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I’ve been on quite a few trips now to the White House with successive prime ministers, but I can’t remember one that mattered as much as this. 

As Keir Starmer himself puts it, “everything has changed” and the prime minister finds himself negotiating with an old ally that is looking at the post-war world order afresh and doesn’t much like what it sees.

As Donald Trump appears to abandon the role the US took in the world during the Second World War and is now looking away from Europe and Ukraine, Starmer’s task is to try to win his attention, and support, once more.

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The prime minister’s two goals when he meets President Trump on Thursday are to help persuade him to put in place US security guarantees for Ukraine to deter Russian aggression post any peace deal, and dissuade President Trump from imposing tariffs on the UK.

That’s why, when it comes to UK security and economy – the two principal foundations of the Starmer administration – this meeting, this relationship, really matters.

It might be too much to say President Trump has the power to derail the Starmer project, but he does have in his gift the power to make Starmer’s twin task of guaranteeing British security and delivering economic growth far more challenging.

So the stakes are high for Britain and on the plane over to Washington that jeopardy was obvious to see.

When the prime minister came down to the back of the plane to answer questions from journalists travelling with him, he began the session with us by saying he had a lot of important things to discuss and was going to keep his answers short.

He then assiduously stuck to an agreed script, weighing each answer carefully as he swerved a number of questions on Ukraine and trade by saying he “wasn’t going to get ahead of discussions”, as he praised President Trump, referenced the special relationship as often as he could and insisted again the UK would not pick between the US and Europe.

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Can Starmer ‘win’ in Washington?

From the PM’s trip to Ukraine in January when he all but confirmed to Sky News that he was prepared to put British boots on the ground in a peacekeeping force, to his language around Europe stepping up at NATO in February, the European summit last week in Paris and then this week’s big commitment to accelerate the UK’s defence spending, the Number 10 team have been building up to this meeting, step by step.

But they are also all too aware that a positive outcome isn’t guaranteed when it comes to President Trump – and much will rest on what they find when Keir Starmer and Donald Trump meet in the room.

“We honestly don’t know what’s in his mind,” said one senior figure who has been war gaming the trip.

There were already bumps before the prime minister even landed. As Keir Starmer told reporters on the plane over that the security guarantees around any Ukraine peace deal “had to be sufficient to deter Putin from coming again” (and that requires a US military backstop in the minds of the Europeans), President Trump told reporters he was “not going to make security guarantees beyond very much”. “We’re gonna have Europe do that…Europe is their next door neighbour.”

Those remarks are perhaps not the ones the Number 10 team were hoping to hear, but they have a rule now to focus not on what Trump says, but what he actually does.

Much of what happens in the next 24 hours will be beyond the control of Sir Keir Starmer, but he has at least prepared the ground as best he can with a president who hates criticism, loves flattery and is very transactional.

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Starmer goes to Washington full of praise of President Trump – a leader he said on the plane over that he trusts – and a concrete pledge to put British troops into a peacekeeping force and lift UK defence spending, a key Trump ask of all NATO allies.

He has done the groundwork, now it comes down to the art of the deal.

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China Merchants Bank tokenizes $3.8B fund on BNB Chain in Hong Kong

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China Merchants Bank tokenizes .8B fund on BNB Chain in Hong Kong

China Merchants Bank tokenizes .8B fund on BNB Chain in Hong Kong

CMBI’s tokenization initiative with BNB Chain builds on its previous work with Singapore-based DigiFT, which tokenized its fund on Solana in August.

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Chancellor admits tax rises and spending cuts considered for budget

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Chancellor admits tax rises and spending cuts considered for budget

Rachel Reeves has told Sky News she is looking at both tax rises and spending cuts in the budget, in her first interview since being briefed on the scale of the fiscal black hole she faces.

“Of course, we’re looking at tax and spending as well,” the chancellor said when asked how she would deal with the country’s economic challenges in her 26 November statement.

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Ms Reeves was shown the first draft of the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) report, revealing the size of the black hole she must fill next month, on Friday 3 October.

She has never previously publicly confirmed tax rises are on the cards in the budget, going out of her way to avoid mentioning tax in interviews two weeks ago.

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Chancellor pledges not to raise VAT

Cabinet ministers had previously indicated they did not expect future spending cuts would be used to ensure the chancellor met her fiscal rules.

Ms Reeves also responded to questions about whether the economy was in a “doom loop” of annual tax rises to fill annual black holes. She appeared to concede she is trapped in such a loop.

Asked if she could promise she won’t allow the economy to get stuck in a doom loop cycle, Ms Reeves replied: “Nobody wants that cycle to end more than I do.”

She said that is why she is trying to grow the economy, and only when pushed a third time did she suggest she “would not use those (doom loop) words” because the UK had the strongest growing economy in the G7 in the first half of this year.

What’s facing Reeves?

Ms Reeves is expected to have to find up to £30bn at the budget to balance the books, after a U-turn on winter fuel and welfare reforms and a big productivity downgrade by the OBR, which means Britain is expected to earn less in future than previously predicted.

Yesterday, the IMF upgraded UK growth projections by 0.1 percentage points to 1.3% of GDP this year – but also trimmed its forecast by 0.1% next year, also putting it at 1.3%.

The UK growth prospects are 0.4 percentage points worse off than the IMF’s projects last autumn. The 1.3% GDP growth would be the second-fastest in the G7, behind the US.

Last night, the chancellor arrived in Washington for the annual IMF and World Bank conference.

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‘I won’t duck challenges’

In her Sky News interview, Ms Reeves said multiple challenges meant there was a fresh need to balance the books.

“I was really clear during the general election campaign – and we discussed this many times – that I would always make sure the numbers add up,” she said.

“Challenges are being thrown our way – whether that is the geopolitical uncertainties, the conflicts around the world, the increased tariffs and barriers to trade. And now this (OBR) review is looking at how productive our economy has been in the past and then projecting that forward.”

She was clear that relaxing the fiscal rules (the main one being that from 2029-30, the government’s day-to-day spending needs to rely on taxation alone, not borrowing) was not an option, making tax rises all but inevitable.

“I won’t duck those challenges,” she said.

“Of course, we’re looking at tax and spending as well, but the numbers will always add up with me as chancellor because we saw just three years ago what happens when a government, where the Conservatives, lost control of the public finances: inflation and interest rates went through the roof.”

Pic: PA
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Pic: PA

Blame it on the B word?

Ms Reeves also lay responsibility for the scale of the black hole she’s facing at Brexit, along with austerity and the mini-budget.

This could risk a confrontation with the party’s own voters – one in five (19%) Leave voters backed Labour at the last election, playing a big role in assuring the party’s landslide victory.

The chancellor said: “Austerity, Brexit, and the ongoing impact of Liz Truss’s mini-budget, all of those things have weighed heavily on the UK economy.

“Already, people thought that the UK economy would be 4% smaller because of Brexit.

“Now, of course, we are undoing some of that damage by the deal that we did with the EU earlier this year on food and farming, goods moving between us and the continent, on energy and electricity trading, on an ambitious youth mobility scheme, but there is no doubting that the impact of Brexit is severe and long-lasting.”

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Crypto maturity demands systematic discipline over speculation

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Crypto maturity demands systematic discipline over speculation

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Unlimited leverage and sentiment-driven valuations create cascading liquidations that wipe billions overnight. Crypto’s maturity demands systematic discipline.

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