The first two games of the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off included one that was close until the end — Canada’s 4-3 OT win over Sweden — and one that was close through 37 minutes — the United States’ 6-1 rout of Finland.
Before we dive into the preview, here’s an updated look at the round-robin standings. The top two teams after the round-robin will face off in the final Thursday:
Who are the key players and matchups to watch? What are the most important statistics heading into this contest? Read on for all of that, courtesy of ESPN Research and Stathletes, plus betting intel courtesy of ESPN BET, and picks on the game from Sean Allen.
Sweden vs.
Finland
Saturday, 1 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN+ Bell Centre (Montreal)
Betting intel
Money line: SWE -210 | Finland +175 Game spread: SWE -1.5 (+130) | Finland +1.5 (-155) Total goals: Over 5.5 (-105) | Under 5.5 (-115)
Sweden
Erik Karlsson leads all players with five blocked shots. His most in an NHL game this season is five, Dec. 29 vs. the New York Islanders.
Mika Zibanejad was the only Swedish skater to be over 50% on faceoffs (57%, 13-of-23). The 13 faceoffs won are the second most, behind Finland’s Aleksander Barkov (15).
While they did combine for the goal that tied the game 3-3, Sweden was down 15-9 in shot attempts and 8-4 in shots on goal at 5-on-5 when Joel Eriksson Ek, Jesper Bratt and Lucas Raymond were on the ice together, per Stathletes.
Swedish defenders had 26 passes that led to shot attempts, according to Stathletes, including three defensemen with at least six: Victor Hedman (7), Karlsson (7) and Gustav Forsling (6).
Finland
Captain Aleksander Barkov led Finland with five shots on goal, the second most in the game behind Matthew Tkachuk’s eight. Barkov has had three NHL games this season with five or more shots, but in two of those games he also scored a goal.
Three of Finland’s top four NHL goal scorers this season failed to record a shot on goal: Mikko Rantanen: 26 NHL goals (zero shots on goal), Artturi Lehkonen: 23 NHL goals (four shots on goal), Roope Hintz: 22 NHL goals (zero shots on goal), Sebastian Aho: 20 NHL goals (zero shots on goal).
Though Rantanen did not record a shot on goal, he was tied for the most passes leading to a shot with Auston Matthews (7).
Juuse Saros allowed six goals, which is tied with the most he gave up in an NHL game this season (done twice prior), including his last start before the break against the Chicago Blackhawks on Feb. 7. Kevin Lankinen will start against Sweden.
Picks for the game
Neither of these teams were a pushover in their opening losses of the tournament.
For Sweden, the line of Filip Forsberg, Adrian Kempe and Elias Pettersson did the best job of tilting the ice in their favor, managing 12 shot attempts and a goal in 8:39 at 5-on-5 against Canada, while only allowing seven shot attempts against.
Adrian Kempe to record 4-plus shots on goal (+145): Kempe fired five against Canada and should get plenty of chances to pepper Kevin Lankinen.
Esa Lindell anytime point scorer (+260): Wait. Hear me out. The Finns tried all-forward power-play units at both 4-on-3 and 5-on-4 for a total of 2:32 seconds with just two total shots on goal. They might consider squeezing a defenseman onto the top unit for a more traditional look, even if they don’t have a great candidate. The second unit with Lindell on the point played just over a minute against the Americans and generated two shots on goal and six shot attempts. — Sean Allen
United States vs.
Canada
Saturday, 8 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN+ Bell Centre (Montreal)
Betting intel
Money line: USA -110 | Canada -110 Game spread: USA +1.5 (-325) | Canada -1.5 (+220) Total goals: Over 6.5 (+105) | Under 6.5 (-125)
United States
The Tkachuk brothers were the stars of the show Thursday. Brady Tkachuk had five slot shot attempts, the most of any player in the tournament; four scoring chance shot attempts, tied for the most of any player (Matthew Tkachuk, Nathan MacKinnon); and five scoring chances created with shots and passes, tied for second (MacKinnon, Auston Matthews, Cale Makar)
Matthew Tkachuk had four slot shot attempts, tied for second in the tournament (MacKinnon, Mark Stone); four scoring chance shot attempts, tied for the most (Brady Tkachuk, MacKinnon); and six scoring chances created with shots and passes, the most in the tournament.
The U.S. led all teams in slot shot attempts (23) and scoring chances (20), per Stathletes. The team ranks second in total shot attempts with 58, behind Sweden (69).
Team USA was credited with 32 hits, which led all teams through the first game. That was 11 more than the next-closest team (Sweden, 21). Brady Tkachuk led all players through the opening games with eight hits, matching his NHL season high (Nov. 9 vs. the Boston Bruins).
Canada
Canada has won 26 straight games with Sidney Crosby in the lineup. The streak consists of the last four games of the 2010 Olympics, all six games of the 2014 Olympics, all nine games he played in 2015 IIHF World Championship (he sat out the last preliminary-round game), all six games at the 2016 World Cup of Hockey and the first game of the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off.
Nathan MacKinnon led all players in the game against Sweden with six shots on goal. He is the NHL leader in games having six or more shots on goal with 13, which is one more than USA’s Zach Werenski, USA’s Jack Hughes and David Pastrnak.
Brad Marchand‘s goal was his sixth in NHL international competitions (Canada Cup, World Cup of Hockey), the most among active players.
Per Stathletes, every Canadian forward created at least one scoring chance (either by pass or shot) except Anthony Cirelli and Travis Konecny. Konecny is being replaced in the lineup by Sam Bennett for the game against the U.S.
Connor McDavid had 72 puck touches, according to Stathletes, 16 more than the next-highest Canadian forward (Mitch Marner).
Picks for the game
The Americans made a couple of line changes late in the game that made a world of difference. First, they realized, ‘Hey, aren’t those two brothers?’ and finally put the Tkachuks on a line together. Brady and Matthew, along with Jack Eichel, dominated with 13 shot attempts in 6:03 at five-on-five.
Zach Werenski anytime point scorer (+110). Second, they swapped out Adam Fox and installed Werenski on the top power-play unit. With Fox, the group that also included Auston Matthews, Eichel, Jake Guentzel and Matthew Tkachuk managed just one shot on goal and three shot attempts in 2:55. With Werenski, they scored two goals on six shot attempts in just 1:15.
Canada’s power play was as dangerous as expected, but after William Nylander took an early high-sticking infraction, Sweden stayed out of the box for the rest of the game. The result was only 12 seconds of power-play time, because that’s how long the unit of Sidney Crosby, Connor McDavid, Nathan MacKinnon, Sam Reinhart and Cale Makar needed to fire one shot on goal and score.
At 5-on-5, the line of Reinhart, McDavid and Mitch Marner was the only one of Canada’s lines that managed to have a positive result in the shot attempts battle, with the other three allowing equal or more shot attempts against them.
Sam Reinhart anytime goal scorer (+230): This game feels like it’s going to have more penalties. There are a lot of emotions coming into the contest, and we’ll get to see more than 12 seconds of this elite Canadian power play. So why not go right back to the same well and expect the player in front of the net to bank one in?
NEW YORK — Mike Sullivan coached the Pittsburgh Penguins for 10 seasons, leading them to two Stanley Cup championships. On Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden, he watched them ruin his debut as the New York Rangers‘ latest head coach.
Sullivan admitted it was a peculiar feeling having Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang and others he coached in Pittsburgh suddenly become his opponents.
“I mean, obviously it’s different. It’s different. I knew that was going to be the case,” he said after Pittsburgh’s 3-0 victory on the opening night of the 2025-26 NHL season. “But I’m excited about the group we have here in front of me with the Rangers. I’m looking forward to working with this group.”
The Rangers were shut out by goalie Arturs Silovs (22 saves) and watched forward Justin Brazeau score two goals in the Penguins’ win. They were outshot 15-5 in the third period and couldn’t muster anything consistent offensively in Sullivan’s debut.
“Well, I think my first observation is we got a long way to go to become the team we want to become. Some of it I think we can iron out, but certainly we’ve got a ways to go,” said Sullivan, who will coach Team USA in the 2026 Winter Olympic men’s hockey tournament in Italy. “I’m not going to overreact to it. It’s one game. We’ve got a lot of hockey to play,” he said. “So is it disappointing? Yeah. We’re going to see what we can take from it. We’ve got to move on.”
Sullivan and the Penguins agreed to part ways in April despite his being under contract through the 2026-27 season. Hired in 2015-16, Sullivan was the franchise’s most successful coach with 409 wins, only the 14th coach in NHL history to win 400 games with one team. Pittsburgh won back-to-back Stanley Cups in 2016 and 2017 with Sullivan.
Days later, after he left the Penguins, Sullivan was hired by the Rangers to replace coach Peter Laviolette, signing a five-year contract that made him the NHL’s highest-paid coach. Sullivan, 57, had previously served as an assistant coach with New York from 2009 to 2013, during which time he coached Rangers GM Chris Drury as a player.
Penguins captain Crosby acknowledged it was a different feeling having Sullivan behind the Rangers’ bench instead of his.
“I just go out there and compete, but it’s always weird that first little bit,” he said.
For Crosby, it wasn’t just seeing Sullivan coaching the opponents. Sullivan brought former Penguins assistants David Quinn and Ty Hennes with him to New York.
While Sullivan took the loss against his former team, new Penguins coach Dan Muse earned a victory against his. Muse was an assistant coach under Laviolette for two seasons in New York and reportedly interviewed for the vacancy before Sullivan was hired. Crosby was happy to get Muse the win.
“Every team will tell you, especially early in the season, it’s not going to be perfect. You’re just trying to be on the same page as much as possible. And I feel like he prepared us well to start the year,” Crosby said.
Pittsburgh had Crosby, Malkin and Letang in its starting lineup, three players who have been on the Penguins team together since 2007.
“We had three guys that have been playing together for 20 years, and I thought it was important that they get to start the game together,” Muse said.
ESPN baseball reporter. Covered the L.A. Rams for ESPN from 2016 to 2018 and the L.A. Angels for MLB.com from 2012 to 2016.
LOS ANGELES — Roki Sasaki hasn’t been officially declared the closer, but he might as well be. Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Tuesday that Sasaki is “definitely the primary option now” in the ninth inning, but that is also contingent on his workload.
“We have to win X amount of games [to secure a championship], and he’s not going to close every game,” Roberts said before Tuesday’s workout from Dodger Stadium. “It’s just not feasible, so, you’ve got to use other guys.”
Roberts attempted to do that in Game 2 of the National League Division Series on Monday night, deploying Blake Treinen with a three-run lead in the ninth inning. But Treinen allowed the first three batters to reach, cutting the Philadelphia Phillies‘ deficit to a single run. Alex Vesia followed by facing three batters, retiring two. Sasaki then entered the game and recorded the final out in what amounted to his fifth major league relief appearance since transitioning to the bullpen in mid-September.
The Dodgers entered the postseason with a leaky bullpen they hoped to shore up with starting pitchers, most notably Sasaki but also Emmet Sheehan, Clayton Kershaw and, at times, Tyler Glasnow. The likes of Treinen, Tanner Scott, Kirby Yates and Michael Kopech — the latter two currently recovering from injuries but expected to be available for a potential National League Championship Series — were expected to anchor a dominant bullpen. All of them, to varying degrees, have fallen out of favor, but Roberts will inevitably have to trust them again at some point.
“If there’s a world where you can use five pitchers and finish a postseason and win the postseason, I think a lot of people would sign up for that,” Roberts said. “But that’s impossible. So you’ve got to use your roster at certain times and kind of pick spots where you feel best and live with whatever outcome. But that’s just the way it goes to win, for us, 13 games in October.”
In hopes of winning at least one, the Phillies, coming off back-to-back losses in Philadelphia, will turn to veteran right-hander Aaron Nola with their season on the line in Game 3 on Wednesday. Nola, 32, navigated a career-worst year in 2025, going 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA. But Phillies manager Rob Thomson will deploy lefty starter Ranger Suarez behind Nola, with Cristopher Sanchez fully rested for a potential Game 4.
Thomson said he went with Nola because of Nola’s strong finish to the regular season — eight innings of one-run ball against the Minnesota Twins — and because Nola is more comfortable starting than coming out of the bullpen. A lefty is typically a better option against the top of the Dodgers’ lineup, but the left-handed-hitting Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman have combined for a 1.056 OPS against Suarez.
“I have trust in both of them, don’t get me wrong,” Thomson said. “But Nola has pitched in some really big games for us in the last couple of years.”
Thomson said center fielder Harrison Bader, who suffered a hamstring strain in Game 1, will be a “game-time decision” on Wednesday. Bader pinch hit in the ninth inning of Game 2 and was replaced by a pinch runner after his single. Starting him as the designated hitter and putting Kyle Schwarber in the outfield is not an option.
“He’s still got to run,” Thomson said of Bader. “If he can run, he’s going to play center field.”
Dodgers catcher Will Smith, nursing a hairline fracture in his right hand, has not started any of the team’s four playoff games but has caught the final innings in each of the first two games of this series. Doing so again in Game 3 makes sense, given that the Dodgers would have the platoon advantage by starting the left-handed-hitting Ben Rortvedt against Nola and later turning to the right-handed-hitting Smith against Suarez. But Roberts said “there is hope” of Smith catching the whole game.
“I’ll make the decision tomorrow,” Roberts said. “Each day, it’s gotten better, so I feel more confident that he’ll be able to start.”
DETROIT — The Seattle Mariners have heard it for years. They are the only team that has never made it to the World Series. After a telltale win in Detroit on Tuesday, the Mariners are one win from getting closer to sending that bit of trivia in obsolescence than they’ve been in 24 years.
All it took was an 8-4 win over the Tigers in Game 3 of the ALDS that gave the Mariners a 2-1 lead in the series and emblematic of what they have become since the roster was boosted by midseason additions.
“Huge game, a lot of momentum,” Mariners starter Logan Gilbert said. “I’ve been saying it for a while: This is the most complete team I’ve been on and seen.”
It was very much a complete victory for the Mariners, who opened an 8-1 lead after a rain delay of nearly three hours before quashing a ninth-inning Tigers rally.
It wasn’t just the pitching of Gilbert or the end of game door slam from closer Andres Munoz or the ongoing long ball heroics of AL MVP candidate Cal Raleigh. It was all of that and more.
“One through nine, guys had good at-bats,” Raleigh said. “And that’s kind of what we’re preaching.”
Gilbert put up seven sterling innings, striking out seven. Raleigh hit his second career postseason home run and first on the heels of his historic 60-homer season. J.P. Crawford enjoyed a perfect night in the nine-hole that included a homer. And trade acquisition Eugenio Suarez launched a home run.
“We’ve been battling all along getting to this point,” Suarez said. “Being one step closer to going to the championship, we’re not done with the job yet. We have to continue playing like this.”
The Mariners got contributions up and down the lineup. They scored on the three long balls but also went 4-for-9 with runners in scoring position and scored two runs in the third thanks to aggressive baserunning. They quashed Detroit’s late push with a game-ending double play.
The Mariners won by getting contributions across the board, from nearly every player and in every phase of the game.
“That’s the team that we are,” Crawford said. “We create chaos, and we keep the line moving.”
Seattle entered the season drawing plaudits for a standout starting rotation and star players in Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez, but there were concerns about lineup depth and offensive consistency.
The Mariners’ offense improved, but the rotation fell short at times because of injury issues to George Kirby and Gilbert. But in July, the team started to get healthier, and before the trade deadline dealt for Suarez and first baseman Josh Naylor. Suddenly, a roster with clear strengths but just as clear holes started to look very complete.
That revised version of the Mariners was on display in Game 3, moving Seattle one win from reaching the ALCS for the first time since 2001. It’s one victory that will erase a little more of so much bad history.
“We got a tough road ahead of us,” Raleigh said. “Really tough pitching tomorrow. You know it’s going to be a challenge. We got to bring it tomorrow. We can’t take a game off.”
The Mariners will send righty Bryce Miller to the mound in Game 4 on Wednesday. He’ll face Detroit’s Casey Mize and a Tigers team that, in scoring three ninth-inning runs that forced Mariners manager Dan Wilson to summon Munoz from the bullpen, showed that they will not go quietly.
“We’ve earned our way here and we’ve had to play more and more back-against-the-wall-type games,” Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said. “I know our guys are going to be ready.”