UK and global economic growth forecasts cut – as Trump tariffs blamed
Global economic growth has been downgraded by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) – as the impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs becomes apparent.
Major economies including the UK will have lower rates of GDP – a measure of an economy’s value and everything produced – due to the US’s imposition of taxes on some goods it imports, the Paris-based OECD club of 38 rich countries said.
The UK economy will grow only 1.4% this year, as opposed to the 1.7% previously anticipated.
Next year, the figure will be 1.2%, lower than the 1.3% forecast before Mr Trump took office in January, according to the OECD interim economic outlook.
Money blog: West End performer on what it’s really like
It’s more unwelcome news for Chancellor Rachel Reeves after January GDP unexpectedly shrank. The government has repeatedly said growing the economy is its number one priority.
In response to the OECD figures, Ms Reeves pointed out the UK is forecast to be “Europe’s fastest growing G7 economy over the coming years – second only to the US”.
“This report shows the world is changing, and increased global headwinds such as trade uncertainty are being felt across the board,” said the chancellor.
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Reeves reacts to growth figures
Global GDP will slow, the OECD said, from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.1% in 2025 and 3% in 2026 due to the higher trade barriers caused by the tariffs and the policy uncertainty around their implementation.
US growth has been revised downward to 2.2% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. Higher GDP of 2.4% and 3.1% had been expected for this year and next.
While the Eurozone has not escaped the downgrades it is less impacted than first thought, the report said.
“European economies will experience fewer direct economic effects from the tariff measures incorporated in the baseline projections, but heightened geopolitical and policy uncertainty is still likely to restrain growth,” it said.
What’s happening with tariffs?
After some false starts, where levies were announced and paused last minute or not brought into effect at all, tariffs are now in effect on some goods coming from China.
A 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports to the US came into effect earlier this month.
Tariffs on Canada and Mexico were suspended until 2 April.
The full effect of tariffs has also yet to be felt as EU retaliatory taxes on US goods are yet to take effect.
In response, Mr Trump said he would impose a 200% tariff on EU alcohol – including wine and champagne.
Read more:
What are Donald Trump’s tariffs – and how will they affect the UK?
Consumers to be hit
It’s consumers who will pay the price for the additional taxes, the OECD said.
“Consumers face much of the burden of higher tariffs,” it said, as it warned of a “significant” impact on living standards.
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‘A starting salary? There’s no such thing’: What it’s really like being a West End performer
Each Monday, our Money team speaks to someone from a different profession to discover what it’s really like. This week, we chat to Aaron Archer from Joseph And The Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat and Mamma Mia! about life as a West End performer…
There’s no such thing as a starting salary in the performing arts… A job may be an equity contract with a union that sets out minimum salaries depending on the size of the theatre or the amount of work and many other varying factors. Or it could be a privately/commercially financed job, meaning the salary can vary hugely. All equity minimum figures can be found online but it can range between £600-900 roughly a week for an ensemble member in a West End show. Again, this figure can vary below or above this. The principals will earn a higher salary as well as people who cover other roles or have extra responsibilities such as being the dance captain.
You don’t necessarily have a stable income to rely on… Contracts can differ in length from just a few days to a year or more.
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Many performers have another job on the side… to supplement their income, as sometimes you can’t solely rely on the earnings from performing.
People might look down at a cruise ship contract… but these performers are extremely talented and earning money doing the job they love just the same as somebody in a show in the West End, with the cruise ship job paying more than a West End contract sometimes.
A usual week consists of eight shows… but over busy periods extra shows can be added. With most shows being around two and half hours, as well as any additional rehearsals, we are working between 35-40 hours a week with one day off.
It’s very hard to plan ahead... You never know what you’re going to be doing or where you are going to be from one year to the next. I went from working on a cruise as a dancer travelling the world, to then the next year making my West End debut in Mamma Mia.
Theatres on London’s West End
The most important skill to do this job well is… to just be a nice person. Obviously your talent and hard work and dedication will be a huge factor in getting jobs but if you are a nice, friendly person then that will make you 10x more employable.
My favourite part of my job is… knowing that six-year-old me would have never imagined I’d be doing this as my career and getting to meet so many amazing people.
You meet amazing people at the stage door… who want to meet the cast members and sometimes get a picture or signature after the show. But stage door isn’t compulsory and sometimes you do just want to get home to rest and you can be made to feel guilty if people are unhappy that they didn’t get the chance to see you afterwards.
Read more from this series:
What it’s really like to be a… bodyguard
What it’s really like to be a… zookeeper
What it’s really like to be a… driving instructor
My mind has gone blank for split seconds… and there have been multiple occasions where in a scene carrying bagpipes the pipes have fallen off or broken on stage. I’ve just had to carry on while holding a snapped pipe in my hand, somehow managing to keep a straight face.
Rejection is a regular thing to deal with… It’s normal to get emotionally attached to opportunities that you have put so much time and effort into, after rounds and rounds of auditions for a job and waiting weeks to hear if you’ve booked the job or not. It is emotionally draining.
For one role I had to fake tan twice a week… and another I had to wear a wetsuit and flippers on stage while dancing.
Dealing with burnout from a very physically and mentally demanding schedule… can make it harder to have other commitments outside of work and seeing friends and family.
Theatre is good value for money when you look at… how much work goes into what the audience members are seeing on the stage. The sheer volume of people that it takes to put on a show, from the production team to the backstage team, cast, creatives, wardrobe, wigs, makeup, sound, theatre front of house staff and many other teams of people that make it possible. I do think that some ticket prices for some shows have become not as easily accessible, but apps like TodayTiks are great for finding affordable tickets for various shows.
A delivery driver who needed skin grafts after being burned when a hot tea from Starbucks spilled into his lap has been awarded $50m (£38.6m) in damages.
Michael Garcia suffered third-degree burns to his genitals, groin and inner thighs and has permanent and life-changing disfigurement after collecting the drink at a California drive-through, according to his legal team.
His negligence lawsuit blamed the injuries on Starbucks, claiming an employee did not wedge the scalding-hot tea firmly enough into a takeaway tray.
Video footage shows Mr Garcia being handed a tray of three drinks at the serving window in Los Angeles and appearing to struggle as he drives his vehicle away.
Incident happened at a Starbucks drive-through in California. Pic: Trial Lawyers for Justice
A Los Angeles County jury found in favour of Mr Garcia after he launched legal action over the incident on 8 February 2020.
He was working as a Postmates delivery driver at the time, according to Sky’s US partner network NBC News.
His lawyer Nick Rowley said his client’s “life has been forever changed”.
“This jury verdict is a critical step in holding Starbucks accountable for flagrant disregard for customer safety and failure to accept responsibility,” he added.
Starbucks said it sympathised with Mr Garcia, but plans to lodge an appeal.
In a statement, the global coffeehouse chain said: “We disagree with the jury’s decision that we were at fault for this incident and believe the damages awarded to be excessive.”
The firm added it was “committed to the highest safety standards” in handling hot drinks.
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US restaurants have faced lawsuits before over customer burns.
In one famous 1990s case, a New Mexico jury awarded a woman nearly $3m (£2.3m) in damages for burns she suffered while trying to pry the lid off a cup of coffee at a McDonald’s drive-through.
A judge later reduced the award and the case was settled for an undisclosed sum under $600,000 (£463,600).
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