Rivian (RIVN) eyes first positive gross profit in Q4: Here’s what to expect from its earnings
Rivian (RIVN) will report fourth-quarter earnings Thursday after the market closes. Although the EV maker aggressively cut costs last year, a supply shortage derailed some momentum. Rivian still stands by its goal of achieving its first positive gross profit in Q4. Here’s what to expect from the report.
Rivian expects a positive gross profit in Q4 2024 earnings
Rivian beat expectations with 14,183 vehicles delivered in the final three months of 2024, bringing the annual total to 51,579.
Although it was enough for Rivian to meet its full-year guidance of 50,500 and 52,000, it was only slightly more than the 50,122 the company delivered in 2023.
After a supply shortage began in the third quarter, Rivian cut its full-year production target to 47,000 to 49,000 vehicles in 2024, down from 57,000. Rivian topped its (revised) target with 49,476 units produced at its Normal, IL plant last year.
Rivian’s deliveries and production include the R1S, R1T, and electric delivery and commercial vans. Despite the slower-than-expected growth last year, the company still expects profits to improve.
Last month, the EV maker confirmed that “The previously discussed shortage of a shared component on the R1 and RCV platforms is no longer a constraint” on production.
| Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Full-Year 2024 | 2024 guidance | |
| Deliveries | 13,588 | 13,790 | 10,018 | 14,183 | 51,579 | 50,500 – 52,000 |
| Production | 13,980 | 9,612 | 13,157 | 12,727 | 49,476 | 47,000 – 49,000 |
Rivian also said it’s still on track to post its first positive gross profit in Q4. CFO Claire McDonough told analysts on the company’s third-quarter earnings call that Rivian expects “a modest gross profit” in the final three months of 2024.
However, McDonough clarified that regulatory credit sales, lower costs thanks to plant upgrades and improved supply contracts, and other revenue outside vehicle sales would mainly drive the achievement.
| Q3 ’22 | Q4 ’22 | Q1 ’23 | Q2 ’23 | Q3 ’23 | Q4 ’23 | Q1 ’24 | Q2 ’24 | Q3 ’24 | |
| Rivian loss per vehicle | $139,277 | $124,162 | $67,329 | $32,594 | $30,500 | $43,372 | $38,784 | $32,705 | $39,130 |
Rivian’s net loss fell to $1.1 billion in the third quarter, with a gross profit loss of $392 million. Although the company lost around $39,000 on each vehicle delivered in the third quarter, this is a drastic improvement from 2022, when Rivian lost over $139,000 per unit.
Including a $1 billion convertible note from Volkswagen, Rivian ended the third quarter with $6.7 billion in cash and equivalents.
According to Estimize, Wall St expects Rivian to post Q4 revenue of $1.4 billion, up from $1.3 billion in Q4 2023, and a loss of 0.68 per share (EPS) compared to a loss of $1.36 per share.
Prepping for R2
After launching its new joint venture with VW, Scaringe said the partnership was a “meaningful financial opportunity” worth up to $5.8 billion.
According to Rivian’s Chief Software Officer, Wassym Bensaid, other OEMs are now “knocking on our door” about similar supply deals for EV tech and software.
Rivian’s biggest growth driver is still yet to come. The company is preparing to launch its mid-size electric SUV, the R2, early next year. It will initially be built at Rivian’s Normal, IL facility, but production is expected to significantly expand with plans to open a second plant in Georgia.
The R2 will start at around $45,000, or nearly half the cost of the current R1T ($71,700) and R1S ($77,700). Rivian will also build a smaller, more affordable R3 crossover and high-performance R3X at the Georgia facility.
Rivian plans to build the plant in two stages, each adding 200,000 units of annual production capacity. Rivian says the R2 and R3 are “critical drivers in the company’s long-term growth and profitability.”
Although Rivian secured a $6.6 billion federal loan for the new EV plant just before Trump took office, the funding is now in jeopardy after the Administration announced plans to freeze federal loans.
Georgia Gov Brian Kemp told Channel 2 news this week that Rivian “secured that loan at the tail end of the Biden administration and, you know, I think there’s no secret that the Trump administration is taking a look at all those things.” He added, “So I don’t really know where that stands right now.”
Rivian is confident the funds will be there next year when they go to draw them. A spokesperson said, “We’re working hard to onshore US manufacturing, providing thousands of American jobs here in Georgia.”
Rivian’s stock is up since reporting third-quarter earnings in November. However, RIVN shares are still down 12% over the past 12 months and 90% from their all-time high shortly after going public in November 2021.
Check back tomorrow after the market closes for a full breakdown of Rivian’s Q4 2024 earnings report.
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On today’s exciting episode of Quick Charge, we don’t even mention “you know who,” focusing instead on EV news from Rivian, Lucid, Nissan, Ford, and what it takes to make a MAN in the heavy truck space. Check it out!
Sure, Nissan is pushing back production estimates on its yet-to-begin-production Nissan LEAF and Ford’s EV sales were down significantly in Q2, but there’s more to the story than the “Faux News” crowd would have you believe. Plus: some new electric success stories from Porsche and a disappointing (but still cool) dive into some new home backup battery tech.
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he 30% federal solar tax credit is ending this year. If you’ve ever considered going solar, now’s the time to act. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
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Battery electric cars sold today in Europe produce 73% less life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions than gas cars, even when factoring in production, according to new research from the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT). That’s a big improvement from 2021, when the gap was 59%.
Meanwhile, hybrids and plug-in hybrids haven’t made much progress. The study confirms what clean transportation advocates have been saying for years: If Europe wants to seriously slash emissions from its dirtiest mode of transport – ICE passenger cars, which pump out nearly 75% of the sector’s pollution – it needs to go all-in on battery EVs.
“Battery electric cars in Europe are getting cleaner faster than we expected and outperform all other technologies, including hybrids and plug-in hybrids,” said ICCT researcher Dr. Marta Negri. Credit the continent’s rapid shift to renewables and the higher energy efficiency of EVs.
The makeup of the EU’s power grid is changing fast. By 2025, renewables are expected to generate 56% of Europe’s electricity, up from 38% in 2020. And that’s just the beginning: the share could hit 86% by 2045. Since cars bought today could still be on the road two decades from now, the growing use of clean electricity will only boost EVs’ climate benefits over time.
Gas-powered cars, on the other hand, will stay mostly tied to fossil fuels as the cost and availability of biofuels and e-fuels are still uncertain.
Hybrids and plug-in hybrids only cut lifetime emissions by 20% and 30%, respectively, compared to gas cars. That’s partly because plug-in hybrids tend to run on gas more than expected. So while hybrids aren’t useless, they’re just not good enough if we’re serious about climate goals.
Countering EV myths with hard data
There’s been a lot of noise lately about whether EVs are really that green. The ICCT study takes aim at the bad data and misleading claims floating around, like ignoring how the grid gets cleaner over time or using unrealistic gas mileage figures.
It’s true that manufacturing EVs creates more emissions upfront – about 40% more than making a gas car, mostly due to the battery. But EVs make up for it quickly: that extra emissions load is usually wiped out after about 17,000 km (10,563 miles) of driving, which most drivers hit in a year or two.
“We’ve recently seen auto industry leaders misrepresenting the emissions math on hybrids,” said Dr. Georg Bieker, senior researcher at the ICCT. “But life-cycle analysis is not a choose-your-own-adventure exercise.”
ICCT’s new analysis includes emissions from vehicle and battery production and recycling, fuel and electricity production, and fuel consumption and maintenance. It even adjusts for how the electricity mix will change in the coming years – a key detail when measuring plug-in hybrid performance.
Read more: Volkswagen’s 47% BEV sales jump includes a 24% boost in the US
The 30% federal solar tax credit is ending this year. If you’ve ever considered going solar, now’s the time to act. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
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![Here's our closest look at the Kia EV2 caught testing in the Alps [Video]](https://i0.wp.com/electrek.co/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2025/07/Kia-EV2-closest-look.jpeg?resize=1200,628&quality=82&strip=all&ssl=1)
The EV2 may be Kia’s smallest electric vehicle, but it has a big presence on the road. Kia promises it won’t feel so small when you’re inside, thanks to clever storage and flexible seating. After a prototype was spotted testing in the Alps, we are getting our closest look at the Kia EV2 so far.
Kia EV2 spotted in the Alps offers our closest look yet
Kia first unveiled the Concept EV2 during its 2025 EV Day event (see our recap of the event) in April, a preview of its upcoming entry-level electric SUV.
Despite its small size, Kia claims it will “redefine urban electric mobility” with new innovative features and more. Kia has yet to say exactly how big it will be, but given it will sit below the EV3, it’s expected to be around 4,000 mm (157″) in length. The EV3 is 4,300 mm (169.3″) in length.
Looking at it from the side, it sits much higher than you’d expect, similar to Kia’s larger EV9. During an exclusive event at Milan Design Week in April, Kia gave a sneak peek of the interior.
Kia said the interior is inspired by a “picnic in the city,” or in other words, a retreat from the busy city life. With a flat-floor design and flexible seating, you can quite literally have a picnic in the city.
Although we’ve seen the EV2 out in public testing a few times, a new video provides the closest look at Kia’s upcoming electric SUV.
The video, courtesy of CarSpyMedia, shows an EV2 prototype testing in the Alps with European license plates. There’s also a “Testfahrt” sticker on the back, which translates to “Test Car” in German.
As the prototype drives by, you can get a good look at it from all angles. Like in past sightings, the front features stacked vertical headlights with Kia’s signature Star Map lighting. Even the rear lights appear to be identical to those of the concept.
The interior will feature Kia’s next-gen ccNC (connected car Navigation Cockpit) infotainment system. The setup includes dual 12.3″ instrument clusters and infotainment screens in a curved panoramic display. Depending on the model, it could also include an added 5.3″ climate control screen.
Last month, a crossover coupe-like model was spotted on a car carrier in Korea, hinting at a new variant. The new model featured a design similar to that of the Genesis GV60.
Kia’s CEO, Ho Sung Song, also recently told Autocar that a smaller, more affordable EV was in the works to sit below the EV2. Song said the new EV, priced under €25,000 ($30,000), was “one area we are studying and developing.”
With the EV4 and EV5 launching this year, followed by the EV2 in 2026, it could be closer toward the end of the decade before we see it hit the market. Next-gen EV6 and EV9 models are also due out around then.
The Kia EV2 is set to launch in Europe and other global regions in 2026. Unfortunately, it’s not expected to make the trip to the US.
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