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The chancellor says she “rejects” new analysis that suggests the average family could be £1,400 a year worse off by the end of the decade.

Rachel Reeves told Sky’s Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips programme that living standards will “increase during the course of this parliament”.

She insisted there has already been a “sustained increase” since Labour came to power last year.

The analysis, by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF), says frozen tax thresholds, rising mortgage and rent costs, and falling real earnings are all predicted to take their toll on living standards in Britain.

For the poorest third, living standards are forecast to drop twice as much compared with middle and high earners.

The charity believes the government will miss one of its stated “milestones” – to raise living standards across the UK before the next election.

It says the £1,400 drop by April 2030 means a 3% fall in disposable income for the average family, while the lowest income households will be £900 per year worse off – a 6% fall.

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Rachel Reeves admits tax rises ‘impact’ the economy

The situation could be even bleaker for some, as the analysis doesn’t account for the recently announced £5bn in cuts to disability benefits.

Average earnings are also set to fall by £700 per year by 2030, according to the JRF.

The charity – which conducts research into reducing poverty – says it came up with its prediction by modelling forecasts from the Bank of England and others.

Chancellor ‘confident we will see living standards increase’

Asked by Trevor Phillips for her response to the findings, the chancellor said she “rejects” them.

Ms Reeves argued living standards in the last parliament “were the worst ever on record”, and said the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said in October they are expected to increase, while wages are currently rising at twice the rate of inflation.

“I’m confident that we will see living standards increase during the course of this parliament,” the chancellor insisted, adding there has been a “sustained increase” since Labour was elected.

“We’ve got to do more, absolutely, in terms of raising living standards. But this government has already got started in delivering our plan for change.”

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What to expect from the spring statement

But the JRF says the government welfare cuts are “wrong” and counterproductive and wants the plan scrapped.

It also urges a new “minimum floor” for Universal Credit to help address hardship, and believes the government should instead raise cash by increasing tax on wealth and investments.

The analysis comes three days before the chancellor’s spring statement in which more cuts are set to be announced in a bid to improve the country’s finances.

Some £2bn in cuts to the civil service are expected – but Ms Reeves says they will not affect front line services.

She has also confirmed to The Sun On Sunday that she won’t be announcing any new tax rises.

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All the planned reforms to UK welfare system
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Her speech will be in response to the OBR, which on the same day will publish its own forecasts on the economy, the cost of living and government finances.

Growth is Labour’s top priority, but the Bank of England recently halved its growth outlook for the UK economy this year to 0.75%.

There are also worries next month’s hike to employer national insurance and the minimum wage will create further drag on investment.

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Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ may be the next Fed chair pick: Novogratz

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Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ may be the next Fed chair pick: Novogratz

Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ may be the next Fed chair pick: Novogratz

Mike Novogratz said “of course” Bitcoin could reach $200,000 if the Federal Reserve adopts a highly dovish stance following a leadership change.

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Sir Keir Starmer says next election will be ‘open fight’ between Labour and Reform

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Sir Keir Starmer says next election will be 'open fight' between Labour and Reform

Sir Keir Starmer has said the next election will be an “open fight” between Labour and Reform UK.

The prime minister, speaking at a conference alongside the leaders of Canada, Australia and Iceland, said the UK is “at a crossroads”.

“There’s a battle for the soul of this country, now, as to what sort of country do we want to be?” he said.

“Because that toxic divide, that decline with Reform, it’s built on a sense of grievance.”

It is the first time Sir Keir has explicitly said the next election would be a straight fight between his party and Reform – and comes the day before the Labour conference begins.

Just hours before, after Sky News revealed Nigel Farage is on course to replace him, as a seat-by-seat YouGov poll found an election held tomorrow would result in a hung parliament, with Reform winning 311 seats – just 15 short of the 326 needed to win overall.

Once the Speaker, whose seat is unopposed, and Sinn Fein MPs, who do not sit in parliament, are accounted for, no other party would be able to secure more MPs, so Reform would lead the government.

More on Reform Uk

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YouGov: Farage set to be next PM

Sir Keir said there is a “right-wing proposition” the UK has not had before, as it has been decades of either a Labour or Tory government, “pitched usually pretty much on the centrepiece of politics, the centre ground of politics”.

The PM said Reform and its leader, Mr Farage, provide a “very different proposition” of “patriotic national renewal” under Labour and a “toxic divide”.

He described his Labour government of being “capable of expressing who and what we are as a country accurately and in a way where people feel they’re valued and they belong, and that we can actually move forward together”.

Sir Keir referenced a march down Whitehall two weeks ago, organised by Tommy Robinson, as having “sent shivers through the spines of many communities well away from London”.

Elon Musk appeared via videolink at the rally and said “violence is coming to you”, prompting accusations of inciting violence.

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Davey warns Farage wants to turn Britain into ‘Trump’s America’

The PM said Reform presents a 'toxic divide
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The PM said Reform presents a ‘toxic divide

The prime minister said the choice for voters at the next election, set to be in 2029, “is not going to be the traditional Labour versus Conservative”.

“It’s why I’ve said the Conservative Party is dead,” he added.

“Centre-right parties in many European countries have withered on the vine and the same is happening in this country.”

Reacting to Sir Keir’s comments, a Reform UK spokesman said: “For decades, the British people have been betrayed by both Labour and the Conservatives.

“People have voted election after election for lower taxes and controlled immigration, instead, both parties have done the opposite.

“The public are now waking up to the fact Starmer is just continuing the Tory legacy of high taxes and mass immigration.”

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Stablecoin boom risks ‘cryptoization’ as fragmented rules leave economies exposed — Moody’s

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Stablecoin boom risks ‘cryptoization’ as fragmented rules leave economies exposed — Moody’s

Stablecoin boom risks ‘cryptoization’ as fragmented rules leave economies exposed — Moody’s

Moody’s warns “cryptoization” is undermining monetary policy and bank deposits in emerging markets amid uneven regulatory oversight.

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