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If China is known as the world’s factory, then the province of Guangdong is the engine room.

It is here, in the thousands of factories that dominate city suburbs where many of your consumer goods likely started their life, and it is here where Donald Trump’s tariffs are hitting first.

China has arguably been the top target in the US president’s trade war. Not only was it subject to a suite of measures during his first term, but this time round it is the only country that has had no carve-outs, no delays and tariffs are levied on 100% of Chinese goods.

A factory worker on the assembly line in an electrical appliances factory in Guangdong
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A factory worker on the assembly line in an electrical appliances factory in Guangdong

As of 4 March anything from China sold to the US faces a tax of at least 20%, and for many goods it’s more than that.

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Johnny Pan
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Johnny Pan

Johnny Pan shows us the assembly line at his factory. This business has been in his family since the 90s and it makes appliances such as fans, air purifiers and air fryers.

Lines of workers are assembling the more complex components by hand.

A third of his products are currently sold to America. Tariffs have had an immediate impact; in just the last month they have seen a major drop off in orders amounting to millions of dollars.

“We have to seek out new markets to get away from the US,” Mr Pan explains. “We should be diving more into product development. But now we have to figure out ways to survive.”

He is actively looking to move some of his manufacturing abroad to avoid the tariffs.

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A factory that makes electrical appliances in Guangdong
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A factory that makes electrical appliances in Guangdong

But the alleyways of this area are scattered with smaller operations with fewer options.

Tiny workshops often specialise in just one element of a big process, small cogs in a supply chain they cannot control.

Through one garage door there are three sewing machines whirring; this tiny operation specialises in attaching buttons to garments.

A small factory in Guangzhou which specialises in adding buttons to garments
Image:
A small factory which specialises in adding buttons to garments

The husband-and-wife team admit they’re worried, incomes are lower, they explain, and it could have an impact on the thousands of contract workers who exist job to job.

Many here don’t have an option to raise their prices. If the American consumer isn’t willing to pay more, the only option is to seek new markets, but if new markets don’t provide such willing buyers, jobs and livelihoods are at stake.

 A small factory in Guangzhou which specialises in adding buttons to garments

Indeed, this is China’s key concern. A huge 20% of its GDP is exports, and a trade shock will have a major impact.

And the economy is already struggling. Growth has slowed dramatically in recent years, there is very high youth unemployment and a lot of low-paid migrant workers.

The fact Beijing’s response thus far has been relatively restrained signals an awareness it can ill afford a major escalation.

There is some solace in the fact China is a lot less exposed to the US than it once was – the trade war of 2016 means it already sends far fewer goods to America than it once did.

But this is still a system that fears instability above all else and can’t be seen to lose face.

Many point to the broader context of two global superpowers that both crave dominance and are, in their own ways, trying to direct a shifting global order.

Tariffs may just be one issue in a bigger global standoff.

China might still be a mighty economy that can absorb some pain, but its leaders are unlikely to take things lying down.

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Gary Neville hits out at national insurance rise – and makes prediction for Manchester United’s season

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Gary Neville hits out at national insurance rise - and makes prediction for Manchester United's season

Gary Neville has criticised the government’s national insurance (NI) rise this year, saying it could deter companies from employing people and “probably could have been held back”.

The former Manchester United and England footballer-turned business owner, who vocally supported Labour at the last election, employs hundreds of people.

But he expressed his frustration at the recent hike on employers’ NI, which has significantly increased the taxes businesses have to pay for their employees.

Speaking to Sky News’ Business Live, Neville said: “I honestly don’t believe that, to be fair, companies and small businesses should be deterred from employing people. So, I think the national insurance rise was one that I feel probably could have been held back, particularly in terms of the way in which the economy was.”

While the Sky Sports pundit thought the minimum wage increase introduced at the same time was necessary to ensure that people are paid a fair wage and looked after, he made it clear the double whammy for businesses at the start of April would be a challenge for many companies big and small.

“I mean look it’s been a tough economy now for a good few years and I did think that once there was a change of government, and once there was some stability, that we would get something settling,” he said. “But it’s not settling locally in our country, but it is not settling actually, to be fair, in many places in the world either.

“I don’t think we can ever criticise the government for increasing the minimum wage. I honestly believe that people, to be fair, should be paid more so I don’t think that’s something that you can be critical of. I do think that the national insurance rise, though, was a challenge.”

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Neville’s business interests are diverse, spanning property development, hospitality, media, and sports.

He co-founded GG Hospitality, which owns Hotel Football and the Stock Exchange Hotel, and is involved in Relentless Developments, focusing on building projects in the North West. He is also a co-founder of Buzz 16, a production company, and a partner in The Consello Group, a financial services company.

The tax increase is expected to raise £25bn for the Treasury, with employers having to pay NI at 15% on salaries above £5,000, and up to 13.8% on salaries above £9,100.

The rise has already led the Bank of England to warn that it is contributing to a job market slowdown.

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NI and tariffs pile pressure on firms

Governor Andrew Bailey warned last month that “the labour market has been very tight in the past few years, but we are now seeing signs that conditions are easing, employment growth is subdued, and several indicators of labour demand and hiring intentions have softened”.

The government has defended the tax increase, announced by Rachel Reeves in last year’s budget and implemented in April, arguing that the money was needed to pay for public services like the NHS to help bring down waiting lists.

‘Can’t get any worse’ for Man Utd

Neville conceded that turning beleaguered football club Manchester United around could prove more difficult than trying to bring about substantial economic growth.

The side finished 15th last season – its worst performance in the history of the Premier League.

“Yeah, that could be a bigger challenge than the economy… I think the two signings are good signings yet, there’s a couple more needed,” Neville said of his former club’s fortunes.

“I think they need a goalkeeper. And I think if they fill those two positions with decent signings, then United can have a lot, I mean, they have to have a better season than last year. It can’t get any worse, really.”

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English cricket goes into bat with bulk of £520m Hundred windfall

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English cricket goes into bat with bulk of £520m Hundred windfall

English cricket’s governing body will on Wednesday hail a landmark moment for the sport when it announces that three-quarters of the deals to bring in new investors to The Hundred have been completed.

Sky News understands that the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB) plans to issue a statement confirming that it has received proceeds from the sale of stakes in Birmingham Phoenix, London Spirit, Manchester Originals, Northern Superchargers, Southern Brave and Welsh Fire.

The two other franchise deals – involving the Oval Invincibles and Nottinghamshire’s Trent Rockets – will be completed on October 1, the ECB is expected to say.

One insider said a statement was likely to be issued on Wednesday, although they cautioned that the timing could slip.

When all eight deals are concluded, they will generate a collective windfall of £520m for the sport’s strained coffers.

Last week, Sky News revealed that unresolved talks between India’s richest family and Surrey County Cricket Club – which hosts the Oval Invincibles Hundred team – were threatening to delay the delivery of a vast windfall for the sport.

One of the outstanding issues relates to the name under which the Oval Invincibles will play in future years, with the Ambani family keen to use a derivative of the Mumbai Indians brand that it also owns.

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This week’s announcement will come after months of talks after the ECB and the eight Hundred-playing counties agreed exclusivity periods with their preferred investors.

The backers include some of the world’s most prominent financiers, billionaires and technology executives.

Following protracted talks, the ECB has agreed to revised terms with the investors, with host venues now retaining control of their teams’ intellectual property rights.

The investors will also hold an effective veto over future expansion of the Hundred, while the ECB will be barred from launching any other short-form professional version of the sport while the Hundred remains operational.

Meanwhile, the governing body will retain full ownership of the competition itself as well as controlling the regulation of it and the window within which it can be played each year.

The ECB has been waiting for investors in the eight franchises to sign participation agreements since an auction in February, which valued the participating teams at just over £975m.

Some of the deals involve the investors owning 49% of their respective franchise, while India’s Sun TV Network has taken full ownership of Yorkshire’s Northern Superchargers.

The proceeds of its stake sales will be distributed to all of English cricket’s professional counties as well as £50m being delivered to the grassroots game.

The windfalls are being seen as a lifeline for many cash-strapped counties which have been struggling under significant debt piles for many years.

The most valuable Hundred sale saw a group of technology tycoons, including executives from Google and Microsoft, paying about £145m for a 49% stake in Lord’s-based London Spirit.

This year’s tournament kicks off next week with fixtures including a clash between the two London-based franchises.

The ECB declined to comment.

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Italian restaurant chain Gusto on brink of administration

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Italian restaurant chain Gusto on brink of administration

The intense financial pressure facing Britain’s casual dining sector will be underlined this week when Gusto, the Italian restaurant chain, falls into administration.

Sky News has learnt that Interpath Advisory is preparing a pre-pack insolvency of Gusto, which trades from 13 sites.

Sources said that a vehicle set up by Cherry Equity Partners, the owner of Latin American restaurant concept Cabana, was the likely buyer.

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It is expected to take over most of Gusto’s sites although some job losses are likely.

A deal could be announced in the coming days, according to insiders.

The collapse of Gusto, which is backed by private equity investor Palatine, follows a string of increasingly heated warnings from hospitality executives about the impact of tax rises on the sector.

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Kate Nicholls, who chairs UK Hospitality, said this month that the industry faced a jobs bloodbath amid growing financial pressure on operators.

This week, Sky News reported that the restaurant industry veteran David Page, a former boss of PizzaExpress, was raising £10m to take advantage of cut-price acquisition opportunities in casual dining.

Mr Page is planning to become executive chairman of London-listed Tasty, which owns Wildwood and dim t, and rename it Bow Street Group.

A placing of shares in the company is likely to be completed this week.

Interpath declined to comment on the Gusto process.

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