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Donald Trump flourished his list of tariffs like a gameshow host in the White House Rose Garden on Wednesday – but there were no winners from the president’s made-for-TV show of economic strength.

The price was wrong for everyone and there is jeopardy for all, the US included.

From Asian nations in the engine room of global consumer manufacturing, facing tariffs above 40%, to the UK, handed the base rate of 10% alongside a host of nations including a group of uninhabited Antarctic islands, the terms of trade have fundamentally changed.

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The question now is what impact the tariffs will have locally, regionally and globally; and what nations should do in response.

The penguins of the Heard and McDonald Islands may be able to move on with a shrug, but not so Britain, where months of diplomatic effort concentrated on the Trump regime has delivered only the knowledge that it could have been worse.

The impact is hard to assess definitively, not least because nothing quite like this has ever happened in the era of trade liberation.

Mr Trump has stuck a spoke in the wheel of the global consensus, that ever-freer trade is good for everyone.

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Sky’s Gurpreet Narwan drills down into the numbers

The Office for Budget Responsibility has hazarded a guess that a trade war could wipe 1% off UK GDP, worth around £33bn. What is clear is that the impact will be diverse and multi-level.

The direct impact will be felt hardest by the largest goods exporters. Car manufacturers face a huge blow, with 25% tariffs on the luxury vehicles Britain still does well adding a cost to US consumers, who account for 18% of the sector’s exports, worth around £8bn.

The pharmaceutical industry has much to lose too, though exports worth almost £9bn in 2023 appeared to have a stay of execution thanks to a clause in Trump’s executive order.

For the manufacturing industry, the tariffs will be “devastating”, according to the trade body Make UK, with second-round effects almost as damaging as the 10% notionally paid by US consumers.

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The UK may have left the EU but British industry still does a huge amount of business feeding supply chains for European products now subject to a 20% levy.

Anyone toasting a “Brexit benefit” from the EU’s misfortune still fails to understand the interconnectedness of our commercial relations.

Add the general cooling of the global economy caused by the richest nation on Earth’s demand to be made wealthier still, and it is a grim outlook.

What is to be done?

All of which begs the second question, what to do?

The UK’s mantra has been to remain pragmatic and calm in response, while continuing to seek an “economic agreement” with the US that includes an easing of tariffs.

Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds showed a little mettle in Parliament, and a slight hardening of the UK line, by announcing a consultation with businesses over potential retaliatory tariffs.

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Trump tariffs ‘disappointing’, says business secretary

Some sectors would like to see a muscular response, with the steel industry anxious that, in the event of a global trade war, a neutral UK would become a target for the “dumping” of cheap steel from exporters priced out of the US and EU.

Sectoral specifics aside, the truth is that the UK has limited ammunition in a trade war with the US. We buy around £60bn of goods, with machinery, fuels and chemicals, alongside Harley Davidson motorbikes and bottles of Jack Daniel’s, but the bulk of our trade is in services, professional skills flowing west and big tech coming the other way.

The digital services tax, currently extracting around £800m a year from US tech companies, is one chip Britain has to play in negotiations.

Some might call that a small price to pay to support the car industry, while others would see capitulation to social media giants and their billionaire backers.

As a senior cabinet minister put it shortly before Mr Trump’s election: “As a small nation outside a major trading bloc, getting involved in a trade war does not make a lot of sense.”

It was sound logic then and now. Unless the host of Trump Tariffs changes his tune, damage limitation may be the only prize on offer.

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Burger King UK lands new backing from buyout firm Bridgepoint

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Burger King UK lands new backing from buyout firm Bridgepoint

The private equity backer of Burger King UK has injected millions of pounds of new funding as part of a deal which paves the way for their partnership to be extended into the 2040s.

Sky News understands that Bridgepoint has invested a further £15m into the fast food giant in recent days, with a further sum – thought to be up to £20m – to be deployed over the next 18 months.

The new funding has been committed as Burger King UK’s Master Franchise Agreement with a subsidiary of Restaurant Brands International has been extended to 2044 in a deal which is said to align the interests of its various financial stakeholders more closely.

Burger King’s British operations comprise roughly 575 outlets, and employ approximately 12,000 people.

In results released this week, Burger King UK said it had delivered a “solid performance…amid sector headwinds” in 2024.

Revenue increased by 7% to £408.3m, with underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation up 12% to £26m.

The company also said it had completed a refinancing process, with the maturity of its bank facilities pushed out to March 2028.

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Under the leadership of Alasdair Murdoch, its long-serving chief executive, Burger King plans to open roughly 30 new sites next year.

It comes at a challenging time for the UK hospitality sector, with casual dining chains TGI Fridays and Leon both filing to appoint administrators in the last few days.

Industry bosses say that last month’s Budget has piled fresh cost pressures on them.

Bridgepoint declined to comment on the injection of new capital into Burger King UK.

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Hundreds of jobs at risk as LEON moves to cut unprofitable restaurants

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Hundreds of jobs at risk as LEON moves to cut unprofitable restaurants

The fast food chain LEON has taken a swipe at “unsustainable taxes” while moving to secure its future through the appointment of an administrator, leaving hundreds of jobs at risk.

The loss-making company, bought back from Asda by its co-founder John Vincent in October, said it had begun a process that aimed to bring forward the closure of unprofitable sites. It was to form part of a turnaround plan to restore the brand to its roots around natural foods.

It was unclear at this stage how many of its 71 restaurants – 44 of them directly owned – and approximately 1,100 staff would be affected by the plans for the so-called Company Voluntary Arrangement (CVA).

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“The restructuring will involve the closure of several of LEON’s restaurants and a number of job losses”, a statement said.

“The company has created a programme to support anyone made redundant.”

It added: “LEON and Quantuma intend to spend the next few weeks discussing the plans with its landlords and laying out options for the future of the Company.

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“LEON then plans to emerge from administration as a leaner business that can return to its founding values and principles more easily.

“In the meantime, all the group’s restaurants remain open, serving customers as usual. The LEON grocery business will not be affected in any way by the CVA.”

Mr Vincent said. “If you look at the performance of LEON’s peers, you will see that everyone is facing challenges – companies are reporting significant losses due to working patterns and increasingly unsustainable taxes.”

Mr Vincent sold the chain to Asda in 2021 for £100m but it struggled, like rivals, to make headway after the pandemic and cost of living crisis that followed the public health emergency.

The hospitality sector has taken aim at the chancellor’s business rates adjustments alongside heightened employer national insurance contributions and minimum wage levels, accusing the government of placing jobs and businesses in further peril.

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Revenues of water company to be cut by regulator Ofwat

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Revenues of water company to be cut by regulator Ofwat

The UK’s biggest water supplier has been dealt another blow as the regulator decided to reduce its income.

Thames Water, which supplies 16 million people in England, has been told by the watchdog Ofwat its revenues will be cut by more than £187m.

It comes as the utility struggles under a £17.6bn debt pile and the government has lined up insolvency practitioners for its potential collapse.

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Overall, water firms face a sector-wide revenue reduction of nearly £309m as a result of Ofwat’s determination. Thames Water’s £187.1m cut is the largest revenue reduction.

This will take effect from next year and up to 2030 as part of water companies’ regulator-approved five-year spending and investment plans.

The downward revenue revision has been made as Ofwat believes the companies will perform better than first thought and therefore require less money.

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Better financial performance is ultimately good news for customers.

The change published on Wednesday is a technical update; the initial revenue projections published in December 2024 were based on projected financial performance but after financial results were published in the summer and Ofwat was able to apply these figures.

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Is Thames Water a step closer to nationalisation?

Thames Water and industry body Water UK have been contacted for comment.

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