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The UK economy is forecast to improve more slowly than previously predicted after stagnant growth late last year.

The EY ITEM Club expects UK gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 1% in 2025, down from a previous estimate of 1.5%.

The economic forecaster is the latest influential group to cut its predictions amid continued pressure on businesses, which face further tax and wage rises in April.

It represents another blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ hopes of rapidly growing the economy.

The forecasts also point to 0.8% growth across the economy last year, suggesting only a slight acceleration in economic growth.

It comes after a weaker second half of 2024, with a worse-than-expected 0.1% rise in GDP in November and a 0.1% monthly decline in October.

The economy had flatlined over the third quarter of the year.

More on Uk Economy

But the UK is expected to see stronger growth next year, with the forecasts indicating it could see a 1.6% rise in 2026.

Anna Anthony, EY UK regional managing partner, said: “Despite the subdued finish to 2024, there are signs that the UK economy could turn a corner and achieve stronger levels of growth this year.

“Following a prolonged period of financial uncertainty, we should start to see an improvement in consumer confidence as real wages continue to increase, with many households feeling less of a financial squeeze by the end of 2025.”

Read more:
Growth is a fight Starmer and Reeves want to have – and they can’t afford to lose
‘Europe’s Silicon Valley’ at heart of government’s growth plans

She added: “The outlook for UK business is more of a mixed picture.

“While business investment is set to increase, tightening financial conditions and global trade uncertainty are expected to weigh on private sector confidence in the first half of this year.”

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Business

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

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Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

The world’s most valuable company has reported another series of expectation-beating results, heading off fears of the AI bubble bursting for now.

Nvidia’s revenue reached $57bn in the three months to October, higher than Wall Street estimates and the company’s own guidance.

That’s up 62% on the same time last year, and has been described by the business as an “outstanding” quarter.

Money blog: Ryanair flights to EU banned in ‘unprecedented’ decision

A profit measure called earnings per share was also better than expected at $1.30.

It matters as Nvidia has powered the artificial intelligence (AI) boom through its computer chips, which are key parts in AI chatbots such as ChatGPT.

More on Artificial Intelligence

Nvidia has major tech companies as clients and acts as a good proxy for whether the tens of billions of dollars invested in AI is paying off.

Its chief executive, Jensen Huang, has been described as the Godfather of AI and watch parties were organised for those looking to follow the Wednesday evening announcement.

The company has been a massive beneficiary of the push to put money into AI, with its share price reaching stratospheric highs.

In October, it became the first worth $5trn (£3.83trn), about the size of the German economy, Europe’s largest, and double the UK’s benchmark stock index, the FTSE 100.

What’s been announced?

Revenue from data centres reached a record high of $51.2bn, more than £10bn higher than the three months previous.

The outlook is for continuing strong sales in the final three months of the financial year, as the company forecasts revenue will be roughly $65bn.

Read more:
Nvidia boss defends against claims of bubble by ‘Big Short’ investor
Inflation slows to 3.6%, but food costs shoot upwards

Demand for Nvidia products continues to surpass expectations, while the business is “still in the early innings” of AI transitions, its chief financial officer Colette Kress said.

Mr Huang said sales of its blackwell chips are “off the charts” and its cloud graphics processing chips (GPUs) are “sold out”.

Why it matters

Developing AI infrastructure, like the construction of data centres, has been a significant contributor to US economic growth, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP).

A faltering of AI expansion, therefore, impacts the US economy, the world’s largest, which in turn affects the UK and global economies.

Anxiety around the massive valuations tech companies have accrued, on the hope of AI revolutionising the world, is likely to be staved off by the results announcement.

A fall in these tech company valuations could have meant a drop in the value of pension pots or savings.

Just seven dominant tech companies, many of which have borrowed to invest in AI, make up more than a quarter of major US stock index, the S&P 500.

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Could the AI bubble burst?

In the last year alone, Nvidia’s share price has risen more than 230%.

Some, including US trader Michael Burry, famous for being played by Christian Bale in the Hollywood film The Big Short, have effectively bet that Nvidia’s share price would fall.

Addressing the topic of an AI bubble, Nvidia’s founder, Mr Huang, said, “From our vantage point, we see something very different”.

What next?

Regardless of the figures released on Wednesday evening, significant market moves were anticipated, given the attention paid to the results and the significance of the company.

Nvidia shares rose as much as 4% in after-hours trading.

The results also boosted the share price of its chip-making competitors like Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices.

For now, the AI bubble remains intact.

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Business

Budget 2025: Consumer confidence falls as speculation ramps up – but London mayor welcomes major rail investment

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Budget 2025: Consumer confidence falls as speculation ramps up - but London mayor welcomes major rail investment

Consumer confidence has tumbled amid rampant speculation about what the chancellor will announce in the budget, figures show.

The British Retail Consortium (BRC) blamed “strong hints” from the government of income tax hikes for the public’s falling expectations of how much they’ll spend over the next three months – even as Christmas beckons.

While a planned increase in income tax rates was scrapped last week, Sir Keir Starmer has refused to rule out freezing income tax thresholds – which the Conservatives argue amounts to a tax rise by stealth because it drags people into paying higher rates even if their wages increase.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said months of uncertainty had “heightened public concern about their own finances and the wider economy”.

Consumer expectations for the state of the economy over the next three months have fallen significantly to minus 44, down from minus 35 in October, according to data from the BRC and Opinium.

Ms Dickinson said action was needed from Rachel Reeves to “bring down the spiralling cost burden facing retailers”, which she said would “keep price rises in check”.

Read more: Inflation eases but food costs rise

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Is chancellor to blame for food price rises?

Signs of ‘fragile’ recovery in jobs market

In slightly more encouraging news for Ms Reeves ahead of her statement next Wednesday, new research suggests the jobs market may be on the up.

The Recruitment and Employment Confederation said the number of new job adverts last month was 754,359, up by 2.1% from September, taking the total to more than 1.6 million.

Ms Reeves’s decision to hike national insurance contributions for employers in last year’s budget was blamed for a slowdown in the market, and a rising unemployment rate.

The report said there has been an increase in adverts for medical radiographers, delivery drivers and couriers, and further education teaching professionals.

But it warned the apparent recovery was “fragile”.

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PM challenged on budget leaks

Reeves set to back DLR extension

One man looking forward to the budget is Sir Sadiq Khan, who has welcomed reports that London’s DLR is set to be given funding for an extension.

According to the Press Association, the chancellor will back an extension to the Docklands Light Railway to Thamesmead at a cost of £1.7bn – unlocking thousands of new homes.

Thamesmead has been notoriously short of public transport links ever since it was developed in the 1960s.

Thamesmead in southeast London straddles the boroughs of Bexley and Greenwich. Pic: PA
Image:
Thamesmead in southeast London straddles the boroughs of Bexley and Greenwich. Pic: PA

The plan would see the line extended from Gallions Reach, near London City Airport, and include a new station at Beckton as well as in Thamesmead itself.

Sir Sadiq said the DLR extension “will not only transform travel in a historically under-served part of the capital but also unlock thousands of new jobs and homes, boosting the economy not just locally but nationally”.

It is also expected to unlock land for 25,000 new homes and up to 10,000 new jobs, along with almost £18bn of private investment in the area.

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Business

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

Published

on

By

Nvidia beats expectations again in defiance of AI bubble fears

The world’s most valuable company has reported another series of expectation-beating results, heading off fears of the AI bubble bursting for now.

Nvidia’s revenue reached $57bn in the three months to October, higher than Wall Street estimates and the company’s own guidance.

That’s up 62% on the same time last year, and has been described by the business as an “outstanding” quarter.

Money blog: Ryanair flights to EU banned in ‘unprecedented’ decision

A profit measure called earnings per share was also better than expected at $1.30.

It matters as Nvidia has powered the artificial intelligence (AI) boom through its computer chips, which are key parts in AI chatbots such as ChatGPT.

More on Artificial Intelligence

Nvidia has major tech companies as clients and acts as a good proxy for whether the tens of billions of dollars invested in AI is paying off.

Its chief executive, Jensen Huang, has been described as the Godfather of AI and watch parties were organised for those looking to follow the Wednesday evening announcement.

The company has been a massive beneficiary of the push to put money into AI, with its share price reaching stratospheric highs.

In October, it became the first worth $5trn (£3.83trn), about the size of the German economy, Europe’s largest, and double the UK’s benchmark stock index, the FTSE 100.

What’s been announced?

Revenue from data centres reached a record high of $51.2bn, more than £10bn higher than the three months previous.

The outlook is for continuing strong sales in the final three months of the financial year, as the company forecasts revenue will be roughly $65bn.

Read more:
Nvidia boss defends against claims of bubble by ‘Big Short’ investor
Inflation slows to 3.6%, but food costs shoot upwards

Demand for Nvidia products continues to surpass expectations, while the business is “still in the early innings” of AI transitions, its chief financial officer Colette Kress said.

Mr Huang said sales of its blackwell chips are “off the charts” and its cloud graphics processing chips (GPUs) are “sold out”.

Why it matters

Developing AI infrastructure, like the construction of data centres, has been a significant contributor to US economic growth, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP).

A faltering of AI expansion, therefore, impacts the US economy, the world’s largest, which in turn affects the UK and global economies.

Anxiety around the massive valuations tech companies have accrued, on the hope of AI revolutionising the world, is likely to be staved off by the results announcement.

A fall in these tech company valuations could have meant a drop in the value of pension pots or savings.

Just seven dominant tech companies, many of which have borrowed to invest in AI, make up more than a quarter of major US stock index, the S&P 500.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Could the AI bubble burst?

In the last year alone, Nvidia’s share price has risen more than 230%.

Some, including US trader Michael Burry, famous for being played by Christian Bale in the Hollywood film The Big Short, have effectively bet that Nvidia’s share price would fall.

Addressing the topic of an AI bubble, Nvidia’s founder, Mr Huang, said, “From our vantage point, we see something very different”.

What next?

Regardless of the figures released on Wednesday evening, significant market moves were anticipated, given the attention paid to the results and the significance of the company.

Nvidia shares rose as much as 4% in after-hours trading.

The results also boosted the share price of its chip-making competitors like Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices.

For now, the AI bubble remains intact.

Continue Reading

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