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With spring ball underway, it’s becoming more and more apparent how our Way-Too-Early Top 25 teams will perform come fall. But whether it’s inexperience showing or a complete makeover of a wide receiver room, there are plenty of things these teams are leaning on, such as an elite defense or a veteran quarterback.

Our college football experts break down every team’s strength and weakness.

Strength: Star power. The Buckeyes have arguably the top offensive and defensive players returning in college football in wide receiver Jeremiah Smith and safety Caleb Downs. Both standouts figure to be on every preseason All-America team after playing massive roles during Ohio State’s national championship run through the playoff.

Weakness: Inexperience. With the bulk of last season’s title team now preparing for the NFL draft, the Buckeyes will introduce eight new starters on defense and a bevy of new faces on offense. That includes quarterback, where freshman Julian Sayin will enter the spring as the favorite to succeed Will Howard. — Jake Trotter


Strength: Impact defenders. The Longhorns lose star power on the back end with Jahdae Barron and Andrew Mukuba gone, but between edge rushers Colin Simmons and Trey Moore, linebackers Anthony Hill Jr. and Liona Lefau and safety Michael Taaffe, defensive coordinator Pete Kwiatkowski will disrupt offenses while new players fit into place.

Weakness: Growing pains. Steve Sarkisian centered his Texas rebuild around the need for “big humans,” and the Longhorns’ offensive and defensive lines were strengths during their past two playoff runs. Both will see wholesale makeovers this year, with one full-time starter returning on the OL and just two scholarship interior defensive lineman coming back. There is a lot of talent, of course, but not much time for the newcomers to grow up, with a road trip to Ohio State kicking off the season and the SEC schedule awaiting. — Dave Wilson


Strength: An elite defense. The Nittany Lions had good defenses earlier in coach James Franklin’s tenure, but they reached a higher rung in the past two seasons under coordinators Manny Diaz and Tom Allen. Now they’ve plucked playcaller Jim Knowles from national champion Ohio State to oversee a unit that, despite losing Abdul Carter and others, returns impressive contributors in end Dani Dennis-Sutton, linebacker Dominic DeLuca, safety Zakee Wheatley and others.

Weakness: Wide receiver. Penn State’s drop-off at wide receiver has been glaring at a time when the team’s overall talent has improved. After losing Mackey Award-winning tight end Tyler Warren to the NFL, the Nittany Lions need reliable options to emerge for quarterback Drew Allar in his final year. Penn State returns Liam Clifford and went to the portal for transfers Kyron Hudson (USC) and Devonte Ross (Troy). — Adam Rittenberg


Strength: The secondary. Losing Xavier Watts and Benjamin Morrison might be a huge red flag at a lot of schools. Not at Notre Dame, where the defensive backfield remains elite. Start with sophomore corner Leonard Moore, who established himself as one of the top young prospects in the country last season, allowing less than 40% completions and racking up 11 pass breakups and two picks. Christian Gray was a solid performer on the other side, while Adon Shuler blossomed at safety. Notre Dame added a solid option at safety in Virginia Tech transfer Jalen Stroman. The back end of the defense should be the strength of this unit, just as it was a year ago.

Weakness: Quarterback. Perhaps “weakness” is the wrong word here. Marcus Freeman likes what he has to work with at the position. But after two straight years with veteran QBs, Notre Dame will turn to someone without much playing time under his belt in 2025. Who? Well, that’s the big question. Steve Angeli has a leg up based on experience — even though he doesn’t have much of it — but redshirt freshman CJ Carr has a chance to be special. The battle to see who leads the offense will be among the most watched in all of college football, and finding the right answer might be the biggest obstacle between now and another playoff bid for Notre Dame. — David Hale


Strength: Linebackers. Even after losing star linebacker Jalon Walker, a potential first-round pick in the NFL draft, and three-year starter Smael Mondon Jr., Georgia’s linebackers figure to be the heart of the defense in 2025. CJ Allen is the leader of the unit after ranking second on the team with 76 tackles to go with three tackles for loss and five quarterback hurries last season. Gabe Harris Jr. and Raylen Wilson got plenty of action last season, and Chris Cole was named to the All-SEC freshman team by the league’s coaches. Allen, Cole and Wilson were ranked either the No. 1 or No. 2 linebacker prospects in the classes of 2023 and 2024 by ESPN’s recruiting analysts. Georgia coach Kirby Smart also added freshman Zayden Walker, the No. 1 outside linebacker prospect in the class of 2025.

Weakness: Running backs. As hard as it is to believe, the program that produced NFL running backs Nick Chubb, D’Andre Swift and James Cook in recent years might have a question mark at the position going into the season. Nate Frazier returns after leading the team with 671 yards as a freshman in 2024. Trevor Etienne, who had 631 yards with nine touchdowns last season, left for the NFL. Injuries have hampered top backups Branson Robinson and Roderick Robinson II, who combined for only 29 carries last season. They’re missing spring practice, because of knee and ankle injuries, respectively. The Bulldogs also bring back third-down back Cash Jones, Chauncey Bowens, Dwight Phillips Jr. and add freshman Bo Walker. Georgia averaged only 124.4 rushing yards in 2024, which ranked next to last in the SEC and was the worst mark in the Smart era. — Mark Schlabach


Strength: Front seven. Despite the departures of Jordan Burch and Derrick Harmon to the NFL, this is where Dan Lanning’s recruiting — and Oregon’s development — has shined. With both Matayo Uiagalelei (16 tackles for loss, 12.5 sacks, 4 pass breakups, an interception and 2 forced fumbles) and Teitum Tuioti (12 tackles for loss, 7.5 sacks, 2 pass breakups) set to enter their junior seasons, the once-youthful freshmen who made an impact right away are ready to lead a group of edge rushers who could make up one of the strongest units in the nation.

Weakness: Quarterback. It might be too early to say that this position is a true weakness until we see Dante Moore play inside this offense, but he will have big shoes to fill after the Ducks’ past two quarterbacks (Bo Nix and Dillon Gabriel) turned Autzen Stadium into their playground. Moore is in good hands; he’s working with offensive coordinator Will Stein, who should help him improve and excel. Moore is also coming off two unusual seasons in the sport: starting as a true freshman at UCLA and being thrown right into the fire, then sitting a year behind Gabriel. Now that Oregon is handing the reins to Moore, we’ll quickly be able to see how much he has learned and how much the Ducks allow him to do within the offense. — Paolo Uggetti


Strength: Quarterback. Cade Klubnik enters his third full season as the starter, so this has to be a strength for the Tigers. We have watched Klubnik mature over the past two seasons from an often-unsure first-time starter to a player in far more command of the offseason last year, and he had an under-the-radar great performance in 2024 (3,639 yards, 36 TDs, 6 INTs). Clemson returns its top three receivers, and it gets Tyler Brown back from injury, so the potential is there for this to be the Tigers’ best offense since Trevor Lawrence‘s last season in 2020.

Weakness: Running back. We have pointed out previously that this is the biggest question mark on the team following the departure of starter Phil Mafah (NFL draft), injury to Jay Haynes (knee rehab) and general lack of experienced depth. That is why, at least for now, this position is considered a “weakness.” There is plenty of talent, starting with freshman Gideon Davidson, but we simply don’t know how the rotation will shape up and who is going to get the bulk of the reps. — Andrea Adelson


Strength: Quarterback. What a luxury it is to enter a season with a proven, experienced quarterback who is the leading returning passer in the SEC. Garrett Nussmeier will be in his fifth year on campus and his second season as a starter. He threw for 4,052 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions last season. Nussmeier is 10-4 as a starter, and he is now fully in charge of the LSU offense and should be poised for his most productive season. He has a group of talented pass catchers to throw to, including transfers Nic Anderson and Barion Brown, as well as speedy slot receiver Aaron Anderson, who had a breakout season a year ago with 61 catches for 884 yards.

Weakness: Retooling the offensive line. The Tigers lose four starting offensive linemen from a year ago, including projected first-round NFL draft pick Will Campbell at left tackle. Josh Thompson, a transfer from Northwestern, could play tackle or guard, and LSU likes its young talent up front. But there will be a lot of new faces in new places. Sophomore Weston Davis has a big opportunity to win the right tackle job after playing sparingly as a highly touted true freshman last season. The only returning starter, DJ Chester, is likely to move from center to guard. — Chris Low


Strength: Overall defense. It would definitely be fair to point to the return of quarterback Jake Retzlaff as an obvious strength; anytime you return the starting quarterback from an 11-win team, you’re in good shape. But this BYU team won with defense, and it has enough key players returning to expect it to be one of the best units in the country again.

Weakness: Defensive line. As good as the defense will be, there are some holes to fill on the line. This is nitpicking, though. Tyler Batty‘s departure is the one that looms largest, both in terms of production and leadership. But Blake Mangelson, Isaiah Bagnah and John Nelson were also key contributors, and the depth without them is questionable. — Kyle Bonagura


Strength: Front seven. The Gamecocks powered one of the nation’s stingiest defenses with a dominant front in 2024, and that unit should carry South Carolina again this fall despite significant offseason turnover. All-SEC freshman Dylan Stewart looks poised for a Year 2 jump and will start opposite senior Bryan Thomas Jr., who logged 4.5 sacks a year ago. Down five starters from last season’s front seven, the Gamecocks hit the portal for key reinforcements including transfer tackles Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Texas A&M) and Zavion Hardy (East Mississippi CC) and linebacker transfers Justin Okoronkwo (Alabama) and Shawn Murphy (Florida State).

Weakness: Interior offensive line. South Carolina enters 2025 without the center (Vershon Lee) and both starting guards (Kamaar Bell and Torricelli Simpkins III) who paved the way for the SEC’s fourth-ranked rushing attack last fall. Troy transfer Boaz Stanley projects to take over at center, and newcomers Nick Sharpe (Wake Forest) and Rodney Newsome Jr. (Western Kentucky) arrive as the likeliest options to fill in the guard spots. Can that trio — playing between starting tackles Josiah Thompson and Cason Henry — jell well enough to protect LaNorris Sellers and move bodies for transfer running back Rahsul Faison? — Eli Lederman


Strength: Quarterback. Rocco Becht, who threw for 3,505 yards with 25 touchdowns in 2024, will return for his third year as ISU’s starter. There were some inconsistencies throughout last season, but Becht will be among the best quarterbacks in the Big 12. He was particularly good in the bowl game against Miami, throwing for three touchdowns in a 42-41 win.

Weakness: Receiver. Let’s just call it a question mark. The Cyclones relied on two of the best receivers in the country last season — Jaylin Noel and Jayden Higgins — and they accounted for 167 of the 277 catches on the team (60.3%). No other true receiver had more than 11 catches. With that type of production to replace, the team is starting over. — Bonagura


Strength: Defensive front. It starts in the interior with 325-pound Tim Keenan III, who’s back for his redshirt senior season, and James Smith, a prime candidate to be Alabama’s top breakout player on defense and a dynamic playmaker in the middle of that defensive line. LT Overton is also back for his senior season after leading the team with nine quarterback hurries in 2024. He was Alabama’s most impactful pass rusher. Florida transfer Kelby Collins is a key addition, an edge rusher who has shown he can get to the quarterback going up against SEC tackles.

Weakness: Receiver depth. Ryan Williams had an exceptional freshman campaign, especially the way he torched defenses the first part of the season. The challenge now is to find more dependable playmakers around him at the receiver position. Germie Bernard is back after leading Alabama with 50 catches last season. The Alabama coaches are excited about the talent at receiver, but which players are going to emerge as options 3, 4 and 5? Miami transfer Isaiah Horton is one to watch. — Low


Strength: Overall experience. Illinois didn’t suffer the normal experience drain that comes with winning 10 games for the first time since 2001. A few key players had their eligibility expire, but Illinois retained several potential NFL draft departures, and it avoided critical portal losses. Quarterback Luke Altmyer is back for a third season as the starter, and he will play behind a seasoned line. All-Big Ten selections Xavier Scott and Gabe Jacas lead a defense that returns mostly intact.

Weakness: Lack of explosiveness on offense. Illinois finished last season ranked 92nd nationally in yards per game and 71st in yards per play. The team also loses most of its receiving production with Pat Bryant (54 catches, 984 yards, 10 touchdowns) and Zakhari Franklin (55 catches, 652 yards, 4 touchdowns) departing. Illinois likely will need an uptick in rushing production from a group of ball-carriers to help offset the wideout losses. — Rittenberg


Strength: Coaching. We’re mostly focusing on players here, but let’s make an exception at ASU. The job Kenny Dillingham has done at his alma mater is one of the most impressive turnarounds we’ve seen in college football in recent years. To go from the bottom of the Pac-12 to the playoff in consecutive seasons is almost inconceivable. It should give ASU fans the confidence that they’ll be competitively relevant as long as he’s around.

Weakness: Running back. The question here is how the Sun Devils will fill the void left by Cam Skattebo. He ran for 1,711 yards, had another 605 in receiving yards and was one of the best players in college football. Maybe it’s unfair to say their running backs are a weakness; the opportunity to prove otherwise just wasn’t there last season. Kanye Udoh‘s arrival from Army, where he ran for 1,117 yards last season, is promising, though, and Kyson Brown did have a 100-yard rushing performance against Arizona. — Bonagura


Strength: Tight end RJ Maryland looked like one of the best tight ends in the ACC and a genuine NFL prospect through the first half of last season before going down with an injury. Matthew Hibner picked up the slack the rest of the way and didn’t miss a beat. Maryland should be back to 100 percent for the season, and Hibner returns, giving SMU a terrific one-two punch that should equate to some dynamic options in the passing game. Given the turnover at wideout, this could be a big area for SMU to rely on as the Mustangs look to make it back to the College Football Playoff.

Weakness: Established skill players. The three leading receivers from last season are gone, including do-it-all tailback Brashard Smith, meaning there’s a big void as SMU searches for reliable playmakers. There are options, including Romello Brinson, Jordan Hudson and a pair of talented freshman at receiver and LJ Johnson Jr., Miami transfer Chris Johnson and Derrick McFall at tailback — but none of those players is a sure thing. Last year, Smith was as dynamic as anyone in the country — an explosive runner, an effective pass catcher, a better-than-expected blocker. Is there anyone who can become that guy this year? Or will SMU need to dip back into the portal to fill out its ranks? — Hale


Strength: Big plays. In his second season as the starting quarterback, Avery Johnson (responsible for 32 TDs last year, one of three Power 4 QBs with 2,700 yards passing and 600 rushing) can get the ball to running back Dylan Edwards, (7.4 yards per carry), Jayce Brown (17.5 yards per catch) and New Mexico transfer WR Caleb Medford, who has averaged 18.5 yards per catch on 29 career receptions.

Weakness: A DB makeover. The Wildcats lost the Big 12 Defensive Lineman of the Year, Brendan Mott, who was a pass-rush disruptor, along with their three top corners (including draft prospect Jacob Parrish), from a defense that ranked 77th versus the pass last season. But they have added transfer corners Jayden Rowe (Oklahoma) and Amarion Fortenberry (South Alabama) along with safeties Gunner Maldonado (Arizona) and Mar’Quavious Moss (West Georgia), so we’ll see if they can fill the gaps left behind. — Wilson


Strength: Defensive star power is back. The faces of Indiana’s defense won’t look much different from those who helped propel the team to a 10-0 start and a CFP appearance. Three first-team All-Big Ten defenders return in end Mikail Kamara, linebacker Aiden Fisher and cornerback D’Angelo Ponds. Indiana also retained coordinator Bryant Haines, a Broyles Award finalist. Haines will need to build depth at all three levels, but he can lean on productive players to lead the way.

Weakness: Interior line play. For all the great things Indiana did in 2024, its line play, especially on offense, was exposed in losses to Ohio State and Notre Dame. The offensive line will look dramatically different, and Indiana will need immediate contributions from transfers like Pat Coogan (Notre Dame), Kahlil Benson (Colorado) and Zen Michalski (Ohio State). The defensive line also suffered significant losses with the departures of James Carpenter and CJ West. If IU can’t hold up in the middle of its lines, a drop-off is likely. — Rittenberg


Strength: Offensive line. The Gators bring back four starters — including All-America center Jake Slaughter — to a unit that gave up 20 sacks last fall, tied for 40th-best nationally and down from 39 sacks allowed in 2023. That continuity bodes well as Florida continues to build around quarterback DJ Lagway and Freshman All-SEC rusher Jadan Baugh. The Gators have a hole to fill at right tackle following the graduation of 11-game starter Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson; redshirt sophomore Bryce Lovett and veterans Devon Manuel and Kamryn Waites should all factor into competition for the open tackle spot opposite Austin Barber.

Weakness: Wide receiver. Florida has its quarterback in Lagway, but the state of the Gators’ receiving corps is less certain following the departures of leading pass catchers Chimere Dike and Elijah Badger. Eugene Wilson III, a freshman All-American in 2023, returns after suffering a season-ending hip injury last fall, and UCLA transfer J. Michael Sturdivant stands as another proven downfield target after four seasons with the Bruins. Freshmen Vernell Brown III, Dallas Wilson and Naeshaun Montgomery represent a trio of less experienced options, but each could be called upon to play a role in the passing for the Gators in 2025. — Lederman


Strength: Big-play defenders. Defensive line depth was the backbone of Tennessee’s playoff team last season. Some key pieces from that defensive line are gone, but several of the Vols’ impact defenders are back, starting with leading tackler Arion Carter at linebacker and Joshua Josephs at defensive end. They combined for 15.5 tackles for loss last season. In the middle of the defensive line, Bryson Eason and Jaxson Moi are both back, while cornerback Jermod McCoy — albeit coming off a torn ACL in January — and safety Boo Carter are stalwarts in a deep secondary.

Weakness: Proven playmakers at receiver. As quarterback Nico Iamaleava steps into his second season as Tennessee’s starting quarterback, he’ll do so without four of his top five pass catchers from a year ago. The Vols were lacking when it came to explosive plays in the passing game last season, which means it’s time for former five-star prospect Mike Matthews to step up and be a bona fide downfield threat after catching just seven passes last season. The same goes for holdovers Chris Brazzell II and Braylon Staley, Alabama transfer Amari Jefferson and maybe even Carter, who’s planning to pull double duty at safety and receiver. — Low


Strength: The ground game. No Power 4 running back (minimum 100 carries) had a better rushing average last year than Louisville’s Isaac Brown (7.11). Lower the qualifying amount to 60 carries, however, and Brown is fourth. Instead, it’s his teammate, Duke Watson, who leads the way at 8.91 yards per rush. The pair of rising sophomores were as explosive a combination as there was in the country last season, racking up nearly 1,800 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns combined. They’re a year older now, and they’ll be running behind one of the best offensive lines in the ACC. The Cards will want to be balanced offensively, but put the ball in the hands of either Brown or Watson enough times and a home run is just waiting to happen.

Weakness: Interior D-line. Jordan Guerad and Rene Konga both return from a 2024 squad that wasn’t exactly great, and the depth behind them comes entirely from the portal (Denzel Lowry, Jerry Lawson). There’s upside here — especially after a fairly strong finish to 2024 by Guerad — but this is a group that still has a lot to prove. Wesley Bailey and Clev Lubin should be solid edge performers, but shoring up the middle of the defense will be an offseason priority, and it starts at the line of scrimmage. — Hale


Strength: Running game. The Wolverines always find a way to produce on the ground, and 2025 should be no different. Bowl game MVP Jordan Marshall and Alabama transfer Justice Haynes provide Michigan with a viable rushing duo. Key pieces up front, headlined by Giovanni El-Hadi, are back as well. The running game stands to benefit from what should be an improved passing attack.

Weakness: Pass catching. The Wolverines had just one player total more than 250 receiving yards last season, tight end Colston Loveland, who’s now preparing for the NFL draft. Inconsistent quarterbacking played a part. But Michigan’s wideouts didn’t produce nearly enough plays to strike fear in the opposition. The Wolverines are banking that a pair of portal additions in Donaven McCulley (Indiana) and Anthony Simpson (UMass) can bolster the playmaking on the perimeter. — Trotter


Strength: Stability. Mike Elko’s first task upon his hiring last year was just to build a team from a collection of individuals following a frantic re-recruiting process of his own roster, while patching holes in the portal. This year, the offensive line is much improved, and Marcel Reed is the entrenched starter at quarterback now with Conner Weigman‘s transfer to Houston. That’s something to build on.

Weakness: Familiar faces at receiver. The Aggies threw just 18 TD passes last year, and eight of them went to Noah Thomas, who transferred to Georgia. With Thomas gone, the Aggies lost their top five receivers. A&M landed Micah Hudson, a former five-star recruit from Texas Tech, in the portal, but he’s no longer with the team. KC Concepcion (NC State) and Mario Craver (Mississippi State) join sophomore Terry Bussey, a former five-star and a dynamic athlete, in the WR room’s extreme makeover. — Wilson


Strength: Running game. The Hurricanes believe they have the potential to field their best offensive line under Mario Cristobal, anchored by rising junior Francis Mauigoa and Anez Cooper on the right side. With Mark Fletcher Jr. and Jordan Lyle returning as the top two running backs, the Hurricanes should be able to run the ball more consistently this season.

Weakness: Secondary. This was a huge weakness last season when Miami struggled down the stretch with inconsistent play and a lack of depth. Miami added three highly rated players from the transfer portal to help shore up the unit and perhaps force turnovers. Miami had 14 total interceptions last season, ranking in the bottom fourth of the country and in particular had a drop-off in its safety play. Miami needs a far better performance from this group in 2025. — Adelson


Strength: Quarterback. After being the guy who simply handed the ball off to Ashton Jeanty for most of the season and then turning into the guy who nearly helped the Broncos upset Penn State with his marvelous play under center, 2025 could be Maddux Madsen‘s breakout year. Madsen was impressive throughout last season managing the offense (3,080 yards, 23 touchdowns and only six turnovers), avoiding mistakes and playing winning football. Another year in the offense will only do wonders for Madsen and sure, he won’t have the safety blanket that was Jeanty behind him, but if anyone can figure out how to evolve as a player in these circumstances, Madsen has shown he has more talent and ability than first meets the eye.

Weakness: Running back. Let’s not go too far away from Madsen under center. This is an obvious pick, but it’s obvious for a reason. Replacing Jeanty, his leadership, energy, production and overall gravity, are an impossible task, but if Boise State wants to return to the College Football Playoff this coming season, they’ll need to at least partially or collectively try to get as close as they can to replicate Jeanty’s 374 carry, 2,601, 29-touchdown season. Good luck with that. — Uggetti


Strength: Defensive line. Walter Nolen, Princely Umanmielen, JJ Pegues and Jared Ivey — four high-impact players who charged one of the nation’s best defensive lines last fall — all are gone. Still, Ole Miss has the talent to make this unit a difference-maker in a renovated defense in 2025. Suntarine Perkins will again be one of the keys to the pass rush after turning in 10.5 sacks last fall, second most among SEC defenders. LSU transfer Da’Shawn Womack and Nebraska’s Princewill Umanmielen will add to that edge depth. Inside, Zxavian Harris, the towering, 6-foot-7, 320-pound nose tackle, is poised to slot into the spots where Pegues and Nolen were so effective a year ago.

Weakness: Secondary. Defensive coordinator Pete Golding’s best-in-the-nation run defense helped balance a bottom-half SEC secondary last season. Assuming even a slight regression in the Ole Miss front seven in 2025, there will be more pressure on a wholly unproven Rebels defensive unit. Junior cornerback Chris Graves Jr. returns as the most experienced member of a secondary down its top eight snap-getters from a year ago. Ole Miss turned to the transfer portal to retool around him. Safety Sage Ryan arrives from LSU with 19 career starts in 43 games, and Jaylon Braxton (Arkansas) and Kapena Gushiken (Washington State) bring experience as well, but this is a new-look unit that will have to jell quickly in the fall. — Lederman

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How Mikko Rantanen impacts the Stars’ Stanley Cup hopes — in 2025 and well beyond

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How Mikko Rantanen impacts the Stars' Stanley Cup hopes -- in 2025 and well beyond

Every NHL franchise would be elated to select one player who could become a franchise defenseman, a franchise forward or a franchise goaltender in a single draft class.

The Dallas Stars found all three in 2017.

Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson and Jake Oettinger have developed into franchise cornerstones, which has played a significant role in the Stars becoming a perennial Stanley Cup challenger.

This is why Stars general manager Jim Nill and his front office staff have typically been averse to trading away from draft picks.

That’s also what made Nill’s decision at the trade deadline so jarring: The Stars traded a pair of first-round picks, three second-round picks and onetime prized prospect Logan Stankoven for Mikko Rantanen.

While the Stars made a statement by adding another franchise winger, the trade also signaled that the Stars are entering a new frontier — deviating from the blueprint that allowed them to be a championship contender in the first place.

“It’s two things: It’s where our team’s at, and it’s Mikko Rantanen,” Nill said. “A lot of times when you go into a trade, it’s for an older player that has two or three years left in his career.

“Mikko is in the prime of his career. He’s one of the elite power forwards in the game, and with where we’re drafting, when do you get a chance to get a player like that? Just because of unique circumstances, he was available.”

After trading for Rantanen, the Stars signed him to an eight-year contract extension worth $12 million annually. That commitment further amplifies how the Stars believe Rantanen can help them win the Stanley Cup that has eluded them since 1999.

But how did the proverbial stars align for Dallas to get Rantanen? What made the Stars comfortable moving away from the foundational strategy of draft-and-develop? And after the current playoff run, what does Rantanen’s presence mean in the short and long term?

“Of course, [trading for Rantanen] sends a message that they’re backing us with the chance that we have to do something special,” Stars defenseman Esa Lindell said. “It’s a chance to win, and that brings expectations to succeed.”


RANTANEN PLAYED FOR the division rival Colorado Avalanche throughout his career, which meant that Nill and others within the Stars’ front office had a close view of his ascent to stardom. They thought he was one of the best players in the NHL but never thought it was possible that he could be a Dallas Star.

“You’re not even looking in [Rantanen’s] direction when you’re analyzing your team and trying to make changes,” Nill said. “It was never really even an option for us.”

Until it did become an option — and even then, the Stars weren’t so sure.

When Rantanen was traded to the Carolina Hurricanes on Jan. 24, the Stars’ front office still didn’t regard him as potentially available to them because the Canes were also in a championship window.

Rantanen scored six points in 13 games for the Hurricanes. But with each week that passed without him signing a contract extension with Carolina, the speculation increased that the Hurricanes could move him again in order to avoid losing him for nothing in free agency in the summer.

“I would say about two weeks before the trade deadline, they started to make some calls just to see what the market was,” Nill said. “We were one of the teams they called to see if there was interest, and then with about a week to 10 days before the trade deadline, we said, ‘You know what? Let’s look at it,’ but still not thinking that was the direction we were going to go.”

Pragmatism remains the principle that guides Nill.

Even before the Stars could devise a trade package, they needed a number of factors to work in their favor. For instance, if Rantanen had become available last season, there was no way they could have made it work financially because of their cap situation.

This season, injuries to Tyler Seguin and Heiskanen meant the pair’s combined $18.3 million cap hit provided wiggle room. That flexibility is how the Stars were able to take on the full freight of Cody Ceci‘s and Mikael Granlund‘s contracts in a trade with the San Jose Sharks on Feb. 1.

Yet the Stars needed more help fitting Rantanen’s contract onto their books, which made the first trade with the Avs and Canes even more crucial. Rantanen, who earns $9.25 million annually, had 50% of his salary retained by the Chicago Blackhawks in that first trade, which meant he’d be joining the Stars at a team-friendly $4.625 million prorated for the rest of the season.

“A lot of factors came into play where we’re sitting there saying, ‘A year ago, we couldn’t do that because he makes this much money and we didn’t have injuries,'” Nill said. “But now that there was a different scenario? An opportunity was there to make it work, and that’s when we got more serious.”

The Stars already had a dynamic that worked, with the bulk of their core group being younger than 26. They had a seemingly annual tradition of introducing a homegrown prospect who went from promising talent to NHL contributor. It was proof their farm-to-table model worked, while also ensuring a level of cap certainty.

So what made Nill and the Stars feel like this was the time to upend that approach? Especially with some of those homegrown prospects, such as Thomas Harley and Wyatt Johnston, going from their team-friendly, entry-level deals to being significant earners on their second contracts?

“You’re not only looking at this year, but when you’re making a major commitment to a player like that trade-wise and asset-wise, you’re probably going to want to sign him,” Nill said. “That’s when we had to sit down and look at what direction we could go with our team here. We got some major players taking some pay hikes that they deserve, and that’s when we asked, ‘How can we make this fit?'”

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‘It’s nuts!’ Stars acquire Mikko Rantanen from Hurricanes

The “TradeCentre” crew gives their instant reaction to the shocking news that Mikko Rantanen has been traded to the Dallas Stars.


CHAMPIONSHIP WINDOWS DON’T last long, and there’s always change.

Just ask Robertson. Even though he’s only 25 years old, he’s an example of how much change the Stars have encountered since their streak of three conference finals in five years started in 2020.

Robertson played three regular-season games the 2019-20 season and was a taxi-squad member who never appeared in the playoffs. But technically, he’s one of only seven players on the current roster who played at least one game from that season. It’s a group that also includes Jamie Benn, Roope Hintz, Seguin, Heiskanen, Lindell and Harley. Oettinger was also a taxi-squad player but never appeared in any games in the 2020 playoff bubble.

“That next year, we didn’t make the playoffs and we kind of made a shift onto new players,” Robertson said. “It was my second year, and we were just trying to make the playoffs as a wild-card team. My third year, [head coach] Pete [DeBoer] comes in with a new staff and a lot of new players too. I don’t know what our expectations were, but we just wanted to make the playoffs.”

Nill said what allowed the Stars to transition from the Benn-Seguin era to where they are now was a farm system that provided key players on team-friendly contracts.

As those players have turned into veteran regulars, the Stars must now get creative with the cap and balance the difficult decisions that lie ahead.

While that’s a consideration every perennial title challenger faces at some point, Rantanen’s arrival accelerated that timeline for Dallas. Before the trade, the Stars were slated to enter the upcoming offseason with more than $17 million in cap space. It was more than enough to re-sign pending UFAs such as Benn and Matt Duchene, while having the space to add elsewhere in free agency, too.

And that was with Oettinger going from $4 million this season to $8.25 million over the next three years while Johnston, who was a pending restricted free agent, also signed a three-year deal carrying an annual $8.4 million cap hit.

The addition of Rantanen’s contract means the Stars will have $5.32 million in cap space, per PuckPedia. That has raised the possibility that Benn, Duchene and Evgenii Dadonov (along with Ceci and Granlund) might not be back, and that the Stars could be limited in free agency.

There’s another way to look at the Stars’ short- and long-term situation. Benn noted the fact that they are in this position lets players know that the front office believes in them so much that it was worth changing its philosophy to get Rantanen and have him in Dallas for the better part of a decade.

“I think it shows confidence in the group that we have and what we’ve been doing this year,” Benn said. “Our draft picks over the last few years have set us up to succeed. When you make a move like that for a player like Mikko, it gives your group a lot of confidence. Now it’s on us as players to take advantage of it.”

So what does that mean for Benn, who is in the final year of his contract, knowing the Stars’ cap situation ahead of next season?

“I don’t see myself playing for anybody else other than this team,” said Benn, who has played his entire 16-year career with the Stars. “Hopefully, it’ll all get figured out this summer, but I am excited for the future of the Stars.”

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Ranking the top 50 players in the Stanley Cup playoffs: Where do Hellebuyck, MacKinnon, Kucherov land?

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Ranking the top 50 players in the Stanley Cup playoffs: Where do Hellebuyck, MacKinnon, Kucherov land?

As the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs began, a number of storylines dominated the conversation: Can Connor Hellebuyck turn his historic regular season into a Dominik Hašek-esque postseason run for the ages for the Winnipeg Jets? Will the Colorado AvalancheDallas Stars showdown be a quasi-Cup Final right away in Round 1? Is it finally the year for Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to win it all, after the Edmonton Oilers came so close last season?

But beyond the matchups and narratives, it’s also a good time to take stock of which players bring the most value into the postseason.

That’s where goals above replacement (GAR) comes in — my evolved spin on earlier all-in-one value stats like Tom Awad’s goals versus threshold and Hockey-Reference’s point shares. The core idea of GAR is to measure a player’s total impact — in offense, defense or goaltending — above what a generic “replacement-level” player might provide at the same position. It also strives to ensure the league’s value is better balanced by position: 60% of leaguewide GAR is distributed to forwards, 30% to defensemen and 10% to goaltenders.

To then assess who might be most valuable on the eve of this year’s playoffs, I plugged GAR into a system inspired by Bill James’ concept of an “established level” of performance; in this case, a weighted average of each player’s GAR over the past three regular seasons, with more emphasis on 2024-25. And to keep the metric from undervaluing recent risers, we also apply a safeguard: no player’s established level can be lower than 75% of his most recent season’s GAR.

The result is a blend of peak, recent, and sustained performance — the players on playoff-bound teams who have been great, are currently great or are still trending upward — in a format that gives us a sense of who could define this year’s postseason.

One final note: Injured players who were expected to miss all or substantial parts of the playoffs were excluded from the ranking. Sorry, Jack Hughes.

With that in mind, here are the top 50 skaters and goaltenders on teams in the 2025 playoff field, according to their three-year established level of value, ranked by the numbers:

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Stanley Cup playoffs daily: Previewing Monday’s four-game slate

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Stanley Cup playoffs daily: Previewing Monday's four-game slate

Five series of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs have begun, and two more will begin Monday. Meanwhile, the two matchups in the Central Division are on to Game 2.

Here’s the four-pack of games on the calendar:

What are the key storylines heading into Monday’s games? Who are the key players to watch?

Read on for game previews with statistical insights from ESPN Research, recaps of what went down last night, and the Three Stars of Sunday Night from Arda Öcal.

Matchup notes

Montreal Canadiens at Washington Capitals
Game 1 | 7 p.m., ESPN

You might’ve heard about the 2010 playoff matchup between these two teams a time or so in the past week.

In that postseason, the overwhelming favorite (and No. 1 seed) Capitals, led by Alex Ovechkin, were upset by the No. 8 seed Canadiens, due in large part to an epic performance in goal from Jaroslav Halak. Halak isn’t walking out of the tunnel for the Habs this time around (we assume); instead it’ll be Becancour, Quebec, native Sam Montembeault, who allowed four goals on 35 shots in his one start against the Caps this season.

Washington’s goaltender for Game 1 has yet to be revealed, as Logan Thompson was injured back on April 2. But there’s no question that there is a disparity between the offensive output of the two clubs, as the Caps finished second in the NHL in goals per game (3.49), while the Canadiens finished 17th (2.96). Can Montreal keep up in this series?

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets
Game 2 | 7:30 p.m., ESPN2

The Blues hung with the Jets for much of Game 1 and even looked like the stronger team at certain times, so pulling off the series upset remains on the table. But getting a win on the unfriendly ice at the Canada Life Centre would be of some benefit in shifting momentum before the series moves to St. Louis for Game 3. The Blues proved that Connor Hellebuyck is not invincible in Game 1, and they were led by stars Jordan Kyrou and Robert Thomas, who both got on the board.

The Jets have a mixed history after winning Game 1 of a playoff series, having gone 3-3 as a franchise (including the Atlanta Thrashers days) on such occasions. Like the Blues, the Jets were led by their stars, Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele, but the game-tying goal came from Alex Iafallo, who has played up and down the lineup this season.

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars
Game 2 | 9:30 p.m., ESPN

The Stars might like a redo on Game 1 after the visiting Avalanche essentially controlled the festivities for much of the contest. Stars forward Jason Robertson missed Game 1 because of an injury sustained in the final game of the regular season, and his return sooner than later would be excellent for Dallas; he scored three goals in three games against Colorado in the regular season. Also of note, teams that have taken a 2-0 lead in best-of-seven series have won 86% of the time.

Slowing down the Avs’ stars will be critical in Game 2, which is a sound — if perhaps unrealistic — strategy. With his two goals in Game 1, Nathan MacKinnon became the third player in Avalanche/Nordiques history to score 50 playoff goals, joining Joe Sakic (84) and Peter Forsberg (58). In reaching 60 assists in his 73rd playoff game, Cale Makar became the third-fastest defenseman in NHL history to reach that milestone, behind Bobby Orr (69 GP) and Al MacInnis (71 GP).

Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings
Game 1 | 10 p.m., ESPN2

This is the fourth straight postseason in which the Oilers and Kings have met in Round 1, and Edmonton has won the previous three series. Will the fourth time be the charm for the Kings?

L.A. went 3-1-0 against Edmonton this season, including shutouts on April 5 and 14. Quinton Byfield was particularly strong in those games, with three goals and an assist. Overall, the Kings were led in scoring this season by Adrian Kempe, with 35 goals and 38 assists. Warren Foegele — who played 22 playoff games for the Oilers in 2024 — had a career-high 24 goals this season.

The Oilers enter the 2025 postseason with 41 playoff series wins, which is the second most among non-Original Six teams (behind the Flyers, with 44). They have been eliminated by the team that won the Stanley Cup in each of the past three postseasons (Panthers 2024, Golden Knights 2023, Avalanche 2022). Edmonton continues to be led by Leon Draisaitl — who won his first Rocket Richard Trophy as the league’s top goal scorer this season — and Connor McDavid, who won the goal-scoring title in 2022-23 and the Conn Smythe Trophy as MVP of the playoffs last year, even though the Oilers didn’t win the Cup.


Arda’s Three Stars of Sunday

For the last several seasons, much of the postseason narrative for the Leafs has been the lack of production from the Core Four. So this was a dream Game 1 against Ottawa for Marner (one goal, two assists), Nylander (one goal, one assist), John Tavares (one goal, one assist) and Matthews (two assists) in Toronto’s 6-2 win over Ottawa.

Stankoven’s two goals in the second period put the game out of reach, with the Canes winning 4-1 in Game 1. Stankoven is the second player in Hurricanes/Whalers history to score twice in his first playoff game with the club (the other was Andrei Svechnikov in Game 1 of the first round in 2019)

Howden had two third-period goals in the Golden Knights’ victory over the Wild in Game 1, including a buzzer-beating empty-netter to make the final score 4-2.


Sunday’s results

Hurricanes 4, Devils 1
Carolina leads 1-0

The Hurricanes came out inspired thanks in part to the raucous home crowd and took a quick lead off the stick of Jalen Chatfield at 2:24 of the first period. Logan Stankoven — who came over in the Mikko Rantanen trade — scored a pair in the second period, and the Canes never looked back. On the Devils’ side, injuries forced Brenden Dillon and Cody Glass out of the game, while Luke Hughes left in the third period but was able to return. Full recap.

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Logan Stankoven’s 2nd goal gives Hurricanes a 3-0 lead

Logan Stankoven notches his second goal of the game to give the Hurricanes a 3-0 lead.

Maple Leafs 6, Senators 2
Toronto leads 1-0

The first skirmish in the Battle of Ontario goes to the home side, as the Leafs never let the Senators get very close in this one. Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Mitch Marner scored in the first, John Tavares and William Nylander tallied in the second, while Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies put the game away in the third. Drake Batherson and Ridly Greig — scorer of a controversial empty-net goal against Toronto in 2024 — scored for Ottawa. Full recap.

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William Nylander zips home a goal to pad the Maple Leafs’ lead

William Nylander zips the puck past the goalie to give the Maple Leafs a 4-1 lead.

Golden Knights 4, Wild 2
Vegas leads 1-0

In Sunday’s nightcap, the two teams played an evenly matched first two periods, as Vegas carried a 2-1 lead into the third. Then, Brett Howden worked his magic, scoring a goal to pad the Knights’ lead 2:28 into that frame, and putting the game to bed with an empty-netter that beat the buzzer. The Wild were led by Matt Boldy, who had two goals, both assisted by Kirill Kaprizov. Full recap.

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0:31

Brett Howden buries Wild in Game 1 with buzzer-beating goal

Brett Howden sends the Minnesota Wild packing in Game 1 with an empty-net goal for the Golden Knights in the final second.

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