Cox: EVs are America’s future, but policy will set the pace
The US EV market closed out 2024 on a high note despite swirling uncertainty about the future of federal tax incentives. Cox Automotive’s newly released Q4 data shows a record 365,824 EVs sold – up 15.2% from the previous quarter – and annual EV sales of 1.3 million, a 7% increase from 2023.
We spoke with Stephanie Valdez Streaty, strategic planning director at Cox Automotive, about how these strong numbers underscore growing consumer interest in electrified transportation, even as key federal policies remain in flux.
Electrek: What role is leasing playing in growing EV adoption?
Stephanie Valdez Streaty: Notably, we continue to see leasing serve as a prime pathway for EV adoption. With purchase incentives subject to a variety of eligibility rules, many consumers have gravitated toward EV leases instead.
This “leasing loophole” has fewer restrictions, making it a particularly attractive option for those models that do not qualify for the full purchase tax credit.
In recent months, leasing rates have surged as automakers and dealers encourage consumers to take advantage of lower monthly payments, reduced risk of depreciation, and immediate federal subsidies funneled through the lessor.
While it’s difficult to tease out exactly how fears of expiring incentives fuel these numbers, there is little doubt that the current federal tax structure is helping put more EVs on the road.
Electrek: Which new EV models are driving sales growth, and what barriers are still slowing widespread adoption?
Stephanie Valdez Streaty: As always, Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y continue to lead the pack, but Q4 data shows other models rapidly gaining ground.
Honda’s new Prologue vaulted to the No 3 spot for the quarter after launching in April, buoyed by strong brand recognition and pent-up demand.
Meanwhile, Chevrolet’s Equinox and Blazer EVs – delayed earlier by software issues – also contributed to higher sales once they came fully online.
Price remains the single biggest barrier for would-be EV buyers, and truly sub-$30,000 EVs are still scarce in the US market. Yet, with lower-priced models on the horizon – such as potential updates to the Chevrolet Bolt and new entries like the Kia EV3 – manufacturers are working to broaden consumer choice at more affordable price points. The arrival of these options in late 2024 and 2025 may help sustain the upward sales momentum.
Electrek: If the $7,500 federal Inflation Reduction Act EV tax credit is canceled by the Trump administration, what role could states play in terms of incentives for consumers?
Stephanie Valdez Streaty: Much of the future of EV adoption may hinge on the policy environment. In some states, generous incentives have significantly accelerated the shift to electric mobility. Colorado, for example, has combined its own rebate program with federal tax credits, making EV ownership increasingly accessible –and the state has seen one of the US’s highest jumps in EV adoption over the past year.
Meanwhile, California remains the largest single EV market, thanks to stricter emissions standards, robust incentives, and a strong charging infrastructure network. Many other states are now following suit by adopting California’s Zero-Emission Vehicle (ZEV) standards – effectively matching or exceeding federal requirements for EV adoption.
If federal consumer tax credits were to shrink or disappear, analysts suggest that more states could step in to fill the gap with their own subsidies. Whether or not they do, though, may largely depend on budget constraints and each state’s broader clean energy goals.
Electrek: How could the cancellation of the $7,500 EV tax credit impact the wider EV industry, such as manufacturing?
Stephanie Valdez Streaty: Billions of dollars in EV and battery-manufacturing investments have already flowed into the US, often into states with historically lower EV adoption rates. As these new plants come online, they will require a healthy level of consumer demand to reach scale. That reality ties the fortunes of federal incentives, state policies, and local economies more tightly together. If incentives vanish abruptly, these investments might be underutilized, potentially cooling the pace of the entire EV market.
Electrek: What are your predictions for the US EV market in 2025 and beyond, despite the lack of policy support from the Trump administration?
Stephanie Valdez Streaty: Looking ahead, the near-term forecast remains positive. Industry analysts project about a 10% EV market share by 2025, helped by the continued rollout of new models (up to 15 more hitting showrooms in the next year or two) and an improving charging network. Still, the growth rate will likely slow somewhat compared to the initial surge – typical of any maturing technology – and hinge on consumer confidence, price parity with gas-powered cars, and the reliability of fast-charging infrastructure.
The US still lags behind countries like China, where strong government policy and an abundance of competitively priced EVs have led to even faster adoption. However, the global trend toward electrification is unmistakable, and even if the US road has a few detours – whether in the form of changing incentives, evolving emission rules, or shifting consumer tastes – the trajectory is clear: EVs are well on their way to becoming a fixture of the American automotive landscape.
Ultimately, how quickly we get there depends on a confluence of factors, including continuing incentives, state-level action, and industry innovation. One certainty is that consumer awareness and acceptance of EVs will keep climbing, with new models, better infrastructure, and flexible financing options pushing the technology further into the mainstream. The destination is electric; the timetable, however, still hinges on what policymakers decide in the months and years ahead.
Read more: Ford CEO warns Trump tariffs will ‘blow a hole’ in the US auto industry like we’ve never seen
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Climate XChange’s Annual EV Raffle is back for the 10th year running – and for the first time ever, Climate XChange has two raffle options on the table! The nonprofit has helped lucky winners custom-order their ideal EVs for the past decade. Now you have the chance to kick off your holiday season with a brand new EV for as little as $100.
About half of the raffle tickets have been sold so far for each of the raffles – you can see the live ticket count on Climate XChange’s homepage – so your odds of winning are better than ever.
But don’t wait – raffle ticket sales end on December 8!
Climate XChange is working hard to help states transition to a zero-emissions economy. Every ticket you buy supports this mission while giving you a chance to drive home your dream EV.
Here’s how Climate XChange’s 10th Annual Raffle works:
The Luxury Raffle
- Grand Prize: The winner can choose any EV on the market, fully customized up to $120,000. This year, you can split the prize between two EVs if the total is $120,000 or less.
- Taxes covered: This raffle comes with no strings – Climate XChange also pays all of the taxes.
- Runner-up prizes: Even if you don’t win the Grand Prize, you still have a chance at the 2nd prize of $12,500 and the 3rd prize of $7,500.
- Ticket price: $250.
- Grand Prize Drawing: December 12, 2025.
- Only 5,000 tickets will be sold for the Luxury Raffle.
The Mini Raffle (New for 2025)
- Grand Prize: Choose any EV on the market, fully customized, up to $45,000. This is the perfect raffle if you’re ready to make the switch to an EV but aren’t in the market for a luxury model.
- Taxes covered: Climate XChange pays all the taxes on the Mini Raffle, too.
- Ticket price: $100.
- Only 3,500 tickets will be sold for the Mini Raffle.
Why it’s worth entering
For a decade, Climate XChange has run a raffle that’s fair, transparent, and exciting. Every ticket stub is printed, and the entire drawing is live-streamed, including the loading of the raffle drum. Independent auditors also oversee the process.
Plus, your odds on the Luxury and Mini Raffles are far better than most car raffles, and they’re even better if you enter both.
Remember that only 5,000 tickets will be sold for the Luxury Raffle and only 3,500 for the Mini Raffle, and around half of the available tickets have been sold so far, so don’t miss your shot at your dream EV!
Climate XChange personally works with the winners to help them build and order their dream EVs. The winner of the Ninth Annual EV Raffle built a gorgeous storm blue Rivian R1T.
How to enter
Go to CarbonRaffle.org/Electrek before December 8 to buy your ticket. Start dreaming up your perfect EV – and know that no matter what, you’re helping accelerate the shift to clean energy.
Who is Climate XChange?
Climate XChange (CXC) is a nonpartisan nonprofit working to help states pass effective, equitable climate policies because they’re critical in accelerating the transition to a zero-emissions economy. CXC advances state climate policy through its State Climate Policy Network (SCPN) – a community of more than 15,000 advocates and policymakers – and its State Climate Policy Dashboard, a leading data platform for tracking climate action across the US.
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The CSC Monterey – one of the most charming little electric scooters on the US market – has dropped to a shockingly low $1,699, down from its original $2,899 MSRP. That’s nearly half off for a full-size, street-legal electric scooter that channels major Honda Super Cub energy, but without the gas, noise, or maintenance of the original.
CSC Motorcycles, based in Azusa, California, has a long history of importing and supporting small-format electric and gas bikes, but the Monterey has always stood out as the brand’s “fun vibes first” model. With its step-through frame, big retro headlight, slim bodywork, and upright seating position, it looks like something from a 1960s postcard – just brought into the modern era with lithium batteries and a brushless hub motor.
I had my first experience on one of these scooters back in 2021, when I reviewed the then-new model here on Electrek. I instantly fell in love with it and even got one for my dad. It now lives at his place and I think he gets just as much joy from looking at it in his garage as riding it.
You can see my review video below.
The performance is solidly moped-class, which is exactly what it’s designed for. A 2,400W rear hub motor pushes the Monterey up to a claimed 30 mph or 48 km/h (I found it really topped out at closer to 32 mph or 51 km/h), making it perfect for city streets, beach towns, and lower-speed suburban routes.
A 60V, roughly 1.6 kWh removable battery offers around 30–40 miles (48-64 km) of real-world range, depending on how aggressively you twist the throttle. It’s commuter-ready, grocery-run-ready, and campus-ready right out of the crate.
It’s also remarkably approachable. At around 181 pounds (82 kg), the Monterey is light for a sit-down scooter, making it easy to maneuver and park. There’s a small storage cubby, LED lighting, and the usual simple twist-and-go operation. And it comes with full support from CSC, a company that keeps a massive warehouse stocked with components and spare parts.
My sister has a CSC SG250 (I’m still trying to convert her to electric) and has gotten great support from them in the past, including from their mechanics walking her through carburetor questions over the phone. So I know from personal experience that CSC is a great company that stands behind its bikes.
But the real story here is the price. Scooters in this class typically hover between $2,500 and $4,500, and electric retro-style models often jump well above that.
At $1,699, the Monterey is one of the least expensive street-legal electric scooters available from a reputable US distributor, especially one that actually stocks parts and provides phone support.
If you’ve been curious about swapping a few car errands for something electric – or you just want a fun, vintage-styled runabout for getting around town – this is one of the best deals of the year.
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In the Electrek Podcast, we discuss the most popular news in the world of sustainable transport and energy. In this week’s episode, we discuss a big Tesla Robotaxi setback, the new Mercedes-Benz CLA EV, Bollinger is over, and more.
Today’s episode is brought to you by Climate XChange, a nonpartisan nonprofit working to help states pass effective, equitable climate policies. Sales end on Dec. 8th for its 10th annual EV raffle, where participants have multiple opportunities to win their dream model. Visit CarbonRaffle.org/Electrek to learn more.
The show is live every Friday at 4 p.m. ET on Electrek’s YouTube channel.
As a reminder, we’ll have an accompanying post, like this one, on the site with an embedded link to the live stream. Head to the YouTube channel to get your questions and comments in.
After the show ends at around 5 p.m. ET, the video will be archived on YouTube and the audio on all your favorite podcast apps:
We now have a Patreon if you want to help us avoid more ads and invest more in our content. We have some awesome gifts for our Patreons and more coming.
Here are a few of the articles that we will discuss during the podcast:
Here’s the live stream for today’s episode starting at 4:00 p.m. ET (or the video after 5 p.m. ET:
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