Visits by prime ministers to the American president matter much more to us “Brits” than they do to them.
Donald Trump spelt this out in the off-hand way he announced that he had granted Sir Keir Starmer the coveted appointment in his busy schedule.
“We have a lot of good things going on,” the president boasted. “But he asked to come and see me and I just accepted his asking.”
After his phone call with the prime minister, Trump declared “we’re going to have a friendly meeting, very good”. That was before Sir Keir publicly disagreed with Trump’s ruling that Volodymyr Zelenskyy is “a dictator”.
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Trump on Starmer visit
Always assuming that his invitation is not cancelled in a fit of presidential pique, Starmer will find himself proceeding with the utmost caution when he gets to the Oval Office.
Downing Street sources say they are anxious “not to poke the bear” in the full knowledge that previous leaders have endured many awkward moments in their attempts to further a special relationship at away matches.
Starmer will have his work cut out. Since his re-election, Trump has signalled that he has less time than ever for traditional alliances.
Newly inaugurated presidents traditionally send friendly greetings to their territorial neighbours. Trump slapped tariffs on Canada and Mexico and talked about US territorial expansion to both the north and the south.
Historically the UK prime minister has often been the first foreign leader welcomed by a new US president. Trump hosted Theresa May less than a week after he took office for the first time and surprised her when he held her hand to go down some steps.
This year Starmer has already been preceded by the leaders of Israel, Japan, Jordan and Indonesia and will be crossing the Atlantic to pay his respects in the same few days as France’s President Macron.
Image: Donald Trump holds Theresa May’s hand as they walk along the colonnades of the White House in Washington in January 2017. Pic: AP
Thatcher and Reagan’s political romance
Even at the best of times, British officials are prone to exaggerate the closeness of the two countries’ mutual interests.
Harold Macmillan thought he could teach the young John Kennedy a thing or two, as the Greek to JFK’s Roman, but ended up being dictated to by Kennedy on the nature of the UK’s “independent” nuclear deterrent.
One of the wily Harold Wilson’s most significant achievements was refusing to send British troops to fight alongside the Americans in the Vietnam War.
The most celebrated PM/POTUS political romance was between Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan. Indeed when the Falklands conflict broke out in the spring of 1982, I was in the White House briefing room to hear then US secretary of state Al Haig joke with innuendo about the closeness of their relationship.
Image: Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher dancing at the White House in 1988. Pic: Reuters
It blossomed after Thatcher won Reagan over to give the UK expedition staunch support, in defiance of the advice from some of his officials.
Even so, Thatcher was unnerved by Reagan’s apparent willingness to consider mutual nuclear disarmament in discussion with the Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev in 1986.
She flew hastily to Washington DC following the Reagan-Gorbachev summit in Reykjavik – “to give Reagan a bollocking” – at least according to the Daily Express reporter in her travelling party.
In 1990 she reportedly told George HW Bush “now George, this is not time to go wobbly” during the flurry of meetings and phone calls which followed Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait.
Clinton owing Blair and Bush’s love bombing
John Major got off to a bad start with Bill Clinton after Conservative sources tried to help the Republican campaign dig up dirt on Clinton’s time as a student at Oxford. Soon after the US election in 1992, Major flew to the US in the hope of being invited to a face-to-face meeting with the then president-elect. After several days all he got was a phone call from Little Rock, Arkansas.
In spite of their ideological closeness, Tony Blair later said he found it more difficult to deal with the Third Way Democrat Bill Clinton than he did with the “straightforward” Republican George W Bush.
Clinton nonetheless was a key player in bringing about the Belfast agreement. Blair’s greatest success was persuading the president to commit US forces to peacekeeping in the Balkans but he also did Clinton significant personal service.
Blair went on a scheduled visit to the White House at the height of the Monica Lewinsky scandal, just days after the president had made his statement “I did not have sex with that woman”.
At their joint news conference afterwards, Blair allowed all the questions to be deflected to him and expressed his admiration for the president. As they walked away from the East Wing, Clinton put his arm around the prime minister and appeared to say “I owe you one”.
Image: Bill Clinton and Tony Blair during a joint news conference in February 1998 when the president was repeatedly questioned about the Monica Lewinsky scandal. Pic: Reuters
Clinton’s advice to Blair on his successor George W Bush was “hug him close”. But both sides were apprehensive when the Labour prime minister flew to Camp David for his first meeting with the second President Bush.
Bush wanted them to dress casual, and according to the British ambassador, Blair put on some “ball-crushingly tight jeans”. From Bush’s first words about sharing the same kind of toothpaste, Blair was subjected to love bombing.
The two leaders’ relationship remained close, including sending troops side-by-side into Afghanistan and Iraq.
Brown’s bag of CDs, Cameron’s humility and common interests
Through no fault of his own Gordon Brown found himself in the midst of a British media furore after Barack Obama’s team returned a bust of Churchill which had been lent personally to George W Bush by the British Embassy.
The new Obama administration’s ignorance of the usual niceties was further demonstrated when a history-steeped gift to the president from Brown was reciprocated with a bag of CDs.
David Cameron struck a humble note visiting Obama when he described the UK as America’s “junior partner”.
Their alliance backfired when Obama tried to help during the Brexit referendum – warning that the UK would find itself “at the back of the queue” for striking a trade deal with the US after Brexit.
Image: David Cameron and Barack Obama at a NATO summit in 2016. Pic: Reuters
Until this second Trump presidency, the US and the UK were at least pulling in the same direction, with differing interests but the common assumption that they would back each other up where possible.
Starmer’s challenge is to see if those rules still apply.
Left-right differences can be overcome
Until now, differences of left and right have not mattered much. It was a mere spat when the Reagan administration and the Labour leader Neil Kinnock ended up briefing against each other after the British leader of the Opposition was granted a brief Oval Office meeting before the 1987 general election.
Reagan told Kinnock his unilateral nuclear disarmament policy was crazy and Labour said doddery Reagan had not recognised the shadow foreign secretary Denis Healey.
Kinnock and Labour later abandoned their anti-nuclear policy.
Starmer has got off to a better start than that. He and the foreign secretary David Lammy say they were hosted “graciously” by the then president-elect at Trump Tower in New York City last year.
They will be hoping they can keep it that way this week in the White House.
“I don’t remember feeling this unsafe ever before,” says 76-year-old devout Sikh Resham Kaur who moved to the UK from India when she was 18.
She’s waiting for two men to walk her home from the gurdwara – a Sikh place of worship – at a time of rising fears over physical and verbal racial abuse.
Resham reaches for her walking stick and puts on her shoes.
Image: Sarbjit Singh and Mangat Singh walking Resham Kaur home from the gurdwara
Image: Monty Singh says they are ‘not vigilantes’
“When I came to this country, I didn’t fear for my safety. But now I do – every day. It’s a lot worse now,” she says.
It’s a disturbing admission at a time when some fear Britain’s communities are more fragmented than ever.
Two volunteers arrive, opening the exit door for Resham at the gurdwara in Smethwick in the West Midlands.
Sarbjit Singh – who works in a bakery – and Mangat Singh – who works at a salad farm – are part of the congregation and walk people to and from the gurdwara on their days off to keep them safe.
With attendance numbers at the gurdwara falling because of safety fears, Sarbjit says it’s something they need to do “until we get a bit of peace and tranquillity back in society and the community”.
“We have to do something. We can’t just sit in silence. And we can’t let the congregation just stay at home,” Sarbjit says.
Image: The Oldbury patrol
Other groups of Sikh men are also taking action – joining patrols along a road in nearby Oldbury where a young Sikh woman was allegedly raped a few weeks ago.
That alleged attack – and an assault on two taxi drivers in Wolverhampton in August – have horrified the Sikh community. Police are treating both incidents as racially aggravated.
Image: Two Sikh taxi drivers were allegedly assaulted in Wolverhampton in August
Monty Singh, who is taking part in the patrols, says they are “not vigilantes”.
“We need to make it crystal clear that we’re good people, we’re just trying to do the right thing and support our community,” Monty adds.
Pervinder Kaur is the vice president of the gurdwara.
Image: Pervinder Kaur said before the summer people felt safe, but racial abuse is being emboldened
She believes racial abuse is being emboldened after a summer of demonstrations outside hotels housing asylum seekers and renewed debate about immigration.
“People are more verbal about it now. They are not scared of the consequences,” she said.
A sense of vulnerability is common among minority communities and security measures have also been stepped up at mosques around the country.
Image: Iman Adam Kantar said ‘the Union Jack is our flag’
Image: Friday prayers at the Rumi Mosque in Edmonton, north London
Imam Adam Kantar from the Rumi Mosque in Edmonton, north London, said: “Many people are now telling their children not to be outside after certain hours.
“Their [husbands], they prefer to go shopping instead of their hijab [wearing] wives and spouses.
“We have to engage with the wider community and prove that we love this country and its people. The Union Jack is our flag.”
What Britain’s fragmented society has in common is fear among minority communities – even if the causes are different.
Rabbi Josh Levy, the co-lead of Progressive Judaism, has spent years trying to advance interfaith dialogue.
He said: “Single individual(s) or small groups can cause a huge amount of pain and distress.
“There are lots of really great examples of community cohesion around the country. But generally, there is definitely a sense of fragmentation. And whether it’s driven by political concerns or what’s happening internationally.
“We’ve got huge work to do in taking the work that happens on a national level and bringing it into local communities.”
Rachel Reeves has been warned that firms face a “make-or-break moment” at next month’s budget.
The British Chamber of Commerce (BCC) urged the chancellor, who is widely expected to announce tax hikes in November’s budget to fill a gap in the public finances, to steer clear of increasing levies on businesses.
Ms Reeves raised taxes by £40bn last year and the BCC said business confidence had not recovered since.
“Last year’s budget took the wind from their sails, and they have been struggling to find momentum ever since,” BCC director-general Shevaun Haviland said.
She said firms felt “drained” and could not plan ahead as they expected “further tax demands to be laid at their feet” when the budget is delivered on 26 November.
“The chancellor must seize this moment and use her budget to deliver a pro-growth agenda that can restore optimism and belief amongst business leaders,” Ms Haviland added.
“This year’s budget will be a make-or-break moment for many firms.”
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Labour might U-turn on farming tax: What do farmers think?
The BCC also called for a reform of business rates and the removal of the windfall tax on gas and oil introduced by the last government.
In its submission, the industry body outlined more than 60 recommendations, including the proposal of further infrastructure investment, cuts to customs barriers and action on skill shortages.
Earlier this year, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer announced Labour would aim to approve 150 major infrastructure projects by the next election, with Labour already pledging to support expansions of both Heathrow and Gatwick airports – another of the BCC’s requests.
While the Treasury would not comment on budget speculation, a spokesperson insisted Ms Reeves would “strike the right balance” between ensuring funding for public services and securing economic growth.
She has vowed to stick to Labour’s manifesto pledges not to raise taxes on “working people”.
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Is Britain heading towards a new financial crisis?
Household spending on the wane
The BCC’s plea to halt further tax rises on businesses comes as retail sales growth slowed in September.
“With the budget looming large, and households facing higher bills, retail spending rose more slowly than in recent months,” Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the British Retail Consortium (BRC), said.
“Rising inflation and a potentially taxing budget is weighing on the minds of many households planning their Christmas spending.”
Total retail sales in the UK increased by 2.3% year-on-year in September, against growth of 2% in September 2024 and above the 12-month average growth of 2.1%, according to BRC and KPMG data.
While food sales were up by 4.3% year-on-year, this was largely driven by inflation rather than volume growth.
Non-food sales growth slowed to 0.7% against the growth of 1.7% last September, making it below the 12-month average growth of 0.9%.
Image: Total retail sales in the UK increased in September compared to the year before. File pic: PA
Online non-food sales only increased by 1% against last September’s growth of 3.4%, which was below the 12-month average growth of 1.8%.
“The future of many large anchor stores and thousands of jobs remains in jeopardy while the Treasury keeps the risk of a new business rates surtax on the table,” Ms Dickinson said.
“By exempting these shops when the budget announcements are made, the chancellor can reduce the inflationary pressures hammering businesses and households alike.”
Thousands of homes fitted with insulation under a flagship government scheme now need major remedial work, or risk damp and mould, the public spending watchdog has warned.
A damning report by the National Audit Office (NAO) said “clear failures” in the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) scheme to tackle fuel poverty and pollution had led to low quality installations and even potential fraud.
It blamed incompetent subcontractors and weak monitoring and government oversight for the issues, which in extreme cases could cause fires.
Fuel poverty campaigners warned the system had “let cowboys through the front door”, saying it must be fixed to bring down energy bills and keep people warm.
Almost all homes – some 98%, affecting 22,000 to 23,000 properties – fitted with external wall insulation under the ECO are affected, the NAO said.
A further 29% of homes with internal wall insulation – around 9,000 to 13,000 dwellings – also face major issues that need fixing.
A small percentage of homes – 6% with external insulation and 2% with internal – put people in immediate danger, such as poor ventilation that could cause carbon monoxide poisoning, and electrical safety issues that could start fires.
ECO is a scheme that obliges energy companies to pay for energy efficiency measures in vulnerable households out of consumer bills.
Gareth Davies, head of the NAO, said ECO is “important to help reduce fuel poverty and meet the government’s ambitions for energy efficiency”.
But “clear failures in the design and set-up” had led to “poor-quality installations, as well as suspected fraud”, he added.
‘Gaming the system’
The report says the reason things had gone so badly wrong could be down to work being subcontracted to individuals and firms who are not competent or certified, uncertainty over standards, and businesses “cutting corners” or “gaming the system”.
The energy regulator Ofgem last year estimated businesses had falsified claims for ECO installations in between 5,600 and 16,500 homes.
That means they could have claimed between £56m and £165m from energy suppliers – ultimately paid for by bill-payers.
Image: More than 20,000 homes are said to be affected. File pic: iStock
Martin McCluskey, the government minister for energy consumers, criticised the “unacceptable, systemic failings” that had affected thousands of families.
He added: “We are fixing the broken system the last government left by introducing comprehensive reforms to make this process clear and straightforward, and in the rare cases where things go wrong, there will be clear lines of accountability, so consumers are guaranteed to get any problems fixed quickly.”
The government urged households to take up the free audit that will be offered in a forthcoming letter, and said installers would be forced to remedy the issues free of charge.
However, insulation has the potential to vastly improve homes, analysts pointed out.
Jess Ralston from energy think tank ECIU said: “The majority of households that have benefitted from insulation schemes have lower bills and warmer, healthy homes, particularly during the early years of the gas crisis when the UK’s poor quality housing stock was one of the reasons we were so badly hit compared to other European countries.”
Simon Francis, co-ordinator of the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, said: “Insulation and ventilation, when done properly, are among the safest and most effective ways to bring down energy bills and keep people warm.”
But the report had revealed a “system that has let cowboys through the front door, leaving thousands of victims living in misery and undermining public trust”.
Sue Davies, Which? head of consumer protection policy, called it “a damning indictment of a failed scheme, where poor oversight has allowed rogue traders to cause huge damage to people’s homes and lives”.
She said the government must take swift action to rectify the damage, as well as ensuring “there is no repeat of this scandal by putting in place robust consumer protections and effective oversight”.