Coterra Energy shares dropped 3% on Tuesday despite the oil and natural gas producer delivering better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings late Monday. Capital efficiency was a highlight with output levels above management’s outlook range and capital expenditures near the low end of guidance. Revenue in the three months ended Dec. 31 declined 13% versus the year-ago period at $1.395 billion, slightly missing the $1.4 billion consensus forecast, according to analyst estimates compiled by LSEG. Adjusted diluted earnings per share fell 6% versus the year-ago period to 49 cents and beat expectations of 43 cents, LSEG data showed. Why we own it Formed by the merger of Cabot Oil & Gas and Cimarex, Coterra Energy is an exploration-and-production company with a high-quality, diversified asset portfolio. The company practices capital discipline and is a low-cost operator. Our lone energy stock, Coterra also acts as a hedge on inflation and geopolitical risk. Competitors: EQT Corp ., Devon Energy Last buy: Oct. 1, 2024 Initiation: April 14, 2022 Bottom Line Coterra Energy ended the year on a good note thanks to strong production on a lower-than-expected capital expenditure base. This is what we mean when we say Coterra is a disciplined, capital-efficient operator. It is able to get more out of the ground while keeping spending in check. There was some nitpicking around the company’s first-quarter outlook, which featured a lower-than-consensus production outlook and higher capital expenditures. However, the 2025 outlook was pretty much in line with what management provided in November when the company announced the acquisition of two assets in the Permian basin, a resource-rich area in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico. But there were two noteworthy updates to the full-year projections: (1) Coterra is lowering its planned Permian spending this year by $70 million, driven by cost and service deflation and acquisition synergies. (2) It’s taking part of those cost savings and raising its investment in the natural gas-rich Marcellus Shale by $50 million to increase drilling activity that will impact next winter’s volumes. The Marcellus encompasses parts of New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Maryland, Tennessee, Virginia and Kentucky. If macro conditions present an opportunity, management said it could increase Marcellus capital by an incremental $50 million in the second half of 2025 to deliver higher volumes by early 2026. This flexibility between basins and commodities is what has always attracted us to Coterra. If oil has a stronger outlook versus natural gas, Coterra can shift some of its investment activity toward more oily regions, like the Permian. If nat gas has the better fundamental outlook, it can flex some of that spending towards Marcellus to capitalize on the opportunity. “Although our 2025 plan includes significant oil investments, we also have flexibility if oil markets were to wobble. Rest assured, if we need to adjust our capital plan during the year, we will do so thoughtfully and explain it thoroughly. Flexibility is the coin of the realm,” CEO Tom Jorden said on Tuesday’s post-earnings conference call, which always held the morning after the results are released. Powering energy-intensive data centers that run artificial intelligence workloads is also an opportunity for Coterra as nat gas is the most immediate answer given many of the recent nuclear power deals with tech companies will take time to have an impact. Jorden, who will be on “Mad Money” on Tuesday evening said on the earnings call that the company is in discussions with “everything from good old fashioned combined cycle plants to, behind the meter type power solutions for data centers.” He added, “I think everyone’s still trying to figure out exactly what the end state looks like. But we have so many molecules and so many places that, we’re really well positioned to take advantage of some of this. And I’m hopeful we’ll have some good announcements coming before too long on this.” As for cash returns, Coterra paid out $218 million to shareholders in the quarter — split between $168 million in dividends and $50 million coming from share repurchases. The buyback was a step down from the $111 million spent in the third quarter but that was due to the company funding its Permian acquisitions and prioritizing debt repayment. Slower buybacks may continue this year despite $1.1 billion remaining on a $2 billion share repurchase program. As for the dividend, the company is hiking its quarterly payment by 5% to 22 cents per share, which brings the annual dividend yield on the stock up to around 3.2% based on a $27.25 stock price. That’s roughly where shares were trading Tuesday. We booked profits in Coterra in late January when the stock neared $30 per share. With the stock down about 5% since the trim, we are warming up to the idea of buying those shares back. However, we’re looking for a little bit more of a pullback to pull the trigger. So, while reiterating our 2 rating, we’re nudging up our price target to $30 per share from $28. CTRA 1Y mountain Coterra Energy 1 year 2025 guidance Following its announced Permian Basin acquisitions, Coterra provided pro forma 2025 capital expenditure, total production, and oil production outlook. The company tweaked the total production and oil production ranges but left them unchanged at the midpoint. The capital expenditure budget was also unchanged. Estimated discretionary cash flow of $5 billion based on recent strip prices. That’s higher than the consensus estimate of $4.64 billion. Estimated capital expenditure budget of $2.1 billion to $2.4 billion. The $2.25 billion midpoint is in line with the consensus of $2.23 billion. Free cash flow is estimated to be $2.7 billion based on recent strip prices. That’s higher than the consensus estimate of $2.375 billion. The company expects 2025 total equivalent production of 710 to 770 Mboe/d. The 740 midpoint of the range is slightly below the consensus forecast of 747 Mboe/d, which stands for total oil equivalent of a thousand barrels per day. Oil production is expected to be in the range of 152 to 168 Mbo/d and inline with consensus of estimate of 160 Mbo/d, which stands for a thousand of barrels of oil per day. Natural gas production is now expected to be in the range of 2,675 to 2,875 MMcf/d. The 2,775 midpoint is below the consensus of 2,808 MMcf/d, which stands for a million standard cubic feet per day. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CTRA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
In this photo illustration, a Coterra Energy Inc. logo is seen on a smartphone screen.
Coterra Energy shares dropped 3% on Tuesday despite the oil and natural gas producer delivering better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings late Monday. Capital efficiency was a highlight with output levels above management’s outlook range and capital expenditures near the low end of guidance.
Lennox Residential HVAC has launched an extreme cold climate heat pump that warms a house with low global warming potential (GWP) refrigerant in temperatures as low as -20F.
In 2022, Lennox was the first company to complete the first phase of the US Department of Energy’s (DOE) Residential Cold Climate Heat Pump (CCHP) Technology Challenge, and the SL22KLV is a souped up version of the unit developed for that challenge.
The heat pump, which pairs with a smart thermostat, uses a variable-speed compressor with Electronic Refrigerant Injection (ERI) to adjust the energy usage based on the outside temperature, which helps to lower energy costs. When the temperature drops, the ERI increases heating output efficiently.
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The SL22KLV has efficiency ratings of up to 21.10 for Seasonal Energy Efficiency Ratio 2 (SEER2), 13.2 for Energy Efficiency Ratio 2 (EER2), and 10.50 for Heating Seasonal Performance Factor 2 (HSPF2). It also features a precision-balanced, direct-drive fan and sound-dampening system for ultra-quiet operation as low as 58 decibels.
The heating capacity is between 21,600 Btuh and 60,000 Btuh, and the cooling capacity is between 22,000 Btuh and 56,000 Btuh.
Lennox’s new extreme cold heat pump uses the low global warming potential R-454B refrigerant, reducing environmental impact without compromising performance. It’s also eligible for the Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit, a federal IRA tax credit for homeowners (and it’s still in place). There may also be other local utility and state incentives for installing a heat pump, so it’s definitely worth checking. It’s now available for order through local Lennox dealers.
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EV startup Lucid Motors (LCID) released its fourth-quarter earnings on Tuesday, beating estimates with big expectations for 2025. Lucid said it expects to produce about 20,000 EVs this year with the output of its first electric SUV, the Gravity, ramping up.
Q4 2024 earnings preview
After four straight record quarters, Lucid delivered 10,241 vehicles last year. That’s up 70% from the roughly 6,000 EVs Lucid delivered in 2023.
In the final three months of 2024, the company delivered 3,099 vehicles alone, nearly 80% more than the year prior. Lucid also hit its production target for the year with 9,029 EVs built at its Casa Grande, Arizona manufacturing plant.
After launching its first electric SUV, the Gravity, in December, the EV maker expects output to pick up this year.
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The higher volume helped Lucid generate $200 million in revenue in the third quarter, but its net loss also widened to $992.5 million compared to $630.9 million in Q3 2023.
Like most, Lucid has introduced significant discounts and incentives with up to $15,000 in savings on select Air models.
Q4 2022
Q1 2023
Q2 2023
Q3 2023
Full-year 2023
Q4 2023
Q1 2024
Q2 2024
Q3 2024
Q4 2024
Full-year 2024
Lucid EV deliveries by quarter
1,932
1,406
1,404
1,457
6,001
1,734
1,967
2,394
2,781
3,099
10,241
Lucid (LCID) EV deliveries by quarter through 2023 to 2024
Wall St is estimating Lucid will post Q4 revenue of $214 million, up from $157.2 million in Q4 2023, with an eps loss of 0.25.
Lucid aims to double EV production in 2025
Lucid reported Q4 revenue of $234.5 million, up nearly 50% from the prior year and beating Wall St estimates. For the full year, the company generated $807.8 million, up from $595.2 million in 2023.
Lucid Q4 2024 revenue: $234.5 million vs $214 million expected
Lucid Q4 2024 EPS: (-$0.22) vs (-$0.25) expected
The company also improved gross margins by 72pts to (-89%). Despite the higher output, Lucid’s operating loss narrowed to $732.95 million in Q4, down from $736.87 million a year prior.
Lucid ended the quarter with about $6.13 billion in liquidity, which the EV maker said will be sufficient into the second half of 2026 when it plans to launch its midsize platform.
Lucid Q4 2024 earnings (Source: Lucid Motors)
CEO Peter Rawlinson said earlier this month that the midsize platform is “finally when we compete directly with Tesla.” The first two models are expected to be an electric SUV and sedan starting at around $50,000, aimed at Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y.
Interim CFO Gagan Dhingra said, “We made substantial progress in improving our gross margins, managing our operating expenses while balancing strategic growth investments, and strengthening our balance sheet with the support of the Public Investment Fund (PIF).”
(Source: Lucid Motors)
Lucid expects to produce around 20,000 vehicles in 2025, more than double the just over 9,000 EVs it built last year.
The company said it will “continue to prudently manage and adjust production to meet sales and delivery needs” this year.
Lucid Gravity electric SUV at a Tesla Supercharger (Source: Lucid Motors)
Lucid’s upbeat guidance comes after Rivian (RIVN) announced during its Q4 earnings last week that it expected slightly fewer deliveries this year. Rivian said the lower guidance was due to “external factors,” including changes in government policies and regulations.
The company also announced several management changes. COO Mark Winterhoff will serve as interim CEO, while Peter Rawlinson will become a Strategic Technical Advisor on the board. Meanwhile, Taoufiq Boussaid has been appointed CFO.
Lucid’s stock climbed over 8% after beating fourth quarter estimates and raising EV output guidance for 2025. Check back for updates from Lucid’s earnings call. We will post updates from the call below.
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Mercedes will use the designation “with EQ technology” rather than naming its EVs with separate “EQ” model names, to focus on treating them more like normal models – in what this author considers an overdue move.
For many years now, Mercedes has added “EQ” to the model name of its electric models, as in the Mercedes EQS, EQE and so on. It’s meant to stand for “electric intelligence,” a play on the concept of “IQ.”
Since then, Mercedes has carried it over into all of its electric models, treating “EQ” as a separate sub-brand or a model line on its own, to distinguish it from the company’s staid fossil-powered offerings.
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But that has led to some confusion among buyers. With models named EQA, EQB, EQC, EQE, EQE SUV, EQS, EQS SUV, EQV, and EQT, it starts to look like alphabet soup.
Mercedes noticed this confusion and commented on it back in 2023, when it first announced its plan to drop EQ branding from its model names.
Mercedes buyers are used to the convention of naming vehicles with lettering based on body style and numbers based on engine displacement. But for the EV line, all vehicles share the letters “EQ,” which could lead customers to think that there is some similarity between them, and engine displacement doesn’t really make any sense to apply to an EV. So there is room for confusion there.
Instead, Mercedes now says it will follow the convention it established with the release of the electric G-Class, which it officially calls “G580 with EQ technology.” That “with EQ technology” portion will stick and be carried through other Mercedes EVs, like the upcoming electric CLA. Plug-in hybrids will use “with EQ hybrid technology” as their designation.
Mercedes is treating this as somewhat of a compromise between dropping “EQ” entirely and still maintaining continuity with its past electric models. In this way, there is still a way to tell that a model is electric, but they will be treated more like “normal” models within the model range, instead of as a separate sub-brand.
Alongside these changes, Mercedes has also signaled a return to more “traditional” designs for its EVs, such as a fake grille for the 2025 EQS and perhaps less streamlined exterior shapes for upcoming EVs.
Electrek’s Take
It’s a bit of a mouthful, especially on the first available model with such naming, the G580 with EQ Technology – but we expect that people will start calling it “the electric G-Class” or “G-Class EQ” (perhaps a similar treatment to how people use AMG) or thereabouts, and that as other models gain the same designation, they will get the same colloquial treatment until it eventually feels normal. (Although, we still don’t know what the “580” means in that name).
And, I have long thought that automakers should do something like this, and treat electric models as normal models rather than some foreign thing.
We’ve seen a lot of odd naming conventions from automakers as they try to figure out what to call their EVs – like Audi, which originally introduced the E-tron as a singular concept model and later ended up using it as a designation for anything with an electric motor, or BMW, which started a separate “Projekt i” sub-brand in the early days (with actually interesting designs for once), then killed it off, then brought back the “i” to make more conventional-looking vehicles.
My theory is that by treating models as something foreign, something different, you create an internal conflict within the organization, confusion among customers, and all-in-all make the EVs seem less like a “normal” choice that a buyer could make. It almost feels like you’d have to go to a separate dealership, talk to a separate specialist, in order to find an EV. It adds another layer of friction which could push customers away.
But EVs don’t need to be different and weird, especially here in 2025 where just about everyone at this point has seen them, taken rides in them, has a friend who has one, or something of the sort. And if the entire auto industry is going to electrify – which, I think it bears repeating, is happening andis inevitable, no matter who tries to stop it – at some point we need to drop this idea that EVs are “something else” and recognize that they’re just cars.
So, why not call EVs something normal? Every gas car gets its own name – Tucson, Elantra, Camry, Palisade – so why can’t EVs just be normal too? Let’s get more Taycans, more Dolphins, more Leafs.
And, this is one step along the way towards that for Mercedes, and that’s a good thing. Other automakers should consider the same.
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