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An oil pumpjack is seen in a field on April 08, 2025 in Nolan, Texas. 

Brandon Bell | Getty Images

President Donald Trump’s trade war has thrown the oil market into deep uncertainty, triggering wild swings in crude prices, undermining investor confidence and jeopardizing domestic production.

U.S. crude oil hit a low of $55.12 on Wednesday, down 23% from the closing price on April 2 when Trump announced his sweeping plan to slap tariffs on more than 180 countries. The rapid pullback in prices threatens the president’s “drill, baby, drill” agenda as companies will struggle to boost output at profit.

But West Texas Intermediate staged a comeback after Trump suddenly reversed course Wednesday, announcing a 90-day pause on high tariffs for most trade partners with the exception of China. The U.S. benchmark swung 13% from its session low to close at $62.35 in response.

Trump’s decision to lower tariffs to 10% for most countries gave the market a temporary reprieve from fears of a spiraling trade war. But U.S. oil producers face an environment of “extreme uncertainty” that will make them hesitant about investment decisions, said Jim Burkhard, head of oil market research at S&P Global Commodity Insights.

Weaker confidence

U.S. crude oil fell more than 4% on Thursday to under $60 a barrel as traders focused Trump’s decision to hike tariffs on China to an eye-watering 125%. And it’s unclear how negotiations with the dozens of countries that have gotten a reprieve will pan out.

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West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices over the past month

“There’s a pause — the uncertainty has not gone away,” Burkhard said of Trump’s reversal. “Confidence about the future is weaker now than it was a month ago and prices are lower.”

“Can the U.S. negotiate with 70 countries all at once? I don’t think the chaos is over,” he said.

Trump’s on again, off again approach to tariffs is causing real damage, said Susan Bell, senior vice president of commodity markets at Rystad Energy. The safest option in times of uncertainty for asset-based businesses like oil companies is to reduce capital expenditures, Bell said.

“There’s a loss of confidence, not just in investment in the shale industry, but really investment in the United States,” she said.

Oil production threatened

Shale oil companies have driven the rapid growth of the U.S. into the world’s largest crude producer. These companies currently need U.S. crude prices to average at least $65 per barrel to drill new wells at a profit, according to executives at 81 companies surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

U.S. crude prices in the low $60s is the zone where companies may start drilling less over the next six months, Burkhard said. Producers will increasingly have to decide either to reduce lucrative returns for shareholders or scale back their activity in the oil patch, he said.

Some 50 rigs could get cut immediately with more potentially on the chopping block if prices remain at these levels, Bell said.

Goldman Sachs has lowered its price forecast for WTI to $58 by December 2025 and $51 by the end of next year. U.S. onshore oil growth would flatline if crude falls to range of $50 to $55 per barrel for a sustained period, said Walt Chancellor, an energy strategist at Macquarie Group.

Shale companies also face the threat of Trump’s steel tariffs potentially increasing the cost of new wells by 10%, Bell said. The companies would need even higher oil prices to drill new wells profitably, she said.

Energy Sec. Wright: Trump's duties provide 'no tariffs on energy'

“It adds to costs at the time that their that oil prices are falling — it’s another hit,” Burkhard said of the steel tariffs.

U.S. shale producers were scathing in their criticism of Trump’s tariff policy in anonymous responses to the the Dallas Fed Energy Survey published in March.

One executive said “the administration’s chaos is a disaster for the commodity markets.” Trump’s call to “drill, baby, drill” is a “myth and a populist rallying cry,” the executive said. The president’s “tariff policy is impossible for us to predict and doesn’t have a clear goal,” the person said, calling for “stability.”

“I have never felt more uncertainty about our business in my entire 40-plus-year career,” another executive told the Dallas Fed.

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright acknowledged Tuesday that tumbling prices will worry oil producers. Wright, the founder and former CEO of natural gas fracking company Liberty Energy, argued that Trump will drive down producers’ costs by removing uncertainty around permitting and approving more pipelines and export terminals, allowing them to pump at lower prices.

“Lower prices are good for consumers, and as producers get lower and lower cost structure, they’re going to thrive at lower prices as well,” Wright told CNBC’s “Money Movers.” “What you’re seeing right now is the fear and uncertainty as the sausage is being made,” he said of Trump’s tariff policy.

The unpredictability caused by Trump’s tariffs has also hit the stock of the company Wright founded. Liberty’s shares are down 32% since April 2.

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A vast new UK battery plant just secured £1B to power 100k EVs

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A vast new UK battery plant just secured £1B to power 100k EVs

A major new EV battery factory is being built in Sunderland, bringing 1,000 new jobs with it. AESC, Nissan’s battery partner, is behind the £1 billion ($1.33 billion) plant, which will boost the UK’s EV battery production by six times, enough to power 100,000 electric cars annually.

The 12 GWh capacity plant, AESC’s second battery plant in Sunderland, will be powered by 100% net-zero carbon energy. That big jump in capacity helps position Britain as a global player in EV manufacturing while pushing forward the country’s net-zero goals.

The investment is getting a serious financial lift from the British government. Through a combination of support from the National Wealth Fund and UK Export Finance, the project is unlocking £680 million in financing from major banks, including HSBC, Standard Chartered, SMBC Group, Societe Generale, and BBVA, that covers the construction and operation of the battery factory. Another £320 million is coming from private investment and fresh equity from AESC. On top of all that, the government’s Automotive Transformation Fund is pitching in with £150 million in grant funding.

This deal follows closely on the heels of the new UK-US trade agreement announced a day earlier, which cuts car export tariffs from 27.5% down to 10% for up to 100,000 UK-made vehicles – nearly the total number exported last year. That move could save car companies hundreds of millions of pounds and help protect good-paying jobs in manufacturing hubs like Sunderland.

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Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves visited AESC in Sunderland, where she met with staff and local leaders to discuss what this means for the Northeast and the British car industry.

“This investment follows hot on the heels of yesterday’s landmark economic deal with the US, which will save thousands of jobs in the industry,” Reeves said.

Read more: UK unveils largest curbside EV charger installation of 6,000 ports


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Ford is facing a worker strike at its EV plant in Germany: Here’s why

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Ford is facing a worker strike at its EV plant in Germany: Here's why

It’s about the future of their jobs. Ford workers at two plants in western Germany are set to go on strike on Wednesday, their works council chief said on Monday.

Ford is facing a worker strike in Germany

In November, Ford announced it would cut around 4,000 jobs in Europe by 2027 as part of a restructuring, primarily in Germany and the UK. That’s still about 14% of its European workforce.

The American automaker said the move comes after it has incurred “significant losses” in recent years and a “highly disruptive market” with new EVs quickly gaining market share.

Ford blamed slower-than-expected demand for electric vehicles and a weak economic situation. It also plans to slow production at its Cologne EV plant, where the electric Explorer and Capri are built.

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Last week, IG Metall members voted in favor of “industrial action” with 93.5% of votes in favor of a strike. “Ford must act now—otherwise, we will go through with it,” said Kerstin D. Klein, Chief Representative of IG Metall Cologne-Leverkusen.

Ford-worker-strike
Ford Explorer EV production in Cologne (Source: Ford)

Ford is facing an influx of new competition, including Chinese EV makers like BYD. BYD’s overseas sales are surging with a fifth straight month of growth in April.

BYD even outsold Tesla in Germany last month, with 1,566 vehicles registered. In comparison, Tesla had just 855, and Ford saw 9,534 registrations.

Ford-worker-strike
Ford’s electric vehicles in Europe from left to right: Puma Gen-E, Explorer, Capri, and Mustang Mach-E (Source: Ford)

On top of this, Ford, like most of the industry, is preparing for more disruption with Trump’s auto tariffs. After releasing Q1 earnings last week, Ford warned that the tariffs could cost up to $2.5 billion this year.

During Ford’s earnings call, CFO Sherry House said that recent EV launches in Europe, including the Explorer, Capri, and Puma Gen-E, helped more than double Model e’s wholesale volume in Q1.

After early success in the US, Ford also launched its “Power Promise” promotion in Europe, offering EV buyers a free home charger and several other perks.

Source: Reuters

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Slate’s $20k electric pickup that can be converted into an SUV has secured 100k reservations

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Slate's k electric pickup that can be converted into an SUV has secured 100k reservations

Young EV startup Slate Auto is gaining significant interest from the US consumer market, just weeks after it emerged out of stealth with a bare-bones all-electric pickup. The company just announced its “Blank Slate” EV has already garnered 100,000 reservations.

It’s been just over two weeks since we reported on Slate’s official debut. Before that, much of our information was compiled from various sites on the internet and riddled with speculation. We knew the company was based in Michigan and was working on at least one BEV model, but not much else was confirmed until April 24, when Slate stepped out from behind the curtain and entered the electric pickup market.

It was then that we learned about the startup’s “Blank Slate” design, which involves a simplified all-electric pickup with over 100 accessories, plus a five-seat SUV configuration kit (seen above). We also learned that this new model is expected to start below $20,000 after US tax incentives.

Following the public launch of Slate and its flagship model, the company opened reservations with a $50 deposit. Today, a representative for Slate told Electrek that it has already hit the 100,000 reservation tally.

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Slack EV
Source: Slate Auto

Slate’s booming reservations show appetite for affordable EVs

We don’t have much else to report now, other than that Slate has secured 100,000 reservations in the 18 days since it unveiled its electric pickup. It’s an impressive milestone showing that US consumers don’t necessarily need all the bells and whistles most of the electric SUVs and pickups on the current market offer.

Instead, people want BEVs that they can afford, with the option to upgrade and customize à la carte to their liking—a strategy Slate has adopted that could help the American startup do well out of the gate. While the 100k tally is impressive, those reservations do not accurately indicate how the “Blank Slate” pickup will sell, especially since the deposit to get on the wait list is only $50.

Before the polarizing Cybertruck hit US roads, Tesla reported it had received over one million reservations, possibly quite a bit more. However, the public’s response to the production version was as cold as the steel from which it was assembled. The Cybertruck overpromised and underdelivered, arriving at MSRPs significantly higher than initially promised.

As a result, a massive majority of those reservation holders walked, and Tesla has only sold less than 50,000 to date and is sitting on a ton of inventory. This should serve as a lesson to Slate, but its counter approach to the $100k+ Cybertruck should bode well, especially if it can deliver at or near the $20k price point as advertised.

As reported last month, its “Blank Slate” EV will be sold directly to consumers and is available for reservations here. The trucks will be built in the US, with initial customer deliveries expected to begin in Q4 2026. 

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