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The chancellor says she “rejects” new analysis that suggests the average family could be £1,400 a year worse off by the end of the decade.

Rachel Reeves told Sky’s Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips programme that living standards will “increase during the course of this parliament”.

She insisted there has already been a “sustained increase” since Labour came to power last year.

The analysis, by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF), says frozen tax thresholds, rising mortgage and rent costs, and falling real earnings are all predicted to take their toll on living standards in Britain.

For the poorest third, living standards are forecast to drop twice as much compared with middle and high earners.

The charity believes the government will miss one of its stated “milestones” – to raise living standards across the UK before the next election.

It says the £1,400 drop by April 2030 means a 3% fall in disposable income for the average family, while the lowest income households will be £900 per year worse off – a 6% fall.

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Rachel Reeves admits tax rises ‘impact’ the economy

The situation could be even bleaker for some, as the analysis doesn’t account for the recently announced £5bn in cuts to disability benefits.

Average earnings are also set to fall by £700 per year by 2030, according to the JRF.

The charity – which conducts research into reducing poverty – says it came up with its prediction by modelling forecasts from the Bank of England and others.

Chancellor ‘confident we will see living standards increase’

Asked by Trevor Phillips for her response to the findings, the chancellor said she “rejects” them.

Ms Reeves argued living standards in the last parliament “were the worst ever on record”, and said the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said in October they are expected to increase, while wages are currently rising at twice the rate of inflation.

“I’m confident that we will see living standards increase during the course of this parliament,” the chancellor insisted, adding there has been a “sustained increase” since Labour was elected.

“We’ve got to do more, absolutely, in terms of raising living standards. But this government has already got started in delivering our plan for change.”

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What to expect from the spring statement

But the JRF says the government welfare cuts are “wrong” and counterproductive and wants the plan scrapped.

It also urges a new “minimum floor” for Universal Credit to help address hardship, and believes the government should instead raise cash by increasing tax on wealth and investments.

The analysis comes three days before the chancellor’s spring statement in which more cuts are set to be announced in a bid to improve the country’s finances.

Some £2bn in cuts to the civil service are expected – but Ms Reeves says they will not affect front line services.

She has also confirmed to The Sun On Sunday that she won’t be announcing any new tax rises.

Read more from Sky News:
All the planned reforms to UK welfare system
Celebrities urge government to reverse ‘shameful’ cuts

Her speech will be in response to the OBR, which on the same day will publish its own forecasts on the economy, the cost of living and government finances.

Growth is Labour’s top priority, but the Bank of England recently halved its growth outlook for the UK economy this year to 0.75%.

There are also worries next month’s hike to employer national insurance and the minimum wage will create further drag on investment.

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Crypto’s path to legitimacy runs through the CARF regulation

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Crypto’s path to legitimacy runs through the CARF regulation

Crypto’s path to legitimacy runs through the CARF regulation

The CARF regulation, which brings crypto under global tax reporting standards akin to traditional finance, marks a crucial turning point.

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Tokenized equity still in regulatory grey zone — Attorneys

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Tokenized equity still in regulatory grey zone — Attorneys

Tokenized equity still in regulatory grey zone — Attorneys

The nascent real-world tokenized assets track prices but do not provide investors the same legal rights as holding the underlying instruments.

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Rachel Reeves hints at tax rises in autumn budget after welfare bill U-turn

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Rachel Reeves hints at tax rises in autumn budget after welfare bill U-turn

Rachel Reeves has hinted that taxes are likely to be raised this autumn after a major U-turn on the government’s controversial welfare bill.

Sir Keir Starmer’s Universal Credit and Personal Independent Payment Bill passed through the House of Commons on Tuesday after multiple concessions and threats of a major rebellion.

MPs ended up voting for only one part of the plan: a cut to universal credit (UC) sickness benefits for new claimants from £97 a week to £50 from 2026/7.

Initially aimed at saving £5.5bn, it now leaves the government with an estimated £5.5bn black hole – close to breaching Ms Reeves’s fiscal rules set out last year.

Read more:
Yet another fiscal ‘black hole’? Here’s why this one matters

Success or failure: One year of Keir in nine charts

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Rachel Reeves’s fiscal dilemma

In an interview with The Guardian, the chancellor did not rule out tax rises later in the year, saying there were “costs” to watering down the welfare bill.

“I’m not going to [rule out tax rises], because it would be irresponsible for a chancellor to do that,” Ms Reeves told the outlet.

More on Rachel Reeves

“We took the decisions last year to draw a line under unfunded commitments and economic mismanagement.

“So we’ll never have to do something like that again. But there are costs to what happened.”

Meanwhile, The Times reported that, ahead of the Commons vote on the welfare bill, Ms Reeves told cabinet ministers the decision to offer concessions would mean taxes would have to be raised.

The outlet reported that the chancellor said the tax rises would be smaller than those announced in the 2024 budget, but that she is expected to have to raise tens of billions more.

It comes after Ms Reeves said she was “totally” up to continuing as chancellor after appearing tearful at Prime Minister’s Questions.

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Why was the chancellor crying at PMQs?

Criticising Sir Keir for the U-turns on benefit reform during PMQs, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the chancellor looked “absolutely miserable”, and questioned whether she would remain in post until the next election.

Sir Keir did not explicitly say that she would, and Ms Badenoch interjected to say: “How awful for the chancellor that he couldn’t confirm that she would stay in place.”

In her first comments after the incident, Ms Reeves said she was having a “tough day” before adding: “People saw I was upset, but that was yesterday.

“Today’s a new day and I’m just cracking on with the job.”

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Reeves is ‘totally’ up for the job

Sir Keir also told Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby on Thursday that he “didn’t appreciate” that Ms Reeves was crying in the Commons.

“In PMQs, it is bang, bang, bang,” he said. “That’s what it was yesterday.

“And therefore, I was probably the last to appreciate anything else going on in the chamber, and that’s just a straightforward human explanation, common sense explanation.”

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