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Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google and Alphabet, attends the inauguration of a new hub in France dedicated to the artificial intelligence sector, at the Google France headquarters in Paris, France, on Feb. 15, 2024.

Gonzalo Fuentes | Reuters

Google parent company Alphabet is set to report its fourth-quarter results after the bell Tuesday.

Here are the numbers Wall Street will be watching:

  • Revenue: $96.56 billion expected by LSEG
  • Earnings per share: $2.13 expected by LSEG

Here are additional estimates expected, according to StreetAccount:

  • YouTube advertising revenue: $10.23 billion
  • Google Cloud revenue: $12.19 billion
  • Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): $15.01 billion

Wall Street will be looking for Alphabet to report 11% revenue growth following a pressure-filled year that included artificial intelligence announcements, product mishaps and regulatory litigation.

Alphabet made a series of announcements in the fourth quarter related to Waymo, showing confidence in its ability to commercialize its self-driving car company more quickly.

Waymo’s robotaxi service now operates in Los Angeles, San Francisco and Phoenix, covering more than 500 square miles of public roads. In December, the company said it plans to launch its commercial service in Austin, Texas, and through the Uber app in Austin and Atlanta in 2025. The company also announced that it will begin testing Waymo in Tokyo, its first international expansion.

During the third-quarter, new Chief Financial Officer Anat Ashkenazi said she wanted to “push a little further” with cost savings across the company as Google expands its spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure in 2025. Employees pressed executives for details on cost cuts in December, and in January, they began circulating an internal petition titled “job security,” CNBC reported.

Ahead of expected cuts, Google last week began offering buyouts to U.S. employees in its Platforms and Devices unit. That unit includes more than 25,000 full-time employees who work on Android, Chrome, ChromeOS, Google Photos, Google One, Pixel, Fitbit and Nest.

Alphabet also continued to face antitrust litigation during the fourth quarter.

The Department of Justice in November called for Google to divest its Chrome browser, following an August ruling that the company holds a monopoly in the search market. The DOJ said in a filing that forcing the company to get rid of Chrome — essentially, breaking up the company — would create a more equal playing field for search competitors.

Google executives held a 2025 strategy meeting with employees in December, setting the stage for a year of expected increase in competition, regulatory hurdles and advancements in AI.

“It’s really important we internalize the urgency of this moment, and need to move faster as a company,” CEO Sundar Pichai said. “The stakes are high.”

In January, Alphabet shares closed at $200 per share for the first time as investors grow increasingly bullish on the company’s opportunities in AI, but after the emergence of DeepSeek last month, Wall Street will await any commentary from management about how the Chinese entrant could affect its AI strategy.

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Nvidia’s new software could help trace where its AI chips end up

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Nvidia’s new software could help trace where its AI chips end up

Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty Images

Nvidia is developing software that could provide location verification for its AI graphics processing units (GPUs), a move that comes as Washington ramps up efforts to prevent restricted chips from being used in countries like China.

The opt-in service uses a client software agent that Nvidia chip customers can install to monitor the health of their AI GPUs, the company said in a blog post on Wednesday

Nvidia also said that customers “will be able to visualize their GPU fleet utilization in a dashboard, globally or by compute zones — groups of nodes enrolled in the same physical or cloud locations.”

However, Nvidia told CNBC in a statement that the latest software does not give the company or outside actors the ability to disable its chips.

“There is no kill switch,” it added. “For GPU health, there are no features that allow NVIDIA to remotely control or take action on registered systems. It is readonly telemetry sent to NVIDIA.”

Telemetry is the automated process of collecting and transmitting data from remote or inaccessible sources to a central location for monitoring, analysis and optimization.

The ability to locate a device depends on the type of sensor data collected and transmitted, such as IP-based network information, timestamps, or other system-level signals that can be mapped to physical or cloud locations.

A screenshot of the software posted on Nvidia’s blog showed details such as the machine’s IP address and location.

A screenshot of the software posted on Nvidia’s blog showed details such as the machine’s IP address and location.

Nvidia blog screenshot | Opt-In NVIDIA Software Enables Data Center Fleet Management

Lukasz Olejnik, a senior research fellow at the Department of War Studies, King’s College London, said that while Nvidia indicated that its GPUs do not have hardware tracking technology, the blog did not specify if the data “uses customer input, network data, cloud provider metadata, or other methods.”

“In principle, also, the sent data contains metadata like network address, which may enable location in practice,” Olejnik, who is also an independent consultant, told CNBC.

The software could also detect any unexpected usage patterns that differ from what was declared, he added.

The latest features from Nvidia follow calls by lawmakers in Washington for the company to outfit its chips with tracking software that could help enforce export controls. 

Those rules bar Nvidia from selling its more advanced AI chips to companies in China and other prohibited locations without a special license. While Trump has recently said he plans to roll back some of these export restrictions, those on Nvidia’s cutting-edge chips will remain in place.  

In May, Senator Tom Cotton and a bipartisan group of eight lawmakers introduced the Chip Security Act, which, if passed, would mandate security mechanisms and location verification in advanced AI chips. 

“Firms affected by U.S. export controls or China-related restrictions could use the system to verify and prove their GPU fleets remain in approved locations and state, and demonstrate compliant usage to regulators,” Olejn noted.

“That could actually help in compliance and indirectly on investment outlook positively.”

Pressure on Nvidia has intensified after Justice Department investigations into alleged smuggling rings that moved over $160 million in Nvidia chips to China.

However, Chinese officials have pushed back, warning Nvidia against equipping its chips with tracking features, as well as “potential backdoors and vulnerabilities.” 

Following a national security investigation into some of Nvidia’s chips to check for these backdoors, Chinese officials have prevented local tech companies from purchasing products from the American chip designer. 

Despite a green light from U.S. President Donald Trump for Nvidia to ship its previously restricted H200 chips to China, Beijing is reportedly undecided about whether to permit the imports.

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Oracle shares plummet 11% in premarket, dragging down AI stocks

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Oracle shares plummet 11% in premarket, dragging down AI stocks

Oracle shares plummeted 11% in premarket trading on Thursday, extending yesterday’s losses after the firm reported disappointing results.

The cloud computing and database software maker reported lower-than-expected quarterly revenue on Wednesday, despite booming demand for its artificial intelligence infrastructure. Its revenue came in at $16.06 billion, compared with $16.21 billion expected by analysts, according to data compiled by LSEG.

It dragged other AI-related names down with it. Chip darling Nvidia was last seen down 1.5% in premarket trading, memory and storage firm Micron was 1.4% lower, tech heavyweight Microsoft dipped 0.9%, cloud company Coreweave slid 3% and AMD was 1.3% in negative territory.

Oracle shares drop sharply on mixed results

Oracle has been the subject of much market chatter since raising $18 billion in a jumbo bond sale in September, marking one of the largest debt issuances for the tech industry on record. The name shot onto investor agendas when it inked a $300 billion deal with OpenAI in the same month. Oracle made further moves into cloud infrastructure, where it battles Big Tech names such as AmazonMicrosoft and Google for AI contracts.

Global investors have questioned Oracle’s aggressive AI infrastructure build-out plans and whether it needs such a colossal amount of debt to execute, though other tech firms have also recently issued corporate bonds.

Oracle specifically has secured billions of dollars of construction loans through a consortium of banks tied to data centers in New Mexico and Wisconsin. The firm will raise roughly $20 billion to $30 billion in debt every year for the next three years, according to estimates by Citi analyst Tyler Radke.

Its share price has moved 34% higher year-to-date despite recent losses.

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Google’s AI unit DeepMind announces its first ‘automated research lab’ in the UK

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Google’s AI unit DeepMind announces its first 'automated research lab' in the UK

Google DeepMind, the tech giant’s AI unit, unveiled plans for its first “automated research lab” in the U.K. as it signs a partnership that could lead to the company deploying its latest models in the country. 

The AI company will open the lab, which will use AI and robotics to run experiments, in the U.K. next year. It will focus on developing new superconductor materials, which can be used to develop medical imaging tech, alongside new materials for semiconductors.

British scientists will gain “priority access” to some of the world’s most advanced AI tools under the partnership, the U.K. government said in its announcement.

Founded in London in 2010 by Nobel prize winner Demis Hassabis, DeepMind was acquired by Google in 2014, but has retained a large operational base in the U.K. The company has made several breakthroughs considered crucial to advancing AI technology.

The partnership could also lead to DeepMind working with the government on AI research in areas like nuclear fusion and deploying its Gemini models across government and education in the U.K, the government said.

“DeepMind serves as the perfect example of what UK-US tech collaboration can deliver – a firm with roots on both sides of the Atlantic backing British innovators to shape the curve of technological progress,” said U.K. Technology Secretary Liz Kendall in a statement.

“This agreement could help to unlock cleaner energy, smarter public services, and new opportunities which will benefit communities up and down the country,” she said.

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“AI has incredible potential to drive a new era of scientific discovery and improve everyday life,” said Hassabis.

“We’re excited to deepen our collaboration with the UK government and build on the country’s rich heritage of innovation to advance science, strengthen security, and deliver tangible improvements for citizens.”

The U.K. has been racing to sign deals with major tech companies as it tries to build out its AI infrastructure and public deployment of the technology, since the publication of a national strategy for AI in January.

Microsoft, Nvidia, Google and OpenAI announced plans to funnel over $40 billion of investment into new AI infrastructure in the country in September, during a state visit by U.S. President Donald Trump.

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