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The welfare state will be there for those who need it “now and for years to come”, the work and pensions secretary has said – as the government faces pressure from its own MPs over benefit changes.

Liz Kendall acknowledged there has been “lots of speculation” about the government’s plans to reform welfare, which are due to be announced on Tuesday following a delay because of concerns from Labour backbenchers.

Politics latest: Welfare reforms ‘imminent’

Speaking in the House of Commons, Ms Kendall said she wanted to assure the public the announcements will “ensure there is trust and fairness in the social security system” – and that it will remain in place for those who need it.

Earlier on Monday, Sky News revealed the government has chosen not to freeze the personal independence payment (PIP) next year following pressure from Labour MPs over the past week.

Ministers had wanted to stop PIP (a payment of up to £9,000 a year for people with long-term physical and mental health conditions, and disabilities) rising with inflation as part of a drive to cut the welfare budget.

The proposal had been set to save about £5bn, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves searches for savings.

She has lost £9.9bn of fiscal headroom (the amount she could increase spending or cut taxes without breaking her fiscal rules) since the October budget due to a poor economy and geopolitical events.

Read more:
Which benefits could be cut?

Why Labour MPs are so uncomfortable

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Will there be a backlash over benefits?

What’s the government’s case?

The government is expected to make qualifying for PIP more difficult when Ms Kendall reveals her plans on Tuesday.

Sky News’ deputy political editor Sam Coates, on the Politics At Sam And Anne’s podcast, said the Treasury is also expected to abolish the Work Capability Assessment, which determines whether someone is fit or not to work and to then receive disability payments.

The government has described the system as “dysfunctional”, as those “not fit for work” do not receive employment support or further engagement after the assessment, which could lock them out of future work altogether.

Sir Keir Starmer has made cutting the welfare budget a key project, as spending on sickness benefits soared to £65bn last year – a 25% increase since the year before the pandemic – and is expected to rise to £100bn before the next general election in 2029.

The number of people in England and Wales claiming either sickness or disability benefit has gone from 2.8 million to about four million since 2019.

Ms Kendall also revealed in the Commons the number of young people not working because of mental health conditions has risen by more than 25% in the last year, with the number considered “economically inactive” now reaching 270,000.

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‘1,000 people every day signing on to PIP benefits’

Unhappy Labour MPs

Ms Kendall had been expected to announce welfare cut plans last week.

But due to the scale of the backlash, the government took the unusual step of asking all 404 Labour MPs to attend “welfare roundtables” in Downing Street last week.

Sky News’ political correspondent Amanda Akass said Ms Kendall’s Commons appearance offered no real answers to the “serious concerns” raised by MPs, though social security minister Stephen Timms insisted they would “welcome” many of the changes when they are announced.

Treasury minister Emma Reynolds earlier played down the level of discontent over plans to freeze PIP, telling Sky News the roundtables were nothing more than “everyday business”.

She pointed out Labour created the welfare state in 1945, but said it needs to be “more sustainable”.

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Political Traitors: Who can you trust?

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Political Traitors: Who can you trust?

👉Listen to Politics at Sam and Anne’s on your podcast app👈

Sam reveals there might be some Traitors-style plotting going on behind the scenes in government – but from who? And how might Sir Keir Starmer see off this challenge?

Budget speculation continues, and specifically – who is and is not a “working person”? And, should it occur, what would the consequences be of breaking a manifesto commitment? How perilous a moment for Starmer could this be?

And after the BBC’s director general and CEO of news resign, what does Starmer now say about the organisation? And who will come next in the top BBC job?

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Stablecoin demand is growing, and it can push down interest rates: Fed’s Miran

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Stablecoin demand is growing, and it can push down interest rates: Fed’s Miran

A growing demand for US dollar-tied crypto stablecoins could help push down the interest rate, says US Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran.

The Donald Trump-appointed Miran told the BCVC summit in New York on Friday that the dollar-pegged crypto tokens could be “putting downward pressure” on the neutral rate, or r-star, that doesn’t stimulate or impede the economy.

If the neutral rate drops, then the central bank would also react by dropping its interest rate, he said.

The total current market cap of all stablecoins sits at $310.7 million according to CoinGecko data, and Miran suggested that Fed research found the market could grow to up to $3 trillion in value in the next five years.

Stephen Miran speaking at a conference in New York on Friday. Source: BCVC

“My thesis is that stablecoins are already increasing demand for US Treasury bills and other dollar-denominated liquid assets by purchasers outside the United States and that this demand will continue growing,” Miran said.

“Stablecoins may become a multitrillion-dollar elephant in the room for central bankers.”