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“Almost every” council the Conservatives won in 2021 could be lost in this year’s local elections, Tory leader Kemi Badenoch has conceded.

Speaking at the launch of her party’s campaign, Ms Badenoch said the votes four years ago followed the COVID vaccine rollout – helping her party to 14 council gains and holding another 49.

Politics live: Badenoch has a dig at Farage

On 1 May, across England, more than 1,600 council seats will be up for re-election, alongside six mayors.

The Tories face being squeezed by Reform on their right, as well as a blend of Liberal Democrats and independents.

Ms Badenoch warned party members: “It will be the first time since the general election, the greatest defeat in all parties’ history, that we fight these seats.”

Map the 2024 election results on to the upcoming council ones, and the Tory leader admitted “we lose almost every single one”.

Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch speaking at their local election campaign launch at The Curzon Centre in Beaconsfield, Buckinghamshire. Picture date: Thursday March 20, 2025.
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Kemi Badenoch is not optimistic about her party’s chances. Pic: PA

‘People have lost trust in politics’

Labour are also likely to perform poorly, as local election results tend to reflect public opinion towards the national governing party.

Measures like inheritance tax on farms, benefit cuts, planning reform, reducing winter fuel payments and others could weigh heavily on Sir Keir Starmer’s chances.

It was put to Ms Badenoch that lots of these protest votes look set to go to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK.

Asked about the differences between the Tories and Reform by Sky News deputy political editor Sam Coates, Ms Badenoch said: “Loads of other parties just tell people what they think they want to hear.

“We think through and make sure that we are providing a credible plan that can be delivered.

“A lot of people have lost trust in politics because politicians make promises and do deliver.”

Read more:
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Badenoch asked if she’s different to Reform

‘This is not a protest vote’

But the Tory leader acknowledged the party faces “a challenge on the right”, which she said was partly down to its record in government in recent years.

“The protest votes are going to Reform,” she said.

“But at the end of the day, this is not a protest vote – these are local elections.”

The Tory leader instead urged people to vote for who will sort out bin collections, fix potholes and run local services well – which she said would be the Conservatives.

She unveiled the slogan for her party’s campaign as “lower taxes, better services”.

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Mr Farage described that as “comical”, saying the Tories’ track record was of “higher taxes and crumbling services”.

The Reform leader is eyeing big gains in May, and said: “After decades of mismanagement, Conservative councils across the country are buckling under the pressure.”

Lib Dem deputy leader Daisy Cooper said Ms Badenoch’s speech was a “desperate attempt to shore up the crumbling Conservative vote as people in the home counties turn to the Liberal Democrats”.

She said her party is focusing on the cost of living, river sewage, and the NHS and social care.

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One year since Durov’s arrest: What’s happened and what’s ahead?

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One year since Durov’s arrest: What’s happened and what’s ahead?

One year since Durov’s arrest: What’s happened and what’s ahead?

Telegram CEO Pavel Durov was arrested one year ago and has since then been required to stay in France while under investigation.

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The future of crypto in the Asia-Middle East corridor lies in permissioned scale

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The future of crypto in the Asia-Middle East corridor lies in permissioned scale

The future of crypto in the Asia-Middle East corridor lies in permissioned scale

As Asia and the Middle East lead crypto adoption, success no longer comes from avoiding regulation, but mastering compliance to unlock true scale.

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Laws to largely abolish use of short prison sentences to be introduced within weeks

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Laws to largely abolish use of short prison sentences to be introduced within weeks

New laws to reduce the use of short prison sentences and toughen up community punishments are expected to be introduced within weeks.

Ministers are expected to introduce the new legislation to the Commons after the summer recess.

The changes will abolish most short-term prison sentences and introduce an earned release scheme, based on a model used in Texas, where prisoners who demonstrate good behaviour can be freed earlier – while those who disobey prison rules are detained for longer.

This will include some prisoners jailed for violent offences, although those convicted of the most dangerous crimes and for terrorism will be excluded.

Shabana Mahmood (left) was said to be impressed by the system in place in Texan prisons. Pic: PA
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Shabana Mahmood (left) was said to be impressed by the system in place in Texan prisons. Pic: PA

The new bill will introduce many of the changes recommended by the independent sentencing review, carried out by former Conservative justice minister David Gauke earlier this year. It represents one of the largest overhauls of sentencing in a generation and marks a cornerstone of the government’s effort to reduce the size of the prison population in England and Wales.

As well as reducing the use of short custodial sentences, the changes will also toughen up community sentences, introducing a wider range of punishments for those serving time outside of prison. This could include bans on going to stadiums to watch sports or music events, as well as restrictions on visiting pubs, and the wider use of drug testing.

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Becky Johnson speaks with Daniel, a former convict, who was released early after prisons reached capacity.

Other punishments could include driving and travel bans, as well as restriction zones – confining them to certain areas. Some of these can already be imposed for certain crimes, but the new laws will mean that these could be handed down by a judge for any offence.

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Under the legislation, which it is understood will be introduced in September, prison sentences of 12 months or less will be scrapped, except for in exceptional circumstances such as domestic abuse cases. Meanwhile, the length of suspended sentences – where an offender is not sent to prison immediately unless they commit a further crime – will be extended from two years to three.

The justice secretary is believed to have been inspired by the earned release scheme during a visit to the States, where she learned about the model being used in Texas to cut crime and bring their prison population under control.

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England is on course to run out of prison places for adult men by November, the Justice Secretary has warned.

Shabana Mahmood said that criminals who break the rules “must be punished” and that those serving their sentences in the community “must have their freedom restricted there, too”.

She added: “Rightly, the public expect the government to do everything in its power to keep Britain safe, and that’s what we’re doing.”

A spokesperson for the Ministry of Justice added: “This government inherited a prison system days away from collapse.

“That is why we are building 14,000 more prison places, with 2,500 already delivered, but we know we can’t build our way out of this crisis.

“Without further action, we will run out of prison places in months, courts would halt trials and the police [would] cancel arrests. That is why we are overhauling sentencing to make sure we always have the prison places needed to keep the country safe.”

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