestion there is less staffing on the weekends is laughable and an easy thing to say”.

Smuggler planning

Smuggler supply chains might be linked to a specific day for a range of reasons, for example, as one former senior Home Office official suggests, the fact “boat engines, or parts, might arrive on a Friday”.

Mr Dumont says smuggling networks rely on people to do small jobs, like transporting boats, who may also have day jobs in the week. He says the reasons behind the weekend uptick “are not necessarily predictable ones”.

A small inflatable dinghy crossing the English Channel from France to England in August 2024. Pic: Reuters
Image:
A small inflatable dinghy crossing the English Channel from France to England in August 2024. Pic: Reuters

Another factor may be that because French police tend not to intervene once a boat is in the water, many small boats set off from inland waterways. The canal-type waterways which come inland before the Channel are often full of fishing boats on weekdays, making it easier to launch from the waterways on weekends.

Another suggestion from a Home Office source is that while many migrants who cross the channel are based in the camps around Calais, many use public transport to arrive for a timed departure and are therefore reliant on transport timetables which may be more limited at different times of the week.

Weather coincidence

Leaked Home Office analysis shows that of the number of weekend days where small boat crossings were more likely because of good weather conditions was disproportionately high last year.

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The figures show that 61 out of 197 days where the weather meant there was a realistic possibility, likely or highly likely there would be a channel crossing were weekend days. However, we only have figures for 2024, and it seems unlikely the weather alone could account for three years of higher crossings on weekend days.

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Child sexual exploitation victims ‘not in scope’ of violence against women and girls strategy

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Child sexual exploitation victims 'not in scope' of violence against women and girls strategy

Victims of child sexual exploitation are “not explicitly within the scope” of the Violence Against Women and Girls (VAWG) strategy being drafted by the government, Sky News can reveal.

Child Sexual Abuse and Exploitation (CSEA) is a form of child abuse, described by police as a “critical threat” to women and girls.

It includes crimes such as grooming, and can involve both physical contact, such as rape, or non-physical – like forcing children to look at sexual images.

Sky News has been shown an internal Home Office document presented to various stakeholders in the sector.

Screenshot detailing strategy
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Screenshot detailing strategy

It’s titled “Scope of the Strategy… Our draft definition of VAWG”, and says that while it recognises “links” between VAWG and child sexual exploitation, it is not “explicitly within the scope of the strategy”.

“VAWG is Violence Against Women and Girls. If you take child sexual abuse out of it, where are the girls?” Poppy Eyre told Sky News.

Poppy was sexually abused and raped by her grandfather when she was four.

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It wasn’t until she was 11, after a PHSE lesson on abuse at school, that she understood the enormity of what had happened.

“I remember very vividly when the police came round and told me… this is what we’re charging him with,” said Poppy.

“We’re charging him with sexual abuse and rape. And I remember being like, I had no idea that’s what it was, but I know that’s really bad.”

Poppy Eyre was sexually abused and raped by her grandfather when she was four
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Poppy Eyre was sexually abused and raped by her grandfather when she was four

Poppy’s grandfather was convicted and died in prison.

She questions how authorities would police crime if child sexual abuse is excluded from an umbrella strategy to tackle violence against women and girls.

“Are they holding child sexual abuse at the same level of importance as they are with violence against women? You’d hope so, but potentially not, because it doesn’t need to be in the figures”, she said.

'Are they holding child sexual abuse at the same level of importance?' asks Poppy
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‘Are they holding child sexual abuse at the same level of importance?’ asks Poppy

The government has pledged to halve VAWG within a decade, by 2035.

“If the government are measuring themselves against halving violence against women and girls – if they’re not looking at the scale of child sexual abuse and child sexual exploitation within that – that will mean we are failing many young victims of abuse,” said Andrea Simon, director of campaign group End Violence Against Women.

The Centre of Expertise on Child Sexual Abuse, which is funded by the Home Office, estimates 500,000 children in England and Wales are sexually abused every year.

‘Danger’ of having separate plan

Rape Crisis told Sky News that “for any strategy to be effective” it “must include all forms of gender-based violence against all women and girls”, suggesting there is a “danger” in having a separate plan for child sexual abuse.

Its chief executive, Ciara Bergman, said it could create a “problematic and potentially very unhelpful” distinction between victims of domestic abuse, expected to be covered by the strategy, and child sexual abuse.

“Some perpetrators of domestic abuse also sexually abuse their children,” she told Sky News.

The government insists the strategy will include action to tackle child sexual abuse, but says it also plans to create a distinctive programme to address its specific crimes.

Poppy's mother Miranda Eyre says she's 'speechless' and 'angry' over the government's approach
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Poppy’s mother Miranda Eyre says she’s ‘speechless’ and ‘angry’ over the government’s approach

“Sexual abuse is violence against a child,” said Poppy’s mother, Miranda Eyre, who now works as a counsellor specialising in trauma.

“It is violence against girls… and you can’t separate it out,” she said. “I’m speechless to be honest… it does make me quite angry.”

Read more from Sky News:
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A Home Office spokesperson told Sky News it is “working tirelessly to tackle the scourges of violence against women and girls and child sexual abuse”.

“These issues are complex and run deep within the fabric of society,” they added.

“The government wholly recognises that they overlap. But it also recognises that concerted action is needed to tackle child sexual abuse which is why we have set out a range of actions… and why we are launching a national inquiry into grooming gangs.”

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British veteran, 100, recalls witnessing Japan’s Second World War surrender on USS Missouri

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British veteran, 100, recalls witnessing Japan's Second World War surrender on USS Missouri

A British veteran has spoken about how he witnessed Japan’s wartime surrender up close as a 20-year-old sailor.

Reg Draper was off Japan’s coast on the HMS Duke of York when the captain announced the war was ending.

Recalling that moment – 80 years ago today – he said cheers went up from the battleship’s crew.

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Why is it important to mark VJ Day?

Mr Draper saw the Japanese sign the agreement on USS Missouri when he went on board to help his friend, who was the ship’s photographer.

“All the ships mustered in Tokyo Bay with the USS Missouri, which was the American ship, and it was on the Missouri where they signed the peace treaty,” the 100-year-old recalled.

“Then we all came back down to Australia and we went and celebrated – we went down to Tasmania and everybody had four days leave in Hobart.

“Everybody wanted to take us to their home and there were a couple of dances in the dance hall.”

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Mr Draper still has a photo showing the peace deal being signed. Pic: Royal British Legion/PA
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Mr Draper still has a photo showing the peace deal being signed. Pic: Royal British Legion/PA

Mr Draper got a letter recognising his presence at the surrender. Pic: Royal British Legion/PA
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Mr Draper got a letter recognising his presence at the surrender. Pic: Royal British Legion/PA

Mr Draper, who grew up in Leeds, was a stores assistant on the Duke of York after volunteering on his 18th birthday.

His duties included rationing out the rum so all the sailors could get their 11am hit. He said senior crew got theirs neat while everyone else had theirs watered down.

He also recalled being clattered by Prince Philip after the Queen’s future husband, who was on a destroyer escorting his ship, came aboard.

A view looking out over the HMS Duke of York. Pic: AP
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A view looking out over the HMS Duke of York. Pic: AP

Mr Draper met Prince Philip again in the 70s - but the hockey wasn't mentioned. Pic: Royal British Legion/PA
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Mr Draper met Prince Philip again in the 70s – but the hockey wasn’t mentioned. Pic: Royal British Legion/PA

“We used to have deck hockey on the quarter deck and it was murder playing deck hockey,” said Mr Draper.

“He [Philip] knocked me over once and then the next time he came round he hit me, there’s still a mark there, he gave me a clout with his hockey stick.

“He came to see me just to see how I was. They just put a stitch in and it was alright.”

The pair met again in 1972 when Mr Draper was training sea cadets for the Duke of Edinburgh awards.

He said Philip noticed his medals and recalled escorting the ship – but didn’t mention the hockey game.

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Hiroshima survivor describes moment of blast

Mr Draper’s time on the Duke of York included Arctic convoys to deliver supplies to Russia and sailing to Sydney, Australia, in 1945 before joining the East Indies Fleet.

“We started going up to the islands, kicking the Japanese out of the islands as we went,” he recalled.

Japan surrendered after the US dropped two nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, on 6 and 9 August.

Read more:
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Mr Draper now lives in Elton in Cheshire. Pic: PA
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Mr Draper now lives in Elton in Cheshire. Pic: PA

Mr Draper turned 21 on the trip back to Europe and said 2,000 people were on board as they had picked up prisoners of war.

He went on to become an insurance salesman and said he’s planning to watch today’s 80th anniversary commemorations from his home in Elton, Cheshire.

The King released an audio message in which he said the sacrifices of VJ Day veterans should “never be forgotten”.

He described how the heroic actions of those sent to fight in the Far East, as well as the brutal treatment of civilians, “reminds us that war’s true cost extends beyond battlefields, touching every aspect of life”.

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King to warn that sacrifices of VJ Day veterans should ‘never be forgotten’

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King to warn that sacrifices of VJ Day veterans should 'never be forgotten'

The King will issue a warning that the sacrifices of the VJ Day veterans should “never be forgotten” as they “gave us more than freedom; they left us the example of how it can and must be protected”.

In an audio message, due to be released on Friday morning to mark 80 years since the end of the Second World War in the Far East, King Charles will describe how the heroic actions of those sent to fight there and the brutal treatment of civilians “reminds us that war’s true cost extends beyond battlefields, touching every aspect of life”.

In what could be interpreted as him alluding to current world events and conflicts, he will emphasise the importance of international collaboration, saying that victory in 1945 demonstrated that “in times of war and in times of peace, the greatest weapons of all are not the arms you bear but the arms you link”.

Pic: PA
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Pic: PA

The six-minute audio message to the Nation, Realms and Commonwealth to mark VJ Day, echoes the audio broadcast made by his grandfather, King George VI, which the King will reference.

He recorded it in the Morning Room at Clarence House earlier this month.

Victory over Japan (VJ Day) was declared on 15 August 1945, following Imperial Japan’s surrender to Allied Forces.

With Victory in Europe (VE Day) declared in May 1945, some have felt that historically VJ Day has been overlooked, undervaluing the sacrifices of those who continued to fight on for another three months.

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In his message, the King will say that the service and sacrifice of those who fought and died in the Pacific and Far East “shall never be forgotten”.

He will also refer to the experience endured by prisoners of war and to the innocent civilians of occupied lands in the region.

Read more:
UK veteran, 100, recalls witnessing Japan’s Second World War surrender

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King Charles and Queen Camilla will also publicly mark the anniversary by attending a national service of remembrance at the National Memorial Arboretum in Staffordshire.

The service, run in partnership with the Royal British Legion, will be attended by Burma Star recipients, a veteran of the British Indian Army and those involved in the Battles of Kohima and Imphal.

Prisoners of war held across the region and veterans stationed in the UK or Commonwealth countries who contributed to the war effort will also attend. A two-minute national silence will be held at midday.

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