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The chancellor says she “rejects” new analysis that suggests the average family could be £1,400 a year worse off by the end of the decade.

Rachel Reeves told Sky’s Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips programme that living standards will “increase during the course of this parliament”.

She insisted there has already been a “sustained increase” since Labour came to power last year.

The analysis, by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF), says frozen tax thresholds, rising mortgage and rent costs, and falling real earnings are all predicted to take their toll on living standards in Britain.

For the poorest third, living standards are forecast to drop twice as much compared with middle and high earners.

The charity believes the government will miss one of its stated “milestones” – to raise living standards across the UK before the next election.

It says the £1,400 drop by April 2030 means a 3% fall in disposable income for the average family, while the lowest income households will be £900 per year worse off – a 6% fall.

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Rachel Reeves admits tax rises ‘impact’ the economy

The situation could be even bleaker for some, as the analysis doesn’t account for the recently announced £5bn in cuts to disability benefits.

Average earnings are also set to fall by £700 per year by 2030, according to the JRF.

The charity – which conducts research into reducing poverty – says it came up with its prediction by modelling forecasts from the Bank of England and others.

Chancellor ‘confident we will see living standards increase’

Asked by Trevor Phillips for her response to the findings, the chancellor said she “rejects” them.

Ms Reeves argued living standards in the last parliament “were the worst ever on record”, and said the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said in October they are expected to increase, while wages are currently rising at twice the rate of inflation.

“I’m confident that we will see living standards increase during the course of this parliament,” the chancellor insisted, adding there has been a “sustained increase” since Labour was elected.

“We’ve got to do more, absolutely, in terms of raising living standards. But this government has already got started in delivering our plan for change.”

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What to expect from the spring statement

But the JRF says the government welfare cuts are “wrong” and counterproductive and wants the plan scrapped.

It also urges a new “minimum floor” for Universal Credit to help address hardship, and believes the government should instead raise cash by increasing tax on wealth and investments.

The analysis comes three days before the chancellor’s spring statement in which more cuts are set to be announced in a bid to improve the country’s finances.

Some £2bn in cuts to the civil service are expected – but Ms Reeves says they will not affect front line services.

She has also confirmed to The Sun On Sunday that she won’t be announcing any new tax rises.

Read more from Sky News:
All the planned reforms to UK welfare system
Celebrities urge government to reverse ‘shameful’ cuts

Her speech will be in response to the OBR, which on the same day will publish its own forecasts on the economy, the cost of living and government finances.

Growth is Labour’s top priority, but the Bank of England recently halved its growth outlook for the UK economy this year to 0.75%.

There are also worries next month’s hike to employer national insurance and the minimum wage will create further drag on investment.

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Connecticut can’t take action against Kalshi for now, judge rules

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Connecticut can’t take action against Kalshi for now, judge rules

A US judge has granted prediction markets platform Kalshi a temporary reprieve from enforcement after the state of Connecticut sent it a cease and desist order last week for allegedly conducting unlicensed gambling.

The Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) sent Kalshi, along with Robinhood and Crypto.com, cease and desist orders on Dec. 2, accusing them of “conducting unlicensed online gambling, more specifically sports wagering, in Connecticut through its online sports event contracts.”

Kalshi sued the DCP a day later, arguing its event contracts “are lawful under federal law” and its platform was subject to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s “exclusive jurisdiction,” and filed a motion on Friday to temporarily stop the DCP’s action.

An excerpt from Kalshi’s preliminary injunction motion arguing that the DCP’s action violates federal commodities laws. Source: CourtListener

Connecticut federal court judge Vernon Oliver said in an order on Monday that the DCP must “refrain from taking enforcement action against Kalshi” as the court considers the company’s bid to temporarily stop the regulator.

The order adds that the DCP should file a response to the company by Jan. 9 and Kalshi should file further support for its motion by Jan. 30, with oral arguments for the case to be held in mid-February.

Kalshi does battle with multiple US states

Kalshi is a federally regulated designated contract maker under the CFTC and, in January, began offering contracts nationally that allow bets on the outcome of events such as sports and politics.

Related: How prediction markets raise insider trading and credit risks

Its platform has become hugely popular this year and saw a record $4.54 billion monthly trading volume in November, attracting billions in investments, with Kalshi closing a $1 billion funding round earlier this month at a valuation of $11 billion.

However, multiple US state regulators have taken issue with Kalshi’s offerings, which have led to the company being embroiled in lawsuits over whether it is subject to state-level gambling laws.