Faced with a deteriorating economic outlook and rising debt repayment costs, the chancellor was in a tight spot having made her big call back in October when she executed a – her words – “once in a generation” £70bn tax and spend budget to improve public services and drive economic growth.
Five months in, the budget is not living up to what was billed.
She confirmed on Wednesday that the £9.9bn surplus forecast in 2029/30 had been wiped out, leaving the public finances in the red.
Cue a £14bn repair job to restore her fiscal cushion as Reeves told the House of Commons her fiscal rule to fund day-to-day government spending from tax receipts not borrowing by the end of the decade was “non-negotiable”.
No more borrowing and no more tax hikes (for now).
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The chancellor instead announced billions of spending cuts to make her sums add up and the cuts were hard to stomach for the Labour movement as they watched a Labour chancellor cut the welfare bill by £4.8bn.
The government’s own assessments estimate that 3.2m families on universal credit will be on average £1,720 worse off a year by 2029/30 while 250,000 adults and 50,000 more children are set to be pushed into relative poverty, according to the government’s own impact assessment.
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2:19
Beth Rigby asks: ‘Is it time for you to level with people?’
I don’t need to tell you how uncomfortable this is for many Labour MPs and the clamour against cuts was plain to see, not only in the Commons as MPs stood up to rail against “cruel cuts” and urge the chancellor to think again, but outside Downing Street too as protesters gathered.
For now, MPs, and government insiders, tell me they don’t scent a full-blown rebellion. One seasoned MP told me that while MPs are very concerned about how these cuts will be implemented and reaction from constituents, they also “generally still recognise the tough circumstances” with “no one in doubt Rachel Reeves is serious about turning around public finances”.
Government figures argue they do not think the fall-out from the cuts will be as bad as their own assessment, pointing out that the calculations don’t take into account the rise in national living wage, the government’s poverty plan for around 700,000 vulnerable families and changes to employment support as part of the welfare reform that should help people back into work.
But that does not mean the difficulties are not piling up for this chancellor even if on Wednesday she managed to buy a bit of political space as she repaired her black hole, avoided an emergency budget and could at least point to upgrades to the growth forecasts after 2026.
There was also a rabbit of sorts – the chancellor looks very happy about this – as she announced that the government’s planning reforms would add nearly £7bn to the economy over the next five years.
This is something to grasp on to for a politician groping around for a bit of good news and something to sell to her MPs: Stick with me the growth plan is going to work.
But what is plain to see is that this is a repair job rather than a fix.
Image: Rachel Reeves. Pic: PA
As the Office of Budget Responsibility itself noted, the £9.9bn headroom Reeves has re-built to stick to her fiscal rules is flimsy and fragile and could easily be wiped out by trade wars, an interest rate shock or market volatility in these deeply uncertain times.
So, the question on everyone’s lips is will she have to come back for more in a few months? When I asked her at this afternoon’s press conference, she said only that the government was, as demonstrated on Wednesday, “determined to live within its means”.
But it’s obvious that further tax rises or spending cuts could soon be on the cards if she remains determined to stick to her fiscal rules and not borrow more.
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What is clear too is that the appetite for further spending cuts from her own party is pretty much exhausted.
Labour MPs were vocal about that in the chamber, demanding taxes on the rich rather than benefits cuts on the poor, while those who are sticking with the chancellor now also know all too well that pressure will build to raise revenue elsewhere.
The chancellor may have managed to navigate a difficult day, but the months ahead look set to become harder still. The difficult decisions now could be just the start.
The train crew member who was seriously injured while trying to protect passengers during a mass stabbing has been discharged from hospital.
Samir Zitouni, 48, known as Sam, was working on board the London North Eastern Railway (LNER) train from Doncaster to London when the attack began in Cambridgeshire on Saturday 1 November.
Mr Zitouni had been in a critical condition, having suffered multiple injuries in the incident, but was discharged on Saturday.
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6:54
Mahmood praises rail worker
His family said: “We are so grateful for the outpouring of support from the public, and very touched by all the kind words about Sam’s brave actions on the night of the attack.
“While we are really happy to have him home, he still has a significant recovery ahead and we would now like to be left in privacy to care for him as a family.”
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1:39
Train mass stabbing: A timeline of events
David Horne, managing director at LNER, said: “In a moment of crisis, Sam did not hesitate as he stepped forward to protect those around him.
“His actions were incredibly brave, and we are so proud of him, and of all our colleagues who acted with such courage that evening. Our thoughts and prayers remain with Sam and his family. We will continue to support them and wish him a full and speedy recovery.”
The attack is understood to have started shortly after the train left Peterborough, with passengers pulling the emergency alarms on the LNER service.
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0:40
Police believe train attacker filmed waving knife
Train driver Andrew Johnson, who served in the Royal Navy for 17 years, contacted a signaller and requested an unscheduled stop at Huntingdon station.
11 people were treated in hospital after the mass stabbing – nine were initially reported as having life-threatening injuries.
Anthony Williams, 32, was remanded into custody at Peterborough Magistrates’ Court on November 3, charged with 10 counts of attempted murder over the incident.
He will appear at Cambridge Crown Court on 1 December.
Donald Trump has said he will sue the BBC for between $1bn and $5bn over the editing of his speech on Panorama.
The US president confirmed he would be taking legal action against the broadcaster while on Air Force One overnight on Saturday.
“We’ll sue them. We’ll sue them for anywhere between a billion (£792m) and five billion dollars (£3.79bn), probably sometime next week,” he told reporters.
“We have to do it, they’ve even admitted that they cheated. Not that they couldn’t have not done that. They cheated. They changed the words coming out of my mouth.”
Mr Trump then told reporters he would discuss the matter with Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer over the weekend, and claimed “the people of the UK are very angry about what happened… because it shows the BBC is fake news”.
The Daily Telegraph reported earlier this month that an internal memo raised concerns about the BBC’s editing of a speech made by Mr Trump on 6 January 2021, just before a mob rioted at the US Capitol building, on its flagship late-night news programme.
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BBC crisis: How did it happen?
The concerns regard clips spliced together from sections of the president’s speech to make it appear he told supporters he was going to walk to the US Capitol with them to “fight like hell” in the documentary Trump: A Second Chance?, which was broadcast by the BBC the week before last year’s US election.
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Following a backlash, both BBC director-general Tim Davie and BBC News chief executive Deborah Turness resigned from their roles.
‘No basis for defamation claim’
On Thursday, the broadcaster officially apologised to the president and added that it was an “error of judgement” and the programme will “not be broadcast again in this form on any BBC platforms”.
A spokesperson said that “the BBC sincerely regrets the manner in which the video clip was edited,” but they also added that “we strongly disagree there is a basis for a defamation claim”.
Earlier this week, Mr Trump’s lawyers threatened to sue the BBC for $1bn unless it apologised, retracted the clip, and compensated him.
Image: The US president said he would sue the broadcaster for between $1bn and $5bn. File pic: PA
Legal challenges
But legal experts have said that Mr Trump would face challenges taking the case to court in the UK or the US.
The deadline to bring the case to UK courts, where defamation damages rarely exceed £100,000 ($132,000), has already expired because the documentary aired in October 2024, which is more than one year.
Also because the documentary was not shown in the US, it would be hard to show that Americans thought less of the president because of a programme they could not watch.
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2:05
Sky’s Katie Spencer on what BBC bosses told staff on call over Trump row
Newsnight allegations
The BBC has said it was looking into fresh allegations, published in The Telegraph, that its Newsnight show also selectively edited footage of the same speech in a report broadcast in June 2022.
A BBC spokesperson said: “The BBC holds itself to the highest editorial standards. This matter has been brought to our attention and we are now looking into it.”
This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly.
A man has been given a 13-month prison sentence for stealing Banksy’s famous Girl With Balloon print from a London gallery.
Larry Fraser, 49, of Beckton, east London, was sentenced on Friday after pleading guilty to one count of non-residential burglary at Kingston Crown Court on 9 October.
The print, one of the street artist‘s most famous, was stolen from a gallery in New Cavendish Street in London at around 11pm on 8 September last year.
Image: The recovered artwork back in the gallery. Pic: Metropolitan Police
Fraser used a hammer to smash his way through a glass entrance door at the Grove Gallery before stealing the artwork, which was valued at £270,000.
He concealed his identity with a mask, hooded jacket and gloves, but the Metropolitan Police’s Flying Squad was able to identify him and track him to a location streets away.
He was also caught on CCTV loading the artwork into a van before fleeing the scene.
A second man, 54-year-old James Love, was accused of being the getaway driver in the burglary, but cleared of stealing the print.
Image: Larry Fraser. Pic: Metropolitan Police
Image: Damage to the Grove Gallery after the theft. Pic: Metropolitan Police
Fraser was arrested at his home address on 10 September, within 48 hours of the burglary, and charged the next day.
Officers were able to recover the artwork after executing a warrant on the Isle of Dogs. It has now been returned to the gallery.
Fraser pleaded to the court that he was struggling with a historic drug debt and agreed to steal the work “under a degree of pressure and fear”.
He said he did not know what he would be stealing, nor its value, until the day of the offence.
Image: Fraser was caught on CCTV taking the artwork away from the gallery. Pic: Metropolitan Police
Jeffrey Israel, defending, said Fraser lived with his mother as her principal carer, and had only managed to “break his cycle of drug addiction” after his last prison sentence.
He added that it “would take a bold advocate” to suggest that the value of the print had increased by the burglary, but insisted “that is probably the reality”.
Judge Anne Brown was unmoved, however, and said the offence was “simply too serious” for a suspended sentence.
“This is a brazen and serious non-domestic burglary,” she said.
“Whilst you did not know the precise value of the print, you obviously understood it to be very valuable.”
She added: “Whilst I am sure there was a high degree of planning, this was not your plan.”
However, Fraser may be eligible for immediate release due to time spent on electronic curfew.
Detective Chief Inspector Scott Mather, who led the Met’s investigation, said: “Banksy’s Girl With Balloon is known across the world – and we reacted immediately to not just bring Fraser to justice but also reunite the artwork with the gallery.
“The speed at which this took place is a testament to the tireless work of the flying squad officers – in total it took just four days for normality to be restored.”
The 2004 artwork was part of a £1.5m collection of 13 Banksy pieces at the gallery.
Gallery manager, Lindor Mehmetaj, said it was “remarkable” for the piece to have been recovered after the theft.
The 29-year-old said: “I was completely, completely shocked, but in a very, very positive way when the Flying Squad showed me the actual artwork.
“It’s very hard to put into words, the weight that comes off your shoulders.”